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2019 Ukrainian presidential election

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2019 Ukrainian presidential election
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Presidential elections were held in Ukraine on 31 March 2019. As none of the 39 candidates on the ballot received an absolute majority of the initial vote, a runoff was held on 21 April between the top two vote-getters: Volodymyr Zelenskyy, a television personality, and Petro Poroshenko, the incumbent president. The Central Election Commission (CEC) announced that Zelenskyy won the second round with 73.22% of the total vote[1] (or 74.96% of the valid vote). The elections were recognized as free and fair by the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe.[2]

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Poroshenko became the third incumbent Ukrainian president to directly lose reelection, after Viktor Yushchenko in 2010 and Leonid Kravchuk in 1994 (only Leonid Kuchma has ever won reelection, in 1999). Zelenskyy was sworn in as the sixth President of Ukraine in May 2019.

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Background

According to Ukrainian law, the election of the President of Ukraine must take place on the last Sunday of March of the fifth year of the term of the incumbent president[3] which in this cycle fell on 31 March 2019.[3] The Ukrainian parliament had to approve the date of the presidential election no later than 100 days before the election day[3] which it did on 26 November 2018.[4][5]

Candidates

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According to Ukrainian law, a presidential candidate must be a citizen of Ukraine who is at least 35 years old, can speak the (state) Ukrainian language and has lived in Ukraine for the last ten years prior to election day.[3] Candidates were nominated by a political party, or by self-nomination.[3] Candidates also had to submit a declaration of income for the year preceding the election year.[3] This document was then scrutinized by the National Agency for Prevention of Corruption, which subsequently published the results of the audit.[3] Nominations could be submitted from 31 December 2018 to 4 February 2019.[3] The end of the registration period was 9 February 2019.[3] After a potential candidate provided the required documentation to the CEC, this body had five days to register the candidate or to refuse to do so.[6]

Candidates were required to pay a nomination deposit of ₴2.5 million (approx. US$90,000); only the two candidates that progressed to the second round of voting would get this deposit back (the other deposits would be transferred to the state treasury).[3]

By the end of the registration period on 9 February 2019,[3] the CEC had registered 44 candidates for the elections.[7][8] This meant that the largest number of candidates participated in the elections.[9] In total, 92 people submitted documents to the CEC to participate in the elections.[7] Five candidates withdrew.[10][11][12] The CEC refused to register 47 people, most for their failure to pay the deposit.[13]

Candidates could withdraw their candidacy, but not later than 23 days before the election.[3] On 8 March, the CEC approved the final list of candidates.[14] There were a total of 39 candidates for the first round of the election.[15][16]

Registered candidates

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Candidates who withdrew

  • Andriy Sadovyi: Mayor of Lviv; his party Self Reliance announced on 3 October 2018 that Sadovyi was its candidate in the election.[92] The CEC registered Sadovyi as a candidate on 8 January.[23] In February Sadovyi talked about withdrawing his candidacy in favour of supporting Anatoliy Hrytsenko as a united candidate from "democratic, anti-corruption forces".[93] He made the decision to withdraw on 1 March and declared his support for Hrytsenko.[10]
  • Dmytro Gnap: Journalist;[94] Gnap was nominated by the party Power of the People on 20 January,[95] and became a registered candidate on 8 February.[91] He withdrew from the election on 2 March, also in favor of Anatoliy Hrytsenko.[11][96]
  • Serhiy Krivonos: veteran of the War in Donbas;[35] Krivonos was nominated by the party Soldiers of the Anti-Terrorist Operation and subsequently registered by the CEC on 5 February.[73] On 6 March he announced that he was withdrawing from the elections to support incumbent president Petro Poroshenko.[83]
  • Yevheniy Murayev: People's Deputy of Ukraine; on 10 January 2019, Murayev's party Nashi nominated him for president.[97] The CEC registered his candidacy on 15 January.[27] On 7 March he pulled out of the election in favor of Oleksandr Vilkul.[98] He also announced that Vilkul's Opposition Bloc and Nashi would soon merge.[98]
  • Dmytro Dobrodomov: People's Deputy of Ukraine and leader of the People's Control Party [uk] was a registered candidate since 25 January.[citation needed] He withdrew from the election on 7 March in favor of Anatoliy Hrytsenko.[14]

Registration denied

The CEC rejected 47 applications (mostly for failure to pay the deposit of ₴2.5 million) of potential candidates,[13] including:

  • Petro Symonenko: Leader of the Communist Party of Ukraine. His nomination was announced at the party's congress on 1 December 2018.[99] Legally the Communist Party of Ukraine is not banned, but the Ministry of Justice is allowed to prohibit it from participating in elections.[citation needed] The CEC refused to register him as a candidate on 2 February because the statute, name, and symbolism of the Communist Party of Ukraine did not comply with 2015 decommunization laws.[13]
  • Nadiya Savchenko: People's Deputy of Ukraine and Hero of Ukraine.[100] Savchenko was nominated by her party on 26 January 2019.[101] Her bid to become a candidate was rejected by the CEC on 7 February because she failed to pay the deposit and her party didn't stamp the document regarding her nomination.[102]

