2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.^[2]

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout	73.73%[1] 1.62 pp
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Electoral vote 16 0 Popular vote 2,898,423 2,715,375 Percentage 50.86% 47.65%
County results Congressional district results Precinct results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Votes
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

While Republican presidential candidates won close victories in 2012, 2016, and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in 2020, at the state level, Democrat Roy Cooper won the 2016 and 2020 gubernatorial elections. Because of these results, the presidential election was expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina was targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as a tossup or slightly leaning towards the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, who carried the state with a margin similar to his 2016 result.^[3] Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris.

Despite North Carolina Republicans struggling down-ballot, especially due to controversial Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson, Trump won the state by 3.21%, keeping it in the Republican column for the fourth election cycle in a row. Trump won the state himself for the third straight election. North Carolina remains the only battleground state that Trump won all three times. With 50.9 percent of the vote, Trump won the highest percentage of the vote for any presidential candidate since 2004.

Harris did outperform Hillary Clinton in 2016, losing by a 3.21% margin compared to Clinton's 3.66% margin of defeat. North Carolina and Georgia were the only two battleground states where Harris did better than Clinton but worse than Biden.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary

In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures.^[4] The North Carolina Democratic Party submitted only Joe Biden as a candidate,^[5] and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023, deadline.^[6]

The cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges.^[5][7] Marianne Williamson and Cenk Uygur also criticized the moves.^[5]

In addition to the candidates on the ballot, the "No Preference" option appeared on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.^[8]

The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

North Carolina Democratic primary, March 5, 2024^[9]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	609,680	87.27%	113
No Preference	88,900	12.73%
Total:	698,580	100.00%	132		132

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary

The North Carolina Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

North Carolina Republican primary, March 5, 2024^[10]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	793,978	73.84%	62		62
Nikki Haley	250,838	23.33%	12		12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	14,740	1.37%
No Preference	7,448	0.69%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	3,418	0.32%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	3,166	0.29%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	916	0.09%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)	727	0.07%
Total:	1,075,231	100.00%	74		74

Libertarian primary

2024 North Carolina Libertarian presidential Primary

← 2020 March 5, 2024 2028 →

← IA CA →

Candidate None of the above Chase Oliver Home state N/A Georgia Percentage 40.5% 13.3%   Candidate Jacob Hornberger Joshua Smith Home state Virginia Iowa Percentage 7.0% 7.0%

Main article: 2024 North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary

The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.^[11]

North Carolina Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
None of the Above	2,058	40.5%
Chase Oliver	676	13.3%
Jacob Hornberger	357	7.0%
Joshua Smith	354	7.0%
Michael Rectenwald	195	3.8%
Charles Ballay	183	3.6%
Lars Mapstead	176	3.5%
Mike ter Maat	137	2.7%
Other[a]	946	18.7%
Total:	5,082	100.0%
Source:[12]

General election

Events and rule changes

Voters must now show a voter ID at the polls and provide a copy of their ID with their mail-in ballots. Mail-in ballots received after election day also will not be counted.^[13] There will also be more partisan poll-watchers.^[14] The laws are similar to others passed in Republican-controlled states which Democrats have criticized as voter suppression.^[13][14] Common Cause North Carolina and the League of Women Voters of North Carolina have been educating voters on the new rules.^[13]

On September 12, 2024, the Republican National Committee sued to block the use of digital IDs, popular with students at the University of North Carolina, as a form of voter ID.^[15] The plaintiffs sought a temporary restraining order, and alleged that the digital IDs did not comply with the state's voter identification requirements and were susceptible to fraud.^[15] On September 20, 2024, Wake County Superior Court Judge Keith Gregory rejected the request for a temporary restraining order, stating that the Republican National Committee had not "advanced any credible link between the State Board's approval of Mobile One Cards and a heightened risk of ineligible voters casting illegal votes."^[15]

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was granted the status of presidential candidate in July 2024 for North Carolina after state authorities recognized the political party he founded, "We the People," which allowed Kennedy to qualify using 13,757 signatures, instead of the 82,542 signatures required for a candidate with no party.^[16][17] The North Carolina Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that Kennedy was improperly using his party to avoid higher qualification requirements, but this lawsuit against Kennedy was unsuccessful.^[17] On August 27, Kennedy asked state authorities to remove him as a presidential candidate in North Carolina; on August 28, the We the People party officially made the same request to state authorities; both requests were initially denied due to ballots already being printed and upcoming deadlines, with North Carolina law mandating that absentee ballots should be mailed by authorities from September 6.^[18][19]

