2022 United States Senate election in Florida

Not to be confused with 2022 Florida Senate election.

The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee Val Demings in a landslide victory. Rubio was first elected in 2010, filling the seat of appointed Senator George LeMieux. Rubio won re-election to a third term, becoming the first Republican to do so in Florida history.^[1] Rubio was sworn in for what would be his last term in the senate serving from January 3, 2023, to January 21, 2025, when he assumed the office of United States Secretary of State in the second Trump administration.

2022 United States Senate election in Florida

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2026 (special) →

Nominee Marco Rubio Val Demings Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 4,474,847 3,201,522 Percentage 57.68% 41.27%

County results Congressional district results Precinct results Rubio:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Demings:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election Marco Rubio Republican Elected U.S. senator Marco Rubio Republican

The primary elections for Republicans and Democrats took place on August 23 to finalize candidates for the November election.^[2][3] Rubio won the uncontested Republican primary, while incumbent U.S. Representative Val Demings won the Democratic nomination.

Despite some predicting a close race early,^[4] Rubio went on to win by a comfortable 16.4%, improving upon his 2016 performance by 8.7%. According to exit polls, Rubio won 64% of White voters, 56% of Latino voters, and 9% of African American voters.^[5] Demings' 41.27% share of the vote was the worst performance for a Democrat in a Senate race in Florida since 1994.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Marco Rubio, incumbent U.S. senator^[6]

Did not qualify

• Kevin DePuy, former Marine Corps sergeant^[7]
• Howard Knepper, businessman and perennial candidate^[8] (ran as a write-in candidate)
• Jake Loubriel, Florida National Guardsman^[9]
• Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate^[10]
• Earl Yearicks IV, maritime captain^[11]

Withdrawn

• Calvin Driggers, businessman^[12][13]
• Luis Miguel, conservative writer and activist^[14] (ran for State House)
• Angela Walls-Windhauser, perennial candidate^[15]

Declined

• Pam Bondi, former Florida attorney general^[16]
• Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative^[17][18] (ran for re-election)
• Brian Mast, U.S. representative^[17] (ran for re-election)
• Roger Stone, political consultant^[19][20]
• Donald Trump, former president of the United States^[21] (endorsed Rubio)^[22]
• Ivanka Trump, former advisor to the President^[23][24]
• Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (ran for re-election)^[25]

Endorsements

Marco Rubio

U.S. presidents

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[26]

Sheriffs

• 55 county sheriffs^[27]

Organizations

• Associated Industries of Florida^[28]
• Florida Fraternal Order of Police^[29]
• Pro-Israel America^[30]
• Republican Jewish Coalition^[31]
• Tea Party Express^[32]

Labor unions

• Florida Police Benevolent Association^[33]

Democratic primary

Immigration attorney William Sanchez finished third in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

• Val Demings, U.S. representative^[34]

Eliminated in primary

• Ricardo de la Fuente, perennial candidate and son of Rocky de la Fuente^[35]
• Brian Rush, former Minority Whip of the Florida House of Representatives^[35]
• William Sanchez, immigration lawyer and former special counsel for the U.S. Department of Justice^[36]

Did not qualify

• Edward Abud, businessman^[37]
• Al Fox, president of the Alliance for Responsible Cuba Policy Foundation^[38]
• Dana Harshman, pharmacist^[39]
• Josue Larose, perennial candidate^[40]
• Coleman Watson, federal attorney and stroke survivor^[41][42]
• Joshua Weil, teacher^[43]

Withdrawn

• Allen Ellison, policy consultant and nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018 and 2020^[44] (ran for U.S. House)^[45]
• Alan Grayson, former U.S. representative and candidate in 2016^[46] (ran for U.S. House)^[47]
• Ilya Katz, Loyola University Chicago professor^[48]
• Allek Pastrana, engineer^[49] (ran for U.S. House)^[50]
• Ken Russell, Miami City Commissioner^[51][52] (ran for U.S. House)

