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2014 Quebec general election

Canadian provincial election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2014 Quebec general election
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The 2014 Quebec general election was held on April 7, 2014 to elect members to the National Assembly of Quebec. The incumbent Parti Québécois which had won a minority government in 2012 was defeated by the Quebec Liberal Party under Philippe Couillard who won a majority government of 70 seats, while the incumbent Parti Québécois finished second with 30 seats, becoming the first single-term government since Jean-Jacques Bertrand's Union Nationale government was defeated in 1970. Pauline Marois electoral defeat marked the shortest stay of any Quebec provincial government since the Canadian Confederation.[1] It marked the lowest seat total for the Parti Québécois since 1989 and its smallest share of the popular vote since its inaugural run in 1970, as Premier Pauline Marois lost her own riding. The Coalition Avenir Québec under François Legault made minor gains in terms of seats despite receiving a smaller share of the popular vote than in the previous election. Québec solidaire won an additional seat, though co-spokesperson Andrés Fontecilla failed to win his riding. This election saw the return of the Liberals to power 2 years after their defeat in 2012. To date this is the last election where the Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the Quebec Assembly.

Quick Facts 125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec 63 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...
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Summary

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Seating plan following the election.

At the outset of the campaign, the Parti Québécois had a modest lead in the polls and appeared to have a realistic prospect of winning a majority government. However, the party's support rapidly collapsed after the party announced Pierre Karl Péladeau, the president and CEO of media conglomerate Quebecor, as a star candidate.[2] Péladeau's conservative and anti-union business background was widely criticized as being at odds with the party's social democratic history;[3] and his outspoken support for a third referendum on Quebec sovereignty quickly sidelined the issues — including the Charter of Quebec Values and the corruption allegations against the Liberals, the latter of which had contributed to the defeat of Jean Charest's government in the 2012 election — which the party had identified as its primary campaign themes, alienating many voters who had little desire to revive the sovereignty issue.[2]

In March 2014, Premier Pauline Marois was accused of antisemitism by The Center for Israel and Jewish Affairs (CIJA) surrounding the statements made by party member Louise Mailloux.[4] Mailloux had written statements equating the Jewish practice of circumcision to rape and claimed that halal and kosher food prices were kept high to fund religious activities abroad. She wrote that the money went to: “For the Jews, to finance Israel’s colonization in Palestinian territories? And for Muslims, to fund the Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamists who want to impose Islam worldwide?” Marois defended Mailloux, denying antisemitism within the party and stated that she had "very good relations with the leaders of this community and the leaders of all the different communities in Quebec.” CIJA claimed Marois's apology and statements were inadequate and "meaningless excuses" with CIJA Quebec vice-president, Luciano Del Negro, stating: "She alleges a misunderstanding and refuses to basically recognize her views are not only offensive, but anti-Semitic in nature.”[4][5][6][7][8]

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Timeline (2012-2014)

Seat changes

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Changes of party leaders

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Other developments

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Incumbent MNAs who did not run for re-election

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Opinion polls

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Evolution of voting intentions for the 2014 Quebec general election. Dots are individual poll results and trend lines are local regressions with 95% confidence interval.
More information Polling firm, Last date of polling ...

1 Results among "likely voters"

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Voting intentions among French speakers

Pre-campaign period

More information Pre-campaign period polling (Sep 2012 – Feb 2014), Polling firm ...
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Media endorsements

Parti Québécois

Quebec Liberal Party

Results

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70 30 22 3
Liberal PQ CAQ QS

Summary analysis

More information Popular vote ...
More information Party, Gain from(loss to) ...

Pairing off the top three parties, swings were calculated to be:

  • PQ to Liberal: 8.45%
  • CAQ to Liberal: 7.16%
  • PQ to CAQ: 1.29%

Detailed analysis

More information Party, Party leader ...

Notes:

The party designates David and Fontecilla as co-spokespeople. The party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Pierre-Paul St-Onge.[43]
†† Party contested the 2012 election under the name Coalition pour la constituante.
* Party did not nominate candidates in the previous election.
More information Vote share ...
More information Seats ...

Synopsis of results

More information Riding, Winning party ...
  1. including spoilt ballots
  2. All parties with more than 1% of the vote are shown individually. Independent candidates and other minor parties are aggregated separately. Parties are presented in the order shown on EQ data.
  3. Pierre Michel Auger had been previously elected as an adéquiste MNA in 2007.
  4. Richard Merlini was previously elected as an adéquiste MNA in 2007.
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Comparative analysis for ridings (2014 vs 2012)

More information Riding and winning party, Turnout ...

Analysis of changes in party vote shares

More information Riding, PLQ ...

Seats that changed hands

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Summary analysis

More information Party in 1st place, Party in 2nd place ...
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See also

References

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