Kennedy responded by launching a lawsuit demanding to be removed as a presidential candidate in North Carolina, with Kennedy previously saying that "by staying on the ballot in the battleground states, I would likely hand the election over to the Democrats", while Kennedy remained as a presidential candidate in non-battleground states and indicated that his lawsuit to become a presidential candidate in New York would continue.^[17][19][20] While Wake County Superior Court ruled against Kennedy, he appealed and the North Carolina Court of Appeals ruled for Kennedy on September 6, ordering for authorities to reprint ballots without Kennedy as a candidate.^[20] The North Carolina Supreme Court affirmed the Court of Appeals' decision on September 9, so authorities went to reprint the ballots, which delayed the mailing date from the originally stipulated September 6 date to become September 20 for military and overseas voters and September 24 for other voters.^[21]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[22]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]	Lean R	November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
CNN[25]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
CNalysis[26]	Tilt D (flip)	November 4, 2024
The Economist[27]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
538[28]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
Inside Elections[29]	Tossup	November 4, 2024
NBC News[30]	Tossup	November 4, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [b]	Margin
270ToWin[31]	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.3%	48.6%	4.1%	Trump +1.3%
538[32]	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.4%	48.3%	4.3%	Trump +0.9%
Silver Bulletin[33]	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.7%	48.8%	3.5%	Trump +1.1%
The Hill/DDHQ[34]	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	49.4%	2.7%	Trump +1.5%
Average			47.6%	48.8%	3.6%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[35]	November 3–5, 2024	1,815 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	47%	5%
				50.5%[d]	49.5%	–
		1,600 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
				50.2%[d]	49.8%	–
AtlasIntel[36]	November 3–4, 2024	1,219 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
Patriot Polling[37]	November 1–3, 2024	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	49%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)[38]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	47%	4%[e]
AtlasIntel[39]	November 1–2, 2024	1,310 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	2%
Emerson College[40]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%[f]
				50%[d]	49%	1%[f]
The New York Times/Siena College[41]	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	8%
		1,010 (LV)		46%	48%	6%
ActiVote[42]	October 17 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Morning Consult[43]	October 23 − November 1, 2024	1,056 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
AtlasIntel[44]	October 30–31, 2024	1,373 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	2%
YouGov[45][A]	October 25–31, 2024	987 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	49%	2%
		949 (LV)		50%	49%	1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[46][B]	October 25–30, 2024	751 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%[g]
AtlasIntel[47]	October 25–29, 2024	1,665 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[48]	October 25–28, 2024	1,091 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	5%[g]
Fox News[49]	October 24–28, 2024	1,113 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
		872 (LV)		50%	49%	1%
SurveyUSA[50][C]	October 23–26, 2024	853 (LV)	± 4.1%	47%	47%	6%[e]
CES/YouGov[51]	October 1–25, 2024	2,330 (A)	–	48%	49%	3%
		2,308 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
Emerson College[52]	October 21–22, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	48%	2%[h]
				50%[d]	48%	2%[h]
Marist College[53]	October 17–22, 2024	1,410 (RV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%[i]
		1,226 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	48%	2%[j]
SoCal Strategies (R)[54][D]	October 20–21, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	46%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[55]	October 19–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%[e]
High Point University/SurveyUSA[56]	October 17–20, 2024	1,164 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	7%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[57]	October 16–20, 2024	755 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
		702 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
AtlasIntel[58]	October 12–17, 2024	1,674 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	51%	–
Elon University[59]	October 10–17, 2024	800 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	8%[k]
Morning Consult[43]	October 6−15, 2024	1,072 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
The Washington Post/Schar School[60]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	965 (RV)	± 3.9%	49%	45%	6%
		965 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Quinnipiac University[61]	October 10–14, 2024	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[62][B]	October 9–14, 2024	1,042 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	46%	3%[g]
Trafalgar Group (R)[63]	October 10–13, 2024	1,085 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	45%	6%[l]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[64][E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College[65]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%[f]
				50%[d]	49%	1%[f]
The Wall Street Journal[66]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	47%	6%
ActiVote[67]	September 7 – October 6, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)[68]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Quinnipiac University[69]	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	48%	3%
The Washington Post[70]	September 25–29, 2024	1,001 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3%[f]
		1,001 (LV)		50%	48%	2%[f]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[71][F]	September 23–29, 2024	401 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
High Point University[72]	September 20–29, 2024	814 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	48%	6%[h]
		589 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	4%[h]
Emerson College[73][G]	September 27–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%[f]
				50%[d]	49%	1%[f]
RMG Research[74][H]	September 25–27, 2024	780 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	46%	5%[m]
				51%[d]	47%	2%[n]
AtlasIntel[75]	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[76]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	49%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[77]	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
		828 (LV)		48%	50%	2%
Fox News[78]	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
		787 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Marist College[79]	September 19−24, 2024	1,507 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%[j]
		1,348 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	49%	2%[j]
The Bullfinch Group[80][I]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[81][B]	September 19−22, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%[e]
The New York Times/Siena College[82]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	5%
		682 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Meredith College[83]	September 18−20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%[o]
Victory Insights[84]	September 16−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Emerson College[85]	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[f]
				49%[d]	50%	1%[f]
Morning Consult[43]	September 9−18, 2024	1,314 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[86][J]	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%[g]
TIPP Insights[87][K]	September 11–13, 2024	973 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	46%	5%
Elon University[88]	September 4−13, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	46%	9%[p]
Trafalgar Group (R)[89]	September 11–12, 2024	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	46%	6%[e]
Quantus Insights (R)[90][L]	September 11–12, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	47%	5%[q]
				50%	48%	2%[r]
Quinnipiac University[91]	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	50%	3%[h]
Morning Consult[43]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,369 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SurveyUSA[92][C]	September 4–7, 2024	900 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	49%	5%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[93]	September 5–6, 2024	692 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	46%	7%[p]
		619 (LV)		48%	47%	5%[s]
Patriot Polling[94]	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	50%	48%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[95]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%[s]
ActiVote[96]	August 6–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Emerson College[97]	August 25–28, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%
				50%[d]	49%	1%[f]
SoCal Strategies (R)[98][D]	August 26–27, 2024	612 (LV)	–	50%	46%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[99]	August 23–26, 2024	645 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
		700 (RV)		47%	49%	4%
Fox News[100]	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%[g]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
High Point University/SurveyUSA[101]	August 19–21, 2024	1,053 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	9%
		941 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Spry Strategies (R)[102][M]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	6%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
Focaldata[103]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	50%	–
The New York Times/Siena College[104]	August 9–14, 2024	655 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	49%	5%
		655 (LV)		47%	49%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[105]	August 6–8, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	45%	6%
Navigator Research (D)[106]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[107]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[109]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	40%	10%
Emerson College[110]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	41%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [t]	Margin
Race to the WH[111]	through October 2, 2024	October 15, 2024	47.1%	47.8%	1.0%	0.8%	—	3.3%	Trump +0.8%
270toWin[112]	October 1 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	46.6%	47.0%	0.8%	1.0%	0.5%	4.1%	Trump +0.4%
Average			47.0%	47.5%	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%	3.3%	Trump +0.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[35]	November 3–5, 2024	1,815 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	46%	1%	1%	–	4%
				49.0%[d]	48.5%	1.6%	0.9%	–	–
		1,600 (LV)		49%	48%	1%	0%	–	2%
				49.2%[d]	49.0%	1.2%	0.6%	–	–
AtlasIntel[36]	November 3–4, 2024	1,219 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	–	1%	0%	1%[g]
AtlasIntel[39]	November 1–2, 2024	1,310 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	–	1%	0%	2%[g]
The New York Times/Siena College[41]	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	43%	47%	0%	0%	1%	9%
		1,010 (LV)		45%	48%	0%	0%	0%	7%
Focaldata[113]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,787 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	1%	1%	2%
		1,785 (RV)	± 2.2%	46%	50%	–	1%	1%	2%
		1,987 (A)	–	46%	48%	–	2%	1%	4%
AtlasIntel[44]	October 30–31, 2024	1,373 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[114]	October 28–31, 2024	1,123 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
YouGov[45][A]	October 25–31, 2024	987 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	0%	1%	–	4%
		949 (LV)		49%	48%	0%	1%	–	2%
AtlasIntel[47]	October 25–29, 2024	1,665 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	0%	3%[g]
East Carolina University[115]	October 24–29, 2024	1,250 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	0%	0%	0%	2%
CNN/SSRS[116]	October 23–28, 2024	750 (LV)	± 4.5%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[117]	October 25–27, 2024	770 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	1%	1%	4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[118]	October 16–23, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.2%	47%	45%	1%	1%	0%	6%[u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[119]	October 20–22, 2024	679 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	0%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[57]	October 16–20, 2024	755 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	3%	1%
		702 (LV)		49%	48%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[120]	October 16–18, 2024	843 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	0%	6%
AtlasIntel[58]	October 12–17, 2024	1,674 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	50%	0%	1%	0%	–
Cygnal (R)[121][N]	October 6–15, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	1%	0%	1%	4%[u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[122]	October 12–14, 2024	620 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	0%	1%	5%
Quinnipiac University[61]	October 10–14, 2024	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	49%	0%	0%	1%	3%[u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[123]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	753 (LV)	–	47%	45%	–	1%	0%	7%
Quinnipiac University[69]	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	1%	1%	0%	2%[u]
East Carolina University[124]	September 23–26, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	0%	0%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel[75]	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	1%	1%	0%	–
CNN/SSRS[125]	September 20–25, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.9%	48%	48%	1%	0%	1%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[76]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	46%	49%	1%	2%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[77]	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	–	1%	3%	2%
		828 (LV)		47%	49%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News[78]	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
		787 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%
The New York Times/Siena College[82]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	46%	–	0%	1%	7%
		682 (LV)		47%	45%	–	0%	1%	7%
Meredith College[126]	September 18–20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	0%	1%	1%	2%[u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[127]	September 16–19, 2024	868 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	0%	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[86][J]	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Cygnal (R)[128][N]	September 15–16, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	2%	0%	1%	6%[u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[129]	September 6–9, 2024	495 (LV)	–	44%	45%	–	0%	0%	11%
Quinnipiac University[91]	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	49%	0%	1%	0%	4%[f]
YouGov[130][A]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	46%	0%	1%	–	6%[g]
East Carolina University[131]	August 26–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	0%	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[132]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	45%	44%	–	1%	1%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[99]	August 23–26, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	–	1%	2%	2%
		645 (LV)		48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Fox News[100]	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	2%	1%	1%	1%[g]

Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Fox News[49]	October 24–28, 2024	1,113 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%
		872 (LV)		49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%	–
The Wall Street Journal[66]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	46%	45%	0%	1%	1%	2%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[71][F]	September 23–29, 2024	401 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	47%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%
Spry Strategies (R)[102][M]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	3%	–	1%	–	4%
Focaldata[103]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	47%	5%	–	1%	0%	1%
		702 (RV)		44%	47%	6%	–	1%	0%	2%
		702 (A)		43%	47%	7%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[133]	August 12–15, 2024	601 (LV)	–	47%	44%	2%	–	0%	1%	6%
The New York Times/Siena College[104]	August 9–14, 2024	655 (RV)	± 4.2%	42%	45%	5%	0%	2%	1%	4%
		655 (LV)		44%	46%	4%	0%	1%	1%	4%
YouGov Blue (D)[134][O]	August 5–9, 2024	802 (RV)	± 3.9%	46%	46%	2%	0%	0%	0%	5%
Navigator Research (D)[106]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	3%	0%	1%	0%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[107]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	44%	46%	4%	0%	1%	–	5%
Cygnal (R)[135][N]	August 4–5, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	4%	–	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[136]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	714 (LV)	–	44%	41%	4%	–	0%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	44%	5%	–	0%	4%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[137]	July 22–24, 2024	586 (LV)	–	46%	43%	4%	–	0%	0%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[138][P]	July 17–20, 2024	573 (RV)	± 4.1%	48%	44%	2%	2%	4%

