2018 Florida gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2018 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent two-term Republican Governor Rick Scott was term-limited and could not run for a third term, and he successfully ran for Florida's Class I Senate seat.
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Turnout | 62.6%12.1[1][2] | |||||||||||||||||||
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DeSantis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gillum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Republican U.S. representative Ron DeSantis narrowly defeated Democratic mayor of Tallahassee Andrew Gillum for the governorship, in what some considered an upset. The candidate filing deadline was June 22, 2018, and primary elections were held on August 28. Florida uses a closed primary process, in which the selection of each party's candidates for a general election is limited to registered members of that party;[3] Gillum won the Democratic primary and DeSantis the Republican primary.[4]
The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. After the recount was complete, DeSantis was certified as the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17. DeSantis's victory marked the sixth straight election in which Florida elected a Republican to the governorship, and the third in a row that neither candidate received over 50% of the vote. With a margin of 0.4%, this election was the closest race of the 2018 gubernatorial election cycle. Gillum became the first Democrat to win Duval County since 1986 and Seminole County since 1990, while DeSantis became the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win Jefferson County since 1884.
Republican primary
Nominee
- Ron DeSantis, U.S. representative from the 6th district and Iraq War veteran
Eliminated in primary
- Don Baldauf, contractor[5][6]
- Timothy Devine, candidate for governor of Florida in 2014[7]
- Bob Langford, attorney[8][9]
- John Joseph Mercadante, Republican National Committee official[10][11]
- Bruce Nathan, physical therapist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[12]
- Adam Putnam, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture and former U.S. representative[13]
- Bob White, chairman of the Republican Liberty Caucus of Florida[14]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Jeff Atwater, former chief financial officer of Florida[27][28]
- Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General[27][29] (endorsed Putnam)
- Richard Corcoran, Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[30] (endorsed Putnam)
- John Delaney, former mayor of Jacksonville[31]
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas and candidate for president in 2008 and in 2016[32][33]
- Francis Rooney, U.S. representative[34][35]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida and candidate for president in 2016[36][37]
- Will Weatherford, former speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[27][38]
Endorsements
Ron DeSantis
- U.S. executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[39]
Adam Putnam
- U.S. representatives
- Lincoln Díaz-Balart, former U.S. representative (FL-21)[40]
- Steve Southerland, former U.S. representative (FL-2)[41]
- Statewide officials
- Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida[29]
- Richard Corcoran, state representative (District 37); speaker of the Florida House[30]
- State senators
- State representatives
- Allan Bense, former House Speaker[41]
- Jay Trumbull[41]
- Sheriffs
- Paul Blackman, Highlands County[42]
- Chad Chronister, Hillsborough County[42]
- Bob Gualtieri, Pinellas County[42]
- Grady Judd, Polk County[42]
- Tom Knight, Sarasota County[42]
- Arnold Lanier, Hardee County[42]
- Al Nienhuis, Hernando County[42]
- Chris Nocco, Pasco County[42]
- Rick Wells, Manatee County[42]
- Organizations
- Associated Builders and Contractors[43]
- Associated Industries of Florida[44]
- Florida Chamber of Commerce[45]
- Florida Family Action[46]
- Florida Fraternal Order of Police[47]
- Florida Police Benevolent Association[48]
- Florida Professional Firefighters[49]
- Newspapers
Jack Latvala (withdrawn)
- U.S. representatives
- David Jolly, former U.S. representative (FL-13) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[52]
Polling
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran |
Ron DeSantis |
Jack Latvala |
Adam Putnam |
Bob White |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[54] | August 21–25, 2018 | 579 | ± 4.1% | – | 39% | – | 27% | 6% | 4%[a] | 23% |
St. Pete Polls[55] | August 22–23, 2018 | 2,141 | ± 2.1% | – | 56% | – | 33% | 3% | – | 8% |
Gravis Marketing[56] | August 21–22, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | – | 39% | – | 24% | 6% | 4%[a] | 26% |
Florida Atlantic University[57] | August 16–20, 2018 | 222 | ± 6.5% | – | 32% | – | 31% | 2% | 13%[b] | 22% |
Saint Leo University[58] | August 10–16, 2018 | 172 | – | – | 41% | – | 52% | – | 5% | – |
SurveyUSA[59] | August 10–13, 2018 | 558 | ± 5.2% | – | 40% | – | 38% | 2% | 5%[c] | 16% |
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis)[60] | August 5–7, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | – | 50% | – | 30% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon[61] | July 23–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | – | 41% | – | 29% | 0% | 2%[d] | 28% |
Florida Atlantic University[62] | July 20–21, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.0% | – | 36% | – | 27% | 3% | 12%[e] | 23% |
Clearview Research[63] | July 14–19, 2018 | 700 | ± 4.0% | – | 38% | – | 39% | – | – | 23% |
St. Pete Polls[64] | July 16–17, 2018 | 1,709 | ± 2.4% | – | 50% | – | 30% | 4% | – | 17% |
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 905 | ± 3.3% | – | 35% | – | 29% | 4%[f] | 25% | |
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)[66] | July 8–12, 2018 | 349 | ± 5.2% | – | 42% | – | 30% | – | – | 27% |
Remington (R-Tenth Amendment Project)[67] | July 2–5, 2018 | 2,826 | ± 1.8% | – | 43% | – | 26% | – | – | 25% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis)[68] | July 2, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | – | 47% | – | 28% | – | – | |
Marist College[69] | June 17–21, 2018 | 326 | ± 6.7% | – | 21% | – | 38% | – | 3% | 39% |
Fox News[70] | June 15–19, 2018 | 901 | ± 3.0% | – | 17% | – | 32% | 3% | 5%[g] | |
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 543 | ± 4.2% | 4% | 19% | – | 29% | 5% | – | 43% |
Cherry Communications[72] | June 7–9, 2018 | 501 | ± 5.3% | – | 15% | – | 32% | – | 5% | 48% |
Saint Leo University[73] | May 25–31, 2018 | 175 | – | – | 13% | – | 35% | – | 9% | 44% |
Florida Atlantic University[74] | May 4–7, 2018 | 371 | ± 5.0% | – | 16% | – | 15% | 3% | 24%[h] | 43% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis)[75] | April 19–23, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 7% | 30% | – | 23% | – | – | 40% |
– | 30% | – | 26% | – | – | 44% | ||||
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | – | – | 3% | 19% | 0% | 17% | 0% | – | 60% |
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis)[77] | March 12–15, 2018 | 600 | – | <6% | 21% | – | 19% | – | – | – |
– | 28% | – | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
Saint Leo University[78] | February 18–24, 2018 | 175 | – | 7% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 5% | 9%[i] | 46% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | – | – | 3% | 16% | 0% | 18% | 2% | – | 61% |
Mason-Dixon[80] | January 29 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 7% | 23% | – | 27% | – | – | 43% |
Remington[81] | December 30–31, 2017 | 1,423 | ± 2.6% | 3% | 28% | – | 25% | – | – | 44% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | – | – | 2% | 12% | 2% | 23% | 1% | – | 60% |
Saint Leo University[83] | November 19–24, 2017 | 166 | – | 5% | 15% | 4% | 10%[j] | 63% | ||
Cherry Communications[84] | September 17–24, 2017 | 256 | – | 1% | 9% | 26% | – | 3% | 59% | |
Saint Leo University[85] | September 10–16, 2017 | 173 | – | 4% | 7% | 20% | 2% | 11%[k] | 44% | |