Declined

• Aramis Ayala, former state attorney for the Ninth Judicial Circuit Court of Florida (2017–2021)^[53] (ran for Attorney General)^[54]
• Charlie Crist, U.S. representative, former governor of Florida, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, and nominee for governor in 2014 (ran for governor)^[55]
• Ted Deutch, U.S. representative^[56][57][58]
• Anna Eskamani, state representative^[59][60]
• Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture^[61] (ran for governor)^[62]
• Gwen Graham, Assistant Secretary of Education for Legislation and Congressional Affairs, former U.S. representative, and candidate for governor in 2018^[61]
• Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative^[63]
• Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative^[64][65]

Endorsements

Val Demings

U.S. Senators

• Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York (2009–present)^[66]

U.S. Representatives

• Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative from Florida's 14th congressional district (2007–present)^[67]
• Luis Gutiérrez, former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 4th congressional district (1993–2019)^[68]

State officials

• Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2007–2011)^[69]

Organizations

• Congressional Black Caucus PAC^[70]
• Democratic Majority for Israel^[71]
• End Citizens United^[72]
• EMILY's List^[73]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[74]
• Giffords^[75]
• Human Rights Campaign^[76]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America^[77]
• League of Conservation Voters^[78]
• March On^[79]
• Population Connection Action Fund^[80]

Labor unions

• 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East^[81]
• AFSCME Florida^[82]
• Communications Workers of America^[83]
• Service Employees International Union Florida^[84]

Newspapers

• The Palm Beach Post^[85]
• Tampa Bay Times^[86]

Alan Grayson (withdrawn)

Individuals

• Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020^[87]

Joshua Weil (failed to qualify)

Organizations

• American Youth for Climate Action^[88]
• Progressives for Democracy in America - Florida^[88]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Ricardo De La Fuente	Val Demings	Brian Rush	William Sanchez	Undecided
University of North Florida[89]	August 8–12, 2022	529 (LV)	± 6.0%	2%	80%	4%	4%	10%

Results

Results by county:

  Demings

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%
•   >90%

  Rush

•   30–40%
•   40–50%

Democratic primary results^[90]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Val Demings	1,263,706	84.3
	Democratic	Brian Rush	94,185	6.3
	Democratic	William Sanchez	84,576	5.6
	Democratic	Ricardo De La Fuente	56,749	3.8
Total votes			1,499,216	100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Former Black Point supervisor Dennis Misigoy was the Libertarian nominee.

Former Boynton Beach mayor Steven B. Grant ran as an Independent.

Businessman Howard Knepper ran a write-in campaign.

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Qualified

• Dennis Misigoy, former chairman of the Enclave at Black Point Community Development District board of supervisors (2016–2021)^[91]

Unity Party

Candidates

Did not file

• Shantele Bennett, financial advisor and candidate for mayor of Orlando in 2019^[92]

Independent candidates

Candidates

Declared

• Steven B. Grant, former mayor of Boynton Beach (2016–2022)^[93]
• Quoc Tuan Nguyen, Florida Institute of Technology professor^[94]

Did not qualify

• Carlos Barberena, digital marketing consultant^[95]

Did not file

• Grace Granda, business consultant^[96]

Withdraw

• Jason Holic, businessman^[97]

Declined

• David Jolly, chairman of Serve America Movement and former U.S. representative^[98]
• John Morgan, attorney and medical marijuana advocate^[56]
• Joe Scarborough, MSNBC host and former U.S. representative^[99]

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared

• Jay An
• Uloma Uma Expete
• Edward Gray
• Salomon Hernandez Sr.
• Howard Knepper, businessman and perennial candidate
• Moses Quiles, security technician

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[100]	Likely R	October 18, 2022
Inside Elections[101]	Likely R	August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[102]	Likely R	August 24, 2022
Politico[103]	Likely R	November 3, 2022
RCP[104]	Lean R	February 24, 2022
Fox News[105]	Lean R	May 12, 2022
DDHQ[106]	Likely R	July 20, 2022
538[107]	Solid R	November 4, 2022
The Economist[108]	Likely R	September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Marco Rubio (R)

U.S. presidents

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[26]

U.S. Senators

• Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present)^[109]

