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2018 United States Senate election in Michigan
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Michigan took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect the Class 1 U.S. Senator from the State of Michigan, concurrently with a gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election.
Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow won reelection to a fourth term. On August 7, 2018, John James won the Republican nomination, defeating businessman Sandy Pensler.[1] On May 5, 2018, Marcia Squier received the endorsement and nomination of the Green Party of Michigan at the state convention in Flint.[2]
Stabenow was re-elected by a 6.5% margin and a difference of 275,660 votes,[3] making this the second-closest U.S. Senate election in Michigan since Stabenow was first elected in 2000.[4]
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Stabenow, incumbent U.S. Senator[5][6][7]
Declined
- Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit
Withdrew
- Craig Allen Smith
Endorsements
Debbie Stabenow
Organizations
- EMILY's List[8]
- League of Conservation Voters[9]
- MI List[10]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[11]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[9]
- Sierra Club[12]
Individuals
- Chelsea Handler, actress and television personality[13]
Results
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Republican primary
Summarize
Perspective
Candidates
Nominee
- John James, businessman and Iraq veteran[15][16]
Defeated in primary
Failed to qualify
Declined
- John Engler, former governor[19]
- Ted Nugent, musician and political activist (endorsed James)[20]
- Robert Ritchie, better known as musician Kid Rock (endorsed James)[21]
- Bill Schuette, Michigan Attorney General, former U.S. Representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1990 (ran for Governor)[22]
- Fred Upton, U.S. Representative[23]
Withdrew
- Lena Epstein, businesswoman (running for MI-11)[24]
- Robert P. Young Jr., former chief justice of the Michigan Supreme Court (endorsed John James)[25][26]
Endorsements
John James
U.S. President
U.S. Vice President
U.S. Senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida[30]
U.S. Representatives
- Jack Bergman, U.S. Representative[31]
- Mike Bishop, U.S. Representative (R-MI 8)[32]
- Bill Huizenga, U.S. Representative[33]
- Paul Mitchell, U.S. Representative[34]
- John Moolenaar, U.S. Representative[35]
- Allen West, former U.S. Representative[36]
U.S. Governors
State Representatives[38]
- Julie Alexander
- Sue Allor
- Tom Barrett
- John Bizon
- Lee Chatfield
- Triston Cole
- Laura Cox
- Gary Glenn
- Joseph Graves
- Beth Griffin
- Roger Hauck
- Michele Hoitenga
- Pamela Hornberger
- Holly Hughes
- Steven Johnson
- Bronna Kahle
- Beau LaFave
- Dan Lauwers
- Eric Leutheuser
- James Lower
- Pete Lucido
- Aaron Miller
- Dave Pagel
- Jason Sheppard
- Jim Tedder
- Curt VanderWall
- Hank Vaupel
- Roger Victory[41]
- Jason Wentworth
- Mary Whiteford
Judges
- Robert P. Young Jr., former Chief Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court[26]
Cabinet-level officials
- John R. Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations, current National Security Advisor[42]
Individuals
- Dean Cain, actor[43]
- Diamond and Silk, talk show hosts[44]
- Hugh Hewitt, talk show host[45]
- Ted Nugent, musician and political activist[46]
- Robert O'Neill, former U.S. Navy SEAL[47]
- Sandy Pensler, businessman[48]
- Kid Rock, musician[49]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[50]
- Wayne Wood, former president of the Michigan Farm Bureau[51]
Local officials
- Bob Bezotte, former Sheriff of Livingston County[52]
- Michael Borkovich, Sheriff of Leelanau County[52]
- Tim Donnellon, Sheriff of St. Clair County[52]
- Bob Gatt, Novi Mayor[39]
- Howie Hanft, Sheriff of Ogemaw County[52]
- Mike Murphy, Sheriff of Livingston County[52]
- Mark Northrup, Hudsonville Mayor[53]
- L. Brooks Patterson, Executive of Oakland County[54]
- Michael Taylor, Sterling Heights Mayor[55]
Organizations
- Associated Builders and Contractors of Michigan[56]
- Family Research Council Action PAC[57]
- Grand Rapids Area Chamber of Commerce[58]
- Michigan Chamber of Commerce[59]
- Michigan Cattlemen's Association[41]
- National Right to Life[60]
- Right to Life of Michigan[61]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[62]
- Susan B. Anthony List[63]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[64]
Newspapers
Sandy Pensler
Bob Young Jr. (endorsed James)
Individuals
- John Engler, former Governor
- Ted Nugent, singer/songwriter[68]
- Peter F. Secchia, former Ambassador to Italy
Debates
A debate was held between John James and Sandy Pensler on July 6 and televised by WKAR-TV. It was the only televised debate scheduled between the two candidates.[69]
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Results

James
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Pensler
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
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Green Party Convention
The Green Party of Michigan picked their candidates at a state convention on May 5, 2018.