Florida Atlantic University[86] | August 24–26, 2017 | 304 | ± 6.5% | 10% | 9% | 27% | – | – | 53% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Atwater |
Rick Baker |
Pam Bondi |
Richard Corcoran |
Mike Huckabee |
Usha Jain |
David Jolly |
Jack Latvala |
Adam Putnam |
Will Weatherford |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[87] | March 28–29, 2017 | – | – | – | 2% | – | 5% | – | – | 5% | 4% | 21% | – | – | 63% |
Saint Leo University[88] | March 3–11, 2017 | 175 | – | – | 6% | – | 5% | 30% | 2% | – | 3% | 13% | – | 8% | 34% |
Associated Industries of Florida[89] | February 14–17, 2017 | 800 | ± 3.5% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | 71% |
Cherry Communications[90] | December 3–8, 2016 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | 64% |
Saint Leo University[91] | November 27–30, 2016 | – | – | 5% | 1% | – | 2% | 32% | – | – | – | 6% | 1% | 7% | 47% |
StPetePolls.org[92] | August 2, 2016 | 1,835 | ± 2.3% | 7% | 3% | 26% | 1% | 37% | – | – | – | 8% | 1% | 7% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling
Results

DeSantis
- DeSantis—40–50%
- DeSantis—50–60%
- DeSantis—60–70%
- DeSantis—70–80%
Putnam
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron DeSantis | 916,298 | 56.5% | |
Republican | Adam Putnam | 592,518 | 36.5% | |
Republican | Bob White | 32,710 | 2.0% | |
Republican | Timothy M. Devine | 21,380 | 1.3% | |
Republican | Bob Langford | 19,842 | 1.2% | |
Republican | Bruce Nathan | 14,556 | 0.9% | |
Republican | Don Baldauf | 13,173 | 0.8% | |
Republican | John Joseph Mercadante | 11,647 | 0.7% | |
Total votes | 1,622,124 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative and daughter of former U.S. senator and former governor Bob Graham[96]
- Jeff Greene, real estate billionaire and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[97]
- Chris King, entrepreneur and founder of Elevation Financial Group[98]
- Philip Levine, former mayor of Miami Beach[99]
- Alex Lundmark, real estate agent[100][101]
- John Wetherbee, entrepreneur[102][103]
Withdrew
Declined
- Bob Buckhorn, mayor of Tampa[110]
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative (ran for reelection)[111][112]
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative, former governor of Florida, and nominee for governor in 2014 (ran for reelection)[113][114]
- Buddy Dyer, mayor of Orlando[115][116]
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg[117]
- John Morgan, lawyer and medical marijuana advocate[118][119][120][121]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016[122]
- Bill Nelson, U.S. senator (ran for reelection)[123]
- Jeremy Ring, former Florida state senator (ran for CFO)[124][125]
- Jack Seiler, mayor of Fort Lauderdale[115][126]
Endorsements
Gwen Graham
- U.S. senators
- Tammy Duckworth, U.S. senator from Illinois[127]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. senator from New York[128]
- Bob Graham, former governor of Florida and former U.S. senator from Florida, father of Gwen Graham[129]
- U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative (FL-14)[130]
- Jim Davis, former U.S. representative (FL-11), Democratic nominee for governor in 2006[131]
- Steny Hoyer, U.S. representative (MD-05), House Minority Whip[132]
- David Jolly, former U.S. representative (Republican) (FL-13)[133]
- John Lewis, U.S. representative (GA-05)[134]
- Ted Lieu, U.S. representative (CA-35)[135]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative (FL-18), Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[136]
- Statewide officials
- Betty Castor, former Florida Commissioner of Education, former president of the University of South Florida, Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2004[137]
- Howard Dean, 79th governor of Vermont, Democratic candidate for president in 2004[138]
- Alex Sink, former Florida chief financial officer, Democratic nominee for governor in 2010[139]
- State legislators
- Lori Berman, state senator (D-Lantana)[140]
- Karen Castor Dentel, former state representative (D-Maitland)[141]
- John Cortes, state representative (D-Kissimmee)[142]
- Tracie Davis, state representative (D-Jacksonville)[143]
- Ben Diamond, state representative (D-St. Petersburg)[144]
- Dwight Dudley, former state representative (D-St. Petersburg)[131]
- Katie Edwards, state representative (D-Plantation)[142]
- Kristin Jacobs, state representative (D-Coconut Creek)[145]
- Evan Jenne, state representative (D-Hollywood)[145]
- Arthenia Joyner, former state senator (D-Tampa)[146]
- Amy Mercado, state representative (D-Orlando)[140]
- Jon L. Mills, former state representative (D-Gainesville), former State House Speaker[147]
- Jared Moskowitz, state representative (D-Coral Springs)[148]
- Mark S. Pafford, former state representative (D-West Palm Beach), former State House Minority Leader[142]
- Darryl Rouson, state senator (D-St. Petersburg)[149]
- David Silvers, state representative (D-West Palm Beach)[150]
- Kelly Skidmore, former state representative (D-Boca Raton)[141]
- Emily Slosberg, state representative (D-Boca Raton)[150]
- Richard Stark, state representative (D-Weston)[145]
- Victor M. Torres Jr., state senator (D-Orlando)[151]
- Barbara Watson, state representative (D-Miami Gardens)[140]
- Clovis Watson Jr., state representative (D-Gainesville)[152]
- Matt Willhite, state representative (D-Wellington)[153]
- Mayors and other municipal leaders
- Shannon Blankenship, Duval County Soil and Water Conservation District chair[142]
- Skip Campbell, mayor of Coral Springs[154]
- John Dailey, Leon County Commissioner[155]
- Garrett Dennis, Jacksonville City Councilman[156]
- Kristin Dozier, Leon County Commissioner[155]
- Pat Collier Frank, Hillsborough County Clerk of Courts[157]
- Tabitha Frazier, Leon County Soil and Water Conservation District Supervisor[155]
- Shirley Freeman, former mayor of Monroe County[158]
- Jake Godbold, former mayor of Jacksonville[156]
- Pegeen Hanrahan, former mayor of Gainesville[141]
- Tommy Hazouri, Jacksonville City Councilman, former mayor of Jacksonville[142]
- Warren Jones, Duval County School Board member[143]
- Cindy Lerner, former mayor of Pinecrest[158]
- Shanon Matiero, former City Commissioner of West Palm Beach[153]
- Melissa McKinlay, mayor of Palm Beach County[159]
- Barry Moss, Pompano Beach City Commissioner[153]
- Jeri Muoio, mayor of West Palm Beach[154]
- Karl Nurse, former St. Petersburg City Councilman[131]
- Frank Ortis, mayor of Pembroke Pines[154]
- Darden Rice, St. Petersburg City Council Chair[149]
- Nan Rich, Broward County Commissioner, Democratic candidate for governor in 2014[160]
- Katy Sorenson, former Miami-Dade County Commissioner[153]
- Mike Suarez, Tampa City Councilman[149]
- Matt Surrency, mayor of Hawthorne[158]
- Dean Trantalis, mayor of Fort Lauderdale[161]
- Gil Ziffer, Tallahassee City Commissioner[162]
- Individuals
- Jimmy Buffett, musician[163]
- Alan Clendenin, DNC member, former Florida Democratic Party vice chair[164]
- Wendy Davis, former Texas state senator, Democratic nominee for governor of Texas in 2014[165]
- Manley Fuller, president of the Florida Wildlife Federation[147]
- Alma Gonzalez, DNC member, former Florida Democratic Party treasurer[141]
- Organizations
- EMILY's List[166]
- The Everglades Trust[167]
- Florida Education Association[168]
- Florida Police Benevolent Association[169]
- International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers[170]
- Ruth's List[171]
- United Steelworkers[142]
- Newspaper editorial boards
Jeff Greene
- Newspapers
Chris King
- State legislators
- Mayors and other municipal officials
- Linda Chapin, former mayor of Orange County[176]
- Eddie Cole, mayor of Eatonville[177]
- Organizations
Philip Levine
- Statewide officials
- State legislators
- Keith Fitzgerald, former state representative (D-Sarasota), Democratic nominee for U.S. House in 2012[180]
- Mayors and other municipal officials
- John Elizabeth Alemán, Miami Beach City Commissioner[181]
- Andy Amoroso, vice mayor of Lake Worth[182]
- Ricky Arriola, Miami Beach City Commissioner[182]
- Carmen Yulín Cruz, mayor of San Juan, Puerto Rico[183]
- Oliver Gilbert, mayor of Miami Gardens[184]
- Justin Katz, Boynton Beach City Commissioner[182]
- Ken Keechl, former Broward County Commissioner[182]
- Alex Penelas, former mayor of Miami-Dade County[184]
- Robert Shelley, Aventura City Commissioner
- Glenn Singer, mayor of Golden Beach
- Micky Steinberg, Miami Beach City Commissioner[182]
- Enid Weisman, mayor of Aventura[182]
- Individuals
- Newspaper editorial boards
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Andrew Gillum |
Gwen Graham |
Jeff Greene |
Chris King |
Philip Levine |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[188] | August 25–26, 2018 | 2,342 | ± 2.0% | 25% | 32% | 11% | 2% | 22% | 4% | 5% |
Gravis Marketing[54] | August 21–25, 2018 | 531 | ± 4.3% | 16% | 26% | 19% | 5% | 18% | – | 17% |
Gravis Marketing[56] | August 21–22, 2018 | 308 | ± 5.6% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 5% | 18% | – | 17% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[189] | August 19–21, 2018 | 669 | ± 3.8% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 2% | 26% | – | 15% |
Florida Atlantic University[57] | August 16–20, 2018 | 280 | ± 6.3% | 11% | 29% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 3% | 19% |
Change Research (D-Gillum)[190] | August 18–19, 2018 | 1,178 | – | 33% | 22% | 10% | – | 22% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls[191] | August 18–19, 2018 | 2,202 | ± 2.1% | 21% | 27% | 15% | 3% | 25% | 4% | 6% |
Saint Leo University[58] | August 10–16, 2018 | 188 | – | 15% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 22% | 4% | – |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[192] | August 11–14, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 3% | 27% | – | 18% |
SurveyUSA[193] | August 10–13, 2018 | 631 | ± 5.2% | 11% | 22% | 16% | 3% | 22% | 2%[l] | 24% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine)[194] | August 5–6, 2018 | 572 | – | 13% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 22% | – | 19% |
ALG Research (D-Graham)[195] | July 29 – August 2, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 10% | 33% | 13% | 3% | 17% | – | 23% |
St. Pete Polls[196] | July 30–31, 2018 | 1,652 | ± 2.4% | 12% | 29% | 23% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 9% |
Mason-Dixon[61] | July 23–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 10% | 27% | 12% | 7% | 18% | 1%[m] | 25% |
Florida Atlantic University[62] | July 20–21, 2018 | 271 | ± 5.9% | 7% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 3% | 31% |
Associated Industries of Florida[197] | July 16–18, 2018 | 800 | – | 12% | 24% | 13% | 4% | 16% | – | – |
Frederick Polls[198] | July 2018 | 506 | – | 15% | 28% | 23% | 7% | 27% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls[199] | July 14–15, 2018 | 1,314 | ± 2.7% | 10% | 22% | 22% | 3% | 19% | 1%[n] | 25% |
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,540 | ± 2.5% | 10% | 27% | 18% | – | 17% | – | 27% |
Marist College[69] | June 17–21, 2018 | 344 | ± 6.5% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 3% | 19% | 1% | 47% |
RABA Research[200] | June 15–16, 2018 | 660 | ± 3.8% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 15% | 27% | – | 21% |
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | 24% | – | 3% | 17% | – | 27% |
Let's Preserve the American Dream[201] | June 6–9, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.1% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 4% | 24% | – | 37% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[202] | June 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 11% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 32% | – | 31% |
Saint Leo University[73] | May 25–31, 2018 | 195 | – | 10% | 14% | – | 6% | 14% | 9% | 47% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine)[203] | May 21–22, 2018 | 583 | – | 12% | 20% | – | 6% | 30% | – | 33% |
Change Research (D-Gillum)[204] | May 8–11, 2018 | 1,107 | ± 3.0% | 13% | 13% | – | 3% | 20% | – | 52% |
Florida Atlantic University[74] | May 4–7, 2018 | 372 | ± 3.0% | 6% | 15% | – | 10% | 16% | 11%[o] | 42% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[205] | April 10–11, 2018 | 491 | – | 8% | 23% | – | 4% | 29% | – | 36% |
Public Policy Polling[206] | March 23–25, 2018 | 613 | – | 8% | 19% | – | 5% | 22% | – | 46% |
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | – | – | 11% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 13% | – | 64% |
Saint Leo University[78] | February 18–24, 2018 | 190 | – | 10% | 17% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 50% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | – | – | 9% | 12% | 1% | 2% | 12% | – | 63% |
Mason-Dixon[80] | January 29 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 10% | 20% | – | 4% | 17% | – | 49% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | – | – | 12% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 6% | – | 60% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Buckhorn |
Kathy Castor |
Buddy Dyer |
Andrew Gillum |
Gwen Graham |
Jeff Greene |
Grant Hill |
Chris King |
Philip Levine |
John Morgan |
Patrick Murphy |
Jeremy Ring |
Katherine Fernandez Rundle |
Jack Seiler |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frederick Polls[207] | April 23–28, 2018 | 750 | ± 3.6% | – | – | – | 6% | 14% | – | – | 2% | 20% | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | 44% |
Saint Leo University[83] | November 19–24, 2017 | 181 | – | – | 2% | – | 6% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 13% | – | – | 5% | – | 2% | 53% |
Cherry Communications[208] | September 17–24, 2017 | 263 | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | – | – | 2% | 4% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 44% |
Saint Leo University[85] | September 10–16, 2017 | 190 | – | – | 3% | – | 5% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 13% | – | 5% | – | 3% | 44% |
Florida Atlantic University[86] | August 24–26, 2017 | 297 | ± 6.5% | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | – | – | 4% | 8% | 19% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% |
Gravis Marketing[209] | April 4–10, 2017 | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 11% | 1% | – | – | 3% | – | 14% | – | – | – | 3% | 55% |
Gravis Marketing[87] | March 28–29, 2017 | – | – | – | – | – | 23% | 8% | 0% | – | – | 1% | 9% | 24% | – | – | – | – | 36% |
Saint Leo University[88] | March 3–11, 2017 | 203 | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 20% | 2% | – | 2% | 4% | 40% |
Cherry Communications[90] | December 3–8, 2016 | – | – | 5% | – | – | 8% | 16% | – | – | – | 5% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 45% |
Saint Leo University[91] | November 27–30, 2016 | – | – | 5% | 4% | 5% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 3% | 20% | – | 1% | – | 1% | 7% | 49% |
Hypothetical polling
Results

Gillum
- <30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Graham
- <30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Levine
- <30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andrew Gillum | 517,417 | 34.3% | |
Democratic | Gwen Graham | 472,735 | 31.3% | |
Democratic | Philip Levine | 306,450 | 20.3% | |
Democratic | Jeff Greene | 151,935 | 10.1% | |
Democratic | Chris King | 37,464 | 2.5% | |
Democratic | John Wetherbee | 14,355 | 1.0% | |
Democratic | Alex "Lundy" Lundmark | 8,628 | 0.6% | |
Total votes | 1,508,984 | 100.0% |
Independent and third party candidates
Reform Party
Declared
Libertarian Party
Withdrawn
- Riquet Caballero, banker and Afro-Cuban activist (running for state representative)[211]
- Randy Wiseman, former chair of the Lake County School Board, candidate for state representative in 2004, and candidate for mayor of Mount Dora in 2013[212]
Constitution party
Withdrawn
Independents
Declared
Declined
- Grant Hill, former professional basketball player[216]
- John Morgan, lawyer and medical marijuana advocate[217]
- Ellen Marie Wilds, JPO supervisor (became Kyle "KC" Gibson's running mate)[218][219]
Endorsements
Darcy Richardson (Reform Party)
- Individuals
- Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and public service commissioner[220]
- Randy Wiseman, former Republican chair of the Lake County School Board[221]
John Morgan (declined)
- Individuals
- Snoop Dogg, rapper and actor[222]
- Roger Stone, political activist and consultant[222]
General election
Summarize
Perspective
Debates
Dates | Location | DeSantis | Gillum | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 21, 2018 | Tampa, Florida | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
October 24, 2018 | Weston, Florida | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
First debate
The first debate, moderated by CNN's Jake Tapper, was hosted on October 21, 2018, at WEDU, Tampa, Florida.[223] It was an hour long debate featuring topics like climate change,[224][225] minimum wage,[226][227] health care,[228] gun control,[229] the NRA,[230] DeSantis's "monkey up" comment[231] and President Donald Trump being a role model for children.[232][233]
This debate was held a day before early voting started in Florida on October 22, 2018.[234]
Second debate
The second debate occurred on October 24, 2018, and was hosted in Weston, Florida. It was moderated by Leadership Florida and the Florida Press Association.[235]
Endorsements
Andrew Gillum (D)
- U.S. executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States[236]
- Julian Castro, 16th United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development[237]
- Eric Holder, 82nd United States Attorney General[238]
- Valerie Jarrett, former director of the Office of Public Engagement and Intergovernmental Affairs[239]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of United States[240]
- U.S. senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. senator (D-NJ)[241]
- Bob Graham, former U.S. senator (D-FL) and former governor of Florida[242]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator (D-CA)[243]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. senator (D-OR)[244]
- Chris Murphy, U.S. senator (D-CT)[245]
- Bill Nelson, U.S. senator (D-FL)[246]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator (I-VT)[247]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator (D-MA)[248]
- U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative (FL-14)[249]
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative (FL-13) and former Republican governor of Florida[250]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. representative (FL-22)[251]
- Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative (FL-2) and former candidate[252]
- Luis Gutiérrez, U.S. representative (IL-04)[253]
- Alcee Hastings, U.S. representative (FL-20)[254]
- David Jolly, former U.S. representative (Republican) (FL-13)[255]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. representative (CA-17)[256]
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative (FL-5)[257]
- John Lewis, U.S. representative (GA-5)[258]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative (FL-18)[259]
- Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative (FL-7)[260]
- Adam Schiff, U.S. representative (CA-28)[261]
- Darren Soto, U.S. representative (FL-9)[262]
- Nydia Velázquez, U.S. representative (NY-7)[263]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. representative (FL-23)[264]
- Frederica Wilson, U.S. representative (FL-24)[265]
- State and territorial officials
- Aramis Ayala, State Attorney for the Ninth Judicial Circuit Court of Florida[266]
- Justin Fairfax, lieutenant governor of Virginia[267]
- John Hickenlooper, governor of Colorado[268]
- Jay Inslee, governor of Washington[269]
- Terry McAuliffe, former governor of Virginia[270]
- Phil Murphy, governor of New Jersey[271]
- Ralph Northam, governor of Virginia[272]
- Martin O'Malley, former governor of Maryland[273]
- Ricardo Rosselló, governor of Puerto Rico[274]
- Dave Zuckerman, lieutenant governor of Vermont[275]
- State legislators
- Joseph Abruzzo, state representative (D-Boynton Beach)[276]
- Ramon Alexander, state representative (D-Tallahassee)[277]
- Loranne Ausley, state representative (D-Tallahassee)[278]
- Randolph Bracy, state senator (D-Orlando)[152]
- Kamia Brown, state representative (D-Orlando)[279]
- Dwight M. Bullard, former state senator (D-Miami)[280]
- Jeff Clemens, former state senator (D-Lake Worth)[276]
- Margaret Good, state representative (D-Sarasota[281]
- Patrick Henry, state representative (D-Daytona Beach)[282]
- Tony Hill, former state senator (D-Jacksonville)[283]
- Al Jacquet, state representative (D-Lantana)[284]
- Mia L. Jones, former state representative (D-Jacksonville)[285]
- Shevrin D. Jones, state representative (D-West Park)[279]
- Bobby Powell, state senator (D-West Palm Beach)[276]
- Bakari Sellers, former state representative (D-Denmark, South Carolina)[286]
- Carlos Guillermo Smith, state representative (D-Orlando)[287]
- Perry E. Thurston Jr., state senator (D-Fort Lauderdale)[288]
- Mayors and other municipal leaders
- Bob Buckhorn, mayor of Tampa, Florida[289]
- Melvin Carter, mayor of St. Paul, Minnesota[290]
- Joyce Cusack, Volusia County Councilwoman[291]
- Bill de Blasio, mayor of New York City[292]
- Buddy Dyer, mayor of Orlando, Florida[289]
- Anne M. Gannon, Palm Beach County Tax Collector[293]
- Letitia James, Public Advocate of New York City[294]
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida[295]
- Philip Levine, former mayor of Miami Beach and former candidate[296]
- Wayne Messam, mayor of Miramar[297]
- Gwendolyn M. Miller, former chairwoman of the Tampa, Florida City Council[298]
- Svante Myrick, mayor of Ithaca, New York[299]
- Rosalind Osgood, Broward County School Board member[300]
- Lauren Poe, mayor of Gainesville[301]
- Hazelle P. Rogers, mayor of Lauderdale Lakes[302]
- Levar Stoney, mayor of Richmond, Virginia[303]
- Individuals
- Alec Baldwin, actor[304]
- Ady Barkan, political activist and director of Fed Up[305]
- Adam Best, entrepreneur, film producer, writer and political activist[306]
- Megan Boone, actress[307]
- Karamo Brown, television host, reality television personality, psychotherapist, and activist[308]
- Charlamagne Tha God, nationally-syndicated radio host[280]
- Don Cheadle, actor[309]
- Sean Combs, rapper, singer, songwriter, actor, record producer and entrepreneur[310]
- Billy Corben, documentary film director[311]
- Rosario Dawson, actress and activist[312]
- Lee Daniels, film producer and actor[313]
- Michael Eric Dyson, preacher and academic[314]
- America Ferrera, actress[315]
- Jane Fonda, actress[304]
- Jeff Greene, real estate entrepreneur and former candidate[316]
- Fred Guttenberg, activist[317]
- Malynda Hale, singer[318]
- Grant Hill, professional basketball player[319]
- Alex Hirsch, animator[320]
- John Iadarola, anchor on The Young Turks[321]
- John P. Kee, gospel singer[322]
- DJ Khaled, disc jockey and record producer[323]
- Shaun King, writer and civil rights activist[324]
- Norman Lear, television writer and producer[325][326]
- John Leguizamo, actor, stand-up comedian, film producer, playwright, and screenwriter[327]
- Eva Longoria, actress and activist[328]
- Alyssa Milano, actress[329]
- John Morgan, attorney, founder of the law firm Morgan & Morgan[330]
- Ana Navarro, Republican political strategist[331]
- Bob Poe, former chair of the Florida Democratic Party, Democratic candidate for U.S. House in 2016[332]
- Cecile Richards, activist[333]
- Rihanna, singer, actress, and diplomat[334]
- Gina Rodriguez, actress and activist[335]
- Rick Ross, rapper, entrepreneur and record executive[336]
- Mark Ruffalo, actor[337]
- Angela Rye, attorney and commentator[338]
- Zoe Saldana, actress[339]
- Kendrick Sampson, actor[340] r[341]
- Amy Schumer, actress[342]
- Jussie Smollett, actor and singer[343]
- George Soros, investor, business magnate, philanthropist, political activist and author[344]
- Tom Steyer, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, environmentalist, Democratic fundraiser[345]
