Opinion polling for the November 2019 Spanish general election

Surveys held before the November 2019 Spanish general election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the November 2019 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 13th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 28 April 2019, to the day the next election was held, on 10 November 2019.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

Summarize
Perspective

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Thumb
Local regression trend line of poll results from 28 April 2019 to 10 November 2019, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE PP Cs Vox ERC–Sobiranistes JxCat PNV Compromís CC–NCa NA+ PRC CUP Lead
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 66.2 28.0
120
20.8
89
6.8
10
12.9
35
15.1
52
3.6
13
2.2
8
1.6
6
1.1
5
[a] 0.5
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
2.4
3
1.0
2
7.2
NC Report/La Razón[1] 10 Nov ? ? 26.9
115/118
21.4
95/97
8.9
14/15
12.5
31/32
13.6
44/46
3.8
14/15
1.7
6/7
1.7
6/7
1.0
4/5
[a] 0.7
2/3
0.5
1/2
0.2
1
3.0
2/4
1.0
2/3
5.5
SocioMétrica/El Español[2] 9–10 Nov 4,000 ? 26.1
112/118
19.9
87/92
7.8
11/16
14.0
36/40
14.1
52/58
3.5
11/14
1.7
6/7
1.5
6/7
1.1
4/5
[a] 0.4
1/2
0.3
1/2
0.2
0/1
3.4
0/5
1.5
2/3
6.2
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[3][4] 8–10 Nov 1,100 67.8 27.4
119
20.8
94
8.5
14
12.9
33
13.5
44
3.6
14
1.8
7
1.7
7
1.1
5
[a] 0.8
3
0.4
2
0.2
1
2.8
3
1.1
3
6.6
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA[5][6] 25 Oct–10 Nov 13,000 72 27.3
114/119
20.1
85/90
8.5
14/15
12.2
30/34
16.3
56/59
3.5
13/14
1.6
6/7
1.5
6/7
1.0
3/4
[a] 0.5
1/2
0.4
2
0.2
0/1
2.1
3
1.2
3/4
7.2
GESOP/El Periòdic[7] 7–9 Nov 903 70–72 26.7
116/122
19.4
83/88
7.9
14/18
14.3
39/44
14.9
47/53
2.6
12/13
1.4
6/7
[a] 2.8
2/4
1.1
3/4
7.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[8] 7–8 Nov 1,250 ? 27.1
113
20.4
90
7.3
11
13.7
38
15.5
54
3.7
14
1.6
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.7
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.0
3
1.2
4
6.7
GESOP/El Periòdic[9] 6–8 Nov 903 ? 26.3
113/118
19.0
80/85
7.5
10/15
14.0
38/42
15.6
54/60
2.7
12/13
1.4
6/7
[a] 2.9
2/4
1.1
3/4
7.3
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario[10] 7 Nov ? 72.1 26.6
116
20.9
93
7.2
12
13.2
35
15.7
52
4.1
15
1.5
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
2.7
3
1.0
2
5.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[11] 6–7 Nov 1,250 ? 27.3
114
20.1
90
7.8
13
13.5
37
15.2
51
3.7
14
1.6
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.7
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.1
3
1.2
4
7.2
GESOP/El Periòdic[12] 5–7 Nov 904 ? 26.9
115/120
20.1
84/88
6.5
8/10
13.4
36/40
15.6
54/59
2.7
12/13
1.6
6/7
[a] 2.5
2/4
1.4
4
6.8
PSOE[13][14] 6 Nov ? ? 30.0
120/130
?
75/80
7.0
15
?
35
15.0
50/55
?
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[15] 5–6 Nov 1,250 ? 27.3
118
20.2
90
8.1
14
13.1
34
14.8
50
3.7
14
1.6
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.7
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.1
3
1.2
3
7.1
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[16] 4–6 Nov ? ? ?
118
?
98
?
14
?
33
?
43
?
15
?
7
[a] ?
2
?
