2016 United States Senate election in Oregon

The 2016 United States Senate election in Oregon was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2016 United States Senate election in Oregon

← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →

Nominee Ron Wyden Mark Callahan Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 1,105,119 651,106 Percentage 56.60% 33.35%

County results Congressional district results Precinct results Wyden:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Callahan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data

U.S. senator before election Ron Wyden Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Ron Wyden Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden was re-elected to a fourth full term in office. This is the first senate election since 1998 in which Coos County has not supported him. This election also marks the most recent time any candidate from either major party swept all of Oregon's existing congressional districts in any statewide election. This election features a tie in the number of counties won by major party candidates. The other tie in number of counties won was 2012 in Wisconsin for Tammy Baldwin and Tommy Thompson.^[1]

Democratic Party primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kevin Stine, Medford City Councilor^[2]
• Paul Weaver, retired locomotive engineer^[3]
• Ron Wyden, incumbent U.S. Senator^[1]

Declined

• Peter DeFazio, U.S. Representative^[4]

Results

Results by county:

  Wyden

•   70–80%
•   80–90%

Democratic primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ronald Wyden (Incumbent)	501,903	83.20%
	Democratic	Kevin Stine	78,287	12.98%
	Democratic	Paul Weaver	20,346	3.37%
		write-ins	2,740	0.45%
Total votes			603,276	100.00%

Results by county

County	Ron Wyden Democratic		Paul Weaver Democratic		Kevin Stine Democratic		Other votes		Total votes
	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#
Baker	78.42%	1,205	6.04%	79	14.15%	185	1.38%	18	1,307
Benton	82.47%	15,095	2.74%	502	14.57%	2,666	0.21%	39	18,302
Clackamas	83.92%	48,355	3.27%	1,884	12.25%	7,060	0.56%	325	57,624
Clatsop	84.51%	5,173	3.84%	235	11.29%	691	0.36%	22	6,121
Columbia	80.70%	5,971	5.95%	440	12.75%	943	0.61%	45	7,399
Coos	77.80%	6,284	6.90%	557	14.60%	1,179	0.71%	57	8,077
Crook	80.97%	1,613	7.28%	145	10.79%	215	0.95%	19	1,992
Curry	80.17%	2,417	5.41%	163	13.47%	406	0.96%	29	3,015
Deschutes	85.24%	19,489	2.92%	668	11.42%	2,611	0.42%	96	22,864
Douglas	77.40%	8,159	7.48%	789	14.27%	1,504	0.85%	90	10,542
Gilliam	84.31%	188	6.73%	15	6.73%	15	2.24%	5	223
Grant	77.46%	519	6.12%	41	13.43%	90	2.99%	20	670
Harney	80.18%	542	7.25%	49	10.65%	72	1.92%	13	676
Hood River	84.57%	3,376	3.18%	127	12.05%	481	0.20%	8	3,992
Jackson	77.86%	22,152	3.34%	949	18.35%	5,221	0.46%	130	28,452
Jefferson	81.59%	1,418	6.33%	110	11.34%	197	0.75%	13	1,738
Josephine	77.92%	7,065	4.73%	429	16.37%	1,484	0.98%	89	9,067
Klamath	78.52%	4,179	5.73%	305	14.60%	777	1.15%	61	5,322
Lake	76.74%	409	7.88%	42	14.45%	77	0.94%	5	533
Lane	83.64%	58,057	3.31%	2,300	12.70%	8,819	0.35%	241	69,417
Lincoln	82.28%	7,144	4.60%	399	12.73%	1,105	0.40%	35	8,683
Linn	78.20%	9,435	6.31%	761	14.76%	1,781	0.74%	89	12,066
Malheur	75.48%	948	8.20%	103	14.81%	186	1.51%	19	1,256
Marion	81.20%	27,409	4.63%	1,562	13.54%	4,569	0.64%	215	33,755
Morrow	80.03%	541	8.28%	56	10.80%	73	0.89%	6	676
Multnomah	85.30%	148,980	2.04%	3,556	12.32%	21,510	0.35%	603	174,649
Polk	81.64%	8,130	4.88%	486	12.96%	1,291	0.52%	52	9,959
Sherman	74.41%	125	10.12%	17	11.91%	20	3.57%	6	168
Tillamook	83.24%	3,422	4.31%	177	12.16%	500	0.29%	12	4,111
Umatilla	82.40%	3,656	5.12%	227	11.97%	531	0.52%	23	4,437
Union	81.05%	1,972	5.67%	138	12.50%	304	0.78%	19	2,433
Wallowa	86.25%	734	2.12%	18	11.05%	94	0.59%	5	851
Wasco	81.63%	2,501	5.48%	168	12.40%	380	0.49%	15	3,064
Washington	84.21%	65,565	3.06%	2,385	12.43%	9,677	0.30%	232	77,859
Wheeler	76.36%	126	4.85%	8	12.73%	21	6.06%	10	165
Yamhill	82.37%	9,729	3.86%	456	13.14%	1,552	0.63%	74	11,811