- Tara Strong, voice actress and activist[346]
- Allison Tant, former chair of the Florida Democratic Party[347]
- Gabrielle Union, actress, activist, and author[348]
- Tommy Vietor, political commentator[349]
- Organizations
- Democracy for America[350]
- Indivisible movement[351]
- National Nurses United[352]
- NextGen America[345]
- Our Revolution[353]
- People for the American Way[354]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[355]
- Sierra Club[356]
- Working Families Party[355]
- Newspapers
- Sheriffs
- Jerry Demings, Orange County sheriff
- Morris A. Young, Gadsden County sheriff
Ron DeSantis (R)
- U.S. executive branch officials
- Mike Pence, vice president of the United States[361]
- Sonny Perdue, United States Secretary of Agriculture[362]
- Donald Trump, president of the United States[363]
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator (R-FL)[364]
- U.S. representatives
- Neal Dunn, U.S. representative (FL-02)[365]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01)[365]
- Jenniffer González, Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico[366]
- Brian Mast, U.S. representative (FL-18)[365]
- State senators
- Dennis K. Baxley[367]
- Aaron Bean[367]
- Lizbeth Benacquisto[367]
- Rob Bradley[367][368]
- Doug Broxson[367]
- Anitere Flores[367]
- George Gainer[367]
- Bill Galvano[367]
- René García[367]
- Tom Lee[367]
- Debbie Mayfield[367]
- Kathleen Passidomo[367]
- Kelli Stargel[367]
- Greg Steube[367]
- State representatives
- Ben Albritton[369]
- Halsey Beshears[369]
- Michael Bileca[369]
- Jim Boyd[369]
- Danny Burgess[369]
- Colleen Burton[369]
- Cord Byrd[369]
- Bob Cortes[370]
- Travis Cummings[368]
- Manny Díaz Jr.[369]
- Byron Donalds[369]
- Brad Drake[369]
- Dane Eagle[369]
- Randy Fine[369]
- Jason Fischer[369]
- Erin Grall[369]
- Jamie Grant[369]
- Joe Gruters[369]
- Bill Hager[369]
- Gayle Harrell[369]
- Shawn Harrison[369]
- Clay Ingram[369]
- Sam Killebrew[369]
- Mike La Rosa[369]
- Tom Leek[369]
- MaryLynn Magar[369]
- Stan McClain[369]
- José R. Oliva[371]
- Bobby Olszewski[369]
- Bobby Payne[369]
- Ray Pilon[369]
- Mel Ponder[369]
- Elizabeth W. Porter[369]
- Jake Raburn[369]
- Holly Raschein[369]
- Paul Renner[369]
- Bob Rommel[369]
- Rick Roth[369]
- David Santiago[369]
- Chris Sprowls[369]
- Cyndi Stevenson[369]
- Charlie Stone[369]
- Frank White[369]
- Jayer Williamson[369]
- Clay Yarborough[369]
- Sheriffs
- Mike Adkinson, Walton County sheriff[372]
- Larry Ashley, Okaloosa County sheriff[372]
- Michael Chitwood, Volusia County sheriff[372]
- Darryl Daniels, Clay County sheriff[372]
- Gator DeLoach, Putnam County sheriff[372]
- Bill Farmer, Sumter County sheriff[372]
- Tommy Ford, Bay County sheriff[372]
- Peyton Grinnell, Lake County sheriff[372]
- Bob Gualtieri, Pinellas County sheriff[372]
- Mark Hunter, Columbia County sheriff[372]
- Wayne Ivey, Brevard County sheriff[373]
- Bob Johnson, Santa Rosa County sheriff[372]
- Grady Judd, Polk County sheriff[372]
- Arnold Lanier, Hardee County sheriff[372]
- Bill Leeper, Nassau County sheriff[372]
- Dennis Lemma, Seminole County sheriff[373]
- Deryl Loar, Indian River County sheriff[372]
- Bobby McCallum, Levy County sheriff[372]
- Mac McNeill, Jefferson County sheriff[372]
- David Morgan, Escambia County sheriff[372]
- Al Nienhuis, Hernando County sheriff[372]
- Chris Nocco, Pasco County sheriff[372]
- Mike Prendergast, Citrus County Sheriff[372]
- Bill Prummell, Charlotte County sheriff[372]
- Kevin Rambosk, Collier County sheriff[372]
- Rick Ramsay, Monroe County sheriff[372]
- Scotty Rhoden, Baker County sheriff[372]
- Lou Roberts, Jackson County sheriff[372]
- Sam St. Johns, Suwannee County sheriff[372]
- Bobby Schultz, Gilchrist County sheriff[372]
- David Shoar, St. Johns County sheriff[372]
- AJ Smith, Franklin County sheriff[372]
- Gordon Smith, Bradford County sheriff[372]
- William Snyder, Martin County sheriff[372]
- Rick Staly, Flagler County sheriff[373]
- Benjamine Stewart, Madison County sheriff[372]
- Rick Wells, Manatee County sheriff[372]
- Steve Whidden, Hendry County sheriff[372]
- Brad Whitehead, Union County sheriff[372]
- Mike Williams, Duval County sheriff[372]
- Mike Williams, Jacksonville sheriff[368]
- Billy Woods, Marion County sheriff[373]
- Mayors and other municipal leaders
- Lenny Curry, mayor of Jacksonville[368]
- Carlos A. Giménez, mayor of Miami-Dade County[374]
- Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City[375]
- Carlos Hernández, mayor of Hialeah[374]
- Carlos Molina, mayor of Arecibo[376]
- Angel Pérez Otero, mayor of Guaynabo[376]
- Ramón Luis Rivera Jr., mayor of Bayamón[376]
- State and territorial officials
- José Banchs Alemán, representative[376]
- José Aponte Hernández, representative[376]
- Joel Franqui Atiles, representative[376]
- Ángel Bulerín, representative[376]
- Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida[377]
- Eddie Charbonier Chinea, representative[376]
- Nelson del Valle, representative[376]
- José "Memo" González Mercado, representative[376]
- Urayoán Hernández, representative[376]
- Maricarmen Mas Rodríguez, representative[376]
- José "Quiquito" Melendéz Ortiz, representative[376]
- Carlos Johnny Méndez, Speaker of the House of Representatives of Puerto Rico[376]
- María Milagros Charbonier, representative[376]
- Juan Oscar Morales, representative[376]
- Jorge Navarro Suárez, representative[376]
- Víctor Parés, representative[376]
- Luis Pérez Ortiz, representative[376]
- Michael Abid Quiñones Irizarry, representative[376]
- María de Lourdes Ramos Rivera, representative[376]
- Guillermo Miranda Rivera, representative[376]
- June Rivera, representative[376]
- Luis Rivera Marín, Secretary of State of Puerto Rico[378]
- Gabriel Rodríguez Aguiló, representative[376]
- Jackeline "Jackie" Rodríguez Hernández, representative[376]
- Yashira Lebrón Rodríguez, representative[376]
- Wilson Roman, representative-elect[376]
- Pellé Santiago, representative[376]
- Rick Scott, governor of Florida
- Tony Soto, representative[376]
- Félix Lasalle Toro, representative[376]
- Víctor M. Torres, representative[376]
- José "Pichy" Torres Zamora, representative[376]
- Reinaldo "Rey" Vargas, representative[376]
- Néstor Alonso Vega, representative[376]
- Individuals
- Sheldon Adelson, business magnate, investor, and philanthropist[379]
- Hushang Ansary, businessman, former diplomat, and philanthropist[380]
- Dan Bongino, NRATV contributor[381]
- David Bossie, political activist[379]
- Foster Friess, businessman and supporter of conservative Christian causes[379]
- Sean Hannity, talk show host, author, and conservative political commentator[382]
- Kyle Kashuv, school safety activist[383]
- Mark Levin, lawyer, author, and radio personality[384]
- Bernard Marcus, businessman[379]
- Rebekah Mercer, heiress, foundation director, and major Republican donor[379]
- Isaac Perlmutter, businessman, financier, CEO of Marvel Entertainment[379]
- Andrew Pollack, activist[385]
- David A. Siegel, businessman[379]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[386]
- Lara Trump, television host, producer, and daughter-in-law of U.S. President Donald Trump[387]
- Richard Uihlein, businessman and major Republican Party donor[379]
- Organizations
- American Conservative Union[388]
- Broward Sheriff's Office Deputies Association[389]
- The Everglades Trust[390][391]
- First Coast Manufacturers Association[392]
- Florida Chamber of Commerce[393]
- Florida Medical Association[394]
- Florida Police Benevolent Association[395]
- Florida Police Chiefs Association[396]
- Florida Realtors Association[397]
- Florida Right to Life[398]
- Freedom Partners Action Fund[399]
- Great America Committee[400]
- International Union of Police Associations[401]
- JAXBIZ[402]
- National Federation of Independent Business[403]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[404][405]
- Newspapers
Darcy Richardson (Ref.)
- U.S. senators
- Mike Gravel, former Democratic senator from Alaska (1969–1981) and Libertarian candidate for president in 2008[407]
