2022 United States Senate election in Kansas

The 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran was first elected in 2010, winning the seat vacated by Sam Brownback, and ran for re-election to a third term in office.^[1] Democrat Mark Holland, the former mayor of Kansas City, was Moran's opponent in the general election.^[2][3]

2022 United States Senate election in Kansas

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →

Nominee Jerry Moran Mark Holland Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 602,976 372,214 Percentage 60.00% 37.04%

County results Congressional district results Precinct results Moran:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Holland:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Graham:      >90% Tie:      30–40%      40–50%      50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election Jerry Moran Republican Elected U.S. Senator Jerry Moran Republican

Moran ultimately won the election,^[4] but his 60% share of the vote represented another decline from his first victory in 2010, and he lost Johnson County, a major suburban county that had been recently trending left in elections, for the first time in his career. Even so, he still won re-election by an overwhelming margin, despite incumbent Democratic governor Laura Kelly winning re-election on the same ballot. This was the first election since 2002 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election, and the first election since 1968 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas for the Class 3 Senate seat was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jerry Moran, incumbent U.S. Senator^[1][5]

Eliminated in primary

• Joan Farr, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in Oklahoma in 2014 and 2020^[6]

Declined

• Mike Pompeo, former U.S. Secretary of State, former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and former U.S. Representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district (endorsed Moran)^[7]

Endorsements

Jerry Moran

Executive Branch officials

• Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States (2017–2021)^[8]
• Mike Pompeo, 70th secretary of state of the United States (2018–2021), 6th Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018)^[7]
• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[9]

Organizations

• Pro-Israel America^[10]

Results

Results by county:

  Moran

•   70–80%
•   80–90%
•   90–100%

Republican primary results^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jerry Moran (incumbent)	383,332	80.5
	Republican	Joan Farr	93,016	19.5
Total votes			476,348	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mark Holland, United Methodist pastor and former mayor of Kansas City^[12][13]

Eliminated in primary

• Mike Andra, farmer^[14]
• Paul Buskirk, educator^[15][16]
• Robert Klingenberg, salesman and truck driver^[14]
• Michael Soetaert, former Republican candidate for Kansas's 1st congressional district in 2020^[2]
• Patrick Wiesner, bankruptcy attorney, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2014 and nominee in 2016^[15]

Results

Results by county:

  Holland

•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   70–80%

  Buskirk

•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Andra

•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Klingenberg

•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Soetaert

•   20–30%
•   30–40%

Tie

•   20–30%

Democratic primary results^[11]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mark Holland	101,429	38.1
	Democratic	Paul Buskirk	53,750	20.2
	Democratic	Patrick Wiesner	47,034	17.6
	Democratic	Mike Andra	33,464	12.6
	Democratic	Robert Klingenberg	21,413	8.0
	Democratic	Michael Soetaert	9,464	3.6
Total votes			266,554	100.0

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

• David Graham, attorney^[17]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[18]	Solid R	November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[19]	Solid R	January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]	Safe R	November 3, 2021
Politico[21]	Solid R	April 1, 2022
RCP[22]	Safe R	January 10, 2022
Fox News[23]	Solid R	May 12, 2022
DDHQ[24]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[25]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[26]	Safe R	September 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Jerry Moran (R)

Organizations

• American Israel Public Affairs Committee^[27]
• Campaign for Working Families^[27]
• Kansans for Life^[27]
• Kansas Farm Bureau^[28]
• Kansas Livestock Association^[29]
• National Defense PAC^[27]
• National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund^[30][31]
• National Right to Life Committee^[27]

Mark Holland (D)

Organizations

• Everytown for Gun Safety^[32]
• National Education Association^[33]
• Vote Common Good^[34]

Newspapers

• The Kansas City Star^[35]

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jerry Moran (R)	Mark Holland (D)	Other	Undecided
Emerson College[36]	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	54%	33%	5%[b]	8%
Emerson College[37]	September 15–18, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	33%	4%[c]	18%
Echelon Insights[38][A]	August 31 – September 7, 2022	392 (LV)	± 7.5%	54%	35%	–	11%
Battleground Connect (R)[39][B]	August 8–10, 2022	1,074 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	37%	–	5%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Kansas^[40]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Jerry Moran (incumbent)	602,976	60.00%	−2.18%
	Democratic	Mark Holland	372,214	37.04%	+4.80%
	Libertarian	David Graham	29,766	2.96%	−2.62%
Total votes			1,004,956	100.0%
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Johnson (largest city: Overland Park)

By congressional district

Moran won all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.^[41]

District	Moran	Holland	Representative
1st	68%	29%	Tracey Mann
2nd	61%	35%	Jake LaTurner
3rd	50%	47%	Sharice Davids
4th	64%	33%	Ron Estes

See also

• Elections in Kansas
• Political party strength in Kansas
• Kansas Democratic Party
• Kansas Republican Party
• Government of Kansas
• 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election
• 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
• 2022 Kansas House of Representatives election
• 2022 Kansas elections
• 2022 United States Senate elections
• 2022 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Graham (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
3. "Someone else" with 4%

Partisan clients

1. This poll was sponsored by NetChoice
2. This poll was sponsored by the John Brown Freedom Fund