GESOP/El Periòdic[17] 4–6 Nov 905 ? 26.8
115/120
19.9
84/88
7.0
10/14
13.0
34/38
15.6
53/58
3.0
13/14
1.5
6/7
[a] 2.6
2/4
1.3
4
6.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[18] 4–5 Nov 1,250 ? 27.1
117
20.4
90
8.4
14
12.8
34
14.7
51
3.8
14
1.7
6
1.5
6
1.1
4
[a] 0.7
2
0.4
2
0.2
0
3.1
3
1.3
4
6.7
GESOP/El Periòdic[19] 3–5 Nov 904 ? 26.8
116/121
19.0
80/85
7.8
12/16
12.6
32/36
15.6
53/58
3.3
13/14
1.8
6/7
[a] 2.8
2/4
1.4
4
7.8
KeyData/Público[20] 4 Nov ? 71.2 27.4
121
21.1
96
9.5
20
12.7
34
12.5
39
3.8
15
1.9
6
1.5
6
1.0
3
[a] 0.5
2
?
2
?
1
3.7
4
?
1
6.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[21] 3–4 Nov 1,250 ? 27.2
118
20.8
91
8.7
14
12.8
34
14.1
48
3.9
14
1.6
6
1.5
6
1.1
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.1
3
1.2
4
6.4
GESOP/El Periòdic[22] 31 Oct–4 Nov 861 ? 26.6
115/120
19.0
80/85
8.2
13/17
12.8
34/38
15.0
50/55
3.6
14/15
1.5
6/7
[a] 2.8
2/4
1.5
4/5
7.6
GI Internacional/Diario16[23][24] 3 Nov ? ? 28.5
122/139
21.2
94/95
9.5
21/26
13.2
35/40
9.5
27/31
4.2
15/17
1.6
4/5
1.6
6/7
1.3
5/6
[a] 0.2
1
0.4
1/2
0.3
1
4.3
5/7
0.5
1/2
7.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[25] 2–3 Nov 1,250 ? 27.1
117
21.2
95
8.5
14
12.5
34
13.6
44
4.0
14
1.5
6
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.4
4
1.3
4
5.9
Infortécnica[26] 2 Nov 1,586 ? ?
130/139
?
80/86
?
25/31
?
27/33
?
33/39
?
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[25] 1–2 Nov 1,250 ? 27.5
120
21.4
96
8.8
14
12.6
34
13.1
41
?
14
?
6
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
3.4
4
?
4
6.1
SocioMétrica/El Español[27] 31 Oct–2 Nov 1,100 ? 25.1
110/119
20.6
93/100
8.5
15/18
12.9
36/40
14.3
42/48
3.5
13/15
1.6
5/7
1.3
6/7
0.9
3/4
[a] 0.6
1/2
0.4
1/2
0.2
1/2
3.9
1/3
1.4
2/4
4.5
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario[28][29] 30 Oct–2 Nov ? ? 27.3
120
22.1
99
9.2
16
12.8
33
12.7
39
?
15
?
6
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
3.8
4
?
2
5.2
IMOP/El Confidencial[30] 29 Oct–2 Nov 1,639 68 28.0
118/128
19.6
81/90
10.1
19/24
11.5
29/34
13.9
42/50
?
14/16
?
5/7
?
6/7
?
3/4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
0/1
3.3
3/5
?
3/4
8.4
SW Demoscopia/infoLibre[31] 28 Oct–2 Nov 1,517 ? 28.5
123/128
20.3
88/93
8.8
15/19
12.0
34/38
13.7
41/46
4.0
16
1.4
6
?
6
[a] ?
2
4.7
3/6
0.8
1
8.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[32] 31 Oct–1 Nov 1,250 ? 27.5
121
21.6
97
9.2
16
12.5
34
12.5
37
4.0
15
1.6
6
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
3.6
5
1.2
2
5.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[32] 30–31 Oct 1,250 ? 27.6
123
21.4
97
9.0
15
12.5
34
12.5
38
?
15
?
5
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
3.5
4
?
3
6.2
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[33] 29–31 Oct 1,000 68.2 27.2
120
22.2
100
8.8
16
12.7
32
12.8
40
3.9
14
1.6
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.7
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.7
5
1.1
2
5.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[34] 28–31 Oct 1,001 72.8 26.5
114
20.4
96
9.3
18
12.1
32
12.6
42
4.1
14
1.8
7
1.5
6
1.6
6
[a] 0.5
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.7
5
1.2
4
6.1
GESOP/El Periódico[35] 28–31 Oct 1,504 ? 27.7
119/123
19.5
84/87
8.0
13/17
13.4
37/41
14.2
49/53
3.6
14/15
1.5
5/6
[a] 2.6
2/4
1.5
4/5
8.2
InvyMark/laSexta[36] 28–31 Oct ? ? 27.9 22.0 9.9 11.8 10.5 [a] 3.8 5.9
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[37] 25–31 Oct 1,100 67.8 27.6
121
21.9
99
9.2
16
12.9
33
12.0
36
3.9
15
1.7
7
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.8
3
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.2
4
0.9
2
5.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[38] 24–31 Oct 1,800 ? 27.9
118/126
20.3
89/97
8.9
16/19
13.5
35/40
13.2
39/44
4.0
13/15
1.2
4/6
1.4
5/7
[a] 4.0
3/4
7.6
NC Report/La Razón[39] 14–31 Oct ? 67.1 27.3
114/120
22.7
99/107
8.8
15
12.1
32
12.2
37/39
3.9
15
1.6
7
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 3.5
4
4.6
GAD3/ABC[40][41] 14–31 Oct 7,900 70.5 27.4
120/123
21.6
92/95
8.0
15
11.2
28/31
14.9
49
3.5
13/14
1.4
5/6
1.5
6
0.8
3/4
[a] 0.4
1
0.4
2
0.2
1
2.8
3
1.6
4
5.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[42] 29–30 Oct 1,250 ? 27.0
120
21.7
98
8.9
14
12.5
33
12.7
40
4.0
15
1.4
5
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
3.9
5
1.2
3
5.3
DYM/Prensa Ibérica[43] 25–30 Oct 1,005 ? 26.8
115/124
19.4
90/96
10.0
20/24
12.5
31/36
13.6
35/42
[a] 3.3
4/5
7.4
PSOE[44] 29 Oct ? ? ?
130
?
88
?
16
?
30
?
50
?
Ipsos/Henneo[45] 28–29 Oct 2,000 70 26.0
110/121
19.4
84/95
10.0
18/31
13.0
31/40
14.0
38/52
3.5
13/15
2.1
7/8
1.5
6/7
[a] 4.7
4/6
6.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[42] 28–29 Oct 1,250 ? 26.9
120
21.8
98
9.1
15
12.7
35
12.4
37
?
15
?
5
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.1
5
?
3
5.1
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[46][47] 25–29 Oct 1,000 67.6 27.1
120
22.5
102
9.0
19
12.6
32
12.1
35
3.9
14
1.5
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
3.8
5
1.1
2
4.6
40dB/El País[48][49] 23–29 Oct 2,002 ? 27.3
108/123
21.2
86/98
8.3
13/16
12.4
30/36
13.7
44/50
?
14
?
8
?
7
?
5
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.4
4/5
?
2
6.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[50] 21–29 Oct 1,800 ? 27.5
120
20.6
94
8.9
16
13.5
36
13.4
44
4.0
15
1.2
4
1.4
6
[a] 3.9
3
6.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[51] 27–28 Oct 1,250 ? 26.6
118
21.8
98
9.0
15
12.7
33
12.6
40
4.1
16
1.5
5
1.4
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
4.0
5
1.2
3
4.8
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[52] 27 Oct ? ? 27.1
116/123
20.4
91/98
8.9
16/19
13.2
35/40
13.3
39/43
4.5
14/17
1.2
4/5
1.4
5/7
[a] 3.9
2/3
1.1
3/4
6.7
SyM Consulting/EPDA[53] 26–27 Oct 1,923 72.3 27.1
102/115
22.2
80/94
10.3
35/40
9.6
34/36
13.8
45/49
3.5
11/13
[a] 3.3
3/5
4.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[51] 26–27 Oct 1,250 ? 26.6
118
21.6
97
9.1
15
12.6
32
12.7
41
?
16
?
5
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.1
5
?
4
5.0
KeyData/Público[54] 26 Oct ? 70.8 27.6
122
21.5
99
10.2
24
12.3
32
10.7
30
3.9
15
1.9
7
1.5
6
1.0
3
[a] 0.5
2
?
2
?
1
4.6
6
?
1
6.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[55] 25–26 Oct 1,250 ? 27.2
121
22.2
99
9.3
16
12.2
32
11.8
37
3.9
15
1.5
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
4.4
5
1.1
2
5.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[56] 24–26 Oct 1,100 ? 25.5
115/119
21.0
99/103
9.3
18/20
12.2
33/35
12.2
37/39
3.6
13/15
1.8
6/7
1.3
6/7
1.0
3/5
[a] 0.4
1/2
0.3
1/2
0.3
1/2
5.1
4/5
1.3
1/3
4.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[55] 24–25 Oct 1,250 ? 27.6
123
22.2
100
9.4
17
12.0
28
11.3
36
?
15
?
6
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.4
5
?
3
5.4
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[57] 22–25 Oct 1,000 66.4 26.9
119
22.7
103
9.2
20
12.7
33
11.7
33
3.9
14
1.5
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.4
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
4.3
6
0.8
1
4.2
InvyMark/laSexta[58] 21–25 Oct ? ? 28.6 21.7 10.6 11.5 10.0 [a] 4.2 6.9
NC Report/La Razón[59] 16–25 Oct 1,000 66.2 27.5
120/123
23.0
103/105
9.0
18/19
12.1
32/34
11.3
30/32
4.0
14/15
1.7
6
[a] 4.3
4/5
4.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[60] 23–24 Oct 1,250 ? 27.9
123
22.3
100
9.4
17
12.0
28
11.3
36
4.0
15
1.5
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
4.2
5
1.1
3
5.6
GAD3/ABC[61][62] 21–24 Oct 2,730 69 27.3
118
21.7
100
8.9
17
12.7
34
13.5
41
3.2
13
1.6
7
1.4
6
0.9
3
[a] 0.4
1
0.4
2
0.2
1
2.8
3
1.1
3
5.6
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[63] 21–24 Oct 1,100 66.9 27.7
120
22.2
101
10.0
20
12.9
34
10.5
31
4.0
15
1.6
7
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.7
3
0.4
2
0.2
1
4.4
5
0.8
1
5.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[64] 16–24 Oct 1,600 ? 27.0
120
20.8
97
8.6
16
13.1
34
13.0
41
4.4
17
1.3
4
1.4
6
[a] 4.0
4
6.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[60] 22–23 Oct 1,250 ? 27.6
123
22.1
99
9.9
19
12.2
31
10.9
33
?
15
?
5
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.3
5
?
3
5.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[65] 21–22 Oct 1,250 ? 27.2
122
22.1
99
9.9
19
12.6
32
10.8
33
3.9
16
1.4
4
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
4.4
5
1.2
3
5.1
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[66] 18–22 Oct 1,000 ? 26.5
117
22.8
104
9.8
22
12.9
33
11.1
31
4.0
15
[a] 4.1
6
3.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[67][68] 11–22 Oct 1,600 ? 27.3
122
21.4
99
8.8
18
12.7
33
12.0
35
4.2
16
1.5
4
1.6
6
[a] 4.5
7
5.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[65] 20–21 Oct 1,250 ? 26.9
118
22.1
100
10.0
22
12.7
33
10.7
32
?
17
?
4
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.6
5
?
2
4.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[69] 19–20 Oct 1,250 ? 26.9
117
22.3
103
10.0
22
12.8
33
10.6
30
4.0
16
1.3
4
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
4.5
6
1.2
3
4.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[69] 18–19 Oct 1,250 ? 26.7
115
22.4
103
10.1
23
12.9
35
10.5
28
?
16
?
4
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.6
6
?
3
4.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[70] 17–18 Oct 1,250 69.1 26.8
117
22.3
103
10.0
22
12.9
35
10.3
27
4.1
16
1.2
4
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
4.5
5
1.3
4
4.5
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[71] 16–18 Oct 1,000 66.4 26.4
117
22.7
104
10.0
24
13.1
35
10.7
28
4.0
14
1.5
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.5
2
0.2
1
3.9
6
0.8
1
3.7
GAD3/ABC[62][72][73] 14–18 Oct 3,233 70 28.7
123
23.0
102
8.3
18
11.2
31
11.9
33
3.8
16
1.6
7
1.5
7
0.9
3
[a] 0.3
1
0.5
2
0.3
1
3.7
4
0.9
1
5.7
InvyMark/laSexta[74] 14–18 Oct ? ? 29.6 20.6 11.2 11.3 9.0 [a] 4.3 9.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[75] 14–18 Oct ? ? 26.1
118/122
21.5
99/104
9.7
19/21
11.8
32/34
11.7
33/35
3.3
13/15
1.8
7/8
1.4
5/7
0.9
3/5
[a] 0.3
1
0.3
1
0.2
1
5.6
4/6
1.2
1/3
4.6
NC Report/La Razón[76] 9–18 Oct ? 65.1 27.2
120/122
22.8
104/105
9.8
22/24
12.7
33/36
10.6
24/26
4.1
14/15
1.7
6
[a] 4.1
4/6
4.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[70] 16–17 Oct 1,250 ? 27.5
124
21.9
100
9.7
19
12.8
34
10.4
28
?
14
?
5
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.3
5
?
4
5.6
Ipsos/Henneo[77][78] 15–17 Oct 2,000 ? 26.7
116/120
21.7
96/101
9.4
19/23
12.3
31/35
11.8
32/36
4.0
13/15
1.8
6/7
1.4
6
[a] 4.6
5/7
5.0
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[79] 14–17 Oct 1,100 65.3 27.0
117
22.3
103
11.1
27
13.4
36
9.1
24
4.2
15
1.5
6
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.7
3
0.4
2
0.2
1
4.6
5
0.7
1
4.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[80][81] 10–17 Oct 1,600 ? 27.0
121
21.0
97
9.6
19
12.5
32
11.5
36
4.2
16
1.5
4
1.7
7
[a] 4.6
7
6.0
KeyData/Público[82] 16 Oct ? 68.9 28.2
124
20.7
95
10.8
27
12.2
33
10.3
28
3.9
14
1.7
7
1.5
6
1.0
3
[a] 0.5
2
?
2
?
1
4.9
7
?
1
7.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[83] 15–16 Oct 1,250 ? 27.7
124
21.4
96
9.5
19
12.4
32
10.9
33
3.9
14
1.5
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
4.8
6
1.2
3
6.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[83] 14–15 Oct 1,250 ? 27.4
123
21.6
98
9.3
16
12.5
33
10.8
34
?
14
?
6
?
6
?
4
[a] ?
2
?
2
?
1
4.7
6
?
3
5.8
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[84] 11–15 Oct 1,000 ? 26.5
116
22.7
104
10.2
24
13.3
36
10.1
26
4.2
15
[a] ?