- State officials
- Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and Public Service Commissioner[220]
- Randy Wiseman, former Republican chair of the Lake County School Board[221]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[408] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[409] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[410] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[411] | Tilt D (flip) | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[412] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[413] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[414] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[415][p] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[416] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[417] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R)[418] | November 4–5, 2018 | 1,484 | ± 2.5% | 50% | 47% | 1% | 2% |
HarrisX[419] | November 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls[420] | November 3–4, 2018 | 3,088 | ± 1.8% | 45% | 50% | 2%[a] | 3% |
HarrisX[421] | November 2–4, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 48% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[422] | October 29 – November 4, 2018 | 1,142 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 50% | 1% | 6% |
Emerson College[423] | November 1–3, 2018 | 784 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 51% | 2% | 1% |
HarrisX[424] | November 1–3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – |
Research Co.[425] | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | 2% | 5% |
St. Pete Polls[426] | November 1–2, 2018 | 2,733 | ± 1.9% | 46% | 48% | 2%[a] | 4% |
HarrisX[427] | October 31 – November 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | – | – |
Marist College[428] | October 30 – November 2, 2018 | 595 LV | ± 5.0% | 46% | 50% | <1% | 3% |
917 RV | ± 4.1% | 45% | 50% | <1% | 5% | ||
Gravis Marketing[429] | October 29 – November 2, 2018 | 753 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
HarrisX[430] | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | – | – |
Targoz Market Research[431] | October 28–31, 2018 | 558 | – | 48% | 47% | – | 5% |
HarrisX[432] | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 50% | – | – |
MWR Research/Consumer Energy Alliance[433][b] | October 25–31, 2020 | 1,005 | – | 40% | 41% | 1% | 18%[c] |
The Trafalgar Group (R)[434] | October 29–30, 2018 | 2,543 | ± 1.9% | 46% | 48% | 3% | 2% |
Vox Populi Polling[435] | October 27–30, 2018 | 696 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
HarrisX[436] | October 24–30, 2018 | 1,400 | ± 2.6% | 42% | 44% | – | – |
Cygnal (R)[437] | October 27–29, 2018 | 495 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
CNN/SSRS[438] | October 24–29, 2018 | 781 LV | ± 4.3% | 48% | 49% | 0% | 2% |
887 RV | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 0% | 4% | ||
Suffolk University[439] | October 25–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 45% | 1%[d] | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[440] | October 23–27, 2018 | 737 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 8% |
University of North Florida[441] | October 23–26, 2018 | 1,051 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | <1% | 7% |
YouGov[442] | October 23–26, 2018 | 991 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 2% | 5% |
Ipsos[443] | October 17–25, 2018 | 1,069 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 50% | 3% | 3% |
Gravis Marketing[444] | October 22–23, 2018 | 773 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | – | 3% |
Strategic Research Associates[445] | October 16–23, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | – | 8% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis)[446] | October 20–22, 2018 | 2,500 | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 6% |
Saint Leo University[447] | October 16–22, 2018 | 698 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 49% | 4% | 11% |
St. Pete Polls[448] | October 20–21, 2018 | 1,575 | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 2%[a] | 4% |
Florida Atlantic University[449] | October 18–21, 2018 | 704 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 41% | 4% | 18% |
SurveyUSA[450] | October 18–21, 2018 | 665 | ± 5.0% | 42% | 49% | 1% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University[451] | October 17–21, 2018 | 1,161 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 52% | 1% | 2% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[452] | October 17–20, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 48% | – | 10% |
CNN/SSRS[453] | October 16–20, 2018 | 759 LV | ± 4.2% | 42% | 54% | 0% | 4% |
872 RV | ± 3.9% | 42% | 52% | 0% | 5% | ||
OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott)[454] | October 14–18, 2018 | 2,200 | ± 2.1% | 48% | 45% | 3%[a] | 4% |
St. Pete Polls[455] | October 15–16, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.2% | 46% | 47% | 2%[a] | 5% |
Florida Southern College[456] | October 1–5, 2018 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 47% | 5% | 4% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS[457] | September 19 – October 2, 2018 | 522 | ± 6.0% | 40% | 48% | 1% | 10% |
St. Pete Polls[458] | September 29–30, 2018 | 2,313 | ± 2.0% | 45% | 47% | 2%[a] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[459] | September 28–30, 2018 | 779 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% |
Strategic Research Associates[460] | September 17–30, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 44% | – | 12% |
Mason-Dixon[461] | September 24–27, 2018 | 815 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 3% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University[462] | September 22–24, 2018 | 888 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 54% | 0% | 2% |
Cherry Communications[463] | September 19–24, 2018 | 622 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 2%[a] | 6% |
Marist College[464] | September 16–20, 2018 | 600 LV | ± 4.7% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 7% |
829 RV | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 1% | 10% | ||
University of North Florida[465] | September 17–19, 2018 | 605 | – | 43% | 47% | <1% | 10% |
Florida Atlantic University[466] | September 13–16, 2018 | 850 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 41% | 5% | 15% |
Ipsos[467] | September 5–12, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 50% | 2% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports[468] | September 10–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 2% | 8% |
SurveyUSA[469] | September 7–9, 2018 | 634 | ± 5.3% | 43% | 47% | 1% | 9% |
Cherry Communications[470] | September 6–9, 2018 | 514 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | 2% | 8% |
St. Pete Polls[471] | September 5–6, 2018 | 2,240 | ± 2.1% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
Quinnipiac University[472] | August 30 – September 3, 2018 | 785 | ± 4.3% | 47% | 50% | 0% | 3% |
Gravis Marketing[473] | August 29–30, 2018 | 1,225 | ± 2.8% | 45% | 47% | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[474] | August 29–30, 2018 | 743 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% |
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 39% | 36% | – | 25% |
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 38% | – | 27% |
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 29% | 33% | – | 37% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frederick Polls (D)[475] | August 16–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 44% | – | – |
Saint Leo University[476] | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 31% | 36% | 9% | 24% |
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 38% | 42% | – | 20% |
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 34% | 44% | – | 22% |
Saint Leo University[73] | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 16% | 22% | 13% | 49% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[477] | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 36% | 40% | – | 24% |