Declared
Withdrew
General election
Summarize
Perspective
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 14, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 15, 2018
Fundraising
Predictions
Endorsements
Debbie Stabenow (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[98]
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[99]
U.S. Senators
- Gary Peters, U.S. Senator from Michigan[100]
U.S. Representatives
- Joe Kennedy III, U.S. Representative[101]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative[102]
- Brenda Lawrence, U.S. Representative[103]
Organizations
- EMILY's List[8]
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee [104]
- League of Conservation Voters[9]
- MI List[10]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[11]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[9]
- Population Connection[105]
- Sierra Club[106]
- United Automobile Workers[107]
Individuals
- Chelsea Handler, actress and television personality[13]
John James (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States[29]
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[27][28]
U.S. Senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida[30]
U.S. Representatives
- Jack Bergman, U.S. Representative (MI-1)[31]
- Mike Bishop, U.S. Representative (MI-8)[32]
- Bill Huizenga, U.S. Representative (MI-2)[33]
- Paul Mitchell, U.S. Representative (MI-10)[34]
- John Moolenaar, U.S. Representative (MI-4)[35]
- Allen West, former U.S. Representative (FL-22)[36]
U.S. Governors
State Representatives[38]
- Julie Alexander
- Sue Allor
- Tom Barrett
- John Bizon
- Lee Chatfield
- Triston Cole
- Laura Cox
- Gary Glenn
- Joseph Graves
- Beth Griffin
- Roger Hauck
- Michele Hoitenga
- Pamela Hornberger
- Holly Hughes
- Steven Johnson
- Bronna Kahle
- Beau LaFave
- Dan Lauwers
- Eric Leutheuser
- James Lower
- Pete Lucido
- Aaron Miller
- Dave Pagel
- Jason Sheppard
- Jim Tedder
- Curt VanderWall
- Hank Vaupel
- Roger Victory[41]
- Jason Wentworth
- Mary Whiteford
Judges
- Robert P. Young Jr., former Chief Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court[26]
Cabinet-level officials
- John R. Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations, current National Security Advisor[42]
Individuals
- Dean Cain, actor[43]
- Diamond and Silk, talk show hosts[44]
- Rudy Giuliani, former Mayor of New York City[108][109]
- Hugh Hewitt, talk show host[45]
- Mark Levin, lawyer, author, and radio personality[110]
- Ted Nugent, musician and political activist[46]
- Robert O'Neill, former U.S. Navy SEAL[47]
- Sandy Pensler, businessman[48]
- Jordan Peterson, clinical psychologist and professor of psychology at the University of Toronto[111]
- Kid Rock, musician[49]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[50]
- Wayne Wood, former president of the Michigan Farm Bureau[51]
Local officials
- Bob Bezotte, former Sheriff of Livingston County[52]
- Michael Borkovich, Sheriff of Leelanau County[52]
- Tim Donnellon, Sheriff of St. Clair County[52]
- Bob Gatt, Novi Mayor[39]
- Howie Hanft, Sheriff of Ogemaw County[52]
- Mike Murphy, Sheriff of Livingston County[52]
- Mark Northrup, Hudsonville Mayor[53]
- L. Brooks Patterson, Executive of Oakland County[54]
- Michael Taylor, Sterling Heights Mayor[55]
Organizations
- American Conservative Union[112]
- Associated Builders and Contractors of Michigan[56]
- Family Research Council Action PAC[57]
- Grand Rapids Area Chamber of Commerce[58]
- Michigan Cattlemen's Association[41]
- Michigan Chamber of Commerce[59]
- National Right to Life[60]
- Right to Life of Michigan[61]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[62]
- Susan B. Anthony List[63]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[64]