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Quantus Insights (R)[90][L]	September 11–12, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	42%	9%[q]
Public Policy Polling (D)[138][P]	July 17–20, 2024	573 (RV)	± 4.1%	50%	46%	4%
Emerson College[139][Q]	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	41%	11%
Echelon Insights[140][R]	July 1–8, 2024	610 (LV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[141]	July 1–5, 2024	696 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	43%	11%
Spry Strategies (R)[142]	June 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	44%	8%
East Carolina University[143]	May 31 – June 3, 2024	1,332 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	43%	9%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[144][K]	May 29 – June 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	41%	10%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[145][S]	May 26–27, 2024	1,053 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	43%	6%
Change Research (D)[146][T]	May 13–18, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.8%	45%	43%	12%
Prime Group[147][U]	May 9–16, 2024	472 (RV)	–	51%	49%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[148]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	42%	9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[149]	May 6–13, 2024	601 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	41%	11%
High Point University[150]	May 5–9, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.2%	44%	42%	14%
Emerson College[151]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	42%	11%
				52%[d]	48%	–
John Zogby Strategies[152][V]	April 13–21, 2024	641 (LV)	–	49%	45%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[153]	April 8–15, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	41%	8%
Mason-Dixon[154]	April 9–13, 2024	635 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
Quinnipiac University[155]	April 4–8, 2024	1,401 (RV)	± 2.6%	48%	46%	6%
High Point University[156]	March 22–30, 2024	829(RV)	± 3.4%	45%	42%	14%
The Wall Street Journal[157]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
Marist College[158]	March 11–14, 2024	1,197 (RV)	± 3.6%	51%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[159]	March 8–12, 2024	699 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
SurveyUSA[160][C]	March 3–9, 2024	598 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	45%	5%
Cygnal (R)[161][W]	March 6–7, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	40%	15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[162]	February 12–20, 2024	704 (RV)	± 5.0%	50%	41%	9%
Emerson College[110]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	44%	9%
Fox News[163]	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	45%	5%
Meredith College[164]	January 26–31, 2024	760 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	39%	17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[165]	January 16–21, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	39%	12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[166]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	40%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[167]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	39%	13%
Meredith College[168]	November 1–5, 2023	755 (RV)	± 3.5%	39%	40%	22%[v]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[169]	October 5–10, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	43%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[170]	October 7–9, 2023	736 (LV)	–	43%	38%	20%
Change Research (D)[171][T]	September 1–5, 2023	914 (LV)	± 3.6%	46%	42%	12%
Prime Group[172][U]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	54%	46%	–
				45%	37%	18%[w]
Opinion Diagnostics[173]	June 5–7, 2023	902 (LV)	± 3.3%	43%	40%	18%
Cygnal (R)[174][W]	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	12%
Differentiators (R)[175][X]	January 9–12, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	45%	48%	7%
Emerson College[176]	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	40%	9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[177][T]	October 7–8, 2022	606 (RV)	–	44%	44%	12%
SurveyUSA[178][C]	September 28 – October 2, 2022	918 (RV)	± 3.9%	43%	45%	12%
Emerson College[179]	September 15–16, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	42%	11%
East Carolina University[180]	September 7–10, 2022	1,020 (LV)	± 3.6%	46%	45%	9%
Blueprint Polling (D)[181]	August 4–6, 2022	656 (LV)	± 3.8%	45%	39%	17%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[182][Y]	July 22–24, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	48%	41%	11%
East Carolina University[183]	May 19–20, 2022	635 (RV)	± 4.5%	46%	37%	16%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[138][P]	July 17–20, 2024	573 (RV)	± 4.1%	48%	42%	2%	–	2%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[184]	July 16–18, 2024	461 (LV)	–	45%	39%	5%	–	1%	10%[x]
Emerson College[139][Q]	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	38%	6%	1%	1%	7%[x]
YouGov[185][A]	July 4–12, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.7%	44%	40%	4%	0%	1%	11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[186]	July 8–10, 2024	420 (LV)	–	44%	42%	4%	–	1%	9%[y]
Echelon Insights[140][R]	July 1–8, 2024	610 (LV)	± 5.0%	43%	41%	7%	2%	1%	6%[x]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[141]	July 1–5, 2024	696 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	40%	7%	1%	1%	9%[x]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[187]	June 8–11, 2024	534 (LV)	–	43%	40%	7%	–	1%	9%[y]
North Star Opinion Research (R)[144][K]	May 29 – June 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	32%	9%	3%	2%	10%
Prime Group[147][U]	May 9–16, 2024	472 (RV)	–	45%	42%	11%	2%	1%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[148]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	38%	7%	1%	1%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[149]	May 6–13, 2024	601 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	36%	8%	3%	1%	8%
Emerson College[151]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	6%	1%	1%	9%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[188][Z]	April 25–28, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	35%	11%	–	2%	12%[z]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[153]	April 8–15, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	38%	5%	1%	0%	8%
Quinnipiac University[155]	April 4–8, 2024	1,401 (RV)	± 2.6%	41%	38%	12%	3%	3%	3%
The Wall Street Journal[157]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	34%	10%	2%	1%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[159]	March 8–12, 2024	699 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	39%	7%	1%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[162]	February 12–20, 2024	704 (RV)	± 5.0%	45%	35%	9%	1%	1%	9%
Emerson College[110]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	5%	1%	1%	10%
East Carolina University[189]	February 9–12, 2024	1,207 (LV)	± 3.3%	47%	44%	2%	1%	1%	5%
Fox News[163]	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	8%	1%	2%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[190]	January 16–21, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	32%	9%	1%	1%	12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[191]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	34%	8%	1%	1%	11%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[142]	June 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	37%	8%	10%
Change Research (D)[146][T]	May 13–18, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.8%	41%	38%	11%	10%
Cygnal (R)[192][N]	May 4–5, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	38%	9%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[193]	May 2–4, 2024	700 (LV)	–	44%	37%	7%	12%
Meredith College[194]	April 11–17, 2024	711 (LV)	± 3.5%	41%	39%	9%	11%
Cygnal (R)[195][W]	April 7–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	39%	7%	11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[196]	March 14–17, 2024	642 (LV)	–	43%	39%	8%	10%
Marist College[158]	March 11–14, 2024	1,197 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	43%	11%	–
North Star Opinion Research (R)[197][AA]	January 30 – February 4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	32%	16%	13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[198]	December 28–30, 2023	1,220 (LV)	–	37%	33%	11%	19%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[199]	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	44%	35%	8%	13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[170]	October 7–9, 2023	736 (LV)	–	41%	38%	9%	14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[200]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	33%	9%	2%	14%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[152][V]	April 13–21, 2024	641 (LV)	–	45%	39%	16%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[152][V]	April 13–21, 2024	641 (LV)	–	50%	40%	10%

Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Roy Cooper Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[138][P]	July 17–20, 2024	573 (RV)	± 4.1%	45%	41%	3%	2%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College[110]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	34%	17%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Fox News[163]	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	41%	13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
East Carolina University[189]	February 9–12, 2024	1,207 (LV)	± 3.3%	32%	40%	10%	2%	0%	16%
Fox News[163]	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	31%	33%	19%	2%	2%	13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[199]	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	36%	33%	12%	18%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics[173]	June 5–7, 2023	902 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	40%	13%
Cygnal (R)[174][W]	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	41%	15%
Differentiators (R)[175][X]	January 9–12, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	44%	7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[199]	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	38%	34%	12%	4%	12%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Mike Pence Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)[174][W]	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	41%	20%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina^[201]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	2,898,424	50.86%	+0.93%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	2,715,378	47.65%	−0.94%
	Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	24,762	0.43%	+0.21%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	22,125	0.39%	−0.49%
	Justice for All	Cornel West Melina Abdullah	12,099	0.21%	+0.21%
	Constitution	Randall Terry Stephen Broden	6,863	0.12%	−0.02%
	Write-in		19,494	0.33%	+0.09%
Total votes			5,699,145	100.00%	N/A

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Alamance	47,937	53.36%	40,624	45.22%	1,270	1.41%	7,313	8.14%	89,831
Alexander	16,404	79.33%	4,060	19.64%	213	1.03%	12,344	59.69%	20,677
Alleghany	4,900	75.43%	1,533	23.60%	63	0.97%	3,367	51.83%	6,496
Anson	5,525	50.80%	5,253	48.30%	97	0.89%	272	2.50%	10,875
Ashe	11,629	71.55%	4,431	27.26%	193	1.19%	7,198	44.29%	16,253
Avery	7,181	75.68%	2,220	23.40%	88	0.93%	4,961	52.28%	9,489
Beaufort	17,296	65.09%	9,049	34.05%	227	0.85%	8,247	31.04%	26,572
Bertie	3,840	41.80%	5,279	57.47%	67	0.73%	-1,439	-15.67%	9,186
Bladen	10,035	59.86%	6,620	39.49%	109	0.65%	3,415	20.37%	16,764
Brunswick	67,658	61.86%	40,557	37.08%	1,163	1.06%	27,101	24.78%	109,378
Buncombe	59,016	36.77%	98,662	61.47%	2,832	1.76%	-39,646	-24.70%	160,510
Burke	32,130	70.08%	13,272	28.95%	445	0.97%	18,858	41.13%	45,847
Cabarrus	63,746	53.03%	54,494	45.34%	1,962	1.63%	9,252	7.69%	120,202
Caldwell	33,009	75.81%	10,146	23.30%	385	0.88%	22,863	52.51%	43,540
Camden	4,716	74.81%	1,522	24.14%	66	1.05%	3,194	50.67%	6,304
Carteret	32,508	70.95%	12,813	27.97%	496	1.08%	19,695	42.98%	45,817
Caswell	7,445	61.84%	4,493	37.32%	102	0.85%	2,952	24.52%	12,040
Catawba	59,577	68.39%	26,569	30.50%	963	1.11%	33,008	37.89%	87,109
Chatham	22,507	43.03%	29,014	55.48%	780	1.49%	-6,507	-12.45%	52,301
Cherokee	13,883	77.89%	3,686	20.68%	255	1.43%	10,197	57.21%	17,824
Chowan	4,587	60.74%	2,895	38.33%	70	0.93%	1,692	22.41%	7,552
Clay	5,761	74.55%	1,899	24.57%	68	0.88%	3,862	49.98%	7,728
Cleveland	34,654	67.02%	16,603	32.11%	449	0.87%	18,051	34.91%	51,706
Columbus	17,592	66.63%	8,648	32.76%	162	0.61%	8,944	33.87%	26,402
Craven	33,477	59.60%	22,011	39.18%	685	1.22%	11,466	20.42%	56,173
Cumberland	59,840	42.59%	78,631	55.96%	2,042	1.45%	-18,791	-13.37%	140,513
Currituck	13,235	73.31%	4,604	25.50%	214	1.19%	8,631	47.81%	18,053
Dare	14,792	58.71%	10,074	39.98%	330	1.31%	4,718	18.73%	25,196
Davidson	67,959	72.72%	24,150	25.84%	1,343	1.44%	43,809	46.88%	93,452
Davie	19,398	72.25%	6,988	26.03%	464	1.73%	12,410	46.22%	26,850
Duplin	14,677	64.10%	8,057	35.19%	164	0.72%	6,620	28.91%	22,898
Durham	32,853	18.16%	144,450	79.85%	3,609	1.99%	-111,597	-61.69%	180,912
Edgecombe	9,355	38.26%	14,900	60.95%	193	0.79%	-5,545	-22.69%	24,448
Forsyth	87,292	42.64%	114,145	55.76%	3,289	1.61%	-26,853	-13.12%	204,726
Franklin	23,938	56.10%	18,167	42.58%	562	1.32%	5,771	13.52%	42,667