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 30% | 33% | – | 37% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Jeff Greene (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 39% | 39% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Chris King (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 37% | 29% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Philip Levine (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University[476] | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 30% | 34% | 11% | 25% |
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 40% | 38% | – | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[478] | June 18–19, 2018 | 1,308 | – | 36% | 41% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 33% | 43% | – | 24% |
Saint Leo University[73] | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 17% | 22% | 12% | 49% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[477] | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 37% | 42% | – | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 41% | 35% | 29% |
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 42% | 20% |
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 30% | 30% | 40% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 31% | 31% | 39% |
Cherry Communications[479] | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 40% | 33% | – |
Gravis Marketing[87] | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 32% | 31% | 37% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University[476] | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 31% | 9% | 24% |
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 40% | 39% | – | 20% |
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 45% | – | 17% |
Saint Leo University[73] | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 43% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[477] | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 36% | 37% | – | 27% |
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 34% | 32% | – | 34% |
Saint Leo University[78] | February 18–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 45% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 33% | 29% | – | 38% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 32% | 32% | – | 37% |
Cherry Communications[479] | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 39% | 37% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[87] | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 32% | 34% | – | 35% |
Cherry Communications[90] | December 3–8, 2016 | 606 | – | 39% | 36% | – | 25% |
Gravis Marketing[480] | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 37% | – | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Jeff Greene (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Philip Levine (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University[476] | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 30% | 9% | 25% |
Gravis Marketing[65] | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 43% | 38% | – | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[478] | June 18–19, 2018 | 1,308 | – | 38% | 43% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 43% | – | 19% |
Saint Leo University[73] | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 24% | 20% | 11% | 44% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[477] | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 37% | 41% | – | 23% |
Cherry Communications[479] | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 40% | 32% | – | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob White (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 28% | 38% | 35% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob White (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | 44% | 29% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob White (R) |
Chris King (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 28% | 36% | 36% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob White (R) |
Philip Levine (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | 42% | 29% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult[481] | May 29–30, 2018 | 1,199 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Quinnipiac University[482] | February 23–26, 2018 | 1,156 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | 41% | 32% |
Gravis Marketing[87] | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 26% | 33% | 42% |
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 26% | 33% | 41% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 23% | 32% | 46% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 22% | 33% | 45% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | 44% | 29% |
Gravis Marketing[87] | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 29% | 34% | 38% |
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 28% | 32% | 40% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 24% | 33% | 44% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 24% | 33% | 43% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Chris King (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | 39% | 32% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Philip Levine (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[71] | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | 43% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[87] | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 27% | 39% | 34% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Jolly (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[480] | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 31% | 42% | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Atwater (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[480] | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 32% | 40% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Atwater (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[480] | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 41% | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pam Bondi (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[480] | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 36% | 44% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pam Bondi (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[480] | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 35% | 45% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Jolly (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[480] | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 29% | 40% | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
John Morgan (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 28% | 23% | 16% | 34% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 27% | 20% | 17% | 36% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 26% | 22% | 18% | 34% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
John Morgan (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 29% | 22% | 17% | 32% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 28% | 21% | 17% | 34% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Andrew Gillum (D) |
John Morgan (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 34% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 41% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 39% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Corcoran (R) |
Gwen Graham (D) |
John Morgan (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[76] | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 26% | 21% | 16% | 37% |
Gravis Marketing[79] | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 20% | 23% | 16% | 41% |
Gravis Marketing[82] | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 38% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Putnam (R) |
John Morgan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University[83] | November 19–24, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 19% | 24% | 8% | 49% |
