2018 Florida gubernatorial election

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2018 Florida gubernatorial election

The 2018 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent two-term Republican Governor Rick Scott was term-limited and could not run for a third term, and he successfully ran for Florida's Class I Senate seat.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2018 Florida gubernatorial election

 2014 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2022 
Turnout62.6%12.1[1][2]
  Thumb Thumb
Nominee Ron DeSantis Andrew Gillum
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeanette Nuñez Chris King
Popular vote 4,076,186 4,043,723
Percentage 49.59% 49.19%

Thumb
Thumb
Thumb
DeSantis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gillum:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data

Governor before election

Rick Scott
Republican

Elected Governor

Ron DeSantis
Republican

Close

Republican U.S. representative Ron DeSantis narrowly defeated Democratic mayor of Tallahassee Andrew Gillum for the governorship, in what some considered an upset. The candidate filing deadline was June 22, 2018, and primary elections were held on August 28. Florida uses a closed primary process, in which the selection of each party's candidates for a general election is limited to registered members of that party;[3] Gillum won the Democratic primary and DeSantis the Republican primary.[4]

The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. After the recount was complete, DeSantis was certified as the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17. DeSantis's victory marked the sixth straight election in which Florida elected a Republican to the governorship, and the third in a row that neither candidate received over 50% of the vote. With a margin of 0.4%, this election was the closest race of the 2018 gubernatorial election cycle. Gillum became the first Democrat to win Duval County since 1986 and Seminole County since 1990, while DeSantis became the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win Jefferson County since 1884.

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
U.S. executive branch officials
Adam Putnam
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Sheriffs
Organizations
Newspapers
Jack Latvala (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Bob White
U.S. representatives

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran
Ron
DeSantis
Jack
Latvala
Adam
Putnam
Bob
White
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing[54] August 21–25, 2018 579 ± 4.1% 39% 27% 6% 4%[a] 23%
St. Pete Polls[55] August 22–23, 2018 2,141 ± 2.1% 56% 33% 3% 8%
Gravis Marketing[56] August 21–22, 2018 321 ± 5.5% 39% 24% 6% 4%[a] 26%
Florida Atlantic University[57] August 16–20, 2018 222 ± 6.5% 32% 31% 2% 13%[b] 22%
Saint Leo University[58] August 10–16, 2018 172 41% 52% 5%
SurveyUSA[59] August 10–13, 2018 558 ± 5.2% 40% 38% 2% 5%[c] 16%
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis)[60] August 5–7, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 50% 30%
Mason-Dixon[61] July 23–25, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 41% 29% 0% 2%[d] 28%
Florida Atlantic University[62] July 20–21, 2018 262 ± 6.0% 36% 27% 3% 12%[e] 23%
Clearview Research[63] July 14–19, 2018 700 ± 4.0% 38% 39% 23%
St. Pete Polls[64] July 16–17, 2018 1,709 ± 2.4% 50% 30% 4% 17%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 905 ± 3.3% 35% 29% 4%[f] 25%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)[66] July 8–12, 2018 349 ± 5.2% 42% 30% 27%
Remington (R-Tenth Amendment Project)[67] July 2–5, 2018 2,826 ± 1.8% 43% 26% 25%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis)[68] July 2, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 47% 28%
Marist College[69] June 17–21, 2018 326 ± 6.7% 21% 38% 3% 39%
Fox News[70] June 15–19, 2018 901 ± 3.0% 17% 32% 3% 5%[g]
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 543 ± 4.2% 4% 19% 29% 5% 43%
Cherry Communications[72] June 7–9, 2018 501 ± 5.3% 15% 32% 5% 48%
Saint Leo University[73] May 25–31, 2018 175 13% 35% 9% 44%
Florida Atlantic University[74] May 4–7, 2018 371 ± 5.0% 16% 15% 3% 24%[h] 43%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis)[75] April 19–23, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 7% 30% 23% 40%
30% 26% 44%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 3% 19% 0% 17% 0% 60%
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis)[77] March 12–15, 2018 600 <6% 21% 19%
28% 23%
Saint Leo University[78] February 18–24, 2018 175 7% 14% 3% 15% 5% 9%[i] 46%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 3% 16% 0% 18% 2% 61%
Mason-Dixon[80] January 29 – February 1, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 7% 23% 27% 43%
Remington[81] December 30–31, 2017 1,423 ± 2.6% 3% 28% 25% 44%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 2% 12% 2% 23% 1% 60%
Saint Leo University[83] November 19–24, 2017 166 5% 15% 4% 10%[j] 63%
Cherry Communications[84] September 17–24, 2017 256 1% 9% 26% 3% 59%
Saint Leo University[85] September 10–16, 2017 173 4% 7% 20% 2% 11%[k] 44%
Florida Atlantic University[86] August 24–26, 2017 304 ± 6.5% 10% 9% 27% 53%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jeff
Atwater
Rick
Baker
Pam
Bondi
Richard
Corcoran
Mike
Huckabee
Usha
Jain
David
Jolly
Jack
Latvala
Adam
Putnam
Will
Weatherford
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 2% 5% 5% 4% 21% 63%
Saint Leo University[88] March 3–11, 2017 175 6% 5% 30% 2% 3% 13% 8% 34%
Associated Industries of Florida[89] February 14–17, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 4% 22% 71%
Cherry Communications[90] December 3–8, 2016 22% 64%
Saint Leo University[91] November 27–30, 2016 5% 1% 2% 32% 6% 1% 7% 47%
StPetePolls.org[92] August 2, 2016 1,835 ± 2.3% 7% 3% 26% 1% 37% 8% 1% 7% 12%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  DeSantis
  •   DeSantis—40–50%
  •   DeSantis—50–60%
  •   DeSantis—60–70%
  •   DeSantis—70–80%
  Putnam
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[93]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron DeSantis 916,298 56.5%
Republican Adam Putnam 592,518 36.5%
Republican Bob White 32,710 2.0%
Republican Timothy M. Devine 21,380 1.3%
Republican Bob Langford 19,842 1.2%
Republican Bruce Nathan 14,556 0.9%
Republican Don Baldauf 13,173 0.8%
Republican John Joseph Mercadante 11,647 0.7%
Total votes 1,622,124 100.0%
Close