Gaston	73,828	61.91%	44,062	36.95%	1,366	1.15%	29,766	24.96%	119,256
Gates	3,538	60.29%	2,268	38.65%	62	1.06%	1,270	21.64%	5,868
Graham	3,883	81.25%	839	17.56%	57	1.19%	3,044	63.69%	4,779
Granville	17,383	54.15%	14,365	44.75%	356	1.11%	3,018	9.40%	32,104
Greene	4,965	58.76%	3,437	40.67%	48	0.57%	1,528	18.09%	8,450
Guilford	109,077	38.27%	171,118	60.03%	4,858	1.70%	-62,041	-21.76%	285,053
Halifax	9,778	40.80%	14,014	58.48%	173	0.72%	-4,236	-17.68%	23,965
Harnett	39,440	61.86%	23,472	36.81%	845	1.33%	15,968	25.05%	63,757
Haywood	23,393	61.80%	13,913	36.76%	545	1.44%	9,480	25.04%	37,851
Henderson	39,497	56.45%	29,361	41.96%	1,116	1.59%	10,136	14.49%	69,974
Hertford	3,561	36.18%	6,191	62.90%	91	0.92%	-2,630	-26.72%	9,843
Hoke	10,547	46.33%	11,896	52.25%	324	1.42%	-1,349	-5.92%	22,767
Hyde	1,465	60.51%	931	38.46%	25	1.03%	534	22.05%	2,421
Iredell	72,801	65.66%	36,739	33.14%	1,335	1.20%	36,062	32.52%	110,875
Jackson	11,796	53.76%	9,746	44.42%	400	1.82%	2,050	9.34%	21,942
Johnston	74,878	60.06%	48,116	38.59%	1,684	1.35%	26,762	21.47%	124,678
Jones	3,409	62.40%	2,007	36.74%	47	0.86%	1,402	25.66%	5,463
Lee	17,489	58.14%	12,245	40.71%	347	1.15%	5,244	17.43%	30,081
Lenoir	14,564	52.95%	12,700	46.18%	239	0.87%	1,864	6.77%	27,503
Lincoln	40,183	72.29%	14,842	26.70%	557	1.00%	25,341	45.59%	55,582
Macon	14,981	68.30%	6,675	30.43%	278	1.27%	8,306	37.87%	21,934
Madison	8,275	60.75%	5,090	37.37%	256	1.88%	3,185	23.38%	13,621
Martin	6,601	54.83%	5,360	44.52%	79	0.66%	1,241	10.31%	12,040
McDowell	17,520	74.06%	5,911	24.99%	224	0.95%	11,609	49.07%	23,655
Mecklenburg	187,770	32.51%	376,454	65.19%	13,281	2.30%	-188,684	-32.68%	577,505
Mitchell	6,843	77.39%	1,915	21.66%	84	0.95%	4,928	55.73%	8,842
Montgomery	9,044	68.48%	4,055	30.71%	107	0.81%	4,989	37.77%	13,206
Moore	39,617	64.12%	21,436	34.69%	737	1.19%	18,181	29.43%	61,790
Nash	26,431	50.37%	25,508	48.61%	532	1.01%	923	1.76%	52,471
New Hanover	67,949	48.98%	68,814	49.60%	1,971	1.42%	-865	-0.62%	138,734
Northampton	3,905	42.38%	5,239	56.85%	71	0.77%	-1,334	-14.47%	9,215
Onslow	54,960	67.29%	25,684	31.44%	1,037	1.27%	29,276	35.85%	81,681
Orange	20,806	23.70%	65,444	74.53%	1,557	1.77%	-44,638	-50.83%	87,807
Pamlico	5,229	65.56%	2,676	33.55%	71	0.89%	2,553	32.01%	7,976
Pasquotank	10,537	51.80%	9,549	46.94%	257	1.26%	988	4.86%	20,343
Pender	26,042	66.93%	12,460	32.02%	407	1.05%	13,582	34.91%	38,909
Perquimans	5,278	68.85%	2,269	29.60%	119	1.55%	3,009	39.25%	7,666
Person	13,509	61.30%	8,295	37.64%	232	1.05%	5,214	23.66%	22,036
Pitt	40,403	46.37%	45,595	52.33%	1,132	1.30%	-5,192	-5.96%	87,130
Polk	8,107	62.04%	4,827	36.94%	134	1.03%	3,280	25.10%	13,068
Randolph	59,357	78.09%	15,951	20.99%	700	0.92%	43,406	57.10%	76,008
Richmond	11,931	60.04%	7,787	39.18%	155	0.78%	4,144	20.86%	19,873
Robeson	29,647	63.39%	16,728	35.77%	395	0.84%	12,919	27.62%	46,770
Rockingham	33,447	67.44%	15,676	31.61%	472	0.95%	17,771	35.83%	49,595
Rowan	50,807	67.39%	23,788	31.55%	799	1.06%	27,019	35.84%	75,394
Rutherford	25,456	73.42%	8,914	25.71%	300	0.87%	16,542	47.71%	34,670
Sampson	18,178	64.46%	9,797	34.74%	226	0.80%	8,381	29.72%	28,201
Scotland	7,767	53.10%	6,754	46.18%	105	0.72%	1,013	6.92%	14,626
Stanly	27,518	74.95%	8,881	24.19%	315	0.86%	18,637	50.76%	36,714
Stokes	21,548	79.29%	5,380	19.80%	247	0.91%	16,168	59.49%	27,175
Surry	28,565	76.16%	8,613	22.96%	330	0.88%	19,952	53.20%	37,508
Swain	4,311	61.13%	2,643	37.48%	98	1.39%	1,668	23.65%	7,052
Transylvania	11,492	55.30%	8,972	43.18%	316	1.52%	2,520	12.12%	20,780
Tyrrell	1,057	60.16%	680	38.70%	20	1.14%	377	21.46%	1,757
Union	86,271	61.91%	51,168	36.72%	1,916	1.37%	35,103	25.19%	139,355
Vance	8,614	42.87%	11,292	56.20%	186	0.93%	-2,678	-13.33%	20,092
Wake	236,735	36.22%	402,984	61.66%	13,861	2.12%	-166,249	-25.44%	653,580
Warren	3,976	39.71%	5,872	58.64%	165	1.65%	-1,896	-18.93%	10,013
Washington	2,768	46.57%	3,138	52.79%	38	0.64%	-370	-6.22%	5,944
Watauga	15,254	46.09%	17,225	52.05%	616	1.86%	-1,971	-5.96%	33,095
Wayne	31,580	57.67%	22,618	41.30%	564	1.03%	8,962	16.37%	54,762
Wilkes	28,812	79.33%	7,194	19.81%	314	0.86%	21,618	59.52%	36,320
Wilson	19,750	49.32%	19,909	49.72%	386	0.96%	-159	-0.40%	40,045
Yadkin	16,439	80.60%	3,739	18.33%	219	1.07%	12,700	62.27%	20,397
Yancey	7,509	66.55%	3,635	32.22%	139	1.23%	3,874	34.33%	11,283
Totals	2,898,423	50.86%	2,715,375	47.65%	85,343	1.49%	183,048	3.21%	5,699,141