Potential candidates who declined to run

  • Andriy Biletsky: People's Deputy of Ukraine and leader of political party National Corps; nominated by his party on 20 November 2018.[103] Biletsky later said that he had no intention of participating in the "farce" of a presidential election.[104]
  • Vadim Rabinovich: People's Deputy of Ukraine and businessman.[44] On 15 November 2018 Rabinovich announced he would not take part in the presidential election; but that he would top his party's For Life list in the following 2019 Ukrainian parliamentary elections.[105]
  • Oleh Tyahnybok: Chairman of the party All-Ukrainian Union Svoboda. On 14 October 2018, he announced that he would not be running for president and that the party had instead decided to nominate Koshulynskyi as the candidate of Ukraine's nationalist political forces.[52]
  • Michel Tereshchenko: Tereshchenko stepped down as mayor of Hlukhiv on 1 October 2018 to become a candidate.[106] Yet, during the November–30 December-day martial law in Ukraine he resumed his position as mayor and on 3 January 2019 declared his support for candidate Andriy Sadovyi during a congress of Sadovyi's party Self Reliance.[107]
  • Svyatoslav Vakarchuk, lead vocalist of the rock band Okean Elzy. At the end of January 2019, Vakarchuk released a video in which he announced that he would not be running for president.[108] Vakarchuk has said he does not back any of the candidates.[109][110] According to an early March 2019 poll by sociological group "RATING" 64% of the electorate would have liked to see Vakarchuk among the presidential candidates.[111] On 27 March 2019, Vakarchuk posted a video on his Facebook page calling on Ukrainians to think seriously about voting, and not to vote "for a laugh"; this was met with a response by the campaign team of presidential candidate Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who Vakarchuk's comments appeared to be directed towards.[112]
  • Mykhailo Dobkin: People's Deputy of Ukraine, former Kharkiv mayor and Governor of Kharkiv Oblast.[113][114]
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Campaign

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Analysis of candidates by the Ukrainian NGO "Chesno" found that Poroshenko had the largest campaign fund (₴415 million, about $15.4 million), followed by Yulia Tymoshenko with ₴320 million, Zelenskyy with ₴102.8 million, and Serhiy Taruta with ₴98.4 million.[115] By comparison, in the 2010 Ukrainian presidential election, then winner Viktor Yanukovych spent over $40 million and runner-up Tymoshenko spent $36 million.[115]

During the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election, various Ukrainian television channels supported a candidate for President of Ukraine.[116]

Five groups supported Poroshenko:

Three TV groups were very critical of Poroshenko:

Under the state-owned National Public Broadcasting Company, UA:Pershyi was critical of Poroshenko.

Victor Pinchuk's ICTV, Novyi Kanal and STB were neutral.

Debates

"not DEBATES"

As a part election coverage, private Ukrainian TV channel ZIK decided to create a series of debates from 19 February until 28 March day every week. The channel broadcast a total of 7 episodes with 29 out of 30 invited candidates.

"Espreso: Debates"

As a part election coverage, private Ukrainian TV channel Espreso TV decided to create a series of debates from 1 March until election day every week. The channel broadcast a total of 5 episodes with 11 out of 12 invited candidates.

"The Countdown"

UA:PBC organized a series of debates as a part of political talk show "The Countdown", where they invited 18 top rated candidates according to various polls. According to the format, each episode intended to have 3 candidates and a panel of experts, journalist and fact checkers to oppose the candidates. There total 6 episode, with only 11 out of 18 candidates attending the debates.

Debate at Olimpiyskyi Stadium

On 31 March, after the announcement of the results of the exit polls of the first round of the presidential elections of Ukraine, Poroshenko invited Zelenskyy to a public open debate. On 3 April Zelenskyy put forward a proposal for an exclusive public debate at the stadium, on which Poroshenko agreed. Poroshenko proposed to hold a debate at the stadium on Sunday, 14 April in order to hold a debate on 19 April on UA:PBC. Zelenskyy refused and Poroshenko held a press conference in front of voters and journalists alone. At 19:00 on 19 April, as previously agreed, the debate between Poroshenko and Zelenskyy began at Olimpiyskyi Stadium.

The debate on 19 April was moderated by Andriy Kulykov, a full time broadcaster for Hromadske Radio, and Olena Frolyak, the longtime presenter of the nightly news program Facts on ICTV.[118][119] Kulykov had formerly been a presenter of his own show on ICTV, The Freedom of Speech, but had left the station in 2016 to work full time in radio. Frolyak coincidentally celebrated her birthday on 19 April and had to cancel vacation plans the night before when she was selected to moderate the debate. After the broadcast of the debate ended, Zelenskyy walked up to the microphone and said to the crowd: "The broadcast is over. Well? It's her birthday today! Congratulate her!" Zelenskyy then led the entire stadium to sing a Ukrainian version of happy birthday to Olena Frolyak.[120][121]

National debate

The same day, 19 April, UA:PBC also held a final official debate commissioned by the Central Electoral Commission in the UA:PBC studio. Zelenskyy refused to attend the debate, leaving Poroshenko alone in the studio.

