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1992 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Selection of the Democratic Party nominee From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

1992 Democratic Party presidential primaries
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From February 10 to June 9, 1992, voters of the Democratic Party chose its nominee for president in the 1992 United States presidential election. Despite scandals and questions about his character, Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton won the nomination through a series of primary elections and caucuses culminating in the 1992 Democratic National Convention held from July 13 to July 16, 1992, in New York City. Clinton and Tennessee Senator Al Gore were nominated by the convention for president and vice president, respectively.

Quick facts 4,289 delegates to the Democratic National Convention 2,145 (majority) votes needed to win, Candidate ...

Clinton and Gore went on to take advantage of the chaos and disarray of the Reagan coalition and win the presidential election, defeating incumbent President George H. W. Bush and becoming the first Democratic nominee since Jimmy Carter to win a presidential election.

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Background

Although the McGovern–Fraser Commission had recommended proportionality as early as 1972, this primary was the first to adopt the proportional 15% rule, still in place today, as the standard throughout the country. Any candidate receiving greater than 15% of the vote in a given congressional district (or in the case of New Jersey, state legislative district) would receive a proportional share of the apportioned delegates for that district or state.[1] For 1992 two-thirds of the delegates were selected in 35 primaries.[2]

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Candidates

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During the aftermath of the Gulf War, President George H. W. Bush's approval ratings were high. At one point after the successful performance by U.S. forces in Kuwait, President Bush had an 89% approval rating.[3]

As a result of Bush's high popularity, major high-profile Democratic candidates feared a high likelihood of defeat in the 1992 general election. This fear was "captured perfectly by Saturday Night Live in a skit called 'Campaign '92: The Race to Avoid Being the Guy Who Loses to Bush,'" in which each prospective major candidate "tried to top the other in explaining why they were unfit to run" for the presidency.[4][5][6]

Mario Cuomo and Jesse Jackson declined to seek the Democratic nomination for president, as did U.S. Senator and eventual Vice President Al Gore, whose son had been struck by a car and was undergoing extensive surgery and physical therapy.[7] However, Governors Bill Clinton and Jerry Brown and U.S. Senator Paul Tsongas opted to run for president.

Nominee

More information Candidate, Most recent office ...

Eliminated at convention

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Withdrew during or before primaries

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Minor candidates

Other notable individuals campaigning for the nomination but not featuring in major polls were:

More information Larry Agran, Lyndon LaRouche ...

Declined

Note on Declination Dates:[b]

More information Dale Bumpers, Michael Dukakis ...

Speculated candidates

The following potential candidates were considered possible candidates to run for the Democratic nomination in 1992 by the media, but never stated a preference for or against running.

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Timeline

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Bush's high approval rating after the Gulf War made many Democrats feel that they could not defeat him in the election. Dick Gephardt, Al Gore, Jesse Jackson, Sam Nunn, and Jay Rockefeller did not enter the race despite speculation around them as candidates.[28]

Clinton, a Southerner with experience governing a more conservative state, positioned himself as a centrist New Democrat. He prepared for a run in 1992 amidst a crowded field seeking to beat the incumbent President George H. W. Bush. In the aftermath of the Persian Gulf War, Bush seemed unbeatable, but an economic recession—which ultimately proved to be small by historical standards—spurred the Democrats on. Tom Harkin won his native Iowa without much surprise. Clinton, meanwhile, was still a relatively unknown national candidate before the primary season when a woman named Gennifer Flowers appeared in the press to reveal allegations of an affair.[29] Clinton sought damage control by appearing on 60 Minutes with his wife, Hillary Clinton, for an interview with Steve Kroft. Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts won the primary in neighboring New Hampshire but Clinton's second-place finish – strengthened by Clinton's speech labeling himself "The Comeback Kid" – re-energized his campaign. Clinton swept nearly all of the Southern Super Tuesday primaries, making him the solid front runner. Jerry Brown, however, began to run a surprising insurgent campaign, particularly through use of a 1-800 number to receive grassroots funding. Brown "seemed to be the most left-wing and right-wing man in the field. [He] called for term limits, a flat tax, and the abolition of the Department of Education."[30] Brown scored surprising wins in Connecticut and Colorado.

On March 17, Tsongas left the race when he decisively lost both the Illinois and Michigan primaries to Clinton, with Brown as a distant third. Exactly one week later, Brown eked out a narrow win in the bitterly fought Connecticut primary. As the press focused on the primaries in New York and Wisconsin, which were both to be held on the same day, Brown, who had taken the lead in polls in both states, made a serious gaffe: he announced to an audience of various leaders of New York City's Jewish community that, if nominated, he would consider the Reverend Jesse Jackson as a vice presidential candidate. Jackson was still a controversial figure in that community and Brown's polling numbers suffered. On April 7, he lost narrowly to Clinton in Wisconsin (37–34), and dramatically in New York (41–26). In addition, his "willingness to break with liberal orthodoxy on taxes led to denunciations from the party regulars, but by the end of the race he had been embraced by much of the Left."[30]

Although Brown continued to campaign in a number of states, he won no further primaries. Despite this, he still had a sizable number of delegates, and a big win in his home state of California would have deprived Clinton of sufficient support to win the nomination. After nearly a month of intense campaigning and multiple debates between the two candidates, Clinton managed to defeat Brown in the California primary by a margin of 47% to 40%. Clinton became the second candidate after George McGovern in 1972 to win the nomination without winning Iowa or New Hampshire. The same feat would be repeated nearly 30 years later by Joe Biden in 2020.

Clinton won 28 of the 35 states that held primaries while only winning 4 of the 16 states that used caucuses.[31] 70% of black voters supported Clinton, 15% supported Brown, and 8% supported Tsongas.[32]

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Schedule and results

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Tablemaker's Note:[c]

More information Date (daily totals), Contest and total popular vote ...
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Polling

Nationwide

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  1. 772 of these delegates were superdelegates, who were uncommitted by default.
  2. It isn't always clear when a candidate declines to enter the race, as sometimes potential candidates will decline to run but reignite interest later in the cycle, often resulting in another declination. In light of this, the latest declination found by a prospective candidate is used.
  3. This should not be taken as a finalized list of results. While a significant amount of research was done, most of these results, particularly in regards to delegate allocation, are dependent on reporting from the media. At the present moment there are 77 pledged delegates not accounted for in the table.
  4. Main source combined the results for Harkin and Kerrey; secondary source is used with partial results, with 645 of 665 precincts reporting.
  5. The last reported results did not include King County, which accounted for about a third of the expected total.
  6. 2 of 54 Precincts had not yet reported.
  7. District Delegate count is with only 98.9% results reported, and there may have been others not recorded.
  8. Only 94% of precincts were reported in by the time of the source.
  9. Only 96% of precincts were reported in by the time of the source.
  10. Only results from Washoe County were found.
  11. The 1st thru 9th Districts held their conventions at this and earlier dates; this is the culminated result of those conventions.
  12. This is the remainder of the conventions to be held.
  13. Only 90% of precincts were reported in by the time of the source, so the delegate count may have fluctuated.
  14. Some of the district conventions were held on a different date, but information on those contests wasn't found amongst sources. The culminated results were reported, and the latest date of the district conventions is used here.
  15. The delegate allocation is assumed from the caucuses; no definitive result was found amongst later reports of the convention.
  16. These 3 delegates represent those won by Louis Stokes, who ran as a favorite-son candidate in his congressional district.
  17. One delegate was awarded to Larry Agran.
  18. Most of the delegates were selected through District Conventions, but information on these was sparse; as a result, the total result is collected here.
  19. Ross Perot won the primary with 9,516 write-in votes at (29.02%), Lyndon LaRouche came second with 7,003 votes at (21.36%), Charles Woods came third with 6,641 votes at (20.26%), and Tom Shiekman came fourth with 4,866 votes at (14.84%).
  20. This does not include the approximately 772 superdelegates, who are uncommitted by default.
  21. "Someone else" with 4%

State polling

New Hampshire

More information Poll source, Publication ...
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The convention

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Main article: 1992 Democratic National Convention

The convention met in New York City, and the official tally was:

Clinton chose U.S. Senator Albert A. Gore Jr. (D-Tennessee) to be his running mate on July 9, 1992. Choosing Gore, who is from Clinton's neighboring state of Tennessee, went against the popular strategy of balancing a Southern candidate with a Northern partner. Gore did serve to balance the ticket in other ways, as he was perceived as strong on foreign policy and environmental issues, while Clinton was not.[101] Also, Gore's similarities to Clinton allowed him to push some of his key campaign themes, such as centrism and generational change.[102]

Before Gore's selection, other politicians were mentioned as a possible running-mate, e.g. Bob Kerrey, Dick Gephardt, Mario Cuomo, Indiana Representative Lee H. Hamilton, Pennsylvania Senator Harris Wofford, Florida Senator Bob Graham, and Massachusetts Senator John Kerry.

The Democratic Convention in New York City was essentially a solidification of the party around Clinton and Gore, though there was controversy over whether Jerry Brown, who did not endorse Clinton, would be allowed to speak. Brown did speak at the convention by seconding his own nomination.

Another additional controversy concerned Pennsylvania Governor Bob Casey, who sought a speaking slot at the convention but was not granted one. Casey complained that it was because of his outspoken anti-abortion views: he had warned the platform committee that Democrats were committing political suicide because of their support for abortion rights.[103] Clinton supporters have said that Casey was not allowed to speak because he had not endorsed the ticket.[104]

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Popular vote results

Total popular vote number in primaries:[105]

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Maps

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    Results by county

Convention tallies

For President:[106]

Vice presidential nomination

Main article: 1992 Democratic Party vice presidential candidate selection

Clinton selected Tennessee Senator and 1988 candidate Al Gore to be his running-mate. Among other confirmed possible V.P. nominees, who were finalists of Clinton's selection were:

Clinton's list of finalists did not include Senator Bill Bradley of New Jersey and Governor of New York Mario Cuomo, who publicly disavowed interest in the vice presidency.[107]

Convention tally for vice president

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In popular media

The story of the race was covered in the 1993 documentary film The War Room and fictionalized into the 1996 novel and 1998 film Primary Colors.

See also

Bibliography

  • My Life by Bill Clinton, 2004, Vintage. ISBN 1-4000-3003-X

References

Works cited

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