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2020 United States Senate election in Michigan
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Michigan. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
This race was one of two-Democratic held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2020 in a state Donald Trump won in 2016.[1] The primary was held on August 4.[2]
The filing deadline for candidates to run in the primary was April 21[3] but was extended to May 8 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[4] The election was considered a potential upset pickup by the Republicans due to the state's demographic trends, Donald Trump's upset win in 2016, and Republican candidate John James's outperformance of polling expectations despite losing the state's Senate election in 2018. However, most analysts still believed Gary Peters to be the more likely winner.
Peters won re-election to a second term, though by a much closer margin than expected.[5] James, who outperformed Trump on the same ballot, initially refused to concede,[6] baselessly claiming in a statement published to his campaign website two days after the election that he had been "cheated" out of winning the election. The statement alleged that there were "deep concerns that millions of Michiganders may have been disenfranchised by a dishonest few who cheat.".[7] On November 24, James conceded the race exactly three weeks after election day.[8] With a margin of 1.68%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2020 Senate election cycle, behind only the regularly-scheduled election in Georgia.
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gary Peters, incumbent U.S. senator[9][10]
Declined
- Abdul El-Sayed, former executive director of the Detroit Department of Health and Wellness Promotion and candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2018[11]
Endorsements
Gary Peters
Organizations
- Clean Water Action[12]
- Council for a Livable World[13]
- End Citizens United[14]
- Feminist Majority PAC[15]
- Giffords[16]
- Human Rights Campaign[17]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[18]
- League of Conservation Voters[19]\
- Michigan Democratic Jewish Caucus[20]
- Michigan Education Association[21]
- Michigan Realtors[22]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[23]
- National Organization for Women[24]
- Peace Action[25]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[26]
- Population Connection[27]
- Progressive Women's Alliance of West Michigan[28]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Voter Protection Project[30]
- VoteVets[31]
Democratic primary results
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Republican primary
Summarize
Perspective
Candidates
Nominee
- John James, businessman, Iraq War veteran and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018[33]
Disqualified
- Bob Carr, historic preservationist, businessman and perennial candidate[34][35]
- Valerie Willis, write-in candidate in the 2018 United States Senate election in Michigan[36][35] (switched to U.S. Taxpayers candidacy)[37]
Declined
- Tom Leonard, former Speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives and nominee for Michigan Attorney General in 2018[38]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner and former U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district[39]
- Sandy Pensler, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[38]
- Bill Schuette, former Michigan Attorney General and nominee for Governor of Michigan in 2018[40] (endorsed John James)[41]
- Rick Snyder, former governor of Michigan[42]
Endorsements
John James
Polling
Results
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Other candidates
Communist Party
Withdrawn
Green Party
Nominee
- Marcia Squier (2018 Green Party nominee for US Senate)[48]
Natural Law Party
Nominee
- Doug Dern[37]
U.S. Taxpayers Party
Nominee
- Valerie L. Willis (switched from Republican candidacy after being disqualified for the Republican primary)[37]
Independents
- Leonard Gadzinski[49]
Withdrawn
General election
Summarize
Perspective
Predictions
Additional general election endorsements
Gary Peters (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), former U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009) and 2020 Democratic nominee for President of the United States
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017) and former U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
U.S. senators
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota (2007–present)[59]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont (2007–present) and former U.S. Representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district (1991–2007)[60]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[61]
Organizations
- Black Economic Alliance[62]
- Center for Biological Diversity[63]
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[64]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[65]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[66]
- Fems for Dems[67]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[68]
- National Association of Social Workers[69]
- National Committee for an Effective Congress[70]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[71]
- National Education Association[72]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[73]
- Progressive Turnout Project[74]
Newspapers
Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 25[76]
- American Federation of Teachers - Michigan[77]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers[78]
- International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers[79]
- Michigan AFL–CIO[80]
- Michigan Building and Construction Trades Council[78]
- Michigan Laborers' District Council[81]
- Michigan Nurses Association[78]
- Michigan Regional Council of Carpenters[78]
- Service Employees International Union Healthcare Michigan[78]
- United Auto Workers[82]
Newspapers
John James (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Nikki Haley, 29th United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and 116th governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[83]
- Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States (2017–2021)[84]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[85]
U.S. representatives
- Dan Crenshaw, U.S. representative from Texas's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)[86]
Newspapers
- The Alpena News[87]
- The Daily Mining Gazette[87]
- Daily Press[87]
- The Detroit News[88]
- Washington Examiner[89]
Individuals
- Kirstie Alley, actress[90]
- Donald Trump Jr., son of United States President Donald Trump[91]
Organizations
- American Conservative Union[92]
- Family Research Council Action[93]
- FreedomWorks[92]
- Huck PAC[94]
- Michigan Chamber of Commerce[95]
- Michigan Farm Bureau[96]
- National Federation of Independent Business[94]
- National Right to Life Committee[94]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[97][94]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[92]
- Susan B. Anthony List[94]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[94]
Polling
Graphical summary
![]() | This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension. |
Aggregate polls
Hypothetical polling
The following poll assumes neither Republican candidate would withdraw after their primary.
with Bob Carr and John James
with Bill Schuette
with Gary Peters and Generic Republican
with Gary Peters and Generic Opponent
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Results
Polls indicated that the race would be close, with Peters leading in most polls. In 2018, Michigan voters approved "no reason required" absentee balloting.[249] The COVID-19 pandemic led to a record number of absentee voters.[250] Michigan law at that time did not allow for early tabulating of absentee ballots,[251][252] so the absentee ballots were tabulated after completing the tabulating of ballots from polling places. This created a "mirage" effect because more Republicans voted on election day, and more Democrats voted by absentee ballot.[253] James was ahead when the counting of election day ballots was completed. When the absentee ballots were tabulated, and with 98% of the votes counted, Peters was declared the winner by a tight margin of one percentage point after a day of waiting.[254] When the results were certified on November 23, Peters' margin of victory was 1.68%.[255]
Peters was able to win re-election by running up a big margin in Wayne County, home of Detroit, winning over 67% of the vote there. He also managed to improve his performance in the reliably Democratic Washtenaw County, home of Ann Arbor, improving on his 2014 election by almost three percentage points. He also came within just 1,139 votes of winning Kent County, home of Grand Rapids, having lost the county by over eight percentage points six years prior. Peters was sworn in for his second term on January 3, 2021. His term will expire on January 3, 2027.
African-Americans in Detroit were a major demographic contributing to Peters winning the election.[256]
James would later be elected as a representative in Michigan's 10th congressional district in 2022.
By county
By congressional district
Despite losing the state, James won eight of 14 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[259]
Litigation
After Peters took the lead in the election on the 4th, James refused to concede the race. The following day, James claimed that he had been cheated out of winning the election in a statement published on his campaign website. The statement said that there were "[...] deep concerns that millions of Michiganders may have been disenfranchised by a dishonest few who cheat" and that "[...] there is enough credible evidence to warrant an investigation to ensure that elections were conducted in a transparent, legal and fair manner."[7] A lawyer for James' campaign alleged that fraud was committed at the TCF Center, which the Trump campaign had also attempted to claim in a dismissed lawsuit.[6][260][261] James conceded the election to Peters on November 24.[262]
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See also
Notes
Summarize
Perspective
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by the Human Rights Campaign which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period.
- Poll sponsored by AARP.
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References
Further reading
External links
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