U.S. Representatives

• Vern Buchanan, U.S. Representative from Florida's 16th congressional district (2013–present)^[110]
• Greg Steube, U.S. Representative from Florida's 17th congressional district (2019–present)^[110]

State officials

• Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present)^[111]

Sheriffs

• 55 county sheriffs^[27]

Organizations

• American Israel Public Affairs Committee^[112]
• American Seniors Association^[112]
• Armenian National Committee of America^[112]
• Associated Industries of Florida^[28]
• Campaign for Working Families^[112]
• Citizens Against Government Waste^[113]
• Florida Family Action^[112]
• Florida Police Chiefs Association^[114]
• GOPAC Election Fund^[112]
• National Federation of Independent Business – Florida^[112]
• National Right to Life Committee^[112]
• Pro-Israel America^[30]
• Republican Jewish Coalition^[31]
• Susan B. Anthony List^[112]
• Tea Party Express^[32]

Labor unions

• Florida Fraternal Order of Police^[29][115]
• Florida Police Benevolent Association^[33]
• International Union of Police Associations^[115]
• National Association of Police Organizations^[115]

Val Demings (D)

U.S. presidents

• Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–present)^[116]

U.S. Senators

• Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York (2009–present)^[66]
• Chris Murphy, U.S. Senator from Connecticut (2013–present)^[117]

U.S. Representatives

• Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative from Florida's 14th congressional district (2007–present)^[67]
• Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from Florida's 13th congressional district (2017–2022) and 44th governor of Florida (2007–2011)^[118]
• Luis Gutiérrez, former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 4th congressional district (1993–2019)^[68]

State officials

• Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–2023)^[119]
• Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2007–2011)^[69]

Local officials

• Jane Castor, mayor of Tampa (2019–present)^[120]

Individuals

• Jill Biden, First Lady of the United States^[118]
• Jenifer Lewis, actress^[121]
• Oprah Winfrey, businesswoman and talk show host^[122]

Organizations

• Congressional Black Caucus PAC^[70]
• Democratic Majority for Israel^[71]
• EMILY's List^[73]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[74]
• Giffords^[75]
• Human Rights Campaign^[76]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America^[77]
• League of Conservation Voters^[78]
• March On^[79]
• Population Connection Action Fund^[80]

Labor unions

• 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East^[81]
• AFSCME Florida^[82]
• Communications Workers of America^[83]
• National Education Association^[123]
• Service Employees International Union Florida^[84]

Newspapers

• Miami Herald^[124]
• Orlando Weekly^[125]
• The Palm Beach Post^[85]
• Tampa Bay Times^[86]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Marco Rubio (R)	Val Demings (D)	Undecided [b]	Margin
Real Clear Politics[126]	October 17, 2022 – November 6, 2022	November 8, 2022	52.4%	43.6%	4.0%	Rubio +8.8
FiveThirtyEight[127]	September 18, 2022 – November 4, 2022	November 8, 2022	52.3%	43.5%	4.2%	Rubio +8.8
270towin[128]	November 4–7, 2022	November 8, 2022	51.6%	42.4%	6.0%	Rubio +9.2
Average			52.1%	43.2%	4.7%	Rubio +8.9