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Gwen Graham
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Individuals
Organizations
Newspaper editorial boards
Jeff Greene
Newspapers
Chris King
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal officials
Organizations
Philip Levine
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal officials
Individuals
Newspaper editorial boards

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Andrew
Gillum
Gwen
Graham
Jeff
Greene
Chris
King
Philip
Levine
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls[188] August 25–26, 2018 2,342 ± 2.0% 25% 32% 11% 2% 22% 4% 5%
Gravis Marketing[54] August 21–25, 2018 531 ± 4.3% 16% 26% 19% 5% 18% 17%
Gravis Marketing[56] August 21–22, 2018 308 ± 5.6% 15% 26% 19% 5% 18% 17%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[189] August 19–21, 2018 669 ± 3.8% 18% 25% 13% 2% 26% 15%
Florida Atlantic University[57] August 16–20, 2018 280 ± 6.3% 11% 29% 11% 10% 17% 3% 19%
Change Research (D-Gillum)[190] August 18–19, 2018 1,178 33% 22% 10% 22%
St. Pete Polls[191] August 18–19, 2018 2,202 ± 2.1% 21% 27% 15% 3% 25% 4% 6%
Saint Leo University[58] August 10–16, 2018 188 15% 31% 17% 5% 22% 4%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[192] August 11–14, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 15% 24% 13% 3% 27% 18%
SurveyUSA[193] August 10–13, 2018 631 ± 5.2% 11% 22% 16% 3% 22% 2%[l] 24%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine)[194] August 5–6, 2018 572 13% 26% 16% 4% 22% 19%
ALG Research (D-Graham)[195] July 29 – August 2, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 10% 33% 13% 3% 17% 23%
St. Pete Polls[196] July 30–31, 2018 1,652 ± 2.4% 12% 29% 23% 3% 19% 4% 9%
Mason-Dixon[61] July 23–25, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 10% 27% 12% 7% 18% 1%[m] 25%
Florida Atlantic University[62] July 20–21, 2018 271 ± 5.9% 7% 20% 14% 9% 16% 3% 31%
Associated Industries of Florida[197] July 16–18, 2018 800 12% 24% 13% 4% 16%
Frederick Polls[198] July 2018 506 15% 28% 23% 7% 27%
St. Pete Polls[199] July 14–15, 2018 1,314 ± 2.7% 10% 22% 22% 3% 19% 1%[n] 25%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,540 ± 2.5% 10% 27% 18% 17% 27%
Marist College[69] June 17–21, 2018 344 ± 6.5% 8% 17% 4% 3% 19% 1% 47%
RABA Research[200] June 15–16, 2018 660 ± 3.8% 8% 26% 3% 15% 27% 21%
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 24% 3% 17% 27%
Let's Preserve the American Dream[201] June 6–9, 2018 800 ± 3.1% 11% 21% 3% 4% 24% 37%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[202] June 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 11% 16% 4% 6% 32% 31%
Saint Leo University[73] May 25–31, 2018 195 10% 14% 6% 14% 9% 47%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine)[203] May 21–22, 2018 583 12% 20% 6% 30% 33%
Change Research (D-Gillum)[204] May 8–11, 2018 1,107 ± 3.0% 13% 13% 3% 20% 52%
Florida Atlantic University[74] May 4–7, 2018 372 ± 3.0% 6% 15% 10% 16% 11%[o] 42%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[205] April 10–11, 2018 491 8% 23% 4% 29% 36%
Public Policy Polling[206] March 23–25, 2018 613 8% 19% 5% 22% 46%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 11% 9% 2% 2% 13% 64%
Saint Leo University[78] February 18–24, 2018 190 10% 17% 5% 7% 8% 3% 50%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 9% 12% 1% 2% 12% 63%
Mason-Dixon[80] January 29 – February 1, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 10% 20% 4% 17% 49%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 12% 18% 2% 3% 6% 60%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
Buckhorn
Kathy
Castor
Buddy
Dyer
Andrew
Gillum
Gwen
Graham
Jeff
Greene
Grant
Hill
Chris
King
Philip
Levine
John
Morgan
Patrick
Murphy
Jeremy
Ring
Katherine
Fernandez
Rundle
Jack
Seiler
Other Undecided
Frederick Polls[207] April 23–28, 2018 750 ± 3.6% 6% 14% 2% 20% 14% 44%
Saint Leo University[83] November 19–24, 2017 181 2% 6% 9% 2% 2% 3% 2% 13% 5% 2% 53%
Cherry Communications[208] September 17–24, 2017 263 6% 16% 2% 4% 23% 4% 44%
Saint Leo University[85] September 10–16, 2017 190 3% 5% 7% 1% 4% 4% 1% 12% 13% 5% 3% 44%
Florida Atlantic University[86] August 24–26, 2017 297 ± 6.5% 9% 14% 4% 8% 19% 47%
Gravis Marketing[209] April 4–10, 2017 13% 11% 1% 3% 14% 3% 55%
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 23% 8% 0% 1% 9% 24% 36%
Saint Leo University[88] March 3–11, 2017 203 3% 5% 6% 4% 4% 5% 9% 20% 2% 2% 4% 40%
Cherry Communications[90] December 3–8, 2016 5% 8% 16% 5% 15% 4% 45%
Saint Leo University[91] November 27–30, 2016 5% 4% 5% 5% 3% 20% 1% 1% 7% 49%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Gillum
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Graham
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Levine
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Gillum 517,417 34.3%
Democratic Gwen Graham 472,735 31.3%
Democratic Philip Levine 306,450 20.3%
Democratic Jeff Greene 151,935 10.1%
Democratic Chris King 37,464 2.5%
Democratic John Wetherbee 14,355 1.0%
Democratic Alex "Lundy" Lundmark 8,628 0.6%
Total votes 1,508,984 100.0%
Close

