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2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election

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2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election
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The 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Tim Walz defeated the Republican nominee, former state senator Scott Jensen,[1] winning a second term.[2]

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Jensen's advantage in rural Greater Minnesota could not overcome Walz's large lead in the Twin Cities metropolitan area. Walz won the election by a comfortable 7.7% margin, narrowly larger than Biden's 7.1% margin in 2020 but smaller than his own previous record of 11.4%. With his win, Walz gave the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party its fourth consecutive gubernatorial victory, the most in the party's history.[3] Furthermore, the DFL held the State House and flipped the State Senate, gaining a trifecta for the first time since 2012.[4]

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Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

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Results by county:
  Walz
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
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Republican primary

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Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Caucuses and conventions

Caucus

The caucuses took place on February 1, 2022. A caucus is a local meeting where all who intend to vote for the Republican Party are able to select their precinct leadership, participate in a straw poll for governor, write and pass resolutions, and elect delegates to their local Basic Political Organizational Unit (BPOU). Those who were not elected BPOU delegates could become alternates and fill in for delegates who cannot attend the BPOU convention.[38]

BPOU conventions

A BPOU has boundaries based on the county or state senate district a voter resides in. The majority of these took place in March 2022. Elected delegates of each BPOU attended a convention relating to their district to vote on the resolutions passed at the caucus, complete party business, listen to candidates, and elect delegates to the state convention and their corresponding U.S. House District convention.

State convention

The Republican State Convention was held on May 13–14, 2022, in Rochester. 2,200 delegates were elected statewide to decide the Minnesota Republican Party's endorsement in all statewide offices. The endorsed candidate receives the party's backing, including money and resources, ahead of the August 9 primary.[39] Only one Republican, incumbent governor Arne Carlson in 1994, has won the primary without the party's endorsement. (Two Democrats, Mark Dayton and Tim Walz, won the Democratic primary against endorsed candidates.)[40]

At the convention, Scott Jensen won the endorsement with 65% of the vote on the ninth ballot, defeating Kendall Qualls. Mike Murphy, Paul Gazelka, and Neil Shah were eliminated on earlier ballots. All the candidates who contested the endorsement pledged to forego the primary if not endorsed.[40]

Qualls soon honored his pledge by announcing his plans to "return to private life."[41] Rich Stanek, the only major candidate who did not compete for the endorsement, did not file for the primary, leaving Jensen without major opposition.[24] He faced two minor candidates in the August primary.

Endorsements

Scott Jensen

Newspapers

  • Dassel-Cokato Enterprise Dispatch[42]
  • Delano Herald-Journal[42]
  • Winsted Herald-Journal[42]

Organizations

  • Stand for Health Freedom[43]

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Jensen
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Independents and others

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Perspective

Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Darrell Paulsen, business consultant, nominee for lieutenant governor in 1998[7]
    • Edwin Engelmann, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Patterson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Paulsen
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
More information Party, Candidate ...

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  McCaskel
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Wright
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
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Other parties

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Cory Hepola (withdrew)

Organizations

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General election

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Campaign

The election's central issues were the economy, rising crime, Walz's response to the COVID-19 pandemic, education, and abortion access following the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade.

Walz campaigned on his first-term accomplishments, such as middle-class tax cuts, while making abortion rights a prominent focus of the campaign and attacking Jensen on abortion and his COVID-19 skepticism. Jensen attacked Walz over his COVID-19 policies, crime in the Twin Cities, inflation and gas prices, and education performance.[54]

Jensen was criticized for promoting the hoax that schools provided litter boxes to students who identify as furries.[55][56]

Debates

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Predictions

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Endorsements

Scott Jensen (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Graphical summary

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Hypothetical polling

Tim Walz vs. Michelle Benson

Tim Walz vs. Paul Gazelka

Tim Walz vs. Mike Marti

Tim Walz vs. Mike Murphy

Tim Walz vs. Kendall Qualls

Tim Walz vs. Neil Shah

Tim Walz vs. Rich Stanek

Tim Walz vs. generic Republican

Results

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Thumb
More information Party, Candidate ...

By county

More information By county, County ...

By congressional district

Walz and Jensen each won 4 of 8 congressional districts, all of which voted for the same party in the simultaneous House Elections.[114]

More information District, Walz ...

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. McCaskel with 1.2%, Patterson with 0.9%, and Prosser with 0.4%
  4. McCaskel (LMN) with 1.4%, Prosser (SW) with 1.0%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.9%
  5. McCaskel (LMN) with 1.2%, Prosser (SW) with 1.2%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.6%
  6. McCaskel with 1.4%, Patterson with 0.2%, and Prosser with 0.1%
  7. "The candidate from either one of the legalize marijuana parties (Legal Marijuana Now or Grassroots Legalize Cannabis)"

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by KSTP-TV
  2. This poll was sponsored by MinnPost
  3. This poll was sponsored by Jensen's campaign
  4. This poll was sponsored by McTavish's campaign
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References

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