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Val Demings (D)	Other	Undecided
Research Co.[129]	November 4–6, 2022	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	52%	42%	2%[c]	4%
Data for Progress (D)[130]	November 2–6, 2022	1,436 (LV)	± 3.0%	55%	43%	2%[d]	–
Amber Integrated (R)[131]	November 1–2, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	40%	4%[e]	7%
Civiqs[132]	October 29 – November 2, 2022	772 (LV)	± 3.9%	52%	45%	2%[f]	1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[133]	November 1, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	51%	45%	1%[g]	3%
Siena College[134]	October 30 – November 1, 2022	659 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	43%	2%[h]	4%
Victory Insights[135]	October 30 – November 1, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%	46%	–	5%
Florida State University/YouGov[136]	October 20–31, 2022	1,117 (RV)	–	51%	44%	–	–
University of North Florida[137]	October 17–24, 2022	622 (LV)	± 4.7%	54%	43%	<1%[i]	3%
Data for Progress (D)[138]	October 19–23, 2022	1,251 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	44%	2%[j]	2%
Florida Atlantic University[139]	October 12–16, 2022	719 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	42%	3%[k]	7%
RMG Research (R)[140][A]	October 10–13, 2022	685 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	45%	–	5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[141]	September 26–28, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	41%	2%	10%
Siena College[142]	September 18–25, 2022	669 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	41%	2%[l]	9%
Civiqs[143]	September 17–20, 2022	617 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	47%	3%[m]	2%
Suffolk University[144]	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	41%	4%[n]	9%
Sachs Media[145]	September 10, 2022	600 (LV)	–	49%	46%	–	5%
Kurt Jetta (D)[146][B]	September 9–10, 2022	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	40%	–	12%
		563 (LV)		50%	45%	–	5%
Echelon Insights[147]	August 31 – September 7, 2022	815 (RV)	± 4.3%	50%	41%	–	9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[148]	September 5–6, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	46%	44%	–	10%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[149]	August 29 – September 4, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	47%	44%	–	9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[150]	August 24–31, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	47%	–	4%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[151][C]	August 25–30, 2022	3,017 (LV)	± 1.8%	46%	45%	–	9%
Impact Research (D)[152][D]	August 12–18, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	46%	–	5%
Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B]	August 12–14, 2022	996 (RV)	± 3.1%	46%	39%	–	14%
		610 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	41%	–	7%
University of North Florida[154]	August 8–12, 2022	1,624 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	48%	7%	2%
Change Research (D)[155][E]	August 2–5, 2022	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	46%	46%	–	7%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[156][C]	July 26–31, 2022	2,244 (LV)	± 2.1%	45%	45%	–	10%
Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B]	July 9, 2022	906 (A)	± 3.3%	46%	38%	–	16%
		732 (RV)	± 3.6%	45%	40%	–	16%
		428 (LV)	± 4.7%	50%	42%	–	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[157][F]	May 26–27, 2022	655 (V)	± 3.8%	47%	41%	–	12%
Phillips Academy[158]	May 7–9, 2022	543 (RV)	± 4.2%	34%	36%	–	30%
Moore Information Group (R)[159]	March 14–19, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	32%	8%[o]	12%
Saint Leo University[160]	February 28 – March 12, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	45%	27%	–	28%
Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B]	March 4, 2022	1,098 (A)	± 3.0%	45%	26%	–	29%
		893 (RV)	± 3.3%	45%	27%	–	28%
		446 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	35%	–	16%
University of North Florida[161]	February 7–20, 2022	685 (RV)	± 3.7%	46%	34%	–	20%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[162]	February 7–10, 2022	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	42%	–	9%
Suffolk University[163]	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	41%	0%	10%
St. Pete Polls[164]	November 18–19, 2021	2,896 (LV)	± 1.8%	51%	44%	–	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[165]	November 9, 2021	867 (RV)	± 3.3%	45%	33%	3%	12%
		842 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	36%	3%	10%
Saint Leo University[166]	October 17–23, 2021	500 (A)	± 4.5%	47%	29%	–	25%
VCreek/AMG (R)[167][G]	September 23–27, 2021	405 (LV)	± 4.9%	42%	38%	5%	15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[168]	August 20–24, 2021	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	46%	34%	3%	11%
		977 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	37%	3%	10%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)[169]	August 14–18, 2021	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	55%	45%	–	–
St. Pete Polls[170]	August 16–17, 2021	2,068 (RV)	± 2.2%	48%	46%	–	6%
Change Research (D)[171][H]	August 14–17, 2021	1,585 (LV)	± 2.5%	47%	44%	–	9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[172]	August 4–10, 2021	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	50%	39%	1%	9%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)[173]	June 27, 2021	681 (LV)	± 3.9%	60%	40%	–	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Aramis Ayala (D)	Undecided
Cherry Communications (R)[174]	April 30 – May 8, 2021	602 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	39%	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[165]	November 9, 2021	867 (RV)	± 3.3%	43%	34%	4%	12%
		842 (LV)	± 3.4%	46%	37%	4%	10%
VCreek/AMG (R)[167][G]	September 23–27, 2021	405 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	32%	10%	14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[168]	August 20–24, 2021	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	46%	33%	4%	12%
		977 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	36%	4%	11%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Stephanie Murphy (D)	Undecided
Cherry Communications (R)[174]	April 30 – May 8, 2021	602 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	41%	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Generic Democrat	Undecided
Mason-Dixon[175]	February 24–28, 2021	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	40%	14%
Data for Progress (D)[176][I]	September 15–22, 2020	620 (LV)	± 3.9%	42%	43%	15%