Independent and third party candidates

Reform Party

Declared

Libertarian Party

Withdrawn

Constitution party

Withdrawn

Independents

Declared

  • Ryan Christopher Foley, former emergency medical technician[215]
  • Kyle "KC" Gibson, pastor[215]
  • Bruce Stanley, environmental activist[215]

Declined

Endorsements

Darcy Richardson (Reform Party)
Individuals
  • Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and public service commissioner[220]
  • Randy Wiseman, former Republican chair of the Lake County School Board[221]
John Morgan (declined)
Individuals

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Debates

More information Dates, Location ...
Dates Location DeSantis Gillum Link
October 21, 2018 Tampa, Florida Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 24, 2018 Weston, Florida Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
Close

First debate

The first debate, moderated by CNN's Jake Tapper, was hosted on October 21, 2018, at WEDU, Tampa, Florida.[223] It was an hour long debate featuring topics like climate change,[224][225] minimum wage,[226][227] health care,[228] gun control,[229] the NRA,[230] DeSantis's "monkey up" comment[231] and President Donald Trump being a role model for children.[232][233]

This debate was held a day before early voting started in Florida on October 22, 2018.[234]

Second debate

The second debate occurred on October 24, 2018, and was hosted in Weston, Florida. It was moderated by Leadership Florida and the Florida Press Association.[235]

Endorsements

Andrew Gillum (D)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State and territorial officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Sheriffs
Ron DeSantis (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State senators
State representatives
Sheriffs
Mayors and other municipal leaders
State and territorial officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Darcy Richardson (Ref.)
U.S. senators
State officials
  • Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and Public Service Commissioner[220]
  • Randy Wiseman, former Republican chair of the Lake County School Board[221]

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[408] Tossup October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[409] Tossup November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[410] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[411] Tilt D (flip) November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[412] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[413] Tossup November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[414] Tossup November 5, 2018
Fox News[415][p] Tossup November 5, 2018
Politico[416] Tossup November 5, 2018
Governing[417] Tossup November 5, 2018
Close
Notes
  1. Bruce Nathan with 4%
  2. Bruce Nathan 4%, Don Baldauf 3%, Timothy Devine 2%, someone else 4.5%
  3. Timothy Devine with 2%; Don Baldauf, Bob Langford, and Bruce Nathan with 1%; John Joseph Mercadante with 0%
  4. Bruce Nathan with 2%, Don Baldouf, Timothy Levine, Bob Langford, and John Joseph Mercadante with 0%
  5. Bruce Nathan with 3%, Ellen Wilds with 2%, Timothy Devine and Armando Rivas with 1%, someone else with 5%
  6. Armando Rivas with 4%
  7. Tim Devine, Ellen Wilds, Armando Rivas, and Bruce Nathan with 1%; Raphael Herman, Issak Almaleh, Joseph Mercadante, Frederick Dee Buntin, and Don Baldauf with <0.5%; Usha Jain with 0%; other with 1%
  8. David Adams 8%, Tim Devine 5%, Bruce Nathan 2%, Don Baldauf 1%, someone else 8%
  9. Bruce Nathan 2%, Angel Luis Rivera 2%, someone else 5%
  10. Jackie Siegel 2%, Ron Bergeron 1%, Angel Luis Rivera 1%, Daniel Zutler 1%, someone else 5%
  11. Daniel Zutler 3%, Jackie Siegel 2%, Ron Bergeron 1%, Bruce Nathan 1%, Angel Luis Rivera 1%, Usha Jain 0%, someone else 3%
  12. Alex "Lundy" Lundmark and John Wetherbee with 1%
  13. Alex "Lundy" Lundmark with 1%, John Wetherbee with 0%
  14. Alex "Lundy" Lundmark and John Wetherbee with 0%
  15. Louis McClanahan 2%, Josue Larose 1%, someone else 8%
  16. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Thumb