Newspapers
- Daily Press[113]
- The Detroit News[65]
- Iron Mountain Daily News[114]
Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Sandy Pensler
with generic Democrat and Republican
with Robert Ritchie (a.k.a. Kid Rock)
Results
Although Stabenow ended up winning the election by 6.5 percent, the margin was smaller than expected, considering the polling and past results of Senate elections in Michigan.[4] Part of the relative closeness of the race has been attributed to the Stabenow campaign having run no negative ads against James during the election.[152] Although James won most of Michigan's smaller counties, Stabenow won large margins in urban areas and modest margins in suburban areas. Stabenow trounced James in Wayne County, home of Detroit, and also performed well in Detroit's suburbs. She also easily won in Washtenaw County, home of Ann Arbor and Ingham County, home of Lansing. Kent County, home of Grand Rapids, also narrowly flipped to Stabenow, making this the first Senate election of her career in which she carried the county, and also the only county to flip her direction in 2018, and only the second time (after Carl Levin in 2008) a Democrat had carried the county since Donald Riegle in 1982. In addition to Stabenow's win, Democrats won the previously Republican-held offices of governor, secretary of state, and attorney general, ensuring that as of January 1, 2019, all elected statewide officials would be Democrats. James once again ran unsuccessfully for the other Senate seat in 2020, as he was defeated by incumbent Gary Peters. James would later be elected as a representative in Michigan's 10th congressional district in 2022.
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Alger (largest city: Munising)
- Alpena (largest city: Alpena)
- Arenac (largest city: Standish)
- Benzie (largest city: Frankfort)
- Clare (largest city: Clare)
- Delta (largest city: Escanaba)
- Gladwin (largest city: Gladwin)
- Gratiot (largest city: Alma)
- Iosco (largest city: East Tawas)
- Iron (largest city: Iron River)
- Jackson (largest city: Jackson)
- Lenawee (largest city: Adrian)
- Mason (largest city: Ludington)
- Menominee (largest city: Menominee)
- Ogemaw (largest city: West Branch)
- Ontonagon (largest village: Ontonagon)
- Presque Isle (largest city: Rogers City)
- Roscommon (largest settlement: Houghton Lake)
- Schoolcraft (largest city: Manistique)
- St. Clair (largest city: Port Huron)
- Bay (largest city: Bay City)
- Calhoun (largest city: Battle Creek)
- Lake (largest village: Baldwin)
- Manistee (largest city: Manistee)
- Monroe (largest city: Monroe)
- Saginaw (largest city: Saginaw)
- Shiawassee (largest city: Owosso)
- Van Buren (largest city: South Haven)
- Keweenaw (largest city: Ahmeek)
- Houghton (largest city: Houghton)
- Mackinac (largest city: St. Ignace)
- Dickinson (largest city: Iron Mountain)
- Baraga (largest city: Baraga)
- Luce (largest city: Newberry)
- Chippewa (largest city: Sault Ste. Marie)
- Montmorency (largest city: Lewiston)
- Cheboygan (largest city: Cheboygan)
- Crawford (largest city: Grayling)
- Oscoda (largest city: Mio)
- Alcona (largest city: Harrisville)
- Wexford (largest city: Cadillac)
- Huron (largest city: Bad Axe)
- Sanilac (largest city: Sandusky)
- Tuscola (largest city: Caro)
- Lapeer (largest city: Lapeer)
- Ionia (largest city: Ionia)
- Montcalm (largest city: Greenville)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Kent (largest city: Grand Rapids)
By congressional district
Stabenow and James each won seven of 14 congressional districts.[154]
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Notes
Partisan clients
References
External links
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