Hypothetical polling

Marco Rubio vs. Aramis Ayala

Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson

Marco Rubio vs. Stephanie Murphy

Marco Rubio vs. generic Democrat

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Florida debates

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
					Marco Rubio	Val Demings
1	Oct. 18, 2022	Palm Beach State College	Todd McDermott	[177]	P	P

Results

State Senate district results

State House district results

United States Senate election in Florida, 2022^[178]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Marco Rubio (incumbent)	4,474,847	57.68%	+5.70%
	Democratic	Val Demings	3,201,522	41.27%	−3.04%
	Libertarian	Dennis Misigoy	32,177	0.41%	−1.71%
	Independent	Steven B. Grant	31,816	0.41%	N/A
	Independent	Tuan TQ Nguyen	17,385	0.22%	N/A
	Write-in		267	0.00%	±0.00%
Total votes			7,758,126	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

Shift by county

Trend by county

Legend

•   Republican — >15%
•   Republican — +12.5−15%
•   Republican — +10−12.5%
•   Republican — +7.5−10%
•   Republican — +5−7.5%
•   Republican — +2.5−5%
•   Republican — +0−2.5%
•   Democratic — +0−2.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5−5%
•   Democratic — +5−7.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +10−12.5%
•   Democratic — +12.5−15%
•   Democratic — >15%