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Andrew
Gillum (D)
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[418] November 4–5, 2018 1,484 ± 2.5% 50% 47% 1% 2%
HarrisX[419] November 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 49%
St. Pete Polls[420] November 3–4, 2018 3,088 ± 1.8% 45% 50% 2%[a] 3%
HarrisX[421] November 2–4, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 48%
Quinnipiac University[422] October 29 – November 4, 2018 1,142 ± 3.5% 43% 50% 1% 6%
Emerson College[423] November 1–3, 2018 784 ± 3.7% 46% 51% 2% 1%
HarrisX[424] November 1–3, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 49%
Research Co.[425] November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 46% 47% 2% 5%
St. Pete Polls[426] November 1–2, 2018 2,733 ± 1.9% 46% 48% 2%[a] 4%
HarrisX[427] October 31 – November 2, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 50%
Marist College[428] October 30 – November 2, 2018 595 LV ± 5.0% 46% 50% <1% 3%
917 RV ± 4.1% 45% 50% <1% 5%
Gravis Marketing[429] October 29 – November 2, 2018 753 ± 3.6% 47% 48% 5%
HarrisX[430] October 30 – November 1, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 50%
Targoz Market Research[431] October 28–31, 2018 558 48% 47% 5%
HarrisX[432] October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 43% 50%
MWR Research/Consumer Energy Alliance[433][b] October 25–31, 2020 1,005 40% 41% 1% 18%[c]
The Trafalgar Group (R)[434] October 29–30, 2018 2,543 ± 1.9% 46% 48% 3% 2%
Vox Populi Polling[435] October 27–30, 2018 696 ± 3.7% 47% 53%
HarrisX[436] October 24–30, 2018 1,400 ± 2.6% 42% 44%
Cygnal (R)[437] October 27–29, 2018 495 ± 4.4% 47% 47% 5% 1%
CNN/SSRS[438] October 24–29, 2018 781 LV ± 4.3% 48% 49% 0% 2%
887 RV ± 4.0% 45% 48% 0% 4%
Suffolk University[439] October 25–28, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 44% 45% 1%[d] 8%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[440] October 23–27, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 43% 48% 1% 8%
University of North Florida[441] October 23–26, 2018 1,051 ± 3.0% 43% 49% <1% 7%
YouGov[442] October 23–26, 2018 991 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 2% 5%
Ipsos[443] October 17–25, 2018 1,069 ± 3.4% 44% 50% 3% 3%
Gravis Marketing[444] October 22–23, 2018 773 ± 3.5% 46% 51% 3%
Strategic Research Associates[445] October 16–23, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 48% 45% 8%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis)[446] October 20–22, 2018 2,500 ± 2.0% 47% 46% 2% 6%
Saint Leo University[447] October 16–22, 2018 698 ± 3.5% 37% 49% 4% 11%
St. Pete Polls[448] October 20–21, 2018 1,575 ± 2.5% 46% 47% 2%[a] 4%
Florida Atlantic University[449] October 18–21, 2018 704 ± 3.6% 37% 41% 4% 18%
SurveyUSA[450] October 18–21, 2018 665 ± 5.0% 42% 49% 1% 8%
Quinnipiac University[451] October 17–21, 2018 1,161 ± 3.5% 46% 52% 1% 2%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[452] October 17–20, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 42% 48% 10%
CNN/SSRS[453] October 16–20, 2018 759 LV ± 4.2% 42% 54% 0% 4%
872 RV ± 3.9% 42% 52% 0% 5%
OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott)[454] October 14–18, 2018 2,200 ± 2.1% 48% 45% 3%[a] 4%
St. Pete Polls[455] October 15–16, 2018 1,974 ± 2.2% 46% 47% 2%[a] 5%
Florida Southern College[456] October 1–5, 2018 476 ± 4.5% 44% 47% 5% 4%
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS[457] September 19 – October 2, 2018 522 ± 6.0% 40% 48% 1% 10%
St. Pete Polls[458] September 29–30, 2018 2,313 ± 2.0% 45% 47% 2%[a] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[459] September 28–30, 2018 779 ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8%
Strategic Research Associates[460] September 17–30, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 43% 44% 12%
Mason-Dixon[461] September 24–27, 2018 815 ± 3.5% 44% 45% 3% 8%
Quinnipiac University[462] September 22–24, 2018 888 ± 4.0% 45% 54% 0% 2%
Cherry Communications[463] September 19–24, 2018 622 ± 4.4% 42% 48% 2%[a] 6%
Marist College[464] September 16–20, 2018 600 LV ± 4.7% 43% 48% 1% 7%
829 RV ± 4.0% 41% 49% 1% 10%
University of North Florida[465] September 17–19, 2018 605 43% 47% <1% 10%
Florida Atlantic University[466] September 13–16, 2018 850 ± 3.3% 39% 41% 5% 15%
Ipsos[467] September 5–12, 2018 1,000 ± 4.0% 44% 50% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports[468] September 10–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 42% 48% 2% 8%
SurveyUSA[469] September 7–9, 2018 634 ± 5.3% 43% 47% 1% 9%
Cherry Communications[470] September 6–9, 2018 514 ± 4.0% 43% 47% 2% 8%
St. Pete Polls[471] September 5–6, 2018 2,240 ± 2.1% 47% 48% 5%
Quinnipiac University[472] August 30 – September 3, 2018 785 ± 4.3% 47% 50% 0% 3%
