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Opinion polling for the 2025 Dutch general election

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In the run-up to the 2025 Dutch general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Dutch general election, held on 22 November, to the present. Four main pollsters have performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands during this period, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Peil.nl and Verian. I&O Research and Ipsos merged in January 2024, polling separately until July when they decided to poll together under the name Ipsos I&O.[1] Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.

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Political polling in the Netherlands

The political polling industry in the Netherlands is generally considered reliable. Absolute Total Raw Error in selected past elections has ranged from 11.8% to 16.0%, comparable to the European average. Documented conflicts of interest are rare, although peil.nl has been criticized for underrepresenting certain demographic groups in its samples.[2][3]

Projections

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Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages).

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Seats

There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Vote share

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Specific samples

Muslim voters

The following poll sampled just Muslim voters in the Netherlands.

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Bi-cultural voters

The following poll sampled just Dutch voters with a bicultural background.

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Voters in Groningen

The following poll sampled just Dutch voters in Groningen.

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
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See also

Notes

  1. Part of the Schoof cabinet until 3 June 2025
  2. Part of the Schoof cabinet
  3. Part of the Schoof cabinet until 22 August 2025

References

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