Republican Party primary

Candidates

Declared

• Mark Callahan, information technology consultant and perennial candidate^[6][7][8]
• Sam Carpenter, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014^[9]
• Dan Laschober, business consultant^[6]
• Faye Stewart, Lane County Commissioner^[10]

Results

  Callahan

•   30–40%
•   40–50%

  Carpenter

•   30–40%
•   40–50%

  Stewart

•   40–50%

Republican primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mark Callahan	123,473	38.24%
	Republican	Sam Carpenter	104,494	32.36%
	Republican	Faye Stewart	57,399	17.78%
	Republican	Dan Laschober	34,157	10.58%
		write-ins	3,357	1.04%
Total votes			322,880	100.00%

Independent Party primary

Candidates

Declared

• Steven Reynolds, businessman, Progressive nominee for OR-01 in 2012 and Pacific Green nominee for OR-01 in 2014^[11][12]
• Marvin Sandnes, businessman^[11]

Results

Independent primary results^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Independent Party	Steven Reynolds	10,497	40.80%
	Independent Party	Marvin Sandnes	4,733	18.40%
		write-ins	10,496	40.80%
Total votes			25,726	100.00%

Working Families Party

The Working Families Party of Oregon, which usually cross-endorses Democratic candidates, nominated their own candidate in protest of Sen. Ron Wyden's support of the Trans-Pacific Partnership.^[13][14][15]

Candidates

Declared

• Shanti Lewallen, attorney, labor union activist, and longshoreman^[16]

Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party

The Pacific Green Party and the Oregon Progressive Party cross-endorsed Eric Navickas, former member of the Ashland, Oregon City Council.^[17][18][19]

Candidates

Declared

• Eric Navickas, former Ashland City Councilman^[20][21]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[22]	Safe D	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[24]	Safe D	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[25]	Safe D	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[26]	Safe D	November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron Wyden (D)	Mark Callahan (R)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey[27]	November 1–7, 2016	1,595	± 4.6%	63%	32%	—	5%
SurveyMonkey[28]	October 31–November 6, 2016	1,483	± 4.6%	64%	32%	—	4%
SurveyMonkey[29]	October 28–November 3, 2016	1,150	± 4.6%	64%	32%	—	4%
SurveyMonkey[30]	October 27–November 2, 2016	934	± 4.6%	64%	33%	—	3%
SurveyMonkey[31]	October 26–November 1, 2016	809	± 4.6%	61%	34%	—	5%
SurveyMonkey[32]	October 25–31, 2016	743	± 4.6%	62%	34%	—	4%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA[33]	October 10–12, 2016	654	± 3.9%	54%	32%	6%	9%
Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart)[34]	October 4, 2016	1,248	± 2.8%	52%	33%	—	15%

Results

United States Senate election in Oregon, 2016^[35]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Ronald Wyden (incumbent)	1,105,119	56.60%	−0.62%
	Republican	Mark Callahan	651,106	33.35%	−5.90%
	Working Families	Shanti Lewallen	61,915	3.17%	+1.86%
	Independent Party	Steven Reynolds	59,516	3.05%	N/A
	Pacific Green	Eric Navickas	48,823	2.50%	N/A
	Libertarian	Jim Lindsay	23,941	1.23%	+0.12
	n/a	Write-ins	2,058	0.10%	0.00%
Total votes			1,952,478	100.0%	N/A
	Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Coos (largest city: Coos Bay)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Deschutes (largest city: Bend)
• Jefferson (largest city: Madras)

By congressional district

Wyden won all five congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.^[36]

District	Wyden	Callahan	Representative
1st	60%	31%	Suzanne Bonamici
2nd	48%	43%	Greg Walden
3rd	70%	19%	Earl Blumenauer
4th	52%	37%	Peter DeFazio
5th	53%	38%	Kurt Schrader