Gravis Marketing[473] August 29–30, 2018 1,225 ± 2.8% 45% 47% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[474] August 29–30, 2018 743 ± 4.0% 43% 48% 9%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 39% 36% 25%
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 35% 38% 27%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 29% 33% 37%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
Other Undecided
Frederick Polls (D)[475] August 16–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 40% 44%
Saint Leo University[476] August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 31% 36% 9% 24%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 38% 42% 20%
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 34% 44% 22%
Saint Leo University[73] May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 16% 22% 13% 49%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[477] April 10–11, 2018 661 36% 40% 24%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 30% 33% 37%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Jeff
Greene (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 39% 39% 22%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Chris
King (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 35% 37% 29%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Philip
Levine (D)
Other Undecided
Saint Leo University[476] August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 30% 34% 11% 25%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 40% 38% 22%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[478] June 18–19, 2018 1,308 36% 41%
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 33% 43% 24%
Saint Leo University[73] May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 17% 22% 12% 49%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[477] April 10–11, 2018 661 37% 42% 22%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Putnam (R)
Andrew
Gillum (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 41% 35% 29%
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 39% 42% 20%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 34% 28% 38%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 30% 30% 40%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 31% 31% 39%
Cherry Communications[479] September 17–24, 2017 615 40% 33%
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 32% 31% 37%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Putnam (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
Other Undecided
Saint Leo University[476] August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 36% 31% 9% 24%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 40% 39% 20%
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 39% 45% 17%
Saint Leo University[73] May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 25% 20% 13% 43%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[477] April 10–11, 2018 661 36% 37% 27%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 34% 32% 34%
Saint Leo University[78] February 18–24, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 22% 18% 14% 45%
Gravis Marketing[82] February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 33% 29% 38%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 32% 32% 37%
Cherry Communications[479] September 17–24, 2017 615 39% 37%
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 32% 34% 35%
Cherry Communications[90] December 3–8, 2016 606 39% 36% 25%
Gravis Marketing[480] November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 34% 37% 30%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Putnam (R)
Jeff
Greene (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 41% 39% 20%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Putnam (R)
Chris
King (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 39% 38% 23%
Cherry Communications[479] September 17–24, 2017 615 40% 31%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Putnam (R)
Philip
Levine (D)
Other Undecided
Saint Leo University[476] August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 37% 30% 9% 25%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 43% 38% 19%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[478] June 18–19, 2018 1,308 38% 43%
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 39% 43% 19%
Saint Leo University[73] May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 24% 20% 11% 44%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[477] April 10–11, 2018 661 37% 41% 23%
Cherry Communications[479] September 17–24, 2017 615 40% 32%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
White (R)
Andrew
Gillum (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 28% 38% 35%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