By county

By county

County Marco Rubio Republican Val Demings Democratic Dennis Misigoy Libertarian Steven B. Grant Independent Tuan Nguyen Independent Write-in Margin Total votes # % # % # % # % # % # % # % Alachua 39,220 40.97 55,439 57.91 439 0.46 349 0.36 285 0.30 2 0.00 -16,219 -16.94 95,734 Baker 9,431 88.21 1,181 11.05 43 0.40 31 0.29 6 0.06 0 0.00 8,250 77.16 10,692 Bay 51,657 77.15 14,547 21.73 300 0.45 255 0.38 196 0.29 1 0.00 37,110 55.42 66,956 Bradford 8,156 79.88 1,942 19.02 37 0.36 55 0.54 19 0.19 1 0.01 6,214 60.86 10,210 Brevard 165,233 61.85 98,978 37.05 1,236 0.46 1,075 0.40 631 0.24 10 0.00 66,255 24.80 267,163 Broward 238,962 39.96 353,575 59.12 2,081 0.35 2,083 0.35 1,223 0.20 122 0.02 -114,613 -19.16 598,046 Calhoun 4,067 84.17 700 14.49 13 0.27 40 0.83 12 0.25 0 0.00 3,367 69.68 4,832 Charlotte 63,845 69.06 27,757 30.02 254 0.27 452 0.49 138 0.15 2 0.00 36,088 39.04 92,448 Citrus 55,087 72.80 19,634 25.95 295 0.39 491 0.65 158 0.21 3 0.00 35,453 46.85 75,668 Clay 65,972 73.26 23,054 25.60 441 0.49 377 0.42 201 0.22 4 0.00 42,918 47.66 90,049 Collier 116,050 70.98 46,537 28.46 387 0.24 340 0.21 171 0.10 4 0.00 69,513 42.52 163,489 Columbia 18,344 77.55 5,070 21.43 93 0.39 103 0.44 45 0.19 0 0.00 13,274 56.11 23,655 DeSoto 6,469 74.71 2,097 24.22 27 0.31 51 0.59 15 0.17 0 0.00 4,372 50.49 8,659 Dixie 5,225 85.18 826 13.47 21 0.34 52 0.85 10 0.16 0 0.00 4,399 71.72 6,134 Duval 177,401 53.95 147,646 44.90 1,567 0.48 1,268 0.39 957 0.29 2 0.00 29,755 9.05 328,841 Escambia 73,225 63.40 40,790 35.32 598 0.52 459 0.40 420 0.36 4 0.00 32,435 28.08 115,496 Flagler 37,934 64.71 20,204 34.47 204 0.35 191 0.33 86 0.15 2 0.00 17,730 30.25 58,621 Franklin 3,885 71.71 1,471 27.15 23 0.42 29 0.54 10 0.18 0 0.00 2,414 44.56 5,418 Gadsden 6,086 35.01 11,113 63.93 63 0.36 99 0.57 23 0.13 0 0.00 -5,027 -28.92 17,384 Gilchrist 6,657 84.85 1,087 13.85 40 0.51 47 0.60 14 0.18 1 0.01 5,570 70.99 7,846 Glades 3,026 79.26 764 20.01 10 0.26 16 0.42 2 0.05 0 0.00 2,262 59.25 3,818 Gulf 5,069 78.97 1,295 20.17 19 0.30 24 0.37 12 0.19 0 0.00 3,774 58.79 6,419 Hamilton 3,030 70.76 1,215 28.37 18 0.42 15 0.35 4 0.09 0 0.00 1,815 42.39 4,282 Hardee 4,480 81.13 981 17.77 23 0.42 30 0.54 8 0.14 0 0.00 3,499 63.36 5,522 Hendry 6,008 72.97 2,121 25.76 36 0.44 54 0.66 14 0.17 0 0.00 3,887 47.21 8,233 Hernando 54,822 68.40 24,298 30.32 352 0.44 462 0.58 214 0.27 1 0.00 30,524 38.08 80,149 Highlands 28,777 72.43 10,480 26.38 146 0.37 266 0.67 62 0.16 0 0.00 18,297 46.05 39,731 Hillsborough 253,495 52.55 222,378 46.10 2,498 0.52 2,345 0.49 1,618 0.34 9 0.00 31,117 6.45 482,343 Holmes 6,151 90.86 556 8.21 23 0.34 34 0.50 6 0.09 0 0.00 5,596 82.64 6,770 Indian River 50,878 65.91 25,613 33.18 268 0.35 297 0.38 133 0.17 3 0.00 25,265 32.73 77,192 Jackson 12,188 74.87 3,956 24.30 41 0.25 80 0.49 14 0.09 0 0.00 8,232 50.57 16,279 Jefferson 4,137 58.07 2,929 41.11 24 0.34 24 0.34 10 0.14 0 0.00 1,208 16.96 7,124 Lafayette 2,521 86.72 348 11.97 11 0.38 22 0.76 5 0.17 0 0.00 2,173 74.75 2,907 Lake 103,103 64.43 55,377 34.61 619 0.39 624 0.39 287 0.18 3 0.00 47,726 29.83 160,013 Lee 185,123 67.44 87,108 31.73 898 0.33 934 0.34 446 0.16 1 0.00 98,015 35.71 274,510 Leon 46,511 39.59 69,677 59.31 495 0.42 428 0.36 375 0.32 1 0.00 -23,166 -19.72 117,487 Levy 13,690 76.63 3,944 22.08 70 0.39 116 0.65 44 0.25 1 0.01 9,746 54.55 17,865 Liberty 2,164 83.17 405 15.56 11 0.42 19 0.73 3 0.12 0 0.00 1,759 67.60 2,602 Madison 4,476 64.16 2,442 35.01 23 0.33 26 0.37 9 0.13 0 0.00 2,034 29.16 6,976 Manatee 108,234 63.15 61,423 35.84 737 0.43 680 0.40 312 0.18 8 0.00 46,811 27.31 171,394 Marion 104,655 67.18 49,698 31.90 625 0.40 579 0.37 228 0.15 6 0.00 54,957 35.28 155,791 Martin 52,312 67.44 24,639 31.77 242 0.31 259 0.33 110 0.14 2 0.00 27,673 35.68 77,564 Miami-Dade 386,251 54.27 318,978 44.82 2,593 0.36 2,633 0.37 1,257 0.18 3 0.00 67,273 9.45 711,715 Monroe 19,897 58.57 13,756 40.49 151 0.44 107 0.31 61 0.18 0 0.00 6,141 18.08 33,972 Nassau 35,944 75.33 11,337 23.76 201 0.42 166 0.35 64 0.13 1 0.00 24,607 51.57 47,713 Okaloosa 60,808 75.27 18,851 23.33 473 0.59 371 0.46 286 0.35 0 0.00 41,957 51.93 80,789 Okeechobee 8,532 78.54 2,218 20.42 38 0.35 59 0.54 16 0.15 0 0.00 6,314 58.12 10,863 Orange 177,105 43.51 225,569 55.42 1,758 0.43 1,388 0.34 1,224 0.30 9 0.00 -48,464 -11.91 407,053 Osceola 51,422 50.07 49,907 48.60 532 0.52 513 0.50 312 0.30 7 0.01 1,515 1.48 102,693 Palm Beach 267,715 49.34 269,839 49.73 1,800 0.33 2,240 0.41 1,010 0.19 14 0.00 -2,124 -0.39 542,618 Pasco 143,760 64.05 77,664 34.60 1,063 0.47 1,325 0.59 622 0.28 7 0.00 66,096 29.45 224,441 Pinellas 223,747 53.01 192,058 45.51 2,599 0.62 2,353 0.56 1,288 0.31 2 0.00 31,689 7.51 422,047 Polk 144,548 62.98 82,261 35.84 980 0.43 1,210 0.53 493 0.21 6 0.00 62,287 27.14 229,498 Putnam 19,812 74.65 6,450 24.30 96 0.36 139 0.52 43 0.16 0 0.00 13,362 50.35 26,540 Santa Rosa 59,111 78.22 15,554 20.58 392 0.52 323 0.43 190 0.25 0 0.00 43,557 57.64 75,570 Sarasota 129,865 59.46 86,618 39.66 744 0.34 832 0.38 355 0.16 2 0.00 43,247 19.80 218,416 Seminole 97,761 53.41 83,285 45.50 870 0.48 650 0.36 457 0.25 5 0.00 14,476 7.91 183,028 St. Johns 98,564 68.27 44,371 30.73 659 0.46 476 0.33 288 0.20 13 0.01 54,193 37.54 144,371 St. Lucie 69,924 57.40 50,851 41.74 415 0.34 414 0.34 220 0.18 0 0.00 19,073 15.66 121,824 Sumter 63,806 71.44 25,010 28.00 189 0.21 220 0.25 91 0.10 1 0.00 38,796 43.44 89,317 Suwannee 13,125 80.49 3,018 18.51 57 0.35 83 0.51 23 0.14 0 0.00 10,107 61.98 16,306 Taylor 6,063 79.60 1,495 19.63 25 0.33 26 0.34 8 0.11 0 0.00 4,568 59.97 7,617 Union 3,917 86.30 580 12.78 13 0.29 22 0.48 7 0.15 0 0.00 3,337 73.52 4,539 Volusia 139,085 61.58 84,543 37.43 943 0.42 871 0.39 417 0.18 3 0.00 54,542 24.15 225,862 Wakulla 10,485 69.91 4,343 28.96 69 0.46 65 0.43 35 0.23 1 0.01 6,142 40.95 14,998 Walton 28,203 81.00 6,326 18.17 124 0.36 99 0.28 65 0.19 0 0.00 21,877 62.83 34,817 Washington 7,641 84.01 1,345 14.79 42 0.46 50 0.55 17 0.19 0 0.00 6,296 69.22 9,095 Totals 4,474,847 57.68 3,201,522 41.27 32,177 0.41 31,816 0.41 17,385 0.22 267 0.00 1,273,325 16.41 7,758,014 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Miami-Dade (largest municipality: Miami) Osceola (largest municipality: Kissimmee) St. Lucie (largest municipality: Port St. Lucie)