Cherry Communications[479] | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 40% | 37% | – | – |
Saint Leo University[85] | September 10–16, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 18% | 24% | 16% | 42% |
Gravis Marketing[87] | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 33% | 34% | – | 32% |
Saint Leo University[88] | March 3–11, 2017 | 507 | ± 4.5% | 20% | 26% | 13% | 42% |
Cherry Communications[90] | December 3–8, 2016 | 606 | – | 40% | 37% | – | 23% |
Gravis Marketing[480] | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 35% | 39% | – | 26% |
Hypothetical polling
with Ron DeSantis and Gwen Graham
with Ron DeSantis and Jeff Greene
with Ron DeSantis and Chris King
with Ron DeSantis and Philip Levine
with Adam Putnam and Andrew Gillum
with Adam Putnam and Gwen Graham
with Adam Putnam and Jeff Greene
with Adam Putnam and Chris King
with Adam Putnam and Philip Levine
with Bob White and Andrew Gillum
with Bob White and Gwen Graham
with Bob White and Chris King
with Bob White and Philip Levine
with generic Republican and Democrat
with Richard Corcoran and Andrew Gillum
with Richard Corcoran and Gwen Graham
with Richard Corcoran and Chris King
with Richard Corcoran and Philip Levine
with Richard Corcoran and John Morgan
with David Jolly and John Morgan
with Jeff Atwater and Gwen Graham
with Jeff Atwater and John Morgan
with Pam Bondi and Gwen Graham
with Pam Bondi and John Morgan
with David Jolly and Gwen Graham
with Andrew Putnam, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan
with Andrew Putnam, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan
with Richard Corcoran, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan
with Richard Corcoran, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan
with Adam Putnam and John Morgan
Results

Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron DeSantis | 4,076,186 | 49.59% | +1.45% | |
Democratic | Andrew Gillum | 4,043,723 | 49.19% | +2.12% | |
Reform | Darcy Richardson | 47,140 | 0.57% | N/A | |
Independent | Kyle "KC" Gibson | 24,310 | 0.30% | N/A | |
Independent | Ryan Christopher Foley | 14,630 | 0.18% | N/A | |
Independent | Bruce Stanley | 14,505 | 0.18% | N/A | |
Write-in | 67 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 8,220,561 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Duval (largest municipality: Jacksonville)
- Seminole (largest municipality: Sanford)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Jefferson (largest city: Monticello)
- Monroe (largest city: Key West)
By congressional district
DeSantis won 14 of 27 congressional districts.[484]
District | DeSantis | Gillum | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 67% | 31% | Matt Gaetz |
2nd | 66% | 33% | Neal Dunn |
3rd | 55% | 44% | Ted Yoho |
4th | 61% | 38% | John Rutherford |
5th | 34% | 65% | Al Lawson |
6th | 57% | 42% | Ron DeSantis |
Mike Waltz | |||
7th | 44% | 55% | Stephanie Murphy |
8th | 58% | 40% | Bill Posey |
9th | 44% | 55% | Darren Soto |
10th | 36% | 63% | Val Demings |
11th | 64% | 34% | Daniel Webster |
12th | 56% | 42% | Gus Bilirakis |
13th | 45% | 53% | Charlie Crist |
14th | 40% | 59% | Kathy Castor |
15th | 53% | 46% | Dennis Ross |
Ross Spano | |||
16th | 53% | 45% | Vern Buchanan |
17th | 62% | 36% | Tom Rooney |
Greg Steube | |||
18th | 52% | 47% | Brian Mast |
19th | 61% | 37% | Francis Rooney |
20th | 17% | 82% | Alcee Hastings |
21st | 39% | 61% | Lois Frankel |
22nd | 41% | 59% | Ted Deutch |
23rd | 37% | 62% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
24th | 16% | 84% | Frederica Wilson |
25th | 57% | 41% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
26th | 46% | 53% | Carlos Curbelo |
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | |||
27th | 44% | 55% | Ileana Ros-Lehtinen |
Donna Shalala |
Analysis
Summarize
Perspective
The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. If the margin was below 0.25% after machine recount, Ken Detzner, the Secretary of State of Florida, would commission a manual recount of over-votes and under-votes.[485] However, after the recount was complete, DeSantis' margin was 0.40%; therefore, he was certified the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17.[486]
On November 10, 2022, former president Donald Trump claimed on his Truth Social page that he had prematurely ended the recount to prevent DeSantis and Senate candidate Rick Scott from losing, under the unsubstantiated belief that ballots for them were being removed.[487] Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Nikki Fried has asked Attorney General Merrick Garland to investigate.[488] Sarah Isgur, the spokeswoman of the Department of Justice from 2017 to 2019, has said that it "never happened,"[489] a position which was supported by other former Department of Justice officials.[490] Broward County Commissioner Steven Geller agreed that no interference took place.[491]
Voter demographics
Demographic subgroup | Gillum | DeSantis | No answer |
% of voters |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | ||||
Men | 41 | 58 | 1 | 45 |
Women | 57 | 42 | 1 | 55 |
Age | ||||
18–24 years old | 58 | 40 | 2 | 5 |
25–29 years old | 64 | 34 | 2 | 5 |
30–39 years old | 65 | 35 | N/A | 10 |
40–49 years old | 49 | 50 | 1 | 12 |
50–64 years old | 48 | 52 | N/A | 31 |
65 and older | 43 | 56 | 1 | 36 |
Race | ||||
White | 39 | 60 | 1 | 66 |
Black | 86 | 14 | N/A | 13 |
Latino | 54 | 44 | 2 | 15 |
Asian | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
Other | 65 | 33 | 2 | 4 |
Race by gender | ||||
White men | 31 | 69 | N/A | 31 |
White women | 47 | 51 | 2 | 35 |
Black men | 91 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
Black women | 82 | 18 | N/A | 8 |
Latino men | 49 | 49 | 2 | 6 |
Latina women | 58 | 41 | 1 | 9 |
Others | 65 | 34 | 1 | 5 |
Education | ||||
High school or less | 44 | 54 | 2 | 20 |
Some college education | 51 | 48 | 1 | 25 |
Associate degree | 47 | 51 | 2 | 15 |
Bachelor's degree | 47 | 52 | 1 | 24 |
Advanced degree | 57 | 42 | 1 | 16 |
Education and race | ||||
White college graduates | 46 | 54 | N/A | 27 |
White no college degree | 34 | 64 | 2 | 39 |
Non-white college graduates | 61 | 38 | 1 | 12 |
Non-white no college degree | 73 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
Whites by education and gender | ||||
White women with college degrees | 57 | 42 | 1 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 41 | 58 | 1 | 28 |
White men with college degrees | 35 | 65 | N/A | 14 |
White men without college degrees | 26 | 73 | 1 | 17 |
Non-whites | 69 | 30 | 1 | 34 |
Income | ||||
Under $30,000 | 63 | 36 | 1 | 19 |
$30,000–49,999 | 49 | 51 | N/A | 22 |
$50,000–99,999 | 52 | 47 | 1 | 33 |
$100,000–199,999 | 50 | 50 | N/A | 19 |
Over $200,000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7 |
Party ID | ||||
Democrats | 93 | 7 | N/A | 33 |
Republicans | 7 | 92 | 1 | 38 |
Independents | 54 | 44 | 2 | 29 |
Party by gender | ||||
Democratic men | 90 | 10 | N/A | 12 |
Democratic women | 95 | 5 | N/A | 21 |
Republican men | 7 | 93 | N/A | 19 |
Republican women | 7 | 90 | 3 | 18 |
Independent men | 50 | 49 | 1 | 14 |
Independent women | 58 | 39 | 3 | 16 |
Ideology | ||||
Liberals | 90 | 9 | 1 | 22 |
Moderates | 61 | 38 | 1 | 39 |
Conservatives | 13 | 85 | 2 | 39 |
Marital status | ||||
Married | 44 | 55 | 1 | 64 |
Unmarried | 56 | 42 | 2 | 36 |
Gender by marital status | ||||
Married men | 34 | 65 | 1 | 32 |
Married women | 52 | 47 | 1 | 31 |
Unmarried men | 46 | 51 | 3 | 14 |
Unmarried women | 61 | 37 | 2 | 23 |
First-time midterm election voter | ||||
Yes | 56 | 40 | 4 | 16 |
No | 47 | 53 | N/A | 84 |
Most important issue facing the country | ||||
Health care | 74 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
Immigration | 18 | 80 | 2 | 30 |
Economy | 30 | 69 | 1 | 16 |
Gun policy | 77 | 23 | N/A | 10 |
Area type | ||||
Urban | 57 | 42 | 1 | 42 |
Suburban | 45 | 53 | 2 | 50 |
Rural | 36 | 64 | N/A | 8 |
Source: CNN[492] |
See also
Notes
References
External links
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