White (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 27% 44% 29%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
White (R)
Chris
King (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 28% 36% 36%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
White (R)
Philip
Levine (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 42% 29%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Morning Consult[481] May 29–30, 2018 1,199 ± 3.0% 38% 40% 22%
Quinnipiac University[482] February 23–26, 2018 1,156 ± 3.6% 37% 45% 18%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran (R)
Andrew
Gillum (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 27% 41% 32%
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 26% 33% 42%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 26% 33% 41%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 23% 32% 46%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 22% 33% 45%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 27% 44% 29%
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 29% 34% 38%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 28% 32% 40%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 24% 33% 44%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 24% 33% 43%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran (R)
Chris
King (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 39% 32%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran (R)
Philip
Levine (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 43% 28%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran (R)
John
Morgan (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 27% 39% 34%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Jolly (R)
John
Morgan (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[480] November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 31% 42% 27%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jeff
Atwater (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[480] November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 32% 40% 28%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jeff
Atwater (R)
John
Morgan (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[480] November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 34% 41% 25%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pam
Bondi (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[480] November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 36% 44% 20%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pam
Bondi (R)
John
Morgan (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[480] November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 35% 45% 20%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Jolly (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[480] November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 29% 40% 31%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Putnam (R)
Andrew
Gillum (D)
John
Morgan (I)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 28% 23% 16% 34%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 27% 20% 17% 36%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 26% 22% 18% 34%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Putnam (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
John
Morgan (I)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 29% 22% 17% 32%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 28% 21% 17% 34%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 27% 23% 17% 33%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran (R)
Andrew
Gillum (D)
John
Morgan (I)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 25% 23% 17% 34%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 20% 21% 17% 41%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 20% 23% 19% 39%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran (R)
Gwen
Graham (D)
John
Morgan (I)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 26% 21% 16% 37%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 20% 23% 16% 41%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 20% 24% 18% 38%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Putnam (R)
John
Morgan (D)
Other Undecided
Saint Leo University[83] November 19–24, 2017 500 ± 4.5% 19% 24% 8% 49%
Cherry Communications[479] September 17–24, 2017 615 40% 37%
Saint Leo University[85] September 10–16, 2017 500 ± 4.5% 18% 24% 16% 42%
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 33% 34% 32%
Saint Leo University[88] March 3–11, 2017 507 ± 4.5% 20% 26% 13% 42%
Cherry Communications[90] December 3–8, 2016 606 40% 37% 23%
Gravis Marketing[480] November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 35% 39% 26%
Close
Hypothetical polling

