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2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election

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2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
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The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tony Evers won re-election to a second term by a margin of 3.4%, defeating Republican nominee Tim Michels.

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As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in the partisan primary. Barnes was the second lieutenant governor not to run with the incumbent governor since the state constitution was amended in 1967. The partisan primary was held on August 9, 2022, with businessman Tim Michels defeating former lieutenant governor Rebecca Kleefisch in the Republican primary. State senator Roger Roth received the Republican nomination for lieutenant governor.

This election result was the first since 2006 in which a Democrat in Wisconsin won with an outright majority of the vote, the first since 1990 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president, and the first since 1962 in which Wisconsin voted for a Democratic governor at the same time the party held the presidency. This was also the first gubernatorial election in the state since 1998 in which the winning candidate was of a different party than the winner of the concurrent U.S. Senate election.

Evers's victory was labeled a slight upset, as he was initially elected back in 2018 by a meager 1.1%, despite 2018 being considered a much more favorable year for Democrats than 2022. In addition, many polls showed Michels in the lead in the weeks leading up to the election. According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Evers won independent voters by 6–7 percentage points, which contributed to Michels's defeat.[1]

Evers did substantially better than Mandela Barnes did against incumbent senator Ron Johnson in suburban areas of the state in this election as well as compared to his initial election in 2018, chiefly in the "WOW" counties of Waukesha, Ozaukee, and Washington that form a ring around the north and west of Milwaukee, performing in line with Biden's 2020 margins. On the flip side, Michels did better in most rural areas than former governor Scott Walker had in 2018, winning the counties of Crawford, Grant, and Richland, three counties that Evers had previously won four years earlier. Michels also flipped the county of Kenosha. One exception to the trend toward Republicans in rural areas was Door County, which flipped to Evers after having voted for Walker in 2018. Notably, Evers carried the 3rd congressional district, which Republican Derrick Van Orden concurrently won after losing in 2020 to then-Representative Ron Kind; Evers also came within 0.2% of carrying the 1st congressional district.

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Democratic primary

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Governor

Nominee

Disqualified

Endorsements

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Peng Her, CEO of Hmong Institute[14]
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Sara Rodriguez

Statewide officials

State legislators

Party officials

Local officials

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

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Results by county:
  Rodriguez
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Republican primary

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Governor

Thumb
Former lieutenant governor Rebecca Kleefisch finished second in the primary.

Nominee

Eliminated in primary
Disqualified
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Rebecca Kleefisch

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Federal officials

State officials

State legislators

Sheriffs

  • 39 county sheriffs[50]

Local officials

  • 101 local officials[51]

Individuals

Organizations

Tim Michels

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Statewide officials

Organizations

Kevin Nicholson (withdrew)

Individuals

Organizations

  • Wisconsin Family Action PAC[66]
Timothy Ramthun

Federal officials

Individuals

Declined to endorse

Polling

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Michels
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Kleefisch
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Will Martin

Local officials

Patrick Testin

State senators

State assemblymembers

Organizations

  • Wisconsin Right to Life (co-endorsed with Varnam)[87]
  • Wisconsin Young Republicans[61]
David Varnam

Organizations

  • Wisconsin Family Action PAC[88]
  • Wisconsin Right to Life (co-endorsed with Testin)[87]
Jonathan Wichmann

Federal officials

Organizations

  • Stand for Health Freedom[90]
Declined to endorse

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Roth
  •   10-20%
  •   20-30%
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Testin
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Werner
  •   20–30%
  Wichmann
  •   10–20%
  Yudes
  •   20–30%
  Varnam
  •   10–20%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
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Independents

Candidates

Withdrawn

  • Joan Ellis Beglinger, retired nurse and hospital administrator[91] (remained on ballot; endorsed Michels)[92]
    • Running mate: N/A[e]
  • Jess Hisel, engineer and Air Force veteran[93]
    • Running mate: N/A[f]

General election

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Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Post-primary endorsements

Tony Evers (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators[104]

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators[109]

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Tim Michels (R)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Tony Evers vs. Rebecca Kleefisch

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Tony Evers vs. Tim Ramthun

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Tony Evers vs. Kevin Nicholson

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Tony Evers vs. Jonathan Wichmann

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Tony Evers vs. generic Republican

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Results

Thumb
Thumb
More information Party, Candidate ...

By county

More information By county, Evers Democratic ...

By congressional district

Despite losing, Michels won 5 out of 8 congressional districts. Evers won 3 of 8 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[177]

More information District, Evers ...
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See also

Notes

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  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Fischer with 3%
  3. Fischer and "Someone else" with 2%
  4. "Someone else" with 2%; Fischer with 0%
  5. Beglinger withdrew prior to announcing a running mate
  6. Hisel withdrew prior to announcing a running mate
  7. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  8. "Someone else" with 1%
  9. "Refused" with 3%
  10. "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  11. "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  12. "Someone else" with 2%
  13. "Someone else" with <1%
  14. "Someone else" with 1%
  15. "Neither" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  16. "Neither" with 1%
  17. "Other" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  18. "Wouldn't vote" with 1%;"Other" with 1%
  19. "Another candidate" with 1%, "Not going to vote" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by 314 Action Fund, which supports Rodriguez for lieutenant governor
  2. This poll was sponsored by Sunrise in America Political Fund, which supports Michels
  3. This poll was sponsored by Milwaukee Works, a local 501(c)(4)
  4. This poll was sponsored by Fight for Wisconsin, which supports Nicholson
  5. This poll was sponsored by Rebecca Kleefisch's campaign
  6. This poll was sponsored by School Choice Wisconsin Action
  7. This poll was sponsored by Tom Nelson's campaign
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References

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