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Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election

Conduct

Although 34,544,993 people were eligible to vote in the elections,[142] the March 2014 annexation of Crimea by Russia and the occupation of parts of Donetsk Oblast and Luhansk Oblast by separatists since April 2014 meant roughly 12% of eligible voters were unable to participate in the elections.[143][3] The CEC also closed all five foreign polling stations in Ukrainian embassies and consulates within Russia ahead of the vote.[144]

A total of 2,344 international observers from 17 countries and 19 organizations were officially registered to monitor the elections.[145][146] A record number of 139 non-governmental Ukrainian organizations were registered as observers.[147]

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Results

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Results of the first round by electoral district:
 Volodymyr Zelenskyy
 Petro Poroshenko
 Yulia Tymoshenko
 Yuriy Boyko
 Election was not held due to the War in Donbas or annexation by Russia
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Results of the second round by electoral district:
 Volodymyr Zelenskyy
 Petro Poroshenko
 Election was not held due to the War in Donbas or annexation by Russia

About 18.9 million people voted in the first round of elections on 31 March, a turnout of 63%.[148] Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Servant of the People (who received 31% of the vote) and incumbent president Petro Poroshenko (16%) advanced to the second round on 21 April.[149][150]

Exit polls following the second round predicted that Zelenskyy would win with more than 70% of the vote.[151] With only 3% of the votes counted, the CEC confirmed similar preliminary results.[152] Poroshenko conceded the election in a speech soon after polls closed and exit poll data was released.[152][153] He wrote on Twitter that "We succeeded to ensure free, fair, democratic and competitive elections... I will accept the will of Ukrainian people."[154]

The below table shows each candidate's share of the valid vote, calculated excluding invalid votes using the results provided by the Central Election Commission:

More information Candidate, Party ...
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Reactions

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Poroshenko tweeted that "a new inexperienced Ukrainian president... could be quickly returned to Russia's orbit of influence."[155] Some of Zelenskyy's critics[156] expressed concerns over his close ties with billionaire oligarch Ihor Kolomoyskyi, doubting whether Zelenskyy would be able to stand up against the country's influential oligarchs and the Russian President Vladimir Putin.[155]

Several European Union nations offered their congratulations and hopes of continued partnerships in the future. British Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt said that Zelenskyy "will now truly be the Servant of the People." Similar sentiments were expressed by Andrzej Duda, President of Poland, Donald Tusk, the President of the European Council, and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. Russia's deputy foreign minister, Grigory Karasin, stated that "The new leadership now must understand and realise the hopes of its electors" in both domestic and foreign policy.[155] Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau congratulated Zelenskyy and thanked the Canadians among the observers overseeing the elections.[157] The President of the United States, Donald Trump, called the president-elect to congratulate him and "the Ukrainian people for a peaceful [and] democratic election."[158]

A joint letter of congratulations was issued by both Tusk and Jean Claude Juncker, the President of the European Commission. The European Union (EU) leaders stated that they hoped Zelenskyy's victory would speed up the implementation of the remaining parts of the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement, including the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area.[159]

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See also

Notes

  1. De jure independent, however on 17 November 2018, Opposition Platform – For Life nominated Boiko for the presidency, but because OPZZh was not yet registered as a party in January 2019 it could not officially nominate him as its candidate.
  2. Initially agreed to take part, but after Sadovyi announced his candidacy withdrawal, decided to not take part in the debate.
  3. Initially agreed to take part in the debate, but 3 hours prior to the debate he refused to do so.
  4. Initially invited, however, on 16 March 2019 he withdrew his candidacy in favour of Yulia Tymoshenko, proceeding to not take part in the debate.
  5. Was invited, but refused to take part.
  6. Initially agreed to take part in the debate, but in the end, he didn't.
  7. Was invited, but refused to take part due to the biased editorial policy of the public broadcaster and the fact of censorship.[136]
  8. Was invited, but refused to take part due to the fact that UA:Pershyi debates won't be watched by anyone, due to the unpopularity of the channel.[136]
  9. Attended, but left the debate a few minutes later, explaining that she came only to debate Zelensky and Poroshenko, declining to answer the questions of experts in the studio.
  10. Was invited, but refused to take part due to meeting with electors. However, journalist Nataliia Sokolenko pointed out that Zelensky had a concert with his Kvartal 95 in Brovary the same day.
  11. Was invited, but refused to take part without any explanation.
  12. Non-official debate organized by UA:PBC on Olimpiyskiy National Sports Complex.
  13. Official debate organized by UA:PBC and commissioned by the TsVK.
  14. Was invited, but refused to take part.

References

External links

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