By congressional district

Rubio won 20 of 28 congressional districts.^[179]

District	Rubio	Demings	Representative
1st	72%	27%	Matt Gaetz
2nd	60%	39%	Neal Dunn
3rd	62%	37%	Kat Cammack
4th	59%	40%	Aaron Bean
5th	64%	35%	John Rutherford
6th	66%	33%	Michael Waltz
7th	57%	42%	Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress)
			Cory Mills (118th Congress)
8th	63%	36%	Bill Posey
9th	48%	51%	Darren Soto
10th	39%	60%	Val Demings (117th Congress)
			Maxwell Frost (118th Congress)
11th	61%	38%	Daniel Webster
12th	68%	31%	Gus Bilirakis
13th	56%	42%	Anna Paulina Luna
14th	45%	53%	Kathy Castor
15th	57%	41%	Laurel Lee
16th	60%	39%	Vern Buchanan
17th	63%	35%	Greg Steube
18th	68%	31%	Scott Franklin
19th	68%	31%	Byron Donalds
20th	28%	71%	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
21st	61%	39%	Brian Mast
22nd	46%	53%	Lois Frankel
23rd	48%	51%	Jared Moskowitz
24th	29%	69%	Frederica Wilson
25th	45%	54%	Debbie Wasserman Schultz
26th	70%	30%	Mario Díaz-Balart
27th	57%	42%	María Elvira Salazar
28th	63%	37%	Carlos A. Giménez

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll

Demographic subgroup	Demings	Rubio	No answer	% of voters
Gender
Men	37	62	1	49
Women	48	51	1	51
Age
18–24 years old	57	41	2	7
25–29 years old	58	39	2	4
30–39 years old	55	43	N/A	13
40–49 years old	41	58	1	12
50–64 years old	38	62	N/A	32
65 and older	37	62	1	33
Race
White	35	64	1	64
Black	90	9	N/A	11
Latino	41	56	2	21
Race by gender
White men	28	71	N/A	32
White women	43	57	2	32
Black men	89	11	1	5
Black women	92	8	N/A	6
Latino men	42	55	2	10
Latina women	41	57	1	11
Education
High school or less	35	63	2	15
Some college education	42	58	1	25
Associate degree	42	57	2	19
Bachelor's degree	44	54	1	24
Advanced degree	48	51	1	17
Party ID
Democrats	97	3	N/A	28
Republicans	3	97	1	42
Independents	48	49	2	30
Ideology
Liberals	91	8	1	20
Moderates	57	41	1	39
Conservatives	7	93	2	42
Marital status
Married	40	60	1	59
Unmarried	50	48	2	41
Gender by marital status
Married men	33	66	1	30
Married women	46	53	1	29
Unmarried men	48	51	3	18
Unmarried women	52	47	2	23
First-time midterm election voter
Yes	42	58	4	11
No	44	55	N/A	89
Most important issue facing the country
Crime	32	66	2	10
Inflation	28	72	1	39
Gun policy	63	36	N/A	10
Immigration	12	88	N/A	10
Abortion	81	18	N/A	24
Area type
Urban	45	54	1	46
Suburban	42	57	2	44
Rural	31	68	N/A	10
Source: CNN[5]

See also

• Elections in Florida
• Political party strength in Florida
• Florida Democratic Party
• Florida Republican Party
• Government of Florida
• 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
• 2022 Florida gubernatorial election
• 2022 Florida House of Representatives election
• 2022 Florida Senate election
• 2022 Florida elections
• 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
• 2022 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
3. "Some other candidate" with 2%
4. Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
5. Misigoy (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
6. "Someone else" with 2%
7. "Another candidate" with 1%
8. "Not going to vote" with 2%
9. "Refused" with <1%
10. Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
11. "Someone else" with 3%
12. "Not going to vote" with 2%
13. "Someone else" with 3%
14. Misigoy (L) with 1%; Grant (I) with 1%; Nguyen (I) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
15. Barberena with 5%, "None" with 3%

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for Tripp Scott, a law firm associated with the Florida Republican Party.
2. This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Rubio
3. This poll was sponsored by Progress Florida and Florida Watch
4. This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
5. This poll was sponsored by EMILY's List
6. This poll was sponsored by Giffords, which supports Demings
7. This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
8. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
9. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund