Opinion polling for the April 2019 Spanish general election

Surveys held before the April 2019 Spanish general election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the April 2019 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 12th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 26 June 2016, to the day the next election was held, on 28 April 2019.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

Summarize
Perspective

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Thumb
Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 June 2016 to 28 April 2019, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

2019
Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE Cs ERC–Sobiranistes PDeCAT PNV PACMA CCa Vox Compromís JxCat NA+ Lead
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 71.8 16.7
66
28.7
123
14.3
42
15.9
57
3.9
15
[a] 1.5
6
1.3
0
1.0
4
0.5
2
10.3
24
0.7
1
1.9
7
0.4
2
12.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[1] 28 Apr 4,300 ? 19.3
70
25.3
105
14.5
46
15.0
51
3.3
13
[a] 1.3
6
1.4
0
0.8
3
0.3
1
13.0
42
1.2
3
1.4
4
0.3
2
6.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[2] 25–27 Apr 3,600 ? 17.9
74/79
27.9
114/120
16.5
44/50
16.0
49/55
2.8
10/11
[a] 1.2
5/6
0.9
2/5
0.3
0/1
11.0
29/33
0.5
0/1
1.6
4/5
0.3
1/2
10.0
IMOP/COPE[3][4] 25–27 Apr 4,200 ? 18.3
67/77
26.8
105/120
16.8
45/60
14.2
40/50
3.1
13/15
[a] 1.2
5/6
0.9
2/3
0.3
0/1
12.7
35/50
0.6
1/2
1.3
3/5
0.2
1/2
8.5
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA[5][6] 12–27 Apr 12,000 ? 17.8
69/73
28.1
116/121
16.1
42/45
14.4
48/49
3.3
13/14
[a] 1.3
6
0.7
2
0.3
1
12.4
36/38
0.5
1
1.6
5
0.5
2
10.3
El Español[7] 26 Apr ? ? 18.0–
19.0
73/77
27.0–
28.0

105/119
15.0–
17.0
46/50
15.0–
16.5
49/57
11.0–
12.0
31/47
9.0
Podemos[8][9] 26 Apr ? ? 15.0 30.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0
Demoscopia Servicios/OKDiario[10] 26 Apr ? ? 21.7
84
27.2
117
12.3
28
15.4
51
13.3
41
5.5
PSOE[11][12][13] 25 Apr ? ? 15.0–
17.0
30.0–
31.0
? ? 13.0–
16.0
13.0–
15.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[14] 22 Feb–25 Apr 11,000 ? 20.2
76
25.3
105
14.6
47
15.0
53
2.7
13
[a] 1.3
6
1.8
0
0.8
3
0.3
1
12.3
35
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
5.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[15] 22 Feb–24 Apr 11,000 ? 20.1
77
25.6
107
14.1
44
15.1
53
2.7
13
[a] 1.3
6
1.9
0
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.4
36
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
5.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[16] 22 Feb–23 Apr 11,000 ? 19.9
74
26.2
111
13.5
40
15.1
53
2.7
13
[a] 1.3
6
2.1
1
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.4
37
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
6.3
Hamalgama Métrica/Espiral21[17] 22 Apr ? 70.5 23.1
90/100
28.1
115/120
12.1
30/40
13.2
32/42
3.1
13/14
[a] 1.3
5/6
1.4
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
0/1
10.1
25/37
0.9
3/4
1.4
5/6
0.1
2
5.0
Llorente & Cuenca[18][19] 22 Apr ? ? 22.0
86
28.3
124
13.8
38
18.9
65
2.8
12
[a] ?
4
?
2
?
1
7.9
12
1.3
6
[b] 6.3
KeyData/Público[20] 22 Apr ? 67.7 20.4
83
29.4
128
13.1
34
15.3
53
3.3
14
[a] 1.2
6
0.9
2
0.4
1
10.4
22
[c] 1.5
5
?
2
9.0
Demoscopia Servicios/OKDiario[21] 17–22 Apr ? ? 21.8
89
28.1
120
12.6
29
14.4
46
2.9
13
[a] 1.4
6
0.9
3
0.3
1
12.7
36
1.1
2
1.3
5
[b] 6.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[22] 22 Feb–22 Apr 11,000 ? 19.5
71
27.2
118
12.8
38
15.0
52
2.7
12
[a] 1.3
6
2.2
1
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.4
36
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
7.7
Infortécnica[23] 21 Apr 1,600 ? ?
93/103
?
100/110
?
33/38
?
39/43
[a] ?
27/42
?
SocioMétrica/El Español[24][25] 14–21 Apr 1,800 ? 18.2
72/77
29.5
126/134
13.6
35/43
15.1
43/49
3.3
11/12
[a] 1.1
4/5
0.9
0
0.9
2
0.2
0/1
12.6
31/37
1.1
1/2
1.3
4
0.3
2
11.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[26] 22 Feb–21 Apr 11,000 ? 19.9
74
27.4
120
12.4
35
14.4
48
2.8
13
[a] 1.3
6
2.3
1
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.5
38
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
7.5
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[27] 15–20 Apr 1,100 68.3 23.5
93/99
28.9
119/123
13.5
38/40
15.1
49/52
2.9
13/14
[a] 1.2
6
1.3
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
7.9
14/18
1.3
3
1.5
4/5
0.4
2
5.4
IMOP/El Confidencial[28] 14–20 Apr 1,400 70.0 19.8
68/78
29.8
123/137
14.1
35/42
15.1
48/52
3.0
13/14
[a] 1.2
6
1.8
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
0/1
10.0
23/28
0.8
2/3
1.2
4/5
0.3
2
10.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[24] 13–20 Apr 1,800 ? 18.4
75
30.0
129
13.7
38
15.5
52
3.2
11
[a] 1.1
5
0.8
0
1.0
2
0.2
0
11.8
32
1.0
2
1.4
4
0.3
2
11.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[29] 22 Feb–20 Apr 10,800 ? 19.9
74
27.5
121
12.3
34
14.3
48
2.7
12
[a] 1.3
6
2.2
1
0.8
3
0.2
0
12.5
38
1.3
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
7.6
InvyMark/laSexta[30] 15–19 Apr ? ? 20.4 28.1 13.0 15.2 3.3 [a] 1.3 12.7 1.3 7.7
NC Report/La Razón[31][32] 15–19 Apr 1,000 68.9 23.8
100/101
28.1
116/118
13.0
34/38
14.9
50
2.9
13/14
[a] 1.3
6
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
9.0
13/14
1.5
3
1.4
5
0.4
2
4.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[24] 12–19 Apr 1,800 ? 18.5
74
30.5
131
13.8
37
15.9
54
3.1
12
[a] 1.0
5
0.7
0
1.1
2
0.2
0
10.9
27
0.8
1
1.5
5
0.2
2
12.0
GAD3/ABC[33] 1–19 Apr 10,000 ? 20.1
81/86
31.5
134/139
12.1
27
13.9
42/44
3.3
13
[a] 1.2
6
1.9
0
0.9
2
0.3
1
11.4
30/32
0.4
1
1.2
4
0.5
2
11.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[34] 22 Feb–19 Apr 10,700 ? 20.1
76
27.6
122
12.4
34
14.2
47
2.8
13
[a] 1.3
6
2.3
1
0.8
4
0.2
0
12.5
38
1.3
2
1.3
4
0.4
2
7.5
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario[35] 15–18 Apr 950 ? 21.6
87
28.4
122
12.7
30
14.7
48
2.4
11
[a] 1.4
6
0.9
3
0.3
1
12.4
34
1.2
3
1.2
5
[b] 6.8
40dB/El País[36][37] 15–18 Apr 2,000 ? 17.8
75
28.8
129
13.2
33
14.1
49
3.3
13
[a] 1.0
5
2.8
2
1.0
3
0.4
1
12.5
32
0.9
3
1.9
5
11.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[38] 11–18 Apr 1,000 ? 18.3
71
30.9
137
13.6
33
13.8
50
2.8
11
[a] 2.1
9
0.8
2
0.4
1
10.5
28
1.5
6
0.3
2
12.6
SocioMétrica/El Español[39] 11–18 Apr 1,800 ? 18.6
72
31.0
134
13.4
38
15.5
52
3.2
11
[a] 1.1
5
0.9
0
1.0
4
0.2
0
11.0
27
0.6
1
1.4
5
0.2
2
12.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[40] 22 Feb–18 Apr 10,600 ? 20.3
77
27.6
121
12.4
35
14.3
47
2.8
13
[a] 1.4
6
2.3
1
0.9
4
0.2
0
12.4
37
1.3
2
1.3
4
0.4
2
7.3
PP[41] 17 Apr ? ? 19.0 30.0 12.5 12.5 11.0 11.0
DYM/El Independiente[42] 15–17 Apr 1,025 ? 20.4
80/86
29.0
122/127
13.7
34/40
15.5
46/52
10.4
26/32
8.6
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[43] 11–17 Apr 1,100 ? 23.8
95/98
28.1
115/118
12.9
38/39
15.8
52/53
2.9
13/14
[a] 1.2
6
1.4
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
7.7
13/18
1.4
3
1.4
4/5
0.4
2
4.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[39] 10–17 Apr 1,800 ? 18.7
75
30.8
133
13.1
38
15.8
53
3.4
12
[a] 1.1
5
0.8
0
1.1
3
0.2
0
10.6
27
0.7
2
1.3
4
0.3
2
12.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[44] 3–17 Apr 8,000 ? 20.1
74/86
30.3
122/133
13.2
30/41
15.0
48/56
3.8
15
[a] 1.3
6
10.2
20/32
1.3
4
10.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[45] 22 Feb–17 Apr 10,200 ? 20.4
79
27.7
120
12.4
34
14.6
50
2.7
13
[a] 1.4
6
2.2
1
0.8
4
0.2
0
12.0
35
1.3
1
1.3
4
0.4
2
7.3
Metroscopia/Henneo[46][47][48] 11–16 Apr 4,775 ? 19.6
76/88
29.1
115/128
14.3
32/37
14.2
44/53
3.5
15
[a] 1.4
6/7
0.7
2/3
0.3
1
11.1
20/36
1.1
3/4
1.4
5
0.3
2
9.5
IMOP/El Confidencial[49] 10–16 Apr 1,400 71.0 19.3
72
30.4
131
13.5
34
15.3
52
3.2
14
[a] 1.2
6
1.9
0
0.8
3
0.3
1
9.6
27
0.8
2
1.4
5
0.3
2
11.1
SocioMétrica/El Español[50] 9–16 Apr 1,800 ? 18.8
73
30.5
132
12.7
35
16.0
52
3.3
14
[a] 1.1
6
1.0
0
1.0
4
0.2
0
10.9
27
0.8
2
1.3
4
0.3
1
11.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[51] 22 Feb–16 Apr 10,200 ? 20.2
77
28.2
124
12.4
33
15.3
53
2.8
13
[a] 1.3
6
2.1
1
0.8
4
0.2
0
11.5
31
1.3
1
1.3
4
0.4
2
8.0
Top Position[52] 13–15 Apr 1,200 ? 22.3
90/98
27.8
110/118
12.2
26/30
13.1
29/35
3.2
12/14
[a] 1.2
?
14.2
48/54
1.6
4/6
5.5
Demoscopia Servicios/OKDiario[53] 12–15 Apr ? ? 21.3
86
28.9
124
12.8
29
14.9
49
2.3
10
[a] 1.5
6
1.2
3
?
1
12.2
33
?
2
1.3
7
[b] 7.6
GAD3/ABC[54] 9–15 Apr 2,000 ? 20.9
82/86
31.3
136/139
12.3
28/32
13.2
39/41
11.8
30/34
10.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[39] 8–15 Apr 1,800 ? 19.0
74
30.2
131
13.2
37
15.7
52
3.2
12
[a] 1.2
6
1.1
0
0.9
3
0.2
0
11.0
28
0.9
2
1.2
3
0.3
1
11.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[55] 22 Feb–15 Apr 10,100 ? 20.2
77
28.2
123
12.3
34
15.1
53
2.8
13
[a] 1.3
6
2.1
1
0.9
4
0.2
0
11.5
31
1.3
1
1.3
4
0.4
2
8.0
KeyData/Público[56] 14 Apr ? 65.2 20.8
82
28.8
126
13.5
36
15.6
54
3.4
15
[a] 1.3
6
0.9
3
0.3
1
9.8
20
[c] 1.6
5
?
2
8.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[57] 22 Feb–14 Apr 10,000 ? 20.0
78
28.1
124
12.1
34
15.3
53
2.8
13
[a] 1.3
6
1.9
0
0.8
4
0.2
1
11.1
28
1.3
1
1.3
5
0.4
2
8.1
NC Report/La Razón[58] 9–13 Apr 1,000 66.5 24.1
99/101
27.5
111/113
12.1
31/33
15.8
53/55
2.9
12/13
[a] 1.3
6
0.8
2
0.3
1
9.1
18/20
1.8
4/5
1.3
4
0.4
2
3.4
IMOP/El Confidencial[59][60] 7–13 Apr 1,410 70.0 18.6
68
31.0
135
13.4
34
15.8
53
3.3
14
[a] 1.2
6
2.0
1
0.8
3
0.3
1
9.5
25
0.9
3
1.3
4
0.3
2
12.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[61] 5–12 Apr 1,800 ? 19.1
73/77
29.9
124/130
13.0
29/33
15.4
49/56
3.2
11/13
[a] 1.3
5/6
1.2
0
1.0
3
0.3
0/1
11.2
31/36
0.8
2/3
1.4
5/6
0.4
2
10.8
GAD3/La Vanguardia[62][63] 9–11 Apr 1,800 71.0 21.0
81/86
31.1
137/139
11.4
27/30
14.4
44/46
3.6
13/15
[a] 1.2
6
1.4
0
0.7
2
0.3
1
11.2
26/29
0.5
1
1.2
3/4
[b] 10.1
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario[64] 8–11 Apr 920 ? 20.8
83
27.9
117
13.2
31
16.6
59
2.3
14
[a] 1.5
6
1.1
2
0.2
1
11.7
27
1.0
4
1.2
6
[b] 7.1
InvyMark/laSexta[65] 8–11 Apr ? ? 20.8 27.1 13.2 16.4 12.7 6.3
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[66] 4–10 Apr 1,100 ? 23.9
99/102
27.3
112/117
13.1
32/37
15.9
51/56
2.8
11/13
[a] 1.2
6
1.5
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
7.8
12/14
1.5
4/5
1.6
5
0.5
1
3.4
GAD3/ABC[67] 8–9 Apr 2,000 ? 21.3
85/91
30.9
135/137
12.0
29/30
13.5
43/46
?
12/13
[a] ?
6
?
2
?
1
11.2
25/29
?
1
?
4/5
?
2
9.6
IMOP/El Confidencial[68] 3–9 Apr 1,407 70.7 19.4
70
31.0
135
13.2
33
16.0
56
3.1
14
[a] 1.3
6
1.5
0
0.8
3
?
1
9.8
23
0.8
3
1.3
4
?
2
11.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[69] 22 Feb–7 Apr 9,600 ? 20.1
80
27.4
116
11.9
34
15.6
59
2.6
12
[a] 1.3
6
1.2
0
0.9
4
0.3
1
10.6
27
1.5
2
1.3
4
0.4
2
7.3
NC Report/La Razón[70] 2–6 Apr 1,000 66.3 24.0
99/101
26.9
108/112
12.3
29/31
16.1
55/56
2.8
11/12
[a] 1.3
6
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
9.4
19/22
1.7
5
1.3
4/5
0.4
2
2.9
IMOP/El Confidencial[71] 31 Mar–6 Apr 1,440 72.0 20.0
76
31.5
136
12.9
32
15.5
53
3.2
14
[a] 1.3
6
1.2
0
0.9
3
?
1
9.3
20
0.6
3
1.2
4
?
2
11.5
Simple Lógica[72] 1–5 Apr 1,054 73.7 16.7 30.5 14.4 15.5 9.8 13.8
GESOP/El Periódico[73] 1–5 Apr 1,500 ? 21.0
84/87
29.8
128/132
12.0
30/32
14.5
48/50
?
14/15
[a] 10.6
21/23
?
4/5
8.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[39] 29 Mar–5 Apr 1,800 ? 19.4
75
30.1
129
12.3
30
15.1
54
3.0
12
[a] 1.2
5
1.2
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
10.6
29
1.0
3
1.3
5
0.5
3
10.7
GAD3/ABC[74][75] 26 Mar–4 Apr 4,000 ? 20.9
86/90
31.1
137/139
11.5
28/30
14.9
47/50
?
12/13
[a] ?
6
?
2
?
1
9.8
16/18
?
1
?
4/5
?
2
10.2
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[76] 26 Mar–3 Apr 1,100 ? 23.6
97/100
27.2
113/118
12.2
31/33
15.7
52/55
2.8
11/13
[a] 1.2
6
1.5
0
0.7
2/3
0.3
1
8.7
14/16
1.6
4/5
1.6
5
0.5
1
3.6
KeyData/Público[77] 2 Apr ? 68.9 20.6
83
28.7
120
13.7
41
16.0
56
2.9
13
[a] 1.2
6
0.8
3
0.2
1
10.8
22
[c] 1.4
5
[b] 8.1
IMOP/El Confidencial[78] 27 Mar–2 Apr 1,431 69.0 20.8
83
30.0
127
13.9
35
14.8
52
3.5
15
[a] 1.1
6
1.5
0
1.0
3
?
1
9.6
20
0.5
2
1.1
4
?
2
9.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[79] 22 Feb–31 Mar 8,850 ? 19.9
80
27.7
116
11.4
34
16.6
61
2.4
10
[a] 1.3
6
1.1
0
0.9
4
0.2
1
10.7
27
1.8
3
1.3
5
7.8
IMOP/El Confidencial[80] 24–30 Mar 1,419 67.0 21.6
89
30.0
130
13.7
35
14.0
47
3.5
15
[a] 1.1
6
1.8
0
1.0
3
?
1
9.5
18
0.5
2
1.1
4
8.4
NC Report/La Razón[81] 25–29 Mar 1,000 66.2 23.1
93/96
26.7
109/113
11.9
26/28
16.5
56/59
3.0
12
[a] 1.3
4/5
0.7
2/3
?
1
10.3
23/25
?
5
1.3
4/5
?
1
3.6
SocioMétrica/El Español[82] 25–29 Mar 1,600 ? 18.8
69/74
29.0
124/131
12.6
28/34
16.1
48/54
3.0
11/12
[a] 1.2
5/6
1.2
0/1
0.9
2/3
0.3
0/1
11.9
31/37
0.5
2/3
1.3
5/6
0.3
2/3
10.2
InvyMark/laSexta[83] 25–29 Mar ? ? 20.1 25.9 13.0 17.5 12.9 5.8
Demoscopia Servicios/OKDiario[84] 24–27 Mar 1,175 ? 21.0
88
27.7
118
13.4
30
16.9
59
2.1
11
[a] 1.5
6
1.0
2
11.2
23
1.4
4
1.4
8
[b] 6.7
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[85] 21–27 Mar 1,100 ? 22.9
93/95
27.0
110/115
12.1
31/33
16.7
56/59
2.8
11/13
[a] 1.2
6
1.4
0
0.7
2/3
0.3
1
9.1
18/20
1.6
4/5
1.7
5
0.5
1
4.1
IMOP/El Confidencial[86] 20–26 Mar 1,400 65.0 20.0
77
31.0
133
11.9
28
14.9
53
3.3
14
[a] 1.2
6
2.0
1
1.1
3
?
1
10.1
27
0.7
3
1.3
4
11.0
Metroscopia/Henneo[87][88][89] 18–25 Mar 2,722 67 19.0
72/78
28.7
116/126
14.0
35/41
16.3
53/62
?
14
[a] ?
6
?
2/4
?
1
11.7
30/37
[c] ?
6
9.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[90] 22 Feb–24 Mar 8,200 ? 20.1
82
28.6
118
11.1
32
16.3
60
2.4
9
[a] 1.3
6
1.1
0
0.9
4
0.2
1
10.5
25
1.8
3
1.3
5
8.5
IMOP/El Confidencial[91] 17–23 Mar 1,399 65.5 19.5
75
30.5
131
12.4
31
14.4
52
3.5
14
[a] 1.3
6
2.1
1
1.0
3
?
1
11.0
29
?
2
1.3
5
11.0
NC Report/La Razón[92][93] 18–22 Mar 1,000 ? 22.4
91/93
26.9
106/111
12.0
27/29
17.1
57/61
2.9
11/12
[a] 1.3
6
0.7
2/3
?
1
10.7
24/26
1.5
6
1.2
4/5
4.5
GAD3/ABC[94][95] 1–22 Mar 7,500 ? 21.9
94/99
30.9
131/134
11.3
27
13.1
37/38
2.6
12
[a] 1.2
6
0.7
2
0.3
1
11.5
24/27
0.5
1
1.5
6
?
2
9.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[96] 15–20 Mar 1,000 ? 18.9
78
26.9
113
13.4
35
13.8
44
3.9
15
[a] 1.0
5
0.8
3
0.5
1
13.9
50
[c] 1.7
6
8.0
40dB/El País[97][98] 14–19 Mar 1,500 ? 19.3
76
27.1
122
12.3
40
17.7
55
10.2
31
[c] 7.8
CIS (SocioMétrica)[d][99] 1–18 Mar 16,194 ? 20.1 30.6 13.3 14.7 3.9 [a] 1.4 1.8 0.9 0.4 9.0 0.6 1.3 0.3 10.5
CIS[100] 74.8 17.2
66/76
30.2
123/138
12.9
33/41
13.6
42/51
4.5
17/18
[a] 1.3
6
1.4
0/2
1.1
3/5
0.4
0/1
11.9
29/37
0.9
1/2
1.2
4/5
0.1
1/2
13.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[101] 22 Feb–17 Mar 7,400 ? 20.7
84
27.3
115
11.3
30
15.4
55
3.2
13
1.3
4
1.3
6
0.9
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
12.5
36
1.7
3
6.6
NC Report/La Razón[102][103] 11–15 Mar 1,000 65.7 23.2
95/98
26.0
104/107
14.8
40/43
17.8
61/64
2.8
11
1.2
5
1.1
5
0.6
2
10.3
20/23
[c] 2.8
Simple Lógica[104] 4–13 Mar 1,092 72.8 17.1 31.2 12.4 16.7 8.6 [c] 14.1
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[105][106] 4–11 Mar 1,100 66.4 22.8
95/97
25.4
100/103
14.3
42/45
18.1
62/65
2.7
10/11
1.7
6
1.2
6
1.2
0
0.7
2/3
0.3
0
9.6
21/22
[c] 2.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[107] 22 Feb–10 Mar 6,800 ? 20.3
83
26.9
115
11.4
32
16.1
55
3.3
13
1.3
4
1.3
6
0.9
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
12.3
35
1.8
3
6.6
KeyData/Público[108] 9 Mar ? 69.9 21.5
88
26.6
112
14.5
43
16.1
57
2.9
13
1.5
5
1.2
6
0.8
3
0.3
1
10.2
22
[c] 5.1
SocioMétrica/El Español[109] 5–8 Mar 1,600 74.0 17.5
69/71
27.6
119/121
14.1
37/39
17.8
63/65
3.1
11/13
1.5
5/6
1.0
4/5
2.0
0/1
0.9
2/3
0.2
0/1
12.1
31/34
[c] 9.8
GAD3/ABC[110][111] 4–8 Mar 1,000 ? 22.1
87
30.6
134
11.8
30
13.2
38
2.8
12
1.5
5
1.2
6
0.6
2
0.2
0
12.1
36
[c] 8.5
InvyMark/laSexta[112] 4–8 Mar ? ? 20.4 25.2 13.2 20.3 11.5 [c] 4.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[113] 22 Feb–3 Mar 5,200 ? 20.5
84
26.7
115
11.5
33
16.2
55
3.3
13
1.3
4
1.3
6
0.8
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
12.1
34
1.8
3
6.2
KeyData/Público[114] 26 Feb ? 67.9 21.5
88
25.1
107
14.5
46
18.0
61
3.1
13
1.5
5
1.3
5
0.8
3
0.3
1
10.9
21
[c] 3.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[115] 19–22 Feb 1,200 ? 19.1
71/75
27.3
110/114
14.4
37/39
16.0
54/58
3.2
11/13
1.1
3/5
1.2
6
13.3
44/46
[c] 8.2
GAD3/ABC[116][117] 18–22 Feb 800 71 23.2
97
28.9
122
11.5
29
15.7
53
3.0
13
1.5
5
1.3
6
0.6
2
0.2
0
10.8
23
[c] 5.7
InvyMark/laSexta[118] 18–21 Feb ? ? 21.0 24.3 13.9 20.2 11.3 [c] 3.3
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[119] 13–21 Feb 1,500 ? 19.3
76
28.2
116
14.2
39
13.5
40
3.8
14
1.7
6
1.4
6
0.8
2
14.2
51
[c] 8.9
SocioMétrica/El Español[120][121][122] 13–15 Feb 1,000 71.0 18.6
73
24.3
106
11.9
33
18.7
65
3.3
12
1.3
4
1.1
6
1.9
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
11.8
40
2.3
6
5.6
71.0 18.6
72/74
24.3
105/107
15.2
40/42
18.7
64/66
3.3
11/13
1.3
4
1.1
6
1.9
0
0.8
2
0.3
1
11.8
38/42
[c] 5.6
GESOP/El Periódico[123] 13–15 Feb 1,000 ? 19.9
75/77
27.4
115/117
13.6
36/39
14.5
44/47
?
16/17
?
2/3
13.0
43/46
[c] 7.5
GAD3/La Vanguardia[124][125] 12–15 Feb 1,200 71.0 23.6
97
28.2
119
12.4
32
17.1
60
2.8
11
1.6
6
1.2
6
0.6
2
0.3
1
8.8
16
[c] 4.6
NC Report/La Razón[126][127] 11–15 Feb 1,000 65.6 23.6
97/100
24.1
96/99
16.0
43/46
18.9
65/66
2.8
12
1.3
5
1.1
5
0.6
2
10.0
19/22
[c] 0.5
Metroscopia/Henneo[128][129][130] 11–13 Feb 1,995 65 20.5 27.6 13.8 15.4 12.7 [c] 7.1
CIS[131] (Kiko Llaneras)[d][132] 1–10 Feb 2,964 ? 23.0 27.0 17.0 17.0 6.0 [c] 4.0
CIS[131] (SocioMétrica)[d][133] 67.7 20.3 27.9 17.3 17.5 2.9 1.0 1.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 6.8 [c] 7.6
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[134][135] 4–8 Feb 1,100 66.4 23.1
96/98
23.7
94/97
15.8
47/49
19.2
63/67
2.8
11/12
1.7
6
1.2
5/6
1.1
0
0.8
2/3
0.3
1
8.9
17/20
[c] 0.6
Simple Lógica[136] 1–8 Feb 1,017 74.2 17.9 25.4 13.9 17.0 11.7 [c] 7.5
InvyMark/laSexta[137] 28 Jan–1 Feb ? ? 21.3 23.9 13.5 20.9 11.2 [c] 2.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[138] 26–30 Jan 2,890 ? 20.1
83
23.1
91
14.9
50
19.6
71
?
12
?
4
?
6
?
2
12.1
31
[c] 3.0
KeyData/Público[139] 27 Jan ? 68.7 21.5
89
22.3
98
14.8
51
19.8
67
3.1
12
1.6
6
1.1
6
0.9
2
0.3
1
10.3
18
[c] 0.8
NC Report/La Razón[140][141] 21–25 Jan 1,000 65.9 24.0
98/100
24.2
97/99
16.6
45/48
18.7
63/65
2.8
11
1.2
5
0.9
5
0.7
2
9.4
17/20
[c] 0.2
GAD3/ABC[142][143] 14–24 Jan 1,800 ? 23.0
97
26.5
111
11.6
31
17.1
61
2.8
13
1.6
6
1.2
6
0.6
2
0.2
0
9.8
23
[c] 3.5
InvyMark/laSexta[144] 14–18 Jan ? ? 21.5 23.2 14.4 23.0 8.9 [c] 0.2
Metroscopia/Henneo[145][146][147] 9–15 Jan 2,332 67 19.1 23.7 17.1 17.8 12.1 [c] 4.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[148] 6–13 Jan 1,399 ? 19.1
74
21.3
87
16.3
53
19.9
73
?
12
?
5
?
6
1.1
0
?
3
13.0
37
[c] 1.4
CIS[149] (Kiko Llaneras)[d][150] 1–13 Jan 2,989 ? 21.0 24.0 18.6 18.6 7.5 [c] 3.0
CIS[149] (SocioMétrica)[d][151] 65.0 19.3 23.8 18.0 19.0 3.7 1.1 1.2 1.9 1.1 0.3 8.1 [c] 4.5
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[152][153] 15 Dec–13 Jan ? ? 22.5
84/86
21.2
74/78
19.3
62/65
18.2
66/70
2.5
8
1.8
4/5
2.0
7
0.6
2
0.2
0/1
8.7
28/29
[c] 1.3
Simple Lógica[154] 3–9 Jan 1,042 71.0 18.2 25.1 14.0 17.9 11.5 [c] 6.9
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[155][156] 2–8 Jan 1,100 66.8 23.8
97/98
24.1
95/97
16.1
48/50
19.6
65/68
2.8
10/12
1.5
5/6
1.0
5
0.8
0
0.7
2/3
0.3
1
8.1
15/18
[c] 0.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[157][158][159] 22 Dec–5 Jan 2,200 ? 18.3
74/76
22.4
89/91
17.1
58/60
18.5
64/66
3.2
13
1.4
6
1.2
6
0.9
3
0.3
1
12.5
31/33
[c] 3.9
KeyData/Público[160] 2 Jan ? 68.1 22.0
90
22.6
101
15.2
51
20.5
71
2.9
11
1.7
6
1.1
6
0.8
2
0.3
1
8.6
11
[c] 0.6
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2018
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2017
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2016
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Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

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Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

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Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

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Senate projections

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Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size PP PSOE Cs ERC PDeCAT PNV CCa Vox ASG NA+
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 2019 54 123 0 4 11 2 9 1 0 0 1 3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[593] 3–17 Apr 2019 8,000 48 136 0 0 9 7 0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[594] 19–22 Feb 2019 1,200 57 125 0 0 12 7 0
SocioMétrica/El Español[595] 13–15 Feb 2019 1,000 123 56 7 [b] 12 2 6 0 1 1
75 97 7 5 12 2 6 0 1 3
SocioMétrica/El Español[596] 22 Dec–5 Jan 2019 2,200 61 86 14 20 11 2 5 1 0 8
2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 130 43 16 0 10 2 5 0 1 0 1
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Hypothetical scenarios

Podemos & IU

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PP candidates

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1977 parties

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PSOE candidates

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Aznar's party

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Sub-national polling

Leadership polling

Preferred coalition

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Notes

  1. Within JxCat.
  2. Within PP.
  3. Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.

References

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