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Anson (largest municipality: Wadesboro)
• Nash (largest municipality: Rocky Mount)
• Pasquotank (largest municipality: Elizabeth City)

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

By congressional district

Trump won 11 of 14 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.^{[202][user-generated source]}

District	Trump	Harris	Representative
1st	51.06%	47.97%	Don Davis
2nd	31.92%	66.21%	Deborah Ross
3rd	60.33%	38.52%	Greg Murphy
4th	26.53%	71.81%	Valerie Foushee
5th	58.22%	40.40%	Virginia Foxx
6th	58.11%	41.10%	Addison McDowell
7th	56.31%	42.52%	David Rouzer
8th	59.14%	39.58%	Mark Harris
9th	57.50%	41.71%	Richard Hudson
10th	58.18%	40.51%	Pat Harrigan
11th	53.96%	44.50%	Chuck Edwards
12th	25.99%	72.22%	Alma Adams
13th	57.97%	41.11%	Brad Knott
14th	57.06%	41.94%	Tim Moore

Analysis

Although a Southern Bible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s – a trend primarily attributed to population growth – as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since 2008, when Barack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal statewide race in North Carolina since 2010. It flipped back into the GOP column in 2012 and has been narrowly won by Republican nominee Donald Trump in the past two cycles. This presidential election marks the first time since 2012 that the winning candidate won the election with an absolute majority of the vote.

Trump's margin of victory was more than double that of his 2020 margin, though it was slightly less than his 2016 margin. The state had one of the smallest swings in the nation from 2020 to 2024, shifting rightward by 1.9%, smaller than all other swing states except Wisconsin (which swung by 1.5%). North Carolina was among 23 states where Harris posted a better margin than Hillary Clinton in 2016.^[aa] This marked the fifth consecutive election where North Carolina was decided by less than 5%, the longest ongoing such streak out of any state. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying New Hanover County since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1956. This is the first time since 2008 that the state voted for the winner of the national popular vote. Anson County voted Republican for the first time since 1972 and Pasquotank County since 1988.

Potentially due to the effects of Hurricane Helene, Western North Carolina was one of the few areas of the country to swing towards the Democrats between 2020 and 2024. Despite over 90% of American counties shifting toward Trump during this time period,^[203] ten counties in the region bucked this trend and supported Harris to a greater extent than Joe Biden.^[ab]

Although Harris lost the state--no Democratic presidential nominee has won it since 2008--down-ballot statewide North Carolina Democrats won many of their races in the 2024 North Carolina elections, likely helped by Harris' gains in many counties. These included the 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election, the 2024 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election, the 2024 North Carolina Attorney General election, the 2024 North Carolina Secretary of State election, Mo Green won the Superintendent of Public Instruction election, and the 2024 North Carolina Supreme Court election (which was won by just 734 votes).^[205]

Exit poll data

2024 presidential election in Georgia voter demographics[206]
Demographic subgroup	Trump	Harris	% of total vote
Ideology
Liberals	4	95	21
Moderates	38	60	40
Conservatives	90	9	39
Party
Democrats	3	96	32
Republicans	96	3	34
Independents	51	47	35
Gender
Men	57	41	47
Women	45	54	53
Race/ethnicity
White	62	37	69
Black	12	86	19
Latino	50	49	8
Asian	n/a	n/a	2
All other races	n/a	n/a	2
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men	66	32	34
White women	58	41	36
Black men	20	79	8
Black women	8	92	11
Latino men	62	37	4
Latina women	38	60	4
All other races	49	48	4
White born-again or evangelical Christian?
Yes	87	12	31
No	34	64	69
Age
18–29 years old	48	51	14
30–44 years old	45	53	22
45–64 years old	53	45	38
65 and older	54	45	25
First time voter
Yes	60	38	9
No	51	48	91
2020 presidential vote
Biden	4	95	43
Trump	97	3	44
Another candidate	n/a	n/a	2
Did not vote	56	42	10
Education
No college degree	57	41	59
College graduate	41	57	41
Educational attainment
Never attended college	61	38	16
Some college	52	47	25
Associate degree	62	36	17
Bachelor's degree	45	53	25
Advanced degree	36	62	16
Education by race
White college graduates	47	51	31
White no college degree	75	24	38
Non-white college graduates	25	72	10
Non-white no college degree	26	72	20
Education by gender among White voters
White college graduate women	43	56	16
White women no degree	70	29	20
White college graduate men	52	46	15
White men no degree	78	21	19
Voters of color	26	72	31
Area type
Urban	32	67	28
Suburban	57	41	53
Rural	61	38	20
Biden job approval
Strongly disapprove	96	3	48
Somewhat disapprove	33	62	9
Somewhat approve	7	91	23
Strongly approve	2	98	18
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
Angry	78	21	28
Dissatisfied	60	39	44
Satisfied	9	90	20
Enthusiastic	7	91	6
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Has ability to lead	69	31	33
Can bring needed change	69	29	27
Has good judgment	14	81	17
Cares about people like me	29	70	21
Vote for president mainly
For your candidate	53	46	78
Against their opponent	41	56	19
Issue regarded as most important
Democracy	14	85	31
Economy	76	23	37
Abortion	23	75	12
Immigration	93	6	13
Foreign policy	n/a	n/a	4
Democracy threatened in the United States
Democracy in the U.S. very threatened	59	40	38
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened	47	51	35
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure	43	56	17
Democracy in the U.S. very secure	34	66	7
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
Very confident	22	77	42
Somewhat confident	63	36	38
Not very confident	87	12	12
Not at all confident	n/a	n/a	5
Condition of the nation's economy
Poor	90	9	34
Not so good	55	42	35
Good	5	95	27
Excellent	n/a	n/a	4
Family's financial situation today
Worse than four years ago	84	15	48
About the same	27	71	28
Better than four years ago	12	86	23
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases	15	84	29
Legal in most cases	43	53	31
Illegal in most cases	92	8	27
Illegal in all cases	79	20	9
Who do you trust more to handle racial issues?
Harris	6	91	52
Trump	99	1	45

See also

• 2024 North Carolina elections
• United States presidential elections in North Carolina
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. 464 votes (9.1%) for David (TrimeTaveler) Dunlap, 320 votes (6.3%) for Beau Lindsey, 162 votes (3.2%) for Josh "Toad" Anderson.
2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
3. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
5. "Other" with 2%
6. "Someone else" with 1%
7. "Other" with 1%
8. "Someone else" with 2%
9. "Another party's candidates" with 2%
10. "Another party's candidates" with 1%
11. "Another candidate" with 4%
12. "Other" with 4%
13. "Some other candidate" with 2%
14. "Some other candidate" with 1%
15. "Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%
16. "Another candidate" with 3%
17. "Some other candidate" with 3%
18. "Would not vote" with 2%
19. "Another candidate" with 2%
20. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
21. Randall Terry (C) with 0%
22. "Someone else" with 17%
23. No Labels candidate
24. Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
25. Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
26. Charles Ballay (L) with 2%
27. The other states were Alaska, Oregon, Washington, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, South Dakota, Minnesota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Indiana, Georgia, Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Connecticut, Maine, Vermont, and New Hampshire.
28. These were Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Macon, Madison, Mitchell, Polk and Transylvania.^[204]

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
2. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
3. Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
4. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
5. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
6. Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
7. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
8. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
9. Poll conducted for The Independent Center
10. Poll commissioned by AARP
11. Poll sponsored by American Greatness
12. Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
13. Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
14. Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
15. Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
16. Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
17. Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
18. Poll sponsored by NetChoice
19. Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
20. Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
21. Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
22. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
23. Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
24. Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
25. Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
26. Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
27. Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers