Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2025 Canadian federal election.

National polls

Campaign period

The campaign period for the April 28, 2025 election started after the election was called on March 23, 2025.

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign period, graphed from the data in the tables below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

Polling firm	Last date of polling[a]	Link	CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	PPC	GPC	Others[b]	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
2025 election	April 28, 2025		41.3	43.8	6.3	6.3	0.7	1.3	0.4	—	19,597,674	—	2.5
Liaison Strategies	April 27, 2025	[1]	41	43	7	6	1	1	1	±3.09 pp	1,000	IVR	2
Forum Research	April 27, 2025	[2]	39	43	8	6	1	2	1	±4.0 pp	1,153		4
Nanos Research	April 27, 2025	[3]	39.9	42.6	7.8	6.4	1.1	1.9	—	±3.4 pp	863	telephone	2.7
Research Co.	April 27, 2025	[4]	39	44	7	6	1	2	1	±3.1 pp	1,019	online	5
Mainstreet Research	April 27, 2025	[5]	41	44	6	6	1	1	1	±2.2 pp	2,000 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	3
Abacus Data	April 27, 2025	[6]	39	41	10	6	3	1	0	±2.0 pp	2,500	online	2
Pallas Data	April 26, 2025	[7]	38.8	43.2	7.3	6.4	0.9	2.3	1.0	±2.7 pp	1,294	IVR	4.4
Ekos	April 26, 2025	[8]	34.8	45.3	10.6	4.4	2	2	1	±2.3 pp	1,805 (0.01/1)	telephone/online	10.5
Liaison Strategies	April 26, 2025	[9]	41	44	6	6	1	1	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	3
Nanos Research	April 26, 2025	[10]	38.9	43.0	8.0	6.1	1.1	2.8	0.1	±2.4 pp	1,698 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	4.1
Mainstreet Research	April 26, 2025	[11]	43	44	5	5	1	1	1	±2.4 pp	1,669 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	1
Innovative Research	April 26, 2025	[12]	37	41	11	6	2	3	0	—	1,587	online	4
MQO Research	April 26, 2025	[13]	38	43	10	5	1	3	0	±2.1 pp	2,236		5
Angus Reid	April 26, 2025	[14]	40	44	6	7	—	1	1	±2 pp	2,820		4
Ekos	April 26, 2025	[8]	38.1	43.5	8.5	4.6	1.8	2.1	1.4	±2.2 pp	1,918	IVR	5.4
Ipsos	April 26, 2025	[15]	38	42	9	6	1	2	1	±2.4 pp	2,500	telephone/online	4
Liaison Strategies	April 25, 2025	[16]	40	44	7	6	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	4
Mainstreet Research	April 25, 2025	[17]	40	45	7	6	1	1	1	±2.6 pp	1,405 (1/3)		5
Nanos Research	April 25, 2025	[18]	38.6	41.9	9.4	6.0	1.3	2.9	0.0	±2.7 pp	1,291 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	3.3
Leger	April 25, 2025	[19]	39	43	8	6	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,502 (4/5)	online	4
YouGov (MRP)	April 25, 2025	[20]	39	42	10	5	2	2	1	—	5,964 (3/20)	—	3
Pollara	April 24, 2025	[21]	38	41	10	6	2	2	1	±2.0 pp	2,382	telephone/online	3
Liaison Strategies	April 24, 2025	[22]	39	44	8	6	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	April 24, 2025	[23]	38.4	42.7	8.3	5.9	1.4	3.2	0.0	±2.7 pp	1,302 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	4.3
Mainstreet Research	April 24, 2025	[24]	41	43	7	6	1	1	1	±2.7 pp	1,365 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	2
Liaison Strategies	April 23, 2025	[25]	38	43	8	6	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)		5
Nanos Research	April 23, 2025	[26]	39.3	42.9	7.2	6.0	1.4	3.0	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,307 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	3.6
Mainstreet Research	April 23, 2025	[27]	40	43	9	5	1	2	1	±2.6 pp	1,425 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	3
Innovative Research	April 23, 2025	[28]	38	38	12	7	—	3	2	—	1,584	online	0
Focaldata	April 23, 2025	[29]	37.5	40.5	10.7	6.5	2.4	2.1	0.2	—	2,826	online	3.0
Cardinal Research	April 23, 2025	[30]	39	44	7	7	—	2	1	±2 pp	4,057	IVR	5
Liaison Strategies	April 22, 2025	[31]	39	42	8	6	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	3
Nanos Research	April 22, 2025	[32]	38.5	44.1	7.7	5.4	0.9	3.4	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,313 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	5.6
Mainstreet Research	April 22, 2025	[33]	41	42	6	6	2	2	2	±2.6 pp	1,410 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	1
YouGov (MRP)	April 22, 2025	[34]	38	42	10	6	2	2	1	—	6,077	—	4
Pallas Data	April 21, 2025	[35]	37.9	42.5	8.5	5.5	2.1	2.5	1.0	±2.7 pp	1,306	IVR	4.6
Liaison Strategies	April 21, 2025	[36]	37	43	9	6	2	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	6
Nanos Research	April 21, 2025	[37]	37.1	42.6	10.4	5.9	0.8	3.1	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,308 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	5.5
Mainstreet Research	April 21, 2025	[38]	40	40	7	6	2	2	1	±2.5 pp	1,485 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	0
Abacus Data	April 21, 2025	[39]	37	40	11	7	2	2	0	±2.3 pp	2,000	online	3
Leger	April 21, 2025	[40]	39	43	8	6	2	2	1	±2.45 pp	1,603		4
Innovative Research	April 21, 2025	[28]	41	36	11	7	—	3	3	—	1,305 (0.3/1)		5
Angus Reid	April 21, 2025	[41]	39	44	7	7	—	2	1	±1.5 pp	2,459		5
Research Co.	April 20, 2025	[42]	38	43	8	6	1	2	1	±3.1 pp	1,006		5
Liaison Strategies	April 20, 2025	[43]	37	43	9	6	2	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	6
Mainstreet Research	April 20, 2025	[44]	41	41	6	6	2	2	2	±2.7 pp	1,295 (1/3)		0
Nanos Research	April 20, 2025	[45]	36.3	43.7	10.7	5.6	0.8	2.9	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,289 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	7.4
Ekos	April 20, 2025	[46]	40.7	43.4	6.8	4.2	1.3	2.2	1.3	±2.5 pp	1,672 (4/5)	IVR (rolling)	2.7
Innovative Research	April 20, 2025	[28]	38	39	11	7	—	3	3	—	2,311	online	1
Kolosowski Strategies	April 19, 2025	[47]	42	42	6	6	1	2	1	±3 pp	1,237		0
Ipsos	April 19, 2025	[48]	38	41	12	5	2	2	0	±3.8 pp	1,001		3
MQO Research	April 19, 2025	[49]	36	44	10	5	3	3	0	±2 pp	2,383		8
Liaison Strategies	April 19, 2025	[50]	38	43	8	6	2	1	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Mainstreet Research	April 19, 2025	[51]	43	39	6	6	3	2	1	±2.7 pp	1,307 (1/3)		4
Nanos Research	April 19, 2025	[52]	37.0	43.2	10.5	5.8	0.8	2.7	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,293 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	6.2
Pollara	April 19, 2025	[53]	36	44	8	7	2	2	1	±2.1 pp	2,195	telephone/online	8
Liaison Strategies	April 18, 2025	[54]	39	44	7	6	1	1	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Mainstreet Research	April 18, 2025	[55]	43	41	5	5	3	2	1	±2.9 pp	1,124 (1/3)		2
	April 17, 2025	Leaders' Debates Commission English debate
Liaison Strategies	April 17, 2025	[56]	39	44	7	6	2	1	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	April 17, 2025	[57]	37.1	45.4	8.3	5.6	0.7	2.9	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,316 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	8.3
Mainstreet Research	April 17, 2025	[58]	41	42	7	6	2	2	1	±2.7 pp	1,332 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	1
	April 16, 2025	Leaders' Debates Commission French debate
Ekos	April 16, 2025	[59]	34.8	44.5	10.1	4.5	2.4	3.4	0.4	±2.8 pp	1,210 (0.01/1)	telephone/online	9.7
JL Partners	April 16, 2025	[60]	37	39	10	7	3	2	0	±3.4 pp	1,000	online	2
Liaison Strategies	April 16, 2025	[61]	41	44	6	6	2	1	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	3
Nanos Research	April 16, 2025	[62]	38.8	43.5	8.7	5.6	0.9	2.3	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,351 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	4.7
Mainstreet Research	April 16, 2025	[63]	40	44	7	5	2	2	1	±2.7 pp	1,326 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	4
Ekos	April 16, 2025	[64]	36.3	45.7	8.8	4.3	1.3	2.8	0.9	±2.3 pp	1,782	IVR	9.4
Abacus Data	April 15, 2025	[65]	38	40	11	7	2	2	0	±2.9 pp	1,200	online	2
Liaison Strategies	April 15, 2025	[66]	39	46	5	5	2	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	7
Nanos Research	April 15, 2025	[67]	37.3	44.7	8.3	6.2	1.1	2.2	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,359 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	7.4
Mainstreet Research	April 15, 2025	[68]	42	44	6	4	1	2	1	±2.6 pp	1,376 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	2
Liaison Strategies	April 14, 2025	[69]	39	44	6	5	2	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)		5
Nanos Research	April 14, 2025	[70]	38.8	44.1	8.8	5.5	1.5	1.3	0.1	±2.7 pp	1,367 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	5.3
Mainstreet Research	April 14, 2025	[71]	43	44	5	4	1	2	1	±2.6 pp	1,378 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	1
Leger	April 14, 2025	[72]	38	43	8	6	2	3	1	±1.79 pp	3,005	online	5
Innovative Research	April 14, 2025	[73]	35	40	12	6	—	4	3	—	1,455		5
Liaison Strategies	April 13, 2025	[74]	38	44	7	6	2	3	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	6
Nanos Research	April 13, 2025	[75]	37.8	44.8	8.8	5.5	1.1	1.9	0.2	±2.7 pp	1,345 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	7.0
Mainstreet Research	April 13, 2025	[76]	44	42	6	4	1	2	1	±2.6 pp	1,388 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	2
Angus Reid	April 13, 2025	[77]	39	45	7	7	1	1	1	±2 pp	2,216	online	6
Pollara	April 13, 2025	[78]	36	44	9	5	3	2	1	±2.1 pp	2,166	telephone/online	8
Pallas Data	April 12, 2025	[79]	36.8	45.1	8.8	5.7	1.7	1.1	0.8	±2.7 pp	1,282	IVR	8.3
MQO Research	April 12, 2025	[80]	35	44	12	4	1	4	0	±2.3 pp	2,445	online	9
Liaison Strategies	April 12, 2025	[81]	37	45	7	6	2	3	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	8
Nanos Research	April 12, 2025	[82]	38.6	44.3	8.5	5.2	1.1	2.0	0.3	±2.7 pp	1,300 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	5.7
Mainstreet Research	April 12, 2025	[83]	43	44	6	4	2	1	0	±2.6 pp	1,370 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	1
Liaison Strategies	April 11, 2025	[84]	39	46	6	5	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	7
Nanos Research	April 11, 2025	[85]	37.1	43.3	9.5	5.8	1.1	2.8	0.5	±2.8 pp	1,250 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	6.2
Mainstreet Research	April 11, 2025	[86]	40	45	7	4	2	2	1	±2.6 pp	1,445 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	5
Ipsos	April 10, 2025	[87]	36	42	11	6	1	2	1	±3.8 pp	1,000	online	6
Liaison Strategies	April 10, 2025	[88]	39	44	8	5	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	April 10, 2025	[89]	37.8	43.6	8.7	5.6	1.7	2.4	0.3	±2.8 pp	1,233 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	5.8
Mainstreet Research	April 10, 2025	[90]	40	45	6	5	2	2	1	±2.5 pp	1,548 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	5
Abacus Data	April 10, 2025	[91]	38	42	9	6	2	2	1	±2.31 pp	1,800 (1/2)	online	4
Ekos	April 10, 2025	[92]	36.3	49.3	6.7	3.8	0.9	2.0	1.1	±2.2 pp	1,995	IVR	13.0
Deltapoll	April 9, 2025	[93]	37	41	9	7	2	3	0	—	1,005	online	4
Liaison Strategies	April 9, 2025	[94]	40	43	8	5	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	3
Nanos Research	April 9, 2025	[95]	38.1	43.0	8.9	5.7	1.5	2.6	0.3	±2.8 pp	1,238 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	4.9
Mainstreet Research	April 9, 2025	[96]	39	46	6	4	2	1	2	±2.5 pp	1,500 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	7
Liaison Strategies	April 8, 2025	[97]	38	45	8	5	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	7
Nanos Research	April 8, 2025	[98]	38.6	42.8	8.5	6.2	1.3	2.3	0.3	±2.8 pp	1,239 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	4.2
Mainstreet Research	April 8, 2025	[99]	41	44	6	4	2	1	2	±2.7 pp	1,289 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	3
Abacus Data	April 8, 2025	[100]	36	42	11	5	3	2	0	±2.1 pp	1,900	online	6
Liaison Strategies	April 7, 2025	[101]	39	45	7	4	1	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	6
Nanos Research	April 7, 2025	[102]	38.1	42.7	8.1	6.6	1.4	2.8	0.4	±2.8 pp	1,256 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	4.6
Mainstreet Research	April 7, 2025	[103]	40	45	8	2	1	1	2	±2.9 pp	1,148 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	5
Angus Reid	April 7, 2025	[104]	36	46	7	7	1	2	1	±2 pp	2,184	online	10
Innovative Research	April 7, 2025	[105]	35	41	12	6	—	3	3	—	1,341		6
Research Co.	April 6, 2025	[106]	36	44	8	5	2	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,007		8
Leger	April 6, 2025	[107]	37	44	8	5	1	3	1	±2.43 pp	1,631		7
Liaison Strategies	April 6, 2025	[108]	39	45	7	4	2	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	6
Nanos Research	April 6, 2025	[109]	37.7	42.8	7.9	6.7	1.6	2.8	0.4	±2.8 pp	1,264 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	5.1
Mainstreet Research	April 6, 2025	[110]	40	44	8	3	3	2	1	±2.8 pp	1,240 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	4
MQO Research	April 6, 2025	[111]	34	44	11	5	2	4	0	±2.5 pp	1,859	online	10
Pollara	April 6, 2025	[112]	36	44	9	6	2	2	1	±2.1 pp	2,132	telephone/online	8
Pallas Data	April 5, 2025	[113]	37.8	44.4	8.0	5.9	1.1	1.7	1.0	±2.7 pp	1,320	IVR	6.6
Liaison Strategies	April 5, 2025	[114]	39	44	7	4	2	2	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	April 5, 2025	[115]	37.0	43.4	8.2	6.0	1.9	3.3	0.2	±2.8 pp	1,270 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	6.4
Mainstreet Research	April 5, 2025	[116]	40	42	8	4	2	2	1	±2.6 pp	1,388 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	2
Kolosowski Strategies	April 4, 2025	[117]	41	39	11	6	1	2	0	±3 pp	1,448	online	2
Liaison Strategies	April 4, 2025	[118]	38	46	6	4	2	2	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	8
Nanos Research	April 4, 2025	[119]	34.9	45.9	9.2	5.2	1.4	2.9	0.5	±2.8 pp	1,248 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	11.0
Mainstreet Research	April 4, 2025	[120]	40	43	6	6	2	1	1	±2.4 pp	1,625 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	3
Ipsos	April 3, 2025	[121]	34	46	10	6	1	3	0	±3.8 pp	1,000	online	12
Liaison Strategies	April 3, 2025	[122]	38	46	6	4	3	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	8
Nanos Research	April 3, 2025	[123]	35.9	45.5	9.4	5.2	1.4	2.2	0.4	±2.8 pp	1,241 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	9.6
Mainstreet Research	April 3, 2025	[124]	40	43	7	6	2	1	1	±2.4 pp	1,665 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	3
Abacus Data	April 3, 2025	[125]	39	39	11	6	2	3	0	±2.3 pp	1,800	online	0
Ekos	April 3, 2025	[126]	34.4	49.0	7.0	4.5	1.2	2.8	1.2	±2.45 pp	1,685 (4/5)	IVR (rolling)	14.6
Liaison Strategies	April 2, 2025	[127]	37	45	6	5	3	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)		8
Nanos Research	April 2, 2025	[128]	36.7	45.8	8.8	5.5	1.1	1.7	0.3	±2.8 pp	1,248 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	9.1
Mainstreet Research	April 2, 2025	[129]	40	44	7	6	2	1	0	±2.3 pp	1,756 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	4
Ekos	April 2, 2025	[130]	32.7	47.1	10.2	4.4	2.8	2.1	0.7	±2.59 pp	1,513 (0.01/1)	telephone/online	14.4
Liaison Strategies	April 1, 2025	[131]	39	44	6	5	3	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	April 1, 2025	[132]	37.2	45.1	9.2	5.3	1.1	1.6	0.4	±2.8 pp	1,256 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	7.9
Mainstreet Research	April 1, 2025	[133]	40	43	9	5	2	1	0	±2.4 pp	1,651 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	3
Pallas Data	March 31, 2025	[134]	35.7	44.6	8.5	5.6	2.2	2.8	0.6	±2.8 pp	1,267	IVR	8.9
Liaison Strategies	March 31, 2025	[135]	38	44	6	5	3	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	6
Nanos Research	March 31, 2025	[136]	36.6	44.7	10.1	5.6	1.3	1.6	0.3	±2.8 pp	1,262 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	8.1
Mainstreet Research	March 31, 2025	[137]	41	44	7	5	2	1	0	±2.4 pp	1,628 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	3
Angus Reid	March 31, 2025	[138]	38	46	7	7	1	1	1	±2 pp	2,131	online	8
Innovative Research	March 31, 2025	[139]	38	37	12	6	2	3	1	—	1,742		1
Leger	March 31, 2025	[140]	38	44	7	5	2	3	1	±1.79 pp	3,002		6
Liaison Strategies	March 30, 2025	[141]	38	43	7	5	3	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	March 30, 2025	[142]	36.1	43.6	10.5	5.3	1.9	2.4	0.2	±2.8 pp	1,264 (1/3)	telephone (rolling)	7.5
Mainstreet Research	March 30, 2025	[143]	40	43	6	5	3	2	1	±2.5 pp	1,589 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	3
Ekos	March 30, 2025	[144]	35.6	47.5	6.3	4.8	2.1	2.4	1.3	±2.5 pp	1,517	IVR	11.9
Pollara	March 30, 2025	[145]	35	44	10	5	2	3	1	—	1,734	telephone/online	9
Liaison Strategies	March 29, 2025	[146]	38	42	7	6	3	3	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	4
Nanos Research	March 29, 2025	[147]	37.0	41.9	10.6	5.3	1.9	2.6	0.7	±2.7 pp	1,285	telephone	4.9
Mainstreet Research	March 29, 2025	[148]	40	42	7	5	3	2	1	±2.4 pp	1,704 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	2
MQO Research	March 29, 2025	[149]	34	45	11	4	2	4	1	±2.4 pp	1,938	online	11
Liaison Strategies	March 28, 2025	[150]	36	44	8	6	2	3	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	8
Mainstreet Research	March 28, 2025	[151]	40	43	6	5	2	2	1	±2.4 pp	1,621 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	3
Liaison Strategies	March 27, 2025	[152]	38	43	7	6	2	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Mainstreet Research	March 27, 2025	[153]	41	44	7	5	1	2	1	±2.4 pp	1,657 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	3
Abacus Data	March 27, 2025	[154]	39	39	11	5	3	3	0	±2.3 pp	1,800 (1/2)	online	0
Ipsos	March 26, 2025	[155]	38	44	9	5	1	2	1	±3.1 pp	1,500	telephone/online	6
Liaison Strategies	March 26, 2025	[156]	37	44	6	6	3	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	7
Mainstreet Research	March 26, 2025	[157]	41	45	6	5	1	1	1	±2.6 pp	1,380 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	4
Liaison Strategies	March 25, 2025	[158]	38	42	7	6	3	2	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	4
Mainstreet Research	March 25, 2025	[159]	40	44	7	5	1	2	1	±2.8 pp	1,230 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	4
Ekos	March 25, 2025	[160]	34.6	49.6	7.2	3.9	1.5	1.6	1.6	±2.4 pp	1,621	IVR	15.0
Abacus Data	March 25, 2025	[161]	37	38	11	6	3	4	1	±2.2 pp	2,000	online	1
Research Co.	March 24, 2025	[162]	37	41	9	7	2	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,003		4
Liaison Strategies	March 24, 2025	[163]	37	42	7	6	4	3	1	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	5
Mainstreet Research	March 24, 2025	[164]	39	44	7	6	2	2	1	±2.3 pp	1,745 (1/3)	text/online (rolling)	5
Angus Reid	March 24, 2025	[165]	38	46	7	6	1	1	0	±2 pp	2,400	online	8

Pre-campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

Polling firm	Last date of polling[a]	Link	CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	PPC	GPC	Others[b]	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
	March 23, 2025	A snap federal election was called for April 28, 2025.
Leger	March 23, 2025	[166]	38	44	6	5	3	3	1	±2.45 pp	1,599	online	6
Liaison Strategies	March 23, 2025	[167]	36	40	9	6	3	4	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	4
Mainstreet Research	March 23, 2025	[168]	38	44	7	6	3	1	1	±2.4 pp	1,661	text/online	6
Pallas Data	March 22, 2025	[169]	37.8	42.3	8.4	7.0	2.1	2.2	0.4	±2.8 pp	1,225	IVR	4.5
Liaison Strategies	March 22, 2025	[170]	37	39	9	6	3	4	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	2
	March 21, 2025	[171]	36	38	10	6	3	4	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)		2
Innovative Research	March 21, 2025	[172]	34	36	13	7	—	5	4	—	1,548	online	2
Nanos Research	March 21, 2025	[173]	36.5	34.1	14.0	7.6	2.1	4.3	—	±3.0 pp	1,100 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2.4
Liaison Strategies	March 20, 2025	[174]	36	38	11	7	3	4	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	2
Abacus Data	March 20, 2025	[175]	39	36	12	6	2	4	0	±2.5 pp	1,500	online	3
Liaison Strategies	March 19, 2025	[176]	36	40	9	6	3	4	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	4
	March 18, 2025	[177]	36	40	10	6	2	4	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)		4
	March 17, 2025	[178]	36	39	10	6	2	4	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)		3
Ipsos	March 17, 2025	[179]	36	42	10	6	3	2	2	±3.8 pp	1,000	online	6
Leger	March 16, 2025	[180]	39	42	9	5	2	3	0	±2.47 pp	1,568		3
Liaison Strategies	March 16, 2025	[181]	35	37	12	7	2	5	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	2
Angus Reid	March 16, 2025	[182]	37	42	9	8	1	2	1	±1.5 pp	4,009	online	5
Liaison Strategies	March 15, 2025	[183]	35	38	12	6	2	5	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	3
	March 14, 2025	Mark Carney is sworn in as the prime minister of Canada.
Liaison Strategies	March 14, 2025	[184]	35	39	12	5	2	5	2	±2.53 pp	1,500 (1/3)	IVR (rolling)	4
Nanos Research	March 14, 2025	[185]	35.3	34.1	16.0	7.9	1.9	3.8	—	±3.0 pp	1,074 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	1.2
Innovative Research	March 13, 2025	[186]	39	33	13	7	3	4	0	—	1,558	online	6
Liaison Strategies	March 13, 2025	[187]	34	38	13	6	2	6	2	±2.53 pp	1,501	IVR	4
Leger	March 13, 2025	[188]	37	40	12	6	2	2	1	±2.49 pp	1,504	online	3
Ekos	March 13, 2025	[189]	31.8	49.5	8.0	5.0	2.5	2.0	1.1	±3.1 pp	1,025	IVR	17.7
Mainstreet Research	March 13, 2025	[190]	39	41	8	6	3	2	2	±3.1 pp	1,016	text/online	2
Abacus Data	March 12, 2025	[191]	38	34	15	7	2	4	1	±2.4 pp	1,700	online	4
Ekos	March 11, 2025	[189]	33.3	42.3	12.8	4.2	4.0	2.9	0.5	±2.5 pp	1,524	telephone/online	9.0
Leger	March 10, 2025	[192]	37	37	11	6	2	5	2	±2.49 pp	1,548	online	0
	March 9, 2025	Mark Carney is elected leader of the Liberal Party.
Innovative Research	March 9, 2025	[193]	41	31	14	6	3	4	1	—	1,695	online	10
Nanos Research	March 7, 2025	[194]	35.7	34.7	14.9	7.9	2.1	3.8	—	±3.0 pp	1,052 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	1.0
Ekos	March 5, 2025	[195]	35.5	40.7	12.8	5.3	1.3	3.2	1.3	±2.29 pp	1,980	IVR	5.2
Leger	March 2, 2025	[196]	43	30	13	6	2	4	2	±2.49 pp	1,548	online	13
Innovative Research	February 28, 2025	[197]	38	31	16	6	3	5	1	—	1,488		7
Nanos Research	February 28, 2025	[198]	36.5	34.3	15.3	7.7	2.1	3.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,024 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2.2
Abacus Data	February 25, 2025	[199]	41	29	14	6	3	4	1	±1.8 pp	1,500	online	12
Ipsos	February 24, 2025	[200]	36	38	12	6	3	4	1	±3.8 pp	1,000		2
Innovative Research	February 24, 2025	[201]	39	30	16	6	2	6	0	—	1,789		9
Ekos	February 24, 2025	[202]	37.0	38.4	11.8	4.2	3.1	4.2	1.4	±2.8 pp	1,239	IVR	1.4
Pollara	February 24, 2025	[203]	42	32	11	8	2	4	0	±2.5 pp	1,506	online	10
Leger	February 23, 2025	[204]	38	35	14	7	2	4	1	±2.50 pp	1,534		3
Nanos Research	February 21, 2025	[205]	36.9	33.3	16.0	7.9	1.9	3.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,026 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3.6
Leger	February 17, 2025	[206]	41	33	11	6	3	3	1	±2.49 pp	1,550	online	8
Innovative Research	February 17, 2025	[207]	40	27	16	9	3	4	0	—	2,015		13
Nanos Research	February 14, 2025	[208]	38.6	31.5	14.9	8.0	2.1	4.4	—	±3.1 pp	1,018 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7.1
Mainstreet Research	February 13, 2025	[209]	39	36	11	10	2	2	1	±2.9 pp	1,128	text/online	3
Ekos	February 13, 2025	[210]	38.8	33.8	15.0	5.0	2.8	3.5	1.1	±2.6 pp	1,468	IVR	5.0
Abacus Data	February 12, 2025	[211]	45	25	17	8	3	4	0	—	1,000	online	20
	February 11, 2025	[211]	46	27	15	7	3	3	1	—	1,000		19
Leger	February 10, 2025	[212]	40	31	14	7	2	6	2	±2.46 pp	1,590		9
Innovative Research	February 7, 2025	[213]	40	27	16	7	3	6	0	—	1,795		13
Nanos Research	February 7, 2025	[214]	38.3	30.1	16.4	7.8	2.0	4.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,005 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	8.2
Pallas Data	February 6, 2025	[215]	39.6	33.7	11.9	7.2	3.3	2.5	1.8	±2.8 pp	1,241	IVR	5.9
	February 4, 2025	The Green Party concludes its co-leadership vote, with Elizabeth May and Jonathan Pedneault re-elected as co-leaders.
Ipsos	February 3, 2025	[216]	41	28	16	9	3	3	0	±3.8 pp	1,000	online	13
Nanos Research	January 31, 2025	[217]	41.6	26.2	17.3	7.3	1.9	5.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,025 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.4
Ekos	January 29, 2025	[218]	33.9	32.0	18.0	7.6	3.4	4.9	0.2	±3.1 pp	1,025	telephone/online	1.9
	January 27, 2025	[218]	35.7	32.7	13.1	7.1	4.7	4.9	1.9	±2.6 pp	1,448	IVR	3.0
Leger	January 26, 2025	[219]	43	25	16	9	2	4	1	±2.51 pp	1,527	online	18
Abacus Data	January 26, 2025	[220]	43	22	18	9	3	5	0	±2.2 pp	2,205		21
Nanos Research	January 24, 2025	[221]	42.0	24.9	18.0	7.4	1.8	5.6	—	±3.1 pp	1,023 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.1
Ekos	January 21, 2025	[222]	38.5	31.7	14.2	7.1	3.1	3.2	2.1	±3.1 pp	1,018	IVR	6.8
Nanos Research	January 17, 2025	[223]	45.2	20.8	18.7	7.7	1.9	5.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,040 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	24.4
Ekos	January 16, 2025	[224]	39.0	28.0	17.4	7.4	2.5	4.5	1.2	±3.0 pp	1,036	IVR	11.0
Mainstreet Research	January 15, 2025	[225]	45	26	13	8	3	4	2	±2.1 pp	2,205	text/online	19
Abacus Data	January 14, 2025	[226]	46	20	19	8	3	4	0	±2.3 pp	1,500	online	26
Leger	January 13, 2025	[227]	47	21	17	8	2	4	1	±2.49 pp	1,545		26
Nanos Research	January 10, 2025	[228]	47.0	19.6	17.9	7.7	2.0	5.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,001 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	27.4
Relay Strategies	January 8, 2025	[229]	45	21	16	9	4	4	—	±3 pp	1,270	online	24
Ekos	January 8, 2025	[230]	41.6	25.8	16.7	6.8	2.5	4.8	1.9	±3.2 pp	953	IVR	15.8
Abacus Data	January 7, 2025	[231]	47	20	18	8	3	3	0	±2.0 pp	2,500	online	27
Ipsos	January 7, 2025	[232]	46	20	17	9	4	2	2	±3.8 pp	1,000		26
Pallas Data	January 6, 2025	[233]	42.0	25.3	17.6	8.6	1.3	3.5	1.7	±2.7 pp	1,328	IVR	16.7
	January 6, 2025	Justin Trudeau announces his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party and Prime Minister, triggering a leadership election.
Research Co.	January 5, 2025	[234]	47	21	15	10	2	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,002	online	26
Nanos Research	January 3, 2025	[235]	45.2	22.5	16.4	7.7	2.8	5.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,021 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	22.7
Angus Reid	December 30, 2024	[236]	45	16	21	11	1	3	2	±2 pp	2,261	online	24
Innovative Research	December 30, 2024	[237]	43	22	19	8	3	4	—	—	1,016		21
Nanos Research	December 27, 2024	[238]	46.6	21.3	16.6	7.6	2.7	5.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,014 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	25.3
Leger	December 22, 2024	[239]	43	20	19	9	3	5	1	±2.51 pp	1,521	online	23
Ipsos	December 20, 2024	[240]	45	20	20	7	3	3	2	±3.8 pp	1,001		25
Nanos Research	December 20, 2024	[241]	43.7	23.8	18.2	6.8	2.6	4.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,032 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	19.9
Ekos	December 19, 2024	[242]	44.4	19.4	18.2	8.5	2.0	4.5	2.9	±3.0 pp	1,061	IVR	25.0
Mainstreet Research	December 18, 2024	[243]	48	19	15	8	4	4	2	±2.8 pp	1,227	text/online	29
Abacus Data	December 17, 2024	[244]	45	20	18	8	4	4	1	±2.9 pp	1,186	online	25
	December 16, 2024	A federal by-election was held in Cloverdale—Langley City. Conservative Tamara Jansen flipped the seat from the Liberal Party.
Abacus Data	December 16, 2024	[244][245]	44	21	19	7	3	4	1	—	2,595	online	23
Innovative Research	December 15, 2024	[237]	42	26	16	8	3	5	—	—	984		16
Ekos	December 15, 2024	[242]	42	24	19	7	2	5	2	±2.4 pp	1,705	IVR	18
Nanos Research	December 13, 2024	[246]	43.3	23.2	20.0	5.9	2.8	4.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,031 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	20.1
Ipsos	December 10, 2024	[247]	44	21	21	7	3	2	2	±3.8 pp	1,001	online	23
Relay Strategies	December 7, 2024	[248]	44	21	18	8	4	5	—	±3 pp	1,270		23
Nanos Research	December 6, 2024	[249]	42.1	23.1	21.2	5.7	2.6	4.8	—	±3.0 pp	1,058 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	19.0
Angus Reid	December 5, 2024	[250]	43	21	20	11	1	4	1	±1.5 pp	4,004	online	22
Abacus Data	December 4, 2024	[251]	44	21	20	7	2	5	0	±1.9 pp	2,720		23
Leger	December 1, 2024	[252]	43	21	19	8	2	5	1	±2.5 pp	1,532		22
Nanos Research	November 29, 2024	[253]	42.0	23.4	20.6	6.8	2.3	4.4	—	±3.0 pp	1,042 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	18.6
Ekos	November 28, 2024	[254]	39.7	25.5	16.8	6.5	3.4	5.8	2.3	±2.0 pp	2,387 (17/23)	IVR (rolling)	14.2
Mainstreet Research	November 24, 2024	[255]	47	17	17	7	4	6	2	±3 pp	1,097	text/online	30
Nanos Research	November 22, 2024	[256]	41.4	23.0	20.3	7.3	2.0	5.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,003 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	18.4
Abacus Data	November 19, 2024	[257]	43	21	21	8	3	4	1	±2.3 pp	1,915	online	22
Nanos Research	November 15, 2024	[258]	40.3	25.1	19.5	7.8	1.6	5.7	—	±3.0 pp	1,055 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.2
Ekos	November 11, 2024	[259]	38.6	28.1	16.5	6.5	3.3	5.3	1.8	±2.8 pp	1,241	IVR (rolling)	10.5
Nanos Research	November 8, 2024	[260]	40.9	24.8	19.4	8.9	1.3	4.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,023 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.1
Abacus Data	November 5, 2024	[261]	41	22	20	8	4	5	1	±2.3 pp	1,915	online	19
Leger	November 3, 2024	[262]	42	26	15	9	2	5	1	±2.49 pp	1,549		16
Nanos Research	November 1, 2024	[263]	40.3	24.2	20.5	7.6	2.1	5.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,039 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.1
Ekos	October 30, 2024	[264]	37.2	24.6	18.4	8.9	3.1	5.7	2.1	±2.7 pp	1,340	IVR	12.6
Angus Reid	October 26, 2024	[265]	43	21	20	10	1	4	1	±2 pp	1,627	online	22
Nanos Research	October 25, 2024	[266]	38.7	25.8	19.8	7.8	2.2	5.4	—	±3.0 pp	1,047 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.9
Abacus Data	October 22, 2024	[267]	44	22	18	8	2	5	1	±2.5 pp	1,500	online	22
Nanos Research	October 18, 2024	[268]	38.0	24.5	20.4	7.8	2.7	6.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,037 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	13.5
	October 11, 2024	[269]	38.7	23.2	20.6	7.1	2.6	7.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,009 (1/4)		15.5
Campaign Research	October 10, 2024	[270]	41	24	18	8	3	5	1	—	5,018	online	17
Abacus Data	October 10, 2024	[271]	43	22	19	8	2	4	1	±2.3 pp	1,900		21
Pallas Data	October 5, 2024	[272]	43.6	22.4	18.7	8.4	1.7	3.7	1.5	±2.7 pp	1,304	IVR	21.2
Nanos Research	October 4, 2024	[273]	40.3	21.8	21.3	7.6	2.0	6.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,009 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	18.5
Mainstreet Research	September 30, 2024	[274]	44	19	20	8	3	3	3	±3 pp	1,091	IVR	24
Leger	September 29, 2024	[275]	42	25	17	7	3	5	1	±2.43 pp	1,626	online	17
Nanos Research	September 27, 2024	[276]	41.6	21.5	21.6	7.1	1.9	5.7	—	±3.0 pp	1,045 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	20.0
Abacus Data	September 25, 2024	[277]	43	21	19	8	3	5	1	±2.4 pp	1,700	online	22
Ekos	September 23, 2024	[278]	40.4	24.8	16.9	7.8	3.2	5.1	1.9	±3.2 pp	967	IVR	15.6
Leger	September 22, 2024	[279]	44	24	17	7	2	5	1	±2.48 pp	1,556	online	20
Nanos Research	September 20, 2024	[280]	41.9	25.3	21.1	5.8	1.7	3.9	—	±3.0 pp	1,059 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.6
Angus Reid	September 18, 2024	[281]	43	21	20	10	1	4	1	±2 pp	3,985	online	22
	September 16, 2024	A federal by-election was held in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun. Louis-Philippe Sauvé of the Bloc Québécois flipped the seat from the Liberal Party.
	September 16, 2024	A federal by-election was held in Elmwood—Transcona. Leila Dance held the seat for the NDP.
Relay Strategies	September 16, 2024	[282]	42.5	22.5	17.8	7.8	3.9	5.5	—	±2 pp	1,774	online	20
Nanos Research	September 13, 2024	[283]	41.6	24.5	22.4	6.5	1.5	3.2	—	±3.0 pp	1,059 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.1
Abacus Data	September 12, 2024	[284]	43	22	18	8	3	5	0	±1.8 pp	2,964	online	21
Ipsos	September 10, 2024	[285]	45	26	16	7	1	4	0	±3.8 pp	1,000		19
Leger	September 8, 2024	[286]	45	25	15	8	2	4	1	±2.51 pp	1,521		20
Nanos Research	September 6, 2024	[287]	38.9	26.7	20.7	6.7	1.9	4.2	0.9	±2.9 pp	1,120 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.2
	September 4, 2024	The NDP ends its supply-and-confidence agreement with the Liberal Party.
Angus Reid	September 3, 2024	[288]	43	21	19	10	1	5	1	±2.5 pp	1,420	online	22
Nanos Research	August 30, 2024	[289]	38.9	25.8	20.2	6.9	2.4	4.5	1.3	±2.9 pp	1,117 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	13.1
Leger	August 25, 2024	[290]	43	25	15	6	3	7	1	±2.45 pp	1,602	online	18
Nanos Research	August 23, 2024	[291]	39.8	24.7	18.9	7.6	2.3	5.1	1.5	±3.0 pp	1,092 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.1
Ekos	August 19, 2024	[292]	38.2	23.7	18.2	8.0	3.6	5.7	2.7	±2.3 pp	1,801	IVR	14.5
Abacus Data	August 18, 2024	[293]	42	25	18	7	3	4	0	±2.1 pp	2,300	online	17
Nanos Research	August 16, 2024	[294]	40.5	26.2	16.3	7.7	3.0	4.8	1.5	±3.0 pp	1,089 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	14.3
Research Co.	August 14, 2024	[295]	40	25	17	9	2	6	1	±3.1 pp	1,002	online	15
Nanos Research	August 9, 2024	[296]	40.7	26.7	16.9	7.3	2.7	4.6	1.1	±3.1 pp	1,036 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	14.0
Abacus Data	August 7, 2024	[297]	43	23	18	7	4	4	0	±2.489 pp	1,550	online	20
Nanos Research	August 2, 2024	[298]	41.7	25.4	17.4	7.8	2.6	4.4	0.8	±3.1 pp	1,006 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.3
Ekos	July 31, 2024	[299]	41.8	23.5	16.1	7.5	3.2	5.0	2.9	±1.52 pp	4,165 (5/7)	IVR (rolling)	18.3
Leger	July 28, 2024	[300]	41	23	20	7	2	5	1	±2.45 pp	1,601	online	18
Nanos Research	July 26, 2024	[301]	41.2	25.8	17.4	7.5	3.0	4.5	0.8	±3.1 pp	1,032 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.4
Abacus Data	July 22, 2024	[302]	42	23	20	8	3	4	0	±2.191 pp	2,000	online	19
Nanos Research	July 19, 2024	[303]	40.8	25.6	17.6	7.9	2.7	4.6	0.8	±3.0 pp	1,061 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.2
	July 12, 2024	[304]	42.2	24.9	17.1	8.5	2.3	4.4	0.5	±2.9 pp	1,120 (1/4)		17.3
Mainstreet Research	July 9, 2024	[305]	45	23	15	8	2	3	2	±2.8 pp	1,184	IVR	22
Abacus Data	July 9, 2024	[306]	43	23	18	8	3	5	1	±2.1 pp	1,989	online	20
Nanos Research	July 5, 2024	[307]	41.0	25.7	17.3	8.9	2.6	4.2	0.4	±2.9 pp	1,128 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.3
	June 28, 2024	[308]	41.4	26.5	16.5	9.5	1.6	4.2	0.3	±2.9 pp	1,117 (1/4)		14.9
Ekos	June 26, 2024	[309]	41	25	17	7	4	4	3	±3.4 pp	818	IVR (rolling)	16
Abacus Data	June 25, 2024	[310]	42	23	19	8	3	5	—	±2.248 pp	1,900	online	19
	June 24, 2024	A federal by-election was held in Toronto—St. Paul's. Conservative Don Stewart flipped the seat from the Liberal Party.
Leger	June 23, 2024	[311]	41	27	17	7	3	4	1	±2.45 pp	1,607	online	14
Spark Advocacy	June 21, 2024	[312]	42	23	17	7	3	4	4	—	2,688		19
Nanos Research	June 21, 2024	[313]	41.3	26.8	16.8	8.4	2.3	4.2	0.3	±2.9 pp	1,142 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	14.5
Angus Reid	June 17, 2024	[314]	42	21	20	10	2	4	1	±2 pp	3,080	online	21
Ipsos	June 14, 2024	[315]	42	24	18	8	4	3	1	±3.8 pp	1,001		18
Nanos Research	June 14, 2024	[316]	41.3	27.1	17.5	7.8	2.2	4.0	0.1	±3.0 pp	1,103 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	14.2
Abacus Data	June 13, 2024	[317]	42	22	19	8	3	5	1	±2.53 pp	1,550	online	20
Ekos	June 11, 2024	[309]	45	21	16	7	3	5	3	±1.8 pp	3,006	IVR	24
Nanos Research	June 7, 2024	[318]	40.8	28.5	17.9	6.9	1.9	3.9	0.2	±3.0 pp	1,100 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.3
	May 31, 2024	[319]	41.5	26.2	18.2	7.6	2.3	4.0	0.2	±2.9 pp	1,154 (1/4)	online	15.3
Leger	May 26, 2024	[320]	42	23	18	6	3	5	1	±2.44 pp	1,620		19
Nanos Research	May 24, 2024	[321]	41.7	26.3	18.6	7.9	1.3	4.1	0.2	±3.0 pp	1,105 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.4
Abacus Data	May 21, 2024	[322]	41	25	18	8	3	4	1	±2.0 pp	2,415	online	16
Nanos Research	May 17, 2024	[323]	42.8	25.0	17.1	7.7	2.5	4.5	0.5	±2.9 pp	1,152 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.8
Abacus Data	May 15, 2024	[324]	43	24	17	7	3	4	1	±2.0 pp	2,000	online	19
Ipsos	May 13, 2024	[325]	44	25	16	8	3	2	1	±3.8 pp	1,000		19
Nanos Research	May 10, 2024	[326]	43.2	22.8	15.9	10.3	2.5	4.3	1.0	±2.9 pp	1,135 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	20.4
Relay Strategies	May 9, 2024	[327]	45	23	16	7	3	4	2	±3 pp	1,555	online	22
Nanos Research	May 3, 2024	[328]	42.4	24.4	16.1	7.4	3.1	5.2	—	±3 pp	1,082 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	18.0
Mainstreet Research	April 30, 2024	[329]	43.2	25.4	15.0	7.0	2.6	3.8	2.9	±2.6 pp	1,392	IVR	17.8
Abacus Data	April 29, 2024	[330]	44	23	17	7	4	4	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	21
Leger	April 28, 2024	[331]	44	23	17	8	2	5	1	±2.44 pp	1,610		21
Nanos Research	April 26, 2024	[332]	43.6	23.7	16.3	8.3	3.0	4.0	1.1	±3 pp	1,105 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	19.9
Angus Reid	April 23, 2024	[333]	43	23	19	8	1	4	2	±2 pp	3,015	online	20
Ekos	April 22, 2024	[334]	36.9	25.9	22.8	6.4	3.1	4.2	0.8	±3.1 pp	1,033	telephone/online	11.0
Innovative Research	April 21, 2024	[335]	41	26	17	8	—	5	3	—	1,408	online	15
Nanos Research	April 19, 2024	[336]	41.8	23.3	19.1	9.3	3.0	2.7	0.8	±3.1 pp	1,037 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	18.5
Ipsos	April 18, 2024	[337]	43	24	19	8	4	2	1	±3.8 pp	1,000	online	19
Abacus Data	April 16, 2024	[338]	43	23	18	7	3	5	1	±2 pp	2,300		20
Nanos Research	April 12, 2024	[339]	40.0	23.7	20.6	9.1	2.2	3.6	0.8	±3 pp	1,053 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.3
Research Co.	April 10, 2024	[340]	38	26	20	10	1	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,001	online	12
Abacus Data	April 9, 2024	[341]	44	24	17	6	3	5	1	±2.1 pp	2,000		20
Pallas Data	April 8, 2024	[342]	41.3	26.4	17.5	7	2.6	4.1	1.0	±2 pp	2,375	IVR	14.9
Nanos Research	April 5, 2024	[343]	38.4	25.9	18.9	9.7	1.7	3.8	1.6	±3 pp	1,089 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.5
	March 29, 2024	[344]	37.5	25.7	18.7	9.9	2.1	4.7	1.3	±3 pp	1,075 (1/4)		11.8
Leger	March 25, 2024	[345]	42	26	17	7	2	4	1	±2.45 pp	1,605	online	16
Nanos Research	March 22, 2024	[346]	39.3	24.1	19.8	9.2	1.5	5.0	1.0	±3 pp	1,092 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.2
Abacus Data	March 21, 2024	[347]	41	23	19	7	4	4	0	±1.7 pp	3,550	online	18
Ipsos	March 18, 2024	[348]	41	23	20	7	3	4	1	±3.8 pp	1,000		18
Nanos Research	March 15, 2024	[349]	39.2	24.7	20.3	8.2	1.5	5.0	1.1	±3 pp	1,092 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	14.5
Mainstreet Research	March 9, 2024	[350]	45.6	24.9	15.4	6.1	2.1	3.6	2.4	±2.7 pp	1,274	IVR	20.7
Nanos Research	March 8, 2024	[351]	40.6	23.3	21.2	7.2	1.7	4.9	1.0	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.3
Abacus Data	March 6, 2024	[352]	42	24	18	7	3	4	1	±2.5 pp	1,500	online	18
Angus Reid	March 4, 2024	[353]	40	23	21	9	2	4	1	±2 pp	3,908		17
	March 4, 2024	A federal by-election was held in Durham. Jamil Jivani held the seat for the Conservative Party.
Nanos Research	March 1, 2024	[354]	42.8	23.3	21.4	6.2	1.3	4.2	0.7	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	19.5
Leger	February 25, 2024	[355]	41	25	18	7	3	5	1	±2.49 pp	1,590	online	16
Nanos Research	February 23, 2024	[356]	40.8	23.4	22.1	6.6	1.4	4.7	1.0	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.4
Abacus Data	February 21, 2024	[357]	41	24	19	8	3	5	1	±2.1 pp	2,125	online	17
Nanos Research	February 16, 2024	[358]	40.6	23.8	21.9	6.2	1.5	5.1	0.9	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.8
	February 9, 2024	[359]	40.2	24.0	20.9	6.9	1.4	5.7	0.9	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		16.2
Abacus Data	February 7, 2024	[360]	43	24	18	8	3	4	0	±2.0 pp	2,398	online	19
Nanos Research	February 2, 2024	[361]	40.0	24.7	20.6	7.4	1.3	5.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.3
Leger	January 28, 2024	[362]	40	25	20	8	2	5	1	±2.47 pp	1,579	online	15
Mainstreet Research	January 26, 2024	[363]	43	26	16	6	3	4	2	±3.2 pp	947	IVR	17
Nanos Research	January 26, 2024	[364]	39.0	27.1	20.4	6.8	1.4	4.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.9
Abacus Data	January 23, 2024	[365]	40	25	20	8	3	5	0	±2.1 pp	2,199	online	15
Ipsos	January 22, 2024	[366]	36	27	20	8	3	3	2	±3.8 pp	1,001		9
Nanos Research	January 19, 2024	[367]	38.7	26.2	21.1	7.6	2.2	3.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.5
Angus Reid	January 17, 2024	[368]	41	24	20	9	1	4	2	±2 pp	1,620	online	17
Nanos Research	January 12, 2024	[369]	39.4	27.6	19.6	7.4	2.0	3.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.8
Abacus Data	January 9, 2024	[370]	41	24	18	7	5	4	0	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	17
Nanos Research	January 5, 2024	[371]	38.3	26.4	20.5	7.4	2.1	4.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.9
	December 29, 2023	[372]	40.3	26.6	18.1	7.3	1.9	4.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		13.7
Spark Advocacy	December 27, 2023	[373]	40	26	19	8	5	3	—	±2.0 pp	2,175	online	14
Nanos Research	December 22, 2023	[374]	40.6	27.0	18.2	6.9	1.4	5.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	13.6
Leger	December 17, 2023	[375]	38	28	18	7	2	5	2	±2.43 pp	1,622	online	10
Pallas Data	December 15, 2023	[376]	40.5	27.2	16.6	7.1	3.4	4.7	0.4	±2.9 pp	1,177		13.3
Nanos Research	December 15, 2023	[377]	40.8	24.9	20.4	5.7	1.6	5.6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.9
Abacus Data	December 12, 2023	[378]	37	27	19	7	4	5	1	±2.3 pp	1,919	online	10
Mainstreet Research	December 9, 2023	[379]	42	24	17	7	3	5	2	±3.3 pp	879	IVR	18
Nanos Research	December 8, 2023	[380]	39.8	26.1	20.2	5.6	1.8	5.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	13.7
Innovative Research	December 5, 2023	[381]	40	24	19	7	4	5	—	—	5,534	online	16
Angus Reid	December 1, 2023	[382]	41	24	20	9	1	4	2	±1.5 pp	3,755		17
Nanos Research	December 1, 2023	[383]	40.4	23.4	21.2	6.3	1.9	5.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.0
Abacus Data	November 28, 2023	[384]	42	23	19	7	3	4	1	±2.0 pp	2,417	online	19
Research Co.	November 27, 2023	[385]	38	24	21	9	2	4	1	±3.1 pp	1,000		14
Pluriel Research	November 26, 2023	[386]	39	25	19	7	—	6	4	±2.6 pp	1,374		14
Leger	November 26, 2023	[387]	40	26	20	7	2	3	1	±2.51 pp	1,529		14
Nanos Research	November 24, 2023	[388]	41.0	22.0	22.0	6.1	2.0	5.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	19.0
Abacus Data	November 22, 2023	[389]	39	24	20	8	4	5	1	±1.7 pp	3,450	online	15
Ipsos	November 17, 2023	[390]	40	24	21	8	2	4	1	±3.8 pp	1,000		16
Nanos Research	November 17, 2023	[391]	39	24	22	6	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15
Angus Reid	November 14, 2023	[392]	41	27	20	7	1	4	1	±1.5 pp	2,512	online	14
Abacus Data	November 12, 2023	[393]	41	25	19	6	4	3	—	±2.3 pp	2,000		16
Nanos Research	November 10, 2023	[394]	40.3	22.4	20.3	6.7	2.1	7.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.9
Mainstreet Research	November 6, 2023	[395]	41.0	25.8	18.2	6.2	2.9	4.1	1.8	±2.3 pp	1,892	IVR	15.2
Nanos Research	November 3, 2023	[396]	40	25	20	6	2	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15
Abacus Data	November 1, 2023	[397]	39	26	18	7	4	5	1	±2.1 pp	2,200	online	13
Innovative Research	October 31, 2023	[398]	38	24	20	7	4	5	—	—	5,974		14
Leger	October 29, 2023	[399]	40	26	17	7	3	6	1	±2.4 pp	1,632		14
Nanos Research	October 27, 2023	[400]	37.7	25.4	19.9	5.5	3.4	7.9	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.3
Pallas Data	October 22, 2023	[401]	42.5	26.5	16.1	6.8	3.4	3.2	1.6	±2.5 pp	1,484	IVR	16.0
Nanos Research	October 20, 2023	[402]	39.5	23.6	19.3	5.0	4.5	7.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.9
Angus Reid	October 13, 2023	[403]	39	28	21	7	1	3	1	±2 pp	1,878	online	11
Nanos Research	October 13, 2023	[404]	40	25	19	5	3	7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15
Mainstreet Research	October 12, 2023	[405]	41	27	17	6	3	3	2	±2.8 pp	1,223	IVR	14
Abacus Data	October 10, 2023	[406]	40	26	19	7	—	5	—	±2.2 pp	1,915	online	14
Nanos Research	October 6, 2023	[407]	38	26	20	6	3	7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12
Abacus Data	October 5, 2023	[408]	39	26	18	7	5	4	—	±2.2 pp	1,985	online	13
Nanos Research	September 29, 2023	[409]	37.9	26.5	21.2	6.2	2.0	5.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.4
Leger	September 24, 2023	[410]	39	27	18	7	2	4	2	±2.4 pp	1,652	online	12
Ekos	September 24, 2023	[411]	42.1	22.9	17.9	6.4	2.9	6.9	0.9	±3.1 pp	1,025	IVR	19.2
Nanos Research	September 22, 2023	[412]	35.6	28.6	21.4	7.3	1.7	5.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7.0
Ipsos	September 18, 2023	[413]	39	30	17	8	2	3	2	±2.9 pp	1,500	online	9
Nanos Research	September 15, 2023	[414]	34.9	28.9	22.2	7.1	1.8	4.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6.0
Abacus Data	September 13, 2023	[415]	41	26	18	8	3	3	1	±2.1 pp	2,125	online	15
Pluriel Research	September 8, 2023	[416]	37.9	29.1	19.6	6.4	—	4.0	3.0	±3 pp	1,001		8.8
Nanos Research	September 8, 2023	[417]	34.0	29.0	21.8	7.1	2.6	5.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5.0
Angus Reid	September 6, 2023	[418]	39	27	19	8	2	4	0	±1.5 pp	3,400	online	12
Research Co.	September 4, 2023	[419]	37	31	17	8	1	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,000		6
Abacus Data	September 4, 2023	[420]	40	26	19	6	3	4	1	±1.7 pp	3,595		14
Nanos Research	September 1, 2023	[421]	32	32	21	7	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0
Leger	August 27, 2023	[422]	38	29	18	8	2	4	1	±2.5 pp	1,597	online	9
Nanos Research	August 25, 2023	[423]	33	30	22	7	2	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3
Mainstreet Research	August 23, 2023	[424]	41	28	15	7	3	4	3	±2.7 pp	1,280	IVR	13
Abacus Data	August 23, 2023	[425]	38	26	19	7	4	4	—	±2.0 pp	2,189	online	12
Nanos Research	August 18, 2023	[426]	34.1	29.5	19.8	7.2	2.4	6.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	4.6
Pallas Data	August 17, 2023	[427]	39.1	29.6	16.6	6.7	2.0	4.7	1.2	±3.1 pp	1,021	IVR	9.5
Angus Reid	August 11, 2023	[428]	38	31	18	7	1	5	0	±2 pp	1,606	online	7
Nanos Research	August 11, 2023	[429]	35	29	19	7	2	7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Abacus Data	August 7, 2023	[430]	37	28	19	8	3	4	1	±2.0 pp	1,650	online	9
Nanos Research	August 4, 2023	[431]	37	27	20	7	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	10
	July 28, 2023	[432]	36	29	17	7	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		7
Abacus Data	July 25, 2023	[433]	38	28	18	7	4	5	1	±2.0 pp	2,486	online	10
	July 24, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Calgary Heritage. Shuvaloy Majumdar held the seat for the Conservative Party.
Nanos Research	July 21, 2023	[434]	35.4	28.6	19.6	7.1	2.3	5.9	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6.8
	July 14, 2023	[435]	35	29	19	7	2	7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		6
Leger	July 10, 2023	[436]	37	28	17	7	3	5	2	±2.5 pp	1,512	online	9
Mainstreet Research	July 8, 2023	[437]	37	30	17	6	3	5	2	±2.8 pp	1,200	IVR	7
Nanos Research	July 7, 2023	[438]	37	30	19	7	2	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7
	June 30, 2023	[439]	35.8	29.6	18.9	6.4	2.4	6.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		6.2
Abacus Data	June 27, 2023	[440]	34	29	20	7	5	5	1	±2.0 pp	1,500	online	5
Pollara	June 23, 2023	[441]	32	30	21	8	3	5	1	±1.2 pp	7,001		2
Nanos Research	June 23, 2023	[442]	35	29	20	7	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Ipsos	June 20, 2023	[443]	37	32	16	8	2	3	1	±3.5 pp	1,000	online	5
	June 19, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount. Anna Gainey held the seat for the Liberal Party.
	June 19, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Oxford. Arpan Khanna held the seat for the Conservative Party.
	June 19, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Portage—Lisgar. Branden Leslie held the seat for the Conservative Party.
	June 19, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Winnipeg South Centre. Ben Carr held the seat for the Liberal Party.
Nanos Research	June 16, 2023	[444]	35	30	21	7	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Abacus Data	June 11, 2023	[445]	35	28	21	7	4	4	1	±2.0 pp	2,000	online	7
Nanos Research	June 9, 2023	[446]	32	30	23	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2
Mainstreet Research	June 8, 2023	[447]	35	29	21	5	2	5	3	±3 pp	1,045	IVR	6
Angus Reid	June 3, 2023	[448]	37	29	20	8	2	4	0	±1 pp	3,885	online	8
Nanos Research	June 2, 2023	[439]	32.4	29.3	23.8	6.8	2.7	3.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3.1
Leger	May 29, 2023	[449]	31	33	19	8	2	6	1	±2.51 pp	1,531	online	2
Nanos Research	May 26, 2023	[450]	33	28	24	7	3	4	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
	May 19, 2023	[451]	34	27	24	7	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		7
Abacus Data	May 12, 2023	[452]	33	30	18	7	5	5	1	±2.0 pp	2,500	online	3
Nanos Research	May 12, 2023	[453]	36	27	22	7	4	4	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	9
Leger	May 8, 2023	[454]	33	32	20	7	2	5	2	±2.51 pp	1,523	online	1
Mainstreet Research	May 6, 2023	[455]	36	30	17	6	3	4	2	±2.7 pp	1,272	IVR	6
Nanos Research	May 5, 2023	[456]	35.2	27.7	21.7	7.1	3.4	4.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7.5
Abacus Data	May 3, 2023	[457]	33	31	19	7	5	4	1	±2.4 pp	1,750	online	2
Nanos Research	April 28, 2023	[458]	35	30	20	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Leger	April 23, 2023	[459]	36	30	19	7	2	4	1	—	1,515	online	6
Nanos Research	April 21, 2023	[460]	34	31	21	6	3	4	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3
	April 14, 2023	[461]	34	31	21	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		3
Leger	April 10, 2023	[462]	34	30	21	8	3	3	1	±2.52 pp	1,517	online	4
Nanos Research	April 7, 2023	[463]	35.8	30.6	18.1	5.5	3.4	5.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5.2
	March 31, 2023	[464]	36	28	20	6	4	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		8
Mainstreet Research	March 30, 2023	[465]	35.9	28.9	18.1	6.5	1.8	6.8	2.1	±2.8 pp	1,267	IVR	7.0
Nanos Research	March 24, 2023	[466]	34.8	28.9	19.0	6.3	4.4	5.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5.9
Abacus Data	March 21, 2023	[467]	33	31	18	8	5	4	1	±2.3 pp	1,963	online	2
Nanos Research	March 17, 2023	[468]	34	27	20	9	5	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7
Angus Reid	March 13, 2023	[469]	35	29	20	8	2	4	1	±1 pp	4,899	online	6
Ekos	March 13, 2023	[470]	31.4	28.2	25.0	6.0	3.6	4.8	1.1	±1.6 pp	3,115	telephone/online	3.2
Leger	March 12, 2023	[471]	32	33	19	9	2	4	1	±2.49 pp	1,544	online	1
Mainstreet Research	March 10, 2023	[472]	36.9	30.8	15.2	6.2	3.3	4.8	2.7	±2.8 pp	1,255	IVR	6.1
Abacus Data	March 10, 2023	[473]	34	29	19	7	6	3	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	5
Nanos Research	March 10, 2023	[474]	32.8	28.4	20.6	8.9	3.5	5.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	4.4
Abacus Data	March 4, 2023	[475]	36	29	18	8	4	3	2	±2.0 pp	2,600	online	7
Nanos Research	March 3, 2023	[476]	34	30	20	9	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (3/4)	telephone (rolling)	4
Research Co.	February 27, 2023	[477]	33	34	18	8	1	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	1
Abacus Data	February 18, 2023	[478]	37	29	18	7	4	4	1	±1.6 pp	4,000		8
Ipsos	February 17, 2023	[479]	33	33	18	7	3	4	1	±3.1 pp	1,350		0
Leger	February 12, 2023	[480]	35	32	18	7	2	4	1	±2.50 pp	1,539		3
Nanos Research	February 10, 2023	[481]	32.9	33.1	20.5	6.4	2.8	4.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.2
Pollara	February 6, 2023	[482]	32	32	20	8	3	4	1	±1.8 pp	3,850	online	0
Abacus Data	January 30, 2023	[483]	37	29	18	7	4	4	1	±2.6 pp	1,500		8
Mainstreet Research	January 27, 2023	[484]	36.9	33.1	13.6	6.4	2.4	4.8	2.8	±2.8 pp	1,261	IVR	3.8
Nanos Research	January 27, 2023	[485]	34	31	19	8	2	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3
Leger	January 22, 2023	[486]	34	34	19	7	1	3	1	±2.49 pp	1,554	online	0
Nanos Research	January 20, 2023	[487]	35	30	18	9	2	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Abacus Data	January 16, 2023	[488]	35	31	18	7	5	4	1	±2.2 pp	2,099	online	4
Nanos Research	January 13, 2023	[489]	35.6	28.3	20.7	7.4	2.1	5.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7.3
Pollara	January 12, 2023	[482]	32	33	21	8	2	4	—	—	3,020	online	1
Nanos Research	January 6, 2023	[490]	34	29	22	6	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
	December 30, 2022	[491]	34	29	22	6	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		5
	December 23, 2022	[492]	35	29	23	6	2	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		6
Pollara	December 20, 2022	[482]	33	30	21	8	3	5	—	—	4,020	online	3
Nanos Research	December 16, 2022	[493]	35	29	21	6	3	5	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Mainstreet Research	December 15, 2022	[494]	36.0	31.3	18.6	5.8	2.9	3.9	1.5	±2.6 pp	1,416	IVR	4.7
	December 12, 2022	A federal by-election was held in Mississauga—Lakeshore. Charles Sousa held the seat for the Liberal Party.
Leger	December 11, 2022	[495]	33	30	21	7	4	4	2	±2.50 pp	1,526	online	3
Abacus Data	December 10, 2022	[496]	36	30	19	6	4	4	1	—	2,500		6
Nanos Research	December 9, 2022	[497]	33.6	30.3	20.9	5.5	2.6	5.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3.3
Mainstreet Research	December 8, 2022	[498]	37.9	33.6	16.4	5.1	2.4	3.6	1.0	±2.8 pp	1,267	IVR	4.3
Nanos Research	December 2, 2022	[499]	33	31	22	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2
	November 25, 2022	[500]	30.3	31.0	22.5	7.1	3.4	4.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)		0.7
Ekos	November 23, 2022	[501]	33.6	31.3	18.1	5.1	3.4	6.6	1.9	±3.1 pp	1,034	IVR	2.3
	November 19, 2022	Elizabeth May is elected leader of the Green Party.
Innovative Research	November 14, 2022	[502]	33	32	18	7	2	6	1	—	2,236	online	1
Leger	November 13, 2022	[503]	34	32	19	7	2	4	2	±2.50 pp	1,537		2
Nanos Research	November 11, 2022	[497]	31.3	32.9	20.0	8.1	1.7	5.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	1.6
Mainstreet Research	November 7, 2022	[504]	37.6	30.3	19.3	3.8	4.1	3.5	1.4	±2.7 pp	1,276	IVR	7.3
Pollara	November 3, 2022	[482]	33	31	20	9	3	3	—	—	3,418	online	2
Nanos Research	October 28, 2022	[500]	34.4	32.1	16.9	7.9	3.2	4.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2.3
Research Co.	October 26, 2022	[505]	35	31	19	8	2	4	1	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	4
Abacus Data	October 26, 2022	[506]	34	31	18	6	4	5	1	±2.1 pp	1,500		3
Nanos Research	October 21, 2022	[507]	36	30	17	8	4	4	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
	October 14, 2022	[508]	35	34	18	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)		1
Leger	October 10, 2022	[509]	33	31	21	8	2	3	1	±2.50 pp	1,534	online	2
Nanos Research	October 7, 2022	[510]	33	32	21	6	2	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	1
	September 30, 2022	[511]	33	29	23	6	2	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)		4
Mainstreet Research	September 22, 2022	[512]	40.8	32.7	12.4	5.2	3.4	2.6	2.7	±3.0 pp	1,088	IVR	8.1
Angus Reid	September 22, 2022	[513]	37	30	20	7	1	3	1	±2 pp	5,014	online	7
Ipsos	September 21, 2022	[514]	35	30	20	7	3	3	2	±3.5 pp	1,000		5
Leger	September 18, 2022	[515]	34	28	23	8	3	3	1	±2.51 pp	1,522		6
Ekos	September 16, 2022	[516]	33.7	31.7	20.1	5.9	3.1	5.0	0.5	±3.1 pp	1,005	IVR	2.0
Nanos Research	September 16, 2022	[517]	30.7	28.4	26.0	6.0	3.4	4.8	—	±3.00 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	2.3
Abacus Data	September 14, 2022	[518]	35	30	17	9	4	4	1	±2.2 pp	1,990	online	5
	September 10, 2022	Pierre Poilievre is elected leader of the Conservative Party.
Abacus Data	August 30, 2022	[519]	33	32	19	7	5	3	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	1
Nanos Research	August 19, 2022	[517]	32.5	33.3	20.1	5.5	2.1	5.6	—	±3.00 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.8
Leger	August 7, 2022	[520]	28	33	21	8	5	4	2	±2.52 pp	1,509	online	5
Nanos Research	August 5, 2022	[521]	32.6	29.0	22.7	6.3	1.7	6.8	—	±3.0 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	3.6
Abacus Data	July 27, 2022	[522]	35	30	19	7	4	4	1	±2.0 pp	2,400	online	5
Mainstreet Research	July 18, 2022	[523]	38.3	27.6	18.1	5.9	5.2	2.6	2.3	±2.3 pp	1,749		10.7
Abacus Data	July 17, 2022	[524]	33	31	19	8	4	4	1	±2.6 pp	1,500		2
Leger	July 10, 2022	[525]	28	32	21	7	5	4	3	±2.49 pp	1,538		4
Nanos Research	July 8, 2022	[521]	34.1	30.6	20.8	5.6	2.8	5.4	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (3/4)	telephone (rolling)	3.5
Abacus Data	June 23, 2022	[526]	34	30	18	8	5	4	1	±1.8 pp	3,026	online	4
Ipsos	June 20, 2022	[527]	33	32	21	8	2	2	1	±2.5 pp	2,002		1
Nanos Research	June 17, 2022	[528]	35.5	30.5	19.2	6.1	2.9	5.1	—	±2.9 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	5.0
Mainstreet Research	June 16, 2022	[529]	25.8	34.0	22.8	7.8	3.1	4.5	2.0	±2.8 pp	1,200	online	8.2
Leger	June 12, 2022	[530]	32	30	21	6	4	4	2	±2.5 pp	1,528		2
Abacus Data	May 24, 2022	[531]	31	31	19	8	5	5	1	±2.6 pp	1,500		0
Nanos Research	May 20, 2022	[528]	32.5	34.4	19.6	6.1	3.3	4.1	—	±2.9 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	1.9
Ekos	May 17, 2022	[532]	35.4	29.2	19.9	4.3	4.2	4.5	3	±2.8 pp	1,244	IVR	6.2
	May 9, 2022	[533]	31.4	31.8	20.3	4.8	4.8	5.2	2	±2.1 pp	2,140		0.4
Abacus Data	May 6, 2022	[534]	33	31	19	8	5	3	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	2
Mainstreet Research	April 29, 2022	[535]	38.4	32.2	16.9	6.7	—	2.8	3.1	±2.7 pp	1,327	IVR	6.2
Nanos Research	April 22, 2022	[536]	35.6	30.0	19.6	5.4	3.4	5.5	—	±2.9 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	5.6
Leger	April 10, 2022	[537]	29	31	21	7	6	4	2	±2.5 pp	1,538	online	2
Abacus Data	April 9, 2022	[538]	31	33	18	8	5	4	1	±2.1 pp	2,000		2
Nanos Research	April 8, 2022	[539]	33	33	18	—	—	—	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0
	April 1, 2022	[539]	31	33	21	—	—	—	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/4)		2
Abacus Data	March 25, 2022	[540]	33	31	17	7	6	4	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	2
Nanos Research	March 25, 2022	[536]	31.3	32.2	21.6	5.9	3.6	4.8	—	±2.9 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.9
	March 22, 2022	The Liberals and NDP enter into a confidence-and-supply agreement.
Nanos Research	March 11, 2022	[541]	29.3	32.1	22.2	6.4	5.0	4.9	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	2.8
Leger	March 6, 2022	[542]	28	33	22	8	5	3	1	±2.5 pp	1,591	online	5
Nanos Research	February 25, 2022	[543]	32.2	30.3	17.7	—	5.4	6.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	1.9
Abacus Data	February 22, 2022	[544]	31	31	20	8	6	3	1	±1.4 pp	5,200	online	0
Ipsos	February 21, 2022	[545]	32	32	23	6	4	3	1	±3.5 pp	1,001		0
Mainstreet Research	February 17, 2022	[546]	38.7	30.6	14.6	6.3	6.2	1.9	1.7	±2.7 pp	1,323	IVR	8.1
Nanos Research	February 11, 2022	[547]	31.1	30.6	16.9	7.1	7.1	6.4	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.5
Abacus Data	February 8, 2022	[548]	30	33	19	8	6	3	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	3
Leger	February 6, 2022	[549]	29	33	21	8	4	4	0	±2.49 pp	1,546		4
	February 2, 2022	Erin O'Toole is removed as leader of the Conservative Party. Candice Bergen is named interim leader.
Nanos Research	January 28, 2022	[550]	30.4	29.9	20.7	—	6.7	5.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0.5
Mainstreet Research	January 23, 2022	[551]	29.3	29.4	16.7	5.8	12.7	3.2	2.8	±2.3 pp	1,813	IVR	0.1
Leger	January 23, 2022	[552]	31	34	18	7	6	3	2	±2.51 pp	1,525	online	3
Nanos Research	January 21, 2022	[553]	29.4	28.4	22.3	5.6	—	7.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	1.0
Ekos	January 17, 2022	[554]	29.7	30.3	19.5	5.9	9.1	4.5	1	±1.9 pp	2,612	IVR	0.6
Nanos Research	January 14, 2022	[555]	28.5	28.2	24.3	6.1	5.3	6.3	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0.3
Angus Reid	January 12, 2022	[556]	29	34	20	5	6	3	2	±2.0 pp	5,002	online	5
Abacus Data	January 12, 2022	[557]	30	32	19	8	7	3	1	±2.089 pp	2,200		2
Nanos Research	January 7, 2022	[558]	29.0	30.6	21.4	6.2	5.7	6.1	—	±3.0 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	1.6
Discover by Navigator	January 5, 2022	[559]	29	32	22	6	7	4	—	—	2,513	online	3
Ekos	December 21, 2021	[560]	25	32	23	4	10	4	2	±3.1 pp	1,015	–	7
Nanos Research	December 10, 2021	[558]	30.4	33.3	19.8	6.2	6.7	7.0	—	±3.0 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	2.9
Leger	December 5, 2021	[561]	29	36	19	7	5	3	1	±2.49 pp	1,547	online	7
Mainstreet Research	November 30, 2021	[562]	30.3	33.5	15.7	5.5	10.0	3.2	1.9	±2.36 pp	1,719	IVR	3.2
Abacus Data	November 30, 2021	[563]	30	32	20	8	6	3	1	±2.2 pp	2,025	online	2
Angus Reid	November 29, 2021	[564]	29	35	20	7	5	2	1	±2 pp	2,005		6
	November 27, 2021	Amita Kuttner is named interim leader of the Green Party.
Ekos	November 21, 2021	[565]	26.6	30.4	19.1	5.9	11.4	5.2	1	±3.1 pp	1,006	IVR	3.8
Leger	November 7, 2021	[566]	26	35	22	8	5	3	2	±2.48 pp	1,565	online	9
Nanos Research	October 29, 2021	[567]	30.1	30.8	21.6	7.4	5.8	3.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0.7
Mainstreet Research	October 24, 2021	[568]	33.3	33.8	15.4	5.5	—	3.0	8.9	±2.4 pp	1,711	IVR	0.5
Nanos Research	October 22, 2021	[569]	30.8	29.9	23.1	7.3	5.3	2.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	0.9
Abacus Data	October 20, 2021	[570]	30	33	19	7	6	3	1	±1.9 pp	2,220	online	3
	September 27, 2021	Annamie Paul announces her intention to resign as the leader of the Green Party.
2021 election	September 20, 2021	HTML	33.7	32.6	17.8	7.6	4.9	2.3	1.1	—	17,042,591	—	1.1

Voting intention with LPC-NDP merger/alliance

Under Justin Trudeau leadership

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC-NDP	CPC	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Research Co.	January 5, 2025	[234]	31	48	10	6	3	2	± 3.1 pp	1,002	online	17
	October 8, 2023	[571]	36	42	8	8	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,000		6
Leger	April 23, 2023	[572]	41	39	8	6	3	—	± 3.1 pp	1,515		2

Under Jagmeet Singh leadership

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC-NDP	CPC	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Research Co.	January 5, 2025	[234]	34	46	10	5	3	2	± 3.1 pp	1,002	online	12
	October 8, 2023	[571]	36	43	9	7	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,000		7

Voting intention with Liberal successor candidates

Under Mark Carney leadership

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
	March 9, 2025	Mark Carney is elected leader of the Liberal Party.
Ekos	March 5, 2025	[195]	35.3	42.4	10.7	5.5	1	4.1	1	±3.1 pp	1,033	IVR	7.1
Angus Reid	March 3, 2025	[573][574]	40	37	11	9	2	0	1	—	905	online	3
Leger	March 2, 2025	[196]	41	33	12	6	2	4	2	±2.49 pp	1,548		8
Ekos	February 24, 2025	[202]	31.5	42.1	8.2	10.5	3	4	1	±7.1 pp	193	IVR	10.6
Pollara	February 24, 2025	[203]	37	37	14	7	3	1	0	±2.5 pp	1,506	online	0
Leger	February 23, 2025	[204]	38	40	11	5	3	2	1	±2.50 pp	1,244		2
Angus Reid	February 18, 2025	[575][576]	40	37	10	7	4	1	3	—	921		3
Leger	February 17, 2025	[206]	40	39	9	6	3	2	1	—	1,227		1
Mainstreet Research	February 13, 2025	[209]	37	40	12	9	2	1	0	±2.9 pp	1,128	text/online	3
Abacus Data	February 11, 2025	[211]	45	28	12	10	3	—	2	±3.5 pp	757-852	online	17
Leger	February 10, 2025	[212]	37	37	12	6	5	2	2	±2.46 pp	1,590		0
Pallas Data	February 6, 2025	[215]	38	39	9	7	3	2	2	±2.8 pp	1,241	IVR	1
Angus Reid	January 27, 2025	[577]	43	29	13	10	3	1	1	±1.5 pp	1,960	online	14
	December 31, 2024	[578]	36	14	18	9	23			±1.5 pp	2,406		18

Under Chrystia Freeland leadership

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Angus Reid	March 3, 2025	[573][574]	39	31	13	7	3	3	9	—	884	online	8
	February 18, 2025	[575][576]	40	29	18	8	3	2	6	—	893		11
Mainstreet Research	February 13, 2025	[209]	40	34	12	9	2	1	2	±2.9 pp	1,128	text/online	6
Abacus Data	February 11, 2025	[211]	45	21	20	7	6	—	3	±3.5 pp	757-852	online	24
Leger	February 10, 2025	[212]	39	28	15	7	6	3	2	±2.46 pp	1,590		11
Pallas Data	February 6, 2025	[215]	41	31	13	8	2	3	2	±2.8 pp	1,241	IVR	10
Angus Reid	January 27, 2025	[577]	44	24	17	9	3	1	2	±1.5 pp	1,960	online	20
	December 31, 2024	[578]	36	21	14	7	21			±1.5 pp	2,406		15

Under Karina Gould leadership

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Mainstreet Research	February 13, 2025	[209]	40	33	13	10	2	1	2	±2.9 pp	1,128	text/online	7
Pallas Data	February 6, 2025	[215]	42	22	17	10	4	3	2	±2.8 pp	1,241	IVR	20

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.

Atlantic Canada

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Narrative Research	April 22, 2025	[579]	66	26	6	1	1	0	± 2.7 pp	1,325	Online	40
	April 13, 2025	[580]	65	26	8	1	0	0	± 2.7 pp	1,361		39
	August 18, 2024	[581]	32	43	16	6	2	0	± 2.6 pp	1,450	Telephone	11

New Brunswick

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Narrative Research	August 18, 2024	[581]	32	43	10	10	4	0	± 2.6 pp	400	Telephone	11

Nova Scotia

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Abacus Data	March 20, 2025	[582]	46	37	12	3	2	1	± 4.1 pp	600	Online	9
Cardinal Research	November 15, 2024	[583]	40	37	17	3	1	—	± 3.5 pp	1046	Telephone	3
Narrative Research	August 18, 2024	[581]	30	43	21	4	2	0	± 2.6 pp	400		13

Newfoundland and Labrador

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Narrative Research	August 18, 2024	[581]	32	45	19	3	0	0	± 2.6 pp	350	Telephone	13
Abacus Data	September 25, 2023	[584]	33	42	23	—	1	1	± 4.5 pp	500	Online	9

Prince Edward Island

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Narrative Research	August 18, 2024	[581]	35	41	10	13	1	0	± 2.6 pp	300	Telephone	6

Central Canada

Quebec

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Leger	April 25, 2025	[585]	42	24	5	26	2	1	—		893	Online	16
Synopsis	April 11, 2025	[586]	42	21	7	27	1	2	—		1,000		15
Leger	March 10, 2025	[587]	36	24	8	25	4	2	1	± 3.09pp	1,007		11
	February 2, 2025	[588]	29	24	12	29	3	3	1	± 3.07 pp	1,017		0
	January 19, 2025	[589]	21	26	7	37	4	2	1	± 3.09 pp	1,003		11
	December 2, 2024	[590]	22	22	15	35	4	1	2	± 3.1 pp	1,002		13
	November 11, 2024	[591]	22	24	13	35	3	3	0	± 3.08 pp	1,010		11
	October 6, 2024	[592]	27	22	11	35	3	1	0	± 3.04 pp	1,041		8
	August 25, 2024	[593]	27	23	14	29	5	3	0	± 3.04 pp	1,041		2
	June 3, 2024	[594]	26	26	11	31	4	1	1	± 3.08 pp	1,015		5
	April 21, 2024	[595]	26	24	10	35	2	2	1	± 3.05 pp	1,026		9
Pallas Data	April 8, 2024	[596]	25.3	26.2	9.9	28.6	0.7	2.2	0.6	± 2 pp	700	IVR	2.4
Leger	March 18, 2024	[597]	27	23	14	30	3	2	1	± 3.05 pp	1,033	Online	3
	February 6, 2024	[598]	28	24	14	29	3	2	1	± 3.05 pp	1,032		1
	December 4, 2023	[599]	28	25	10	31	2	2	2	± 3.04 pp	846		3
Pallas Data	September 27, 2023	[600]	34	25	7	28	3	2	1	± 2.96 pp	1,095	IVR	6
Leger	September 25, 2023	[601]	29	23	13	29	2	1	—	± 3.0 pp	1,046	Online	0
	February 26, 2023	[602]	33	15	13	31	4	2	—	± 3.0 pp	1,044		2
	November 6, 2022	[603]	34	18	12	30	2	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,028		4

Ontario

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[f]	Sample size[g]	Polling method[h]	Lead
Campaign Research (Ontario PC internal)	March 26, 2025	[604]	48	33	11	4	-	4		1902	online	15
Mainstreet Research	February 17, 2025	[605]	41	39	13	2	2	2	± 2.7 pp	1,278 (1/3)	online (rolling)	2
	February 16, 2025	[606]	42	38	14	2	2	1	± 2.8 pp	1,229 (1/3)		4
	February 15, 2025	[607]	41	39	13	2	2	2	± 2.8 pp	1,228 (1/3)		2
	February 14, 2025	[608]	43	39	10	2	3	1	± 2.7 pp	1,272 (1/3)		4
	February 13, 2025	[609]	43	41	8	3	2	2	± 2.7 pp	1,294 (1/3)		2
	February 12, 2025	[610]	43	40	10	2	2	2	± 2.7 pp	1,314 (1/3)		3
	February 11, 2025	[611]	43	39	10	2	2	2	± 2.7 pp	1,303 (1/3)		4
	February 10, 2025	[612]	45	37	12	2	1	2	± 2.7 pp	1,301 (1/3)		8
	February 9, 2025	[613]	43	39	9	5	2	2	± 2.7 pp	1,347 (1/3)		4
	February 8, 2025	[614]	42	36	13	4	2	2	± 2.8 pp	1,187 (1/3)		6
	February 7, 2025	[615]	44	36	12	4	2	2	± 2.8 pp	1,262 (1/3)		8
	February 6, 2025	[616]	42	36	14	3	2	2	± 2.5 pp	1,515 (1/4)		6
	February 5, 2025	[617]	42	37	12	4	2	2	± 2.8 pp	1,236 (1/3)		5
	February 4, 2025	[618]	42	37	11	4	2	2	± 2.9 pp	1,162 (1/3)		5
	February 3, 2025	[619]	43	39	9	4	2	2	± 3.0 pp	1,080 (1/3)		4
	February 2, 2025	[620]	42	39	11	3	2	2	± 2.6 pp	1,374 (1/3)		3
	February 1, 2025	[621]	41	40	13	3	2	2	± 2.9 pp	1,124 (1/3)		1
	January 31, 2025	[622]	39	39	14	3	1	2	± 2.8 pp	1,247 (1/3)		0
	January 30, 2025	[623]	40	39	13	5	2	2	± 2.4 pp	1,644 (1/3)		1
	January 26, 2025	[624]	40	38	12	4	2	2	± 3.2 pp	936	online	2
Abacus Data	June 25, 2024	[625]	27	44	19	5	—	5	± 3.1 pp	1,000		17
	May 15, 2024	[626]	29	45	17	4	—	5	± 3.1 pp	1,000		16

City of Toronto

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Liaison Strategies	October 8, 2024	[627]	35	34	25	3	3	—	± 3.37 pp	848	IVR	1
Angus Reid	April 23, 2024	[628]	32	38	23	4	1	2	± 2 pp	158	online	6
Abacus Data	March 6, 2024	[629]	33	41	18	—	—	—	—	958		8
Liaison Strategies	January 4, 2024	[630]	38	32	22	5	3	—	± 3.39 pp	831	IVR	6
	October 4, 2023	[631]	40	29	24	4	3	—	± 3.43 pp	817		11
Abacus Data	February 7, 2023	[632]	44	27	18	6	5	1	± 3.1 pp	1,000	online	17

Peel Region

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Mainstreet Research	February 4, 2024	[633]	36.4	42.3	15.3	3.1	1.6	0.3	± 2.8 pp	1,183	IVR	5.9

City of Mississauga

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Mainstreet Research	April 4, 2025	[633]	39.2	38	14.0	2.3	1.6	0.1	—	661	IVR	1.2
Liaison Strategies	January 11, 2024	[634]	44	36	15	3	5	—	± 3.06 pp	983		8

Western Canada

Manitoba

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Probe Research	April 14, 2025	[635]	43	40	15	1	1	—	± 3.5 pp	800	IVR + online	3
	March 16, 2025	[636]	44	42	9	2	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,000		2
	February 6, 2025	[637]	28	45	22	3	2	—	± 4.0 pp	600		17
	December 10, 2024	[638]	19	52	24	2	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,000		28
	September 15, 2024	[639]	21	50	24	2	3	—	± 3.1 pp	1,000		26
	March 18, 2024	[640]	23	47	26	2	—	1	± 3.1 pp	1,000		21

Saskatchewan

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Rubicon Strategy	April 10, 2025	[641]	25	38	11	2.5	2.5	—	± 4 pp	747	Online	13

Alberta

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
Leger	January 26, 2025	[642]	14	64	16	3	2	1	± 3.1 pp	1,002	Online	48
	August 5, 2024	[643]	14	61	18	3	2	1	± 3.1 pp	1,005		43
	March 24, 2024	[644]	14	60	20	3	2	1	± 3.1 pp	1,002		40
Mainstreet Research	May 2, 2023	[645]	18	55	13	1	3	1	± 2.5 pp	1,524	Smart IVR	37
Yorkville Strategies	March 9, 2022	[646]	18	48	20	4	7	3	± 4 pp	600	Phone	28

British Columbia

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error[i]	Sample size[j]	Polling method[k]	Lead
Abacus Data	May 9, 2024	[647]	18	44	26	8	—	3	± 3.1 pp	1,000	online	18
Mainstreet Research	April 24, 2024	[648]	17.8	55.8	15.8	6.9	—	3.7	± 3.2 pp	962	Smart IVR	38
	March 19, 2024	[649]	22.8	49.6	19.4	5.8	—	2.4	± 3 pp	1,063		26.8
Angus Reid	March 6, 2024	[650]	21	40	29	9	—	2	± 3 pp	809	online	11

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:

March 2025 – April 2025

Campaign Period Leadership Polling for the 2025 Canadian Federal Election, on which political party leader would make the best prime minister (LOESS Trendline included).

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Mark Carney	Pierre Poilievre	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Elizabeth May/Jonathan Pedneault[l]	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error[c]	Lead
Nanos Research	April 27, 2025	[3]	51.9	32.1	5.8	3.1	0.9	1.1	3.0	±3.4 pp	19.8
Research Co.		[4]	45	35	7	3	1	2	7	±3.1 pp	10
Abacus Data		[6]	40	37	10	—	—	—	8	±2.0 pp	3
Nanos Research	April 26, 2025	[10]	48.5	35.2	4.5	2.8	1.1	1.0	4.4	±2.4 pp	13.3
Innovative Research		[12]	44	37	11	4	3	2	0	—	7
Angus Reid		[14]	47	31	—	—	—	—	7	±2 pp	16
Nanos Research	April 25, 2025	[18]	46.8	34.1	5.8	3.2	1.0	1.1	5.2	±2.7 pp	12.7
Leger		[19]	40	31	6	—	2	2	9	±2.53 pp	9
Nanos Research	April 24, 2025	[23]	46.2	34.7	4.8	3.1	1.2	1.2	5.9	±2.7 pp	11.5
	April 23, 2025	[26]	46.3	36.9	4.5	2.5	1.3	1.5	4.8	±2.7 pp	9.4
Innovative Research		[28]	42	38	10	4	3	3	0	—	4
Nanos Research	April 22, 2025	[32]	48.9	35.4	4.0	2.4	1.9	1.2	4.5	±2.7 pp	13.5
	April 21, 2025	[37]	47.3	34.5	5.6	3.1	1.9	1.3	4.8	±2.7 pp	12.8
Abacus Data		[39]	41	35	10	—	—	—	10	±2.3 pp	6
Leger		[40]	41	31	6	—	2	2	10	±2.45 pp	10
Innovative Research		[651]	39	40	10	4	3	3	0	—	1
Angus Reid		[41]	49	31	—	—	—	—	8	±1.5 pp	18
Research Co.	April 20, 2025	[42]	45	35	8	3	1	1	7	±3.1 pp	10
Nanos Research		[45]	47.4	33.2	6.0	3.5	1.7	1.4	5.3	±2.7 pp	14.2
Innovative Research		[28]	43	37	10	4	3	3	0	—	6
Ipsos	April 19, 2025	[48]	41	36	11	5	2	5	0	±3.8 pp	5
MQO Research		[49]	43	32	8	3	—	—	12	±2 pp	11
Nanos Research		[52]	45.3	34.3	6.5	3.5	1.2	1.2	6.5	±2.7 pp	11
	April 17, 2025	[57]	48.0	33.6	4.9	2.9	1.2	0.9	6.6	±2.7 pp	14.4
	April 16, 2025	[62]	47.4	33.9	4.7	2.9	1.2	1.0	7.3	±2.7 pp	13.5
Abacus Data	April 15, 2025	[65]	40	34	10	—	2	2	11	±2.9 pp	6
Nanos Research		[67]	49.4	32.6	4.2	2.8	1.4	1.2	6.2	±2.7 pp	16.8
	April 14, 2025	[70]	48.9	33.1	4.2	2.6	1.1	1.7	6.4	±2.7 pp	15.8
Leger		[72]	38	30	7	—	2	2	11	±1.79 pp	8
Innovative Research		[73]	44	38	10	2	3	3	0	—	6
Nanos Research	April 13, 2025	[75]	49.8	34.3	4.3	2.4	1.3	1.6	4.1	±2.7 pp	15.5
Angus Reid		[77]	49	30	—	—	—	—	8	±2 pp	19
MQO Research	April 12, 2025	[80]	43	30	11	2	—	—	12	±2.3 pp	13
Nanos Research		[82]	48.7	35.0	4.0	2.7	1.6	1.4	4.2	±2.7 pp	13.7
	April 11, 2025	[85]	48.0	34.4	4.7	3.0	2.2	1.2	4.0	±2.8 pp	13.6
	April 10, 2025	[89]	47.3	34.4	4.4	2.8	2.1	0.9	4.8	±2.8 pp	12.9
Ipsos		[87]	41	36	12	5	2	4	0	±3.8 pp	5
Abacus Data		[91]	43	34	9	—	2	2	10	±2.31 pp	9
Nanos Research	April 9, 2025	[95]	46.7	34.5	4.5	3.0	2.1	1.3	4.9	±2.8 pp	12.2
	April 8, 2025	[98]	47.4	34.3	4.7	2.8	1.5	1.2	5.5	±2.8 pp	13.1
Abacus Data		[100]	41	34	9	—	3	3	13	±2.1 pp	7
Nanos Research	April 7, 2025	[102]	48.6	33.3	4.6	2.9	1.5	1.9	5.2	±2.8 pp	15.3
Angus Reid		[104]	50	28	—	—	—	—	9	±2 pp	22
Innovative Research		[105]	45	36	11	3	3	3	—	—	9
Research Co.	April 6, 2025	[106]	43	29	9	4	1	2	12	±3.1 pp	14
Leger		[107]	37	27	8	—	2	2	13	±2.43 pp	10
Nanos Research		[109]	49.8	32.1	4.4	2.5	1.5	1.8	5.9	±2.8 pp	17.7
MQO Research		[111]	42	29	11	2	—	—	12	±2.5 pp	13
Nanos Research	April 5, 2025	[115]	50.2	31.0	3.8	3.0	1.9	1.9	5.6	±2.8 pp	19.2
	April 4, 2025	[119]	51.6	29.2	4.5	2.8	2.2	1.5	5.8	±2.8 pp	22.4
Ipsos	April 3, 2025	[121]	45	32	12	5	3	3	0	±3.8 pp	13
Nanos Research		[123]	50.9	30.9	4.7	2.8	2.1	1.5	5.0	±2.8 pp	20
Abacus Data		[125]	38	33	11	—	3	2	12	±2.3 pp	5
Nanos Research	April 2, 2025	[128]	50.0	32.8	4.7	2.8	1.9	1.4	5.3	±2.8 pp	17.2
	April 1, 2025	[132]	48.7	33.9	5.3	2.6	1.6	1.1	5.4	±2.8 pp	14.8
	March 31, 2025	[136]	48.7	34.1	4.5	3.0	1.3	1.6	5.4	±2.8 pp	14.6
Innovative Research		[139]	33	32	9	3	2	2	14	—	1
Leger		[140]	37	28	6	—	2	2	14	±1.79 pp	9
Nanos Research	March 30, 2025	[142]	47.4	32.7	4.9	2.3	2.1	2.2	6.8	±2.8 pp	14.7
	March 29, 2025	[147]	47.7	32.0	4.3	2.2	2.2	2.7	6.4	±2.7 pp	15.7
MQO Research		[149]	40	30	10	2	—	—	14	±2.4 pp	10
Ipsos	March 26, 2025	[652]	44	33	8	3	5	3	4	±3.1 pp	11
Research Co.	March 24, 2025	[653]	39	33	9	3	2	2	12	±3.1 pp	6
Angus Reid		[654]	52	28	—	—	—	—	8	±2 pp	24
Leger	March 23, 2025	[166]	39	28	5	—	3	2	14	±2.45 pp	11
Nanos Research	March 21, 2025	[173]	33.9	31.8	6.9	4.4	3.3	2.0	17.6	±3.0 pp	2.1
Innovative Research		[172]	34	27	10	3	3	4	16	—	7
Abacus Data	March 20, 2025	[175]	38	34	9	—	2	3	14	±2.5 pp	4
Ipsos	March 17, 2025	[179]	42	32	12	4	7	4	—	±3.8 pp	10
Angus Reid	March 16, 2025	[182]	41	29	6	—	—	—	—	±1.5 pp	12
Nanos Research	March 14, 2025	[185]	30.7	31.4	8.6	5.1	3.1	2.0	19.1	±3.0 pp	0.7
Innovative Research	March 13, 2025	[186]	30	30	9	3	4	3	17	—	0

November 2022 – March 2025

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Justin Trudeau	Pierre Poilievre	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Elizabeth May	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error[c]	Lead
Nanos Research	March 7, 2025	[194]	29.9	33.1	9.6	4.9	3.3	1.6	17.5	±3.0 pp	3.2
	February 28, 2025	[198]	29.5	35.1	9.6	5.4	3.7	1.3	15.5	±3.1 pp	5.6
	February 21, 2025	[205]	28.2	35.7	9.4	5.5	3.9	1.4	15.8	±3.1 pp	7.5
	February 14, 2025	[208]	25.1	38.0	8.4	5.0	4.9	1.2	17.3	±3.1 pp	12.9
	February 7, 2025	[214]	21.4	36.8	10.6	5.5	5.1	1.6	19.1	±3.1 pp	15.4
	January 31, 2025	[217]	17.1	38.2	11.8	4.5	5.6	1.4	21.3	±3.1 pp	21.1
	January 24, 2025	[221]	16.0	38.0	13.2	4.0	5.6	1.3	21.8	±3.1 pp	22.0
	January 17, 2025	[223]	14.0	39.7	14.8	4.6	5.2	1.9	19.9	±3.1 pp	25.7
	January 10, 2025	[228]	14.7	41.7	14.6	4.5	4.7	1.8	18.0	±3.1 pp	27.0
Research Co.	January 5, 2025	[234]	21	39	12	6	3	2	17	±3.1 pp	18
Nanos Research	January 3, 2025	[235]	17.5	40.5	13.9	4.3	4.7	2.6	16.6	±3.1 pp	23.0
	December 27, 2024	[238]	17.4	40.0	13.9	4.3	4.2	2.7	17.6	±3.1 pp	22.6
Leger	December 22, 2024	[239]	11	31	13	—	4	3	15	±2.51 pp	18
Nanos Research	December 20, 2024	[241]	20.0	37.2	15.3	3.5	4.5	2.5	17.0	±3.1 pp	17.2
	December 13, 2024	[246]	18.6	36.0	16.5	3.1	4.4	2.6	18.8	±3.0 pp	17.4
	December 6, 2024	[249]	19.6	34.6	16.3	3.6	4.7	2.1	19.2	±3.0 pp	15.0
Leger	December 1, 2024	[252]	15	31	13	—	3	2	13	±2.5 pp	16
Nanos Research	November 29, 2024	[253]	20.0	34.6	17.0	4.0	4.3	2.0	18.1	±3.0 pp	14.6
	November 22, 2024	[256]	20.2	35.4	15.1	4.5	5.0	2.0	17.7	±3.1 pp	15.2
	November 15, 2024	[258]	21.8	34.7	13.9	5.9	5.7	1.6	16.4	±3.0 pp	12.9
	November 8, 2024	[260]	21.9	35.1	14.6	6.2	5.1	1.5	15.7	±3.1 pp	13.2
Leger	November 3, 2024	[262]	17	30	11	—	3	2	15	±2.49 pp	13
Nanos Research	November 1, 2024	[263]	21.3	35.5	14.6	5.9	6.3	1.7	14.8	±3.1 pp	14.2
	October 25, 2024	[266]	21.7	34.1	16.0	5.3	5.8	1.6	15.5	±3.0 pp	12.4
	October 18, 2024	[268]	21.6	33.7	17.0	4.8	5.0	1.9	16.0	±3.1 pp	12.1
	October 11, 2024	[269]	20.6	34.3	16.2	4.0	5.9	1.9	17.1	±3.1 pp	13.7
	October 4, 2024	[273]	19.5	34.8	16.8	4.2	4.8	1.6	18.2	±3.1 pp	15.3
Leger	September 29, 2024	[275]	18	31	13	—	4	2	13	±2.43 pp	13
Nanos Research	September 27, 2024	[276]	19.4	35.1	18.5	4.0	5.3	1.7	16.0	±3.0 pp	15.7
	September 20, 2024	[280]	21.7	34.5	18.0	2.9	4.4	1.5	16.9	±3.0 pp	12.8
	September 13, 2024	[283]	20.8	34.5	19.1	4.0	3.7	1.4	16.5	±3.0 pp	13.7
Ipsos	September 9, 2024	[655]	26	45	23	6	—	—	—	±3.8 pp	19
Nanos Research	September 6, 2024	[287]	23.0	32.7	17.0	4.0	4.8	1.8	16.7	±2.9 pp	9.7
	August 30, 2024	[289]	21.6	33.1	16.1	4.8	5.0	2.1	17.2	±2.9 pp	11.5
	August 23, 2024	[291]	20.3	33.7	16.1	5.6	5.7	2.2	16.4	±3 pp	13.4
	August 16, 2024	[294]	20.6	34.4	14.6	5.0	5.6	2.8	16.9	±3 pp	13.8
Research Co.	August 14, 2024	[295]	22	37	14	5	4	2	16	±3.1 pp	15
Nanos Research	August 9, 2024	[296]	19.7	34.9	16.1	5.0	5.0	2.2	17.2	±3.1 pp	15.2
	August 2, 2024	[298]	21.1	35.1	15.8	4.6	4.4	1.6	17.3	±3.1 pp	14.0
Leger	July 28, 2024	[300]	16	29	13	—	4	2	14	±2.45 pp	13
Nanos Research	July 26, 2024	[301]	21.9	35.8	15.4	4.1	3.9	1.6	17.4	±3.0 pp	13.9
	July 19, 2024	[303]	23.3	35.3	15.0	4.7	4.0	1.5	16.2	±3.0 pp	12.0
	July 12, 2024	[304]	23.3	36.4	13.7	5.4	4.5	1.4	15.2	±2.9 pp	13.1
	July 5, 2024	[307]	22.0	35.8	14.4	5.9	4.3	2.0	15.6	±2.9 pp	13.8
	June 28, 2024	[308]	24.0	35.3	13.4	5.9	4.5	1.7	15.2	±3.0 pp	11.3
Leger	June 23, 2024	[311]	19	26	14	—	3	2	14	±2.45 pp	7
Nanos Research	June 21, 2024	[313]	24.2	36.0	13.1	5.6	4.0	1.6	15.5	±3.0 pp	11.8
Angus Reid	June 17, 2024	[314]	14	33	14	—	—	—	10	±2 pp	19
Ipsos	June 14, 2024	[656]	25	44	23	8	—	—	—	±3.8 pp	19
Nanos Research	June 14, 2024	[316]	24.4	35.6	13.6	4.7	5.0	1.7	14.9	±3.0 pp	11.2
	June 7, 2024	[318]	25.1	36.2	15.0	4.4	5.0	1.4	12.9	±3.0 pp	11.1
	May 31, 2024	[319]	23.2	36.5	15.9	5.2	4.6	1.6	13.0	±2.9 pp	13.3
Leger	May 26, 2024	[320]	16	28	16	—	3	3	14	±2.44 pp	12
Nanos Research	May 24, 2024	[321]	22.0	36.8	16.2	5.8	5.1	1.3	12.8	±3.0 pp	14.8
	May 17, 2024	[323]	21.8	38.2	12.9	5.9	4.8	2.2	14.2	±2.9 pp	16.4
	May 10, 2024	[326]	21.2	38.0	11.4	5.6	4.7	2.2	16.8	±2.9 pp	16.8
	May 3, 2024	[328]	19.8	36.5	11.6	4.2	5.2	2.1	20.6	±3 pp	16.7
Abacus Data	April 29, 2024	[330]	21	41	17	—	—	—	21	±2.6 pp	20
Leger	April 28, 2024	[331]	16	32	11	—	4	2	14	±2.44 pp	16
Nanos Research	April 26, 2024	[332]	19.0	37.1	12.5	4.7	3.9	2.4	20.4	±3 pp	18.1
Angus Reid	April 23, 2024	[657]	16	35	13	—	—	—	10	±2 pp	19
Nanos Research	April 19, 2024	[336]	18.4	34.9	14.1	4.9	3.3	2.0	22.4	±3.1 pp	16.5
Ipsos	April 18, 2024	[658]	23	48	22	—	—	—	—	±3.8 pp	25
Nanos Research	April 12, 2024	[339]	19.8	33.9	16.8	5.6	3.7	1.4	18.8	±3 pp	14.1
Research Co.	April 10, 2024	[340]	26	32	17	6	3	1	16	±3.1 pp	6
Nanos Research	April 5, 2024	[343]	21.1	32.0	17.0	5.9	4.9	2.7	16.5	±3 pp	10.9
	March 29, 2024	[344]	21.5	33.4	14.8	6.0	5.3	2.0	17.1	±3 pp	11.9
Leger	March 25, 2024	[345]	17	29	17	—	3	1	15	±2.45 pp	12
Nanos Research	March 22, 2024	[346]	19.7	33.7	16.9	5.2	4.6	1.7	18.2	±3 pp	14.0
	March 15, 2024	[349]	19.9	33.5	16.2	4.6	4.6	1.8	19.4	±3 pp	13.6
	March 8, 2024	[351]	18.8	34.9	17.2	4.5	3.8	2.1	18.6	±3.1 pp	16.1
Angus Reid	March 4, 2024	[353]	17	31	15	—	—	—	10	±2 pp	14
Nanos Research	March 1, 2024	[354]	19.2	36.9	17.0	3.8	2.7	1.7	18.7	±3.1 pp	17.7
Leger	February 25, 2024	[355]	17	27	16	—	4	2	14	±2.49 pp	10
Nanos Research	February 23, 2024	[356]	18.6	36.3	16.9	3.9	3.7	1.6	19.0	±3.1 pp	17.7
Abacus Data	February 21, 2024	[357]	45	55	—	—	—	—	—	±2.1 pp	10
Nanos Research	February 16, 2024	[358]	20.3	35.8	15.0	3.9	3.8	1.9	19.3	±3.1 pp	15.5
	February 9, 2024	[359]	20.8	36.2	14.5	4.0	4.0	1.9	18.6	±3.1 pp	15.4
	February 2, 2024	[361]	20.8	35.1	13.8	4.4	4.3	2.2	19.3	±3.1 pp	14.3
Leger	January 26, 2024	[362]	18	27	16	—	3	2	16	±2.47 pp	9
Nanos Research	January 26, 2024	[364]	22.8	33.4	14.3	4.1	3.3	2.3	19.8	±3.1 pp	10.6
Abacus Data	January 23, 2024	[365]	46	54	—	—	—	—	—	±2.1 pp	8
Ipsos	January 22, 2024	[659]	30	40	24	6	—	—	—	±3.8 pp	10
Nanos Research	January 19, 2024	[367]	22.4	32.3	15.7	4.6	3.4	1.8	19.8	±3.1 pp	9.9
	January 12, 2024	[369]	22.0	31.4	15.6	4.1	4.1	1.6	21.3	±3.1 pp	9.4
	January 5, 2024	[371]	21.2	31.4	16.3	3.8	4.2	1.6	21.6	±3.1 pp	10.2
	December 29, 2023	[372]	21.4	33.0	15.2	3.3	4.5	1.4	21.2	±3.1 pp	11.6
	December 22, 2023	[374]	20.6	34.3	15.4	3.2	4.0	1.8	20.9	±3.1 pp	13.7
Leger	December 17, 2023	[375]	20	25	16	—	3	1	15	±2.43 pp	5
Nanos Research	December 15, 2023	[377]	20.8	33.4	17.4	3.2	4.2	1.9	19.2	±3.1 pp	12.6
	December 8, 2023	[380]	20.9	32.8	16.2	3.5	4.3	1.8	20.5	±3.1 pp	11.9
Innovative Research	December 5, 2023	[381]	23	41	21	6	5	4	—	—	18
Angus Reid	December 1, 2023	[660]	16	34	13	—	—	—	10	±1.5 pp	18
Nanos Research	December 1, 2023	[383]	19.1	33.4	16.8	3.9	4.8	1.9	20.1	±3.1 pp	14.3
Research Co.	November 27, 2023	[385]	23	32	18	4	4	2	18	±3.1 pp	9
Leger	November 26, 2023	[387]	19	25	17	—	3	2	16	±2.51 pp	6
Nanos Research	November 24, 2023	[388]	19.0	34.1	16.2	3.6	5.7	1.7	19.7	±3.1 pp	15.1
	November 17, 2023	[661]	19.2	33.1	15.5	4.0	5.0	2.0	21.2	±3.1 pp	13.9
Leger	November 12, 2023	[662]	17	27	16	—	2	2	18	±2.44 pp	10
Nanos Research	November 10, 2023	[663]	21.2	33.7	16.1	3.8	5.4	1.7	18.0	±3.1 pp	12.6
	November 3, 2023	[664]	22.7	34.1	16.0	3.7	4.5	1.8	17.2	±3.1 pp	11.4
Innovative Research	October 31, 2023	[398]	24	39	23	5	4	5	—	—	15
Leger	October 29, 2023	[399]	18	29	15	—	4	2	17	±2.4 pp	11
Nanos Research	October 27, 2023	[400]	23.3	31.5	17.8	3.5	4.6	2.1	17.2	±3.1 pp	8.2
	October 20, 2023	[665]	23.0	32.6	16.8	2.9	5.1	2.2	17.4	±3.1 pp	9.6
Angus Reid	October 13, 2023	[403]	16	30	15	—	—	—	11	±2 pp	14
Nanos Research	October 13, 2023	[666]	23.3	32.9	15.2	3.2	4.7	2.5	18.3	±3.1 pp	9.6
	October 6, 2023	[667]	23.5	32.1	15.0	3.4	4.7	2.3	19.0	±3.1 pp	8.6
	September 29, 2023	[409]	23.0	32.1	15.6	3.7	4.2	2.0	19.4	±3.1 pp	9.1
Leger	September 24, 2023	[410]	20	26	14	—	2	2	17	±2.4 pp	6
Nanos Research	September 22, 2023	[412]	23.9	31.3	16.5	3.7	3.9	2.2	18.6	±3.1 pp	7.4
Ipsos	September 18, 2023	[668]	31	40	22	6	—	—	—	±2.9 pp	9
Nanos Research	September 15, 2023	[414]	24.6	30.7	16.7	3.2	4.1	2.1	18.7	±3.1 pp	6.1
	September 8, 2023	[417]	25.4	28.9	16.9	3.2	4.3	2.9	18.4	±3.1 pp	3.5
Angus Reid	September 6, 2023	[418]	17	32	15	—	—	—	11	±1.5 pp	15
Research Co.	September 4, 2023	[419]	28	28	17	4	3	1	20	±3.1 pp	0
Nanos Research	September 1, 2023	[669]	27.7	27.2	15.9	3.5	4.6	2.6	18.6	±3.1 pp	0.5
	August 25, 2023	[670]	27.5	27.5	16.1	3.9	5.1	2.4	17.6	±3.1 pp	0
	August 18, 2023	[426]	28.2	27.5	16.9	4.3	4.5	2.1	15.9	±3.1 pp	0.7
	August 11, 2023	[671]	28.0	27.8	16.3	4.1	5.0	1.5	17.3	±3.1 pp	0.2
	August 4, 2023	[672]	27.9	28.6	16.0	4.2	4.3	1.8	17.3	±3.1 pp	0.7
	July 28, 2023	[673]	25.9	28.4	15.3	4.4	4.0	2.5	19.5	±3.1 pp	2.5
	July 21, 2023	[674]	25.8	26.7	16.5	4.3	4.1	3.2	19.5	±3.1 pp	0.9
	July 14, 2023	[675]	26.3	28.2	16.9	3.6	3.7	2.9	18.3	±3.1 pp	1.9
	July 7, 2023	[676]	25.8	29.1	17.5	3.4	3.5	2.7	18.0	±3.1 pp	3.3
	June 30, 2023	[677]	27.2	28.4	17.8	3.4	3.4	2.4	17.3	±3.1 pp	1.2
	June 23, 2023	[678]	27.3	28.0	16.6	3.7	3.4	2.8	18.0	±3.1 pp	0.7
	June 16, 2023	[679]	27.1	27.5	17.9	3.5	3.0	2.4	18.5	±3.1 pp	0.4
	June 9, 2023	[680]	27.6	25.8	18.5	3.8	3.1	2.6	18.7	±3.1 pp	1.8
	June 2, 2023	[681]	26.8	26.6	19.1	3.7	2.5	2.4	18.9	±3.1 pp	0.2
	May 26, 2023	[682]	25.9	26.6	20.1	3.9	2.5	2.2	19.0	±3.1 pp	0.7
	May 19, 2023	[683]	25.9	27.3	19.1	4.2	2.9	2.2	18.4	±3.1 pp	1.4
	May 12, 2023	[684]	24.3	28.6	18.7	4.0	3.4	2.6	18.3	±3.1 pp	4.3
Leger	May 8, 2023	[685]	24	19	16	—	3	2	—	±2.51 pp	5
Nanos Research	May 5, 2023	[456]	23.9	28.3	18.8	4.5	3.4	2.8	18.3	±3.1 pp	4.4
	April 28, 2023	[686]	25.6	28.1	18.1	4.4	3.3	2.8	18.1	±3.1 pp	2.5
	April 21, 2023	[687]	25.3	27.5	18.4	3.8	3.4	2.5	19.1	±3.1 pp	2.2
	April 14, 2023	[688]	25.9	26.9	18.1	3.7	3.3	2.2	19.8	±3.1 pp	1.0
Leger	April 11, 2023	[689]	23	21	17	—	3	3	—	±2.52 pp	2
Nanos Research	April 7, 2023	[690]	26.2	28.4	16.0	4.0	3.5	2.8	18.9	±3.1 pp	2.2
	March 31, 2023	[691]	25.3	29.4	15.5	4.2	3.7	3.4	18.6	±3.1 pp	4.1
	March 24, 2023	[692]	25.9	28.7	16.1	4.4	3.8	3.9	17.2	±3.1 pp	2.8
	March 17, 2023	[693]	25.6	29.6	15.1	5.3	4.2	3.9	16.3	±3.1 pp	4.0
Leger	March 12, 2023	[471]	24	19	18	—	2	2	—	±2.49 pp	5
Nanos Research	March 10, 2023	[694]	27.5	27.3	15.8	5.5	3.9	3.3	16.6	±3.1 pp	0.2
	March 3, 2023	[695]	28.4	27	16.2	4.9	4.3	2.6	17.1	±3.1 pp	1.4
Research Co.	February 27, 2023	[477]	33	25	15	3	3	1	20	±3.1 pp	8
Nanos Research	February 24, 2023	[696]	31.4	26.7	14.2	5.0	4.5	2.2	16.1	±3.1 pp	4.7
	February 17, 2023	[697]	32.3	26.1	16.1	3.8	2.9	2.1	16.8	±3.1 pp	6.2
Leger	February 12, 2023	[480]	24	21	17	—	3	2	—	±2.5 pp	3
Nanos Research	February 10, 2023	[481]	32.8	25.8	15.8	3.6	3.5	2.0	16.3	±3.1 pp	7.0
	February 3, 2023	[698]	31.9	26.3	14.6	4.2	4.1	1.8	17.2	±3.1 pp	5.6
	January 27, 2023	[699]	30.4	26.3	16.1	4.5	3.8	1.9	17.0	±3.1 pp	4.1
	January 20, 2023	[700]	30.2	27.1	15.2	4.7	3.9	2	16.8	±3.1 pp	3.1
	January 13, 2023	[489]	30	27.5	16.2	4.2	4.2	2	15.9	±3.1 pp	2.5
	January 6, 2023	[701]	30.6	26.6	17.5	3.9	4.1	2.4	14.8	±3.1 pp	4
	December 30, 2022	[702]	30.5	27.4	16.8	3.5	3.8	2.2	15.9	±3.1 pp	3.1
	December 23, 2022	[703]	30	27	17.6	3.8	3.6	1.8	16.0	±3.1 pp	3
	December 16, 2022	[704]	29	27	17.3	4.4	3.6	1.8	16.8	±3.1 pp	2
	December 9, 2022	[705]	27.9	27.8	16.4	3.3	2.9	2.6	19.2	±3.1 pp	0.1
	December 2, 2022	[706]	29.2	25.8	18.2	2.8	2.7	2	19.3	±3.1 pp	3.4
	November 25, 2022	[707]	29.4	25.8	18.4	3.6	2.1	2.5	18.3	±3.1 pp	3.6

September 2022 – November 2022

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Justin Trudeau	Pierre Poilievre	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Amita Kuttner	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error[c]	Lead
Nanos Research	November 18, 2022	[708]	30.5	26.1	18.4	3.6	1.5	2.0	18.0	±3.1 pp	4.4
	November 11, 2022	[709]	31.0	27.3	18.0	4.1	1.6	1.4	16.6	±3.1 pp	3.7
	November 4, 2022	[710]	31.5	28.0	16.5	4.6	1.5	2.1	15.7	±3.1 pp	3.5
	October 28, 2022	[711]	30.7	28.9	15.1	4.8	1.6	3.0	15.9	±3.1 pp	1.8
Research Co.	October 26, 2022	[505]	30	24	17	4	1	2	21	±3.1 pp	4
Nanos Research	October 21, 2022	[712]	29.5	30.0	16.2	5.2	1.2	3.0	15.0	±3.1 pp	0.5
	October 14, 2022	[713]	29.8	30.0	14.9	3.7	0.7	2.7	18.1	±3.1 pp	0.2
	October 7, 2022	[714]	29.0	27.0	19.4	3.2	1.1	2.6	17.7	±3.1 pp	2.0
	September 30, 2022	[715]	28.2	24.8	20.8	2.9	1.1	2.6	19.6	±3.1 pp	3.4
	September 23, 2022	[716]	29.2	20.9	19.6	2.5	1.6	3.2	22.9	±3.1 pp	8.3
Ipsos	September 20, 2022	[717]	31	35	26	8	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	4
Leger	September 18, 2022	[515]	24	21	17	N/A	1	3	N/A	N/A	3
Nanos Research	September 16, 2022	[718]	27.4	18.4	20.9	2.9	1.6	3.1	25.8	±3.0 pp	6.5

February 2022 – September 2022

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Justin Trudeau	Candice Bergen	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Amita Kuttner	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error[c]	Lead
Nanos Research	September 9, 2022	[719]	29.6	19.3	17.4	3.3	1.4	3.2	25.8	±3.0 pp	10.3
	September 2, 2022	[720]	31.1	18.8	16.9	3.1	1.4	3.3	25.4	±2.9 pp	12.3
	August 26, 2022	[721]	31.1	18.1	17.0	3.5	1.6	3.2	25.6	±2.9 pp	13.0
	August 19, 2022	[722]	30.1	19.2	17.1	3.6	2.2	3.4	24.4	±2.9 pp	10.9
	August 12, 2022	[723]	28.7	17.8	18.1	2.9	2.5	3.5	26.6	±2.9 pp	10.6
	August 5, 2022	[724]	26.7	18.2	19.0	3.6	3.0	3.3	26.2	±3.0 pp	7.7
	July 29, 2022	[725]	27.8	17.6	18.9	3.6	2.5	2.7	26.9	±3.0 pp	8.9
	July 22, 2022	[726]	27.3	16.6	18.8	3.7	2.3	2.7	28.7	±3.0 pp	8.5
	July 15, 2022	[727]	28.1	17.7	18.9	4.0	2.3	2.6	26.4	±3.0 pp	9.2
	July 8, 2022	[728]	29.9	18.1	17.5	3.2	2.1	2.4	26.5	±3.0 pp	11.8
	July 1, 2022	[729]	30.1	19.5	17.2	3.0	1.6	2.7	25.4	±3.0 pp	10.6
	June 24, 2022	[730]	31.0	18.5	16.9	2.9	1.7	3.8	25.3	±3.0 pp	12.5
	June 17, 2022	[731]	29.8	18.2	16.9	2.9	1.8	4.6	25.8	±3.0 pp	11.6
	June 10, 2022	[732]	29.8	19.3	16.0	3.7	2.1	4.8	24.3	±3.1 pp	10.5
	June 3, 2022	[733]	28.8	19.9	16.2	4.4	1.6	4.7	24.5	±3.0 pp	8.9
	May 27, 2022	[734]	30.7	20.6	16.5	4.5	1.6	3.9	22.2	±3.0 pp	10.1
	May 20, 2022	[735]	31.1	20.5	16.6	4.8	1.7	3.5	21.7	±3.0 pp	10.6
	May 13, 2022	[736]	31.9	20.3	17.4	4.4	1.5	2.8	21.7	±3.1 pp	11.6
	May 6, 2022	[737]	30.8	20.3	18.5	3.7	1.5	2.6	22.6	±3.1 pp	10.5
	April 29, 2022	[738]	29.7	21.5	16.8	4.4	1.6	3.2	22.9	±3.1 pp	8.2
	April 22, 2022	[739]	29.7	20.4	17.3	4.7	1.1	3.4	23.3	±3.1 pp	9.3
	April 15, 2022	[740]	29.7	19.1	17.4	4.9	1.4	4.2	23.2	±3.1 pp	10.6
	April 8, 2022	[741]	31.8	18.5	17.1	4.2	1.9	5.2	21.3	±3.1 pp	13.3
	April 1, 2022	[742]	30.0	16.9	19.0	4.1	1.8	4.8	23.3	±3.1 pp	11.0
	March 25, 2022	[743]	30.4	17.1	19.5	3.3	1.9	4.5	23.2	±3.1 pp	10.9
	March 18, 2022	[744]	30.0	18.5	19.3	3.1	1.2	4.7	23.2	±3.1 pp	10.7
	March 11, 2022	[745]	31.0	17.2	19.1	3.5	1.1	5.6	22.4	±3.1 pp	11.9
	March 4, 2022	[746]	30.6	18.0	17.5	3.2	1.1	6.1	23.4	±3.1 pp	12.6
	February 25, 2022	[747]	29.9	19.2	17.1	3.3	1.2	7.3	22.0	±3.1 pp	10.7
	February 18, 2022	[748]	28.6	19.2	16.7	3.4	1.5	8.0	22.5	±3.1 pp	9.4

Seat projections

Ahead of the election, YouGov published a Multilevel Regression with Poststratification (MRP) model for the election. This large-scale poll and methodology enables the projection of seat totals.^[749] Below is their central prediction for seat totals.

Polling firm	Last date	Link	LPC	CPC	BQ	NDP	GPC	Others	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Lead
2025 election	April 28, 2025	HTML	169	144	22	7	1	0	—	19,597,674	—	Liberal minority
YouGov (MRP)	April 25, 2025	[20]	185	135	18	3	2	0	—	5,694	—	Liberal majority
YouGov (MRP)	April 22, 2025	[34]	182	133	23	4	1	0	—	6,077	—	Liberal majority
2021 election	September 20, 2021	HTML	160	119	32	25	2	0	—	17,034,243	—	Liberal minority

Government approval polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling[a]	Link	Approve	Disapprove	Unsure/ Neither	Margin of error[c]	Sample size[d]	Polling method[e]	Net approval
Abacus Data	March 25, 2025	[161]	41%	25%	—	±2.0 pp	2,000	Online	+16%
The 30th Canadian Ministry led by prime minister Carney is sworn in
Abacus Data	January 7, 2025	[231]	21%	63%	—	±2.0 pp	2,500	Online	–42%
Leger	December 22, 2024	[239]	23%	72%	5%	±2.51 pp	1,521		–49%
Abacus Data	December 17, 2024	[244]	22%	62%	—	±2.9 pp	1,186		–40%
	December 4, 2024	[251]	24%	61%	—	±1.9 pp	2,720		–37%
Leger	December 3, 2024	[252]	26%	69%	5%	±2.5 pp	1,532		–43%
Abacus Data	November 19, 2024	[257]	25%	61%	—	±2.3 pp	1,915		–36%
	November 5, 2024	[261]	25%	62%	—	±2.3 pp	1,915		–37%
Leger	November 3, 2024	[262]	27%	68%	4%	±2.49 pp	1,549		–41%
Abacus Data	October 22, 2024	[267]	24%	61%	—	±2.5 pp	1,500		–37%
	October 10, 2024	[271]	26%	59%	—	±2.3 pp	1,900		–33%
Leger	September 29, 2024	[275]	27%	65%	6%	±2.43 pp	1,626		–38%
Abacus Data	September 25, 2024	[277]	25%	59%	—	±2.4 pp	1,700		–34%
Leger	August 25, 2024	[279]	28%	64%	7%	±2.48 pp	1,556		–36%
Abacus Data	September 12, 2024	[284]	24%	62%	—	±1.8 pp	2,964		–38%
Leger	August 25, 2024	[290]	28%	65%	5%	±2.45 pp	1,602		–37%
Abacus Data	August 7, 2024	[297]	27%	57%	—	±2.489 pp	1,550		–30%
Leger	July 28, 2024	[300]	29%	66%	4%	±2.45 pp	1,601		–37%
Abacus Data	July 9, 2024	[750]	26%	60%	—	±2.1 pp	1,989		–34%
Leger	June 30, 2024	[751]	27%	63%	9%	±2.51 pp	1,521		–36%
	June 23, 2024	[311]	29%	65%	4%	±2.45 pp	1,607		–36%
	May 26, 2024	[320]	27%	66%	5%	±2.44 pp	1,620		–39%
	April 28, 2024	[331]	25%	69%	4%	±2.44 pp	1,610		–44%
Abacus Data	April 16, 2024	[338]	25%	57%	—	±2 pp	2,300		–32%
	April 9, 2024	[341]	26%	60%	—	±2.1 pp	2,000		–34%
Leger	March 25, 2024	[345]	28%	66%	4%	±2.45 pp	1,605		–38%
Abacus Data	March 21, 2024	[347]	26%	59%	—	±1.7 pp	3,550		–33%
	March 6, 2024	[352]	26%	58%	—	±2.5 pp	1,500		–32%
Leger	February 25, 2024	[355]	29%	66%	4%	±2.49 pp	1,590		–37%
Abacus Data	February 21, 2024	[357]	24%	59%	18%	±2.0 pp	2,125		–35%
	February 7, 2024	[360]	24%	59%	17%	±2.0 pp	2,398		–35%
Leger	January 28, 2024	[362]	30%	63%	5%	±2.47 pp	1,579		–33%
Abacus Data	January 23, 2024	[365]	28%	58%	14%	±2.1 pp	2,199		–30%
	January 9, 2024	[370]	26%	58%	16%	±2.6 pp	1,500		–32%
Leger	December 17, 2023	[375]	33%	61%	5%	±2.43 pp	1,622		–28%
Abacus Data	December 12, 2023	[752]	28%	56%	16%	±2.3 pp	1,919		–28%
	November 28, 2023	[753]	27%	57%	16%	±2.0 pp	2,417		–30%
Leger	November 26, 2023	[387]	29%	64%	6%	±2.51 pp	1,529		–35%
	November 12, 2023	[754]	30%	63%	7%	±2.44 pp	1,612		–33%
Abacus Data	November 12, 2023	[755]	26%	58%	16%	±2.3 pp	2,000		–32%
Leger	October 29, 2023	[399]	30%	63%	5%	±2.4 pp	1,632		–33%
	September 27, 2023	[410]	33%	60%	5%	±2.4 pp	1,652		–27%
Abacus Data	September 12, 2023	[415]	29%	57%	14%	±2.1 pp	2,125		–28%
	September 4, 2023	[420]	31%	53%	16%	±1.7 pp	3,595		–22%
	August 7, 2023	[756]	31%	54%	15%	±2.0 pp	1,650		–23%
	July 25, 2023	[433]	32%	51%	17%	±2.0 pp	2,486		–19%
	May 3, 2023	[457]	34%	49%	17%	±2.4 pp	1,750		–15%
	March 21, 2023	[467]	33%	49%	18%	±2.3 pp	1,963		–16%
	March 4, 2023	[475]	35%	49%	16%	±2.0 pp	2,600		–14%
	February 18, 2023	[478]	34%	48%	18%	±1.6 pp	4,000		–14%
	January 30, 2023	[483]	34%	49%	17%	±2.6 pp	1,500		–15%
Abacus Data	January 16, 2023	[488]	34%	47%	19%	±2.2 pp	2,099	Online	–13%
	October 26, 2022	[506]	35%	47%	18%	±2.1 pp	1,500		–12%
Ipsos	September 21, 2022	[514]	42%	58%	—	±3.5 pp	1,000		–16%
Abacus Data	September 14, 2022	[522]	37%	49%	14%	±2.2 pp	1,990		–12%
	August 30, 2022	[522]	36%	49%	15%	±2.6 pp	1,500		–13%
	July 27, 2022	[522]	34%	51%	15%	±2.0 pp	2,400		–17%
	July 17, 2022	[524]	38%	46%	16%	±2.6 pp	1,500		–8%
	June 23, 2022	[524]	38%	45%	17%	±1.8 pp	3,026		–7%
	May 24, 2022	[531]	40%	43%	17%	±2.6 pp	1,500		–3%
	May 6, 2022	[534]	41%	42%	17%	±2.6 pp	1,500		–1%
	April 9, 2022	[538]	41%	44%	15%	±2.1 pp	2,000		–3%
	March 25, 2022	[540]	40%	42%	18%	±2.6 pp	1,500		–2%
	February 22, 2022	[544]	39%	46%	15%	±1.4 pp	5,200		–7%
	February 8, 2022	[548]	38%	45%	16%	±2.6 pp	1,500		–7%
Ipsos	January 17, 2022	[757]	49%	51%	—	±3.5 pp	1,001		–2%
Abacus Data	January 12, 2022	[557]	44%	40%	16%	±2.1 pp	2,200		+4%
	November 30, 2021	[563]	41%	44%	15%	±2.2 pp	2,025		–3%
Ipsos	November 15, 2021	[758]	48%	52%	—	±3.5 pp	1,001		–4%
Abacus Data	October 20, 2021	[570]	42%	43%	16%	±1.9 pp	2,200		–1%

See also

• Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election by constituency

Notes

1. Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest 37 (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
2. Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
3. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
4. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
5. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
6. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
7. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
8. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
9. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
10. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
11. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
12. Depending on the pollster, this figure may be solely for May, solely for Pedneault, or a joint rating for both leaders. Some pollsters include separate figures for both May and Pedneault; in such cases, only the rating for May is included.