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2022 United States Senate election in Florida

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2022 United States Senate election in Florida
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee Val Demings in a landslide victory. Rubio was first elected in 2010, filling the seat of appointed Senator George LeMieux. Rubio won re-election to a third term, becoming the first Republican to do so in Florida history.[1] Rubio was sworn in for what would be his last term in the senate serving from January 3, 2023, to January 21, 2025, when he assumed the office of United States Secretary of State in the second Trump administration.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
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The primary elections for Republicans and Democrats took place on August 23 to finalize candidates for the November election.[2][3] Rubio won the uncontested Republican primary, while incumbent U.S. Representative Val Demings won the Democratic nomination.

Despite some predicting a close race early,[4] Rubio went on to win by a comfortable 16.4%, improving upon his 2016 performance by 8.7%. According to exit polls, Rubio won 64% of White voters, 56% of Latino voters, and 9% of African American voters.[5] Demings' 41.27% share of the vote was the worst performance for a Democrat in a Senate race in Florida since 1994.

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Republican primary

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

Nominee

Did not qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Marco Rubio

U.S. presidents

Sheriffs

  • 55 county sheriffs[27]

Organizations

Labor unions

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Democratic primary

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Immigration attorney William Sanchez finished third in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Did not qualify

  • Edward Abud, businessman[37]
  • Al Fox, president of the Alliance for Responsible Cuba Policy Foundation[38]
  • Dana Harshman, pharmacist[39]
  • Josue Larose, perennial candidate[40]
  • Coleman Watson, federal attorney and stroke survivor[41][42]
  • Joshua Weil, teacher[43]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Alan Grayson (withdrawn)
Joshua Weil (failed to qualify)

Organizations

  • American Youth for Climate Action[88]
  • Progressives for Democracy in America - Florida[88]

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

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Results by county:
  Demings
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Rush
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Independent and third-party candidates

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Former Black Point supervisor Dennis Misigoy was the Libertarian nominee.
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Former Boynton Beach mayor Steven B. Grant ran as an Independent.
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Businessman Howard Knepper ran a write-in campaign.

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Qualified

Unity Party

Candidates

Did not file

Independent candidates

Candidates

Declared
Did not qualify
  • Carlos Barberena, digital marketing consultant[95]
Did not file
  • Grace Granda, business consultant[96]
Withdraw
  • Jason Holic, businessman[97]
Declined

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared
  • Jay An
  • Uloma Uma Expete
  • Edward Gray
  • Salomon Hernandez Sr.
  • Howard Knepper, businessman and perennial candidate
  • Moses Quiles, security technician

General election

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Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Val Demings (D)

U.S. presidents

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Marco Rubio vs. Aramis Ayala

Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson

Marco Rubio vs. Stephanie Murphy

Marco Rubio vs. generic Democrat

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Results

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State Senate district results
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State House district results
More information Party, Candidate ...
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By county

More information By county, County ...

By congressional district

Rubio won 20 of 28 congressional districts.[179]

Voter demographics

More information Demographic subgroup, Demings ...
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See also

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Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  4. Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  5. Misigoy (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" with 2%
  7. "Another candidate" with 1%
  8. "Not going to vote" with 2%
  9. "Refused" with <1%
  10. Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" with 3%
  12. "Not going to vote" with 2%
  13. "Someone else" with 3%
  14. Misigoy (L) with 1%; Grant (I) with 1%; Nguyen (I) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  15. Barberena with 5%, "None" with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll conducted for Tripp Scott, a law firm associated with the Florida Republican Party.
  2. This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Rubio
  3. This poll was sponsored by Progress Florida and Florida Watch
  4. This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  5. This poll was sponsored by EMILY's List
  6. This poll was sponsored by Giffords, which supports Demings
  7. This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  8. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  9. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund
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References

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