with Ron DeSantis and Gwen Graham

with Ron DeSantis and Jeff Greene

with Ron DeSantis and Chris King

with Ron DeSantis and Philip Levine

with Adam Putnam and Andrew Gillum

with Adam Putnam and Gwen Graham

with Adam Putnam and Jeff Greene

with Adam Putnam and Chris King

with Adam Putnam and Philip Levine

with Bob White and Andrew Gillum

with Bob White and Gwen Graham

with Bob White and Chris King

with Bob White and Philip Levine

with generic Republican and Democrat

with Richard Corcoran and Andrew Gillum

with Richard Corcoran and Gwen Graham

with Richard Corcoran and Chris King

with Richard Corcoran and Philip Levine

with Richard Corcoran and John Morgan

with David Jolly and John Morgan

with Jeff Atwater and Gwen Graham

with Jeff Atwater and John Morgan

with Pam Bondi and Gwen Graham

with Pam Bondi and John Morgan

with David Jolly and Gwen Graham

with Andrew Putnam, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan

with Andrew Putnam, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan

with Richard Corcoran, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan

with Richard Corcoran, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan

with Adam Putnam and John Morgan

Results

Thumb
State senate district results
More information Party, Candidate ...
2018 Florida gubernatorial election[483]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ron DeSantis 4,076,186 49.59% +1.45%
Democratic Andrew Gillum 4,043,723 49.19% +2.12%
Reform Darcy Richardson 47,140 0.57% N/A
Independent Kyle "KC" Gibson 24,310 0.30% N/A
Independent Ryan Christopher Foley 14,630 0.18% N/A
Independent Bruce Stanley 14,505 0.18% N/A
Write-in 67 0.00% N/A
Total votes 8,220,561 100.00% N/A
Republican hold
Close

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

DeSantis won 14 of 27 congressional districts.[484]

More information District, DeSantis ...
Close

Analysis

Summarize
Perspective

The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. If the margin was below 0.25% after machine recount, Ken Detzner, the Secretary of State of Florida, would commission a manual recount of over-votes and under-votes.[485] However, after the recount was complete, DeSantis' margin was 0.40%; therefore, he was certified the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17.[486]

On November 10, 2022, former president Donald Trump claimed on his Truth Social page that he had prematurely ended the recount to prevent DeSantis and Senate candidate Rick Scott from losing, under the unsubstantiated belief that ballots for them were being removed.[487] Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Nikki Fried has asked Attorney General Merrick Garland to investigate.[488] Sarah Isgur, the spokeswoman of the Department of Justice from 2017 to 2019, has said that it "never happened,"[489] a position which was supported by other former Department of Justice officials.[490] Broward County Commissioner Steven Geller agreed that no interference took place.[491]

Voter demographics

More information Demographic subgroup, Gillum ...
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Gillum DeSantis No
answer
 % of
voters
Gender
Men 41 58 1 45
Women 57 42 1 55
Age
18–24 years old 58 40 2 5
25–29 years old 64 34 2 5
30–39 years old 65 35 N/A 10
40–49 years old 49 50 1 12
50–64 years old 48 52 N/A 31
65 and older 43 56 1 36
Race
White 39 60 1 66
Black 86 14 N/A 13
Latino 54 44 2 15
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other 65 33 2 4
Race by gender
White men 31 69 N/A 31
White women 47 51 2 35
Black men 91 8 1 6
Black women 82 18 N/A 8
Latino men 49 49 2 6
Latina women 58 41 1 9
Others 65 34 1 5
Education
High school or less 44 54 2 20
Some college education 51 48 1 25
Associate degree 47 51 2 15
Bachelor's degree 47 52 1 24
Advanced degree 57 42 1 16
Education and race
White college graduates 46 54 N/A 27
White no college degree 34 64 2 39
Non-white college graduates 61 38 1 12
Non-white no college degree 73 26 1 22
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 57 42 1 13
White women without college degrees 41 58 1 28
White men with college degrees 35 65 N/A 14
White men without college degrees 26 73 1 17
Non-whites 69 30 1 34
Income
Under $30,000 63 36 1 19
$30,000–49,999 49 51 N/A 22
$50,000–99,999 52 47 1 33
$100,000–199,999 50 50 N/A 19
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 93 7 N/A 33
Republicans 7 92 1 38
Independents 54 44 2 29
Party by gender
Democratic men 90 10 N/A 12
Democratic women 95 5 N/A 21
Republican men 7 93 N/A 19
Republican women 7 90 3 18
Independent men 50 49 1 14
Independent women 58 39 3 16
Ideology
Liberals 90 9 1 22
Moderates 61 38 1 39
Conservatives 13 85 2 39
Marital status
Married 44 55 1 64
Unmarried 56 42 2 36
Gender by marital status
Married men 34 65 1 32
Married women 52 47 1 31
Unmarried men 46 51 3 14
Unmarried women 61 37 2 23
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 56 40 4 16
No 47 53 N/A 84
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 74 25 1 40
Immigration 18 80 2 30
Economy 30 69 1 16
Gun policy 77 23 N/A 10
Area type
Urban 57 42 1 42
Suburban 45 53 2 50
Rural 36 64 N/A 8
Source: CNN[492]
Close

See also

Notes

  1. Darcy Richardson (Reform)
  2. The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  3. Includes "Refused"
  4. Kyle Gibson (NPA) with 1%, Ryan Foley (NPA), Darcy Richardson (Reform), and Bruce Stanley (NPA) with 0%

References

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