1
4.0
6
3.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[85][86] 7–15 Oct 1,600 ? 27.1
122
21.2
98
9.3
19
12.8
33
11.3
34
4.2
16
1.4
4
1.7
7
[a] 4.2
6
5.9
CIS[87][88] 21 Sep–13 Oct 17,650 ? 32.2
133/150
18.1
74/81
10.6
27/35
14.6
37/45
7.9
14/21
4.4
16/18
1.8
4/6
1.5
6/7
1.2
5
[a] 0.3
1/2
0.4
2
0.2
0/1
2.9
3/4
0.6
1/2
14.1
Llorente & Cuenca[89][90] 9–12 Oct ? 68 25.8
115/120
21.0
95/100
10.8
35/40
10.9
35/40
8.5
18/20
[a] 3.8
5/8
4.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[91] 9–12 Oct 1,000 ? 27.4
127/129
20.9
95/99
9.3
17/19
12.3
31/33
10.5
32/34
3.2
12/14
1.7
6/8
1.4
5/7
1.1
4/6
[a] 0.3
1
0.2
1
0.2
1
5.1
3/5
1.5
3/5
6.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[92] 9–12 Oct 1,250 ? 27.5
125
22.0
102
9.0
16
12.0
30
10.5
30
4.0
15
1.6
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
3
0.4
2
0.3
1
4.8
6
0.8
2
5.5
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[93] 7–11 Oct 1,100 ? 27.3
117
22.2
102
11.4
29
13.7
37
8.4
20
4.2
15
1.5
6
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.7
3
0.4
2
0.2
1
4.9
7
0.7
1
5.1
GAD3/ABC[62][94][95] 7–11 Oct 3,121 68 28.4
126
22.2
98
8.6
20
11.9
32
11.8
33
3.2
13
1.8
7
1.4
7
0.9
3
[a] 0.3
1
0.5
2
0.2
1
3.9
5
1.0
1
6.2
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[96] 7–10 Oct 1,000 65.9 26.4
115
22.5
103
10.6
26
13.4
37
9.8
23
4.2
16
1.6
7
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.5
2
0.2
1
4.1
7
0.7
1
3.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[97] 2–10 Oct 1,600 ? 27.5
124
20.6
96
9.8
21
13.2
34
10.7
31
4.0
15
1.5
5
1.6
7
[a] 4.4
6
6.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[98] 6–8 Oct 2,000 ? 27.9
128
22.5
103
8.9
15
12.1
31
9.8
28
3.9
15
1.6
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
4.5
5
0.9
2
5.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[99][100] 30 Sep–8 Oct 1,600 ? 27.9
124
21.3
98
10.0
22
12.6
35
10.2
28
3.6
14
1.7
7
1.6
6
[a] 4.3
6
6.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[98] 2–5 Oct ? ? 26.4 22.4 10.1 12.1 8.7 [a] 6.0 4.0
KeyData/Público[101] 4 Oct ? 68.6 28.4
124
20.0
93
11.6
36
12.1
34
9.1
19
3.6
14
1.6
7
1.3
6
1.0
3
[a] 0.4
1
?
2
?
1
5.9
10
8.4
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[102][103] 1–4 Oct 1,100 65.7 27.2
118
21.8
99
12.2
37
13.9
37
7.5
13
4.2
15
1.6
6
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.7
2
0.5
2
0.2
1
5.1
9
0.5
1
5.4
Simple Lógica[104] 1–4 Oct 1,046 66.3 29.1 19.1 10.0 12.5 12.2 [a] 5.2 10.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[105] 1–4 Oct 1,000 ? 27.2
122/126
20.7
93/97
10.6
28/31
11.7
29/32
10.9
27/31
3.5
12/16
1.8
6/8
1.3
5/7
1.1
4/6
[a] 0.4
1
0.3
1
0.2
1
5.5
4/6
1.2
0/1
6.5
GAD3/ABC[62][106] 30 Sep–4 Oct 3,121 67 27.2
122
20.9
93
11.0
29
12.4
33
10.6
29
3.8
15
1.6
7
1.5
7
0.9
3
[a] 0.3
1
0.5
2
0.2
1
4.3
7
0.9
1
6.3
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[107][108] 30 Sep–4 Oct 900 65.9 26.1
115
22.1
98
11.7
34
13.5
39
8.5
17
4.3
16
1.7
6
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
3
0.5
2
0.2
1
4.6
8
0.6
1
4.0
InvyMark/laSexta[109] 30 Sep–4 Oct ? ? 29.9 20.5 11.7 11.2 7.7 [a] 4.6 9.4
IMOP/El Confidencial[110] 1–3 Oct 1,227 65.7 28.3 20.1 10.7 12.0 10.8 3.3 2.2 1.6 1.0 [a] 4.1 1.1 8.2
GESOP/El Periódico[111] 30 Sep–3 Oct 1,005 ? 28.0
124/128
19.6
87/91
10.4
24/28
12.2
32/36
10.3
24/28
3.2
12/13
1.8
6/7
[a] 5.5
8/12
1.5
3/5
8.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[112] 30 Sep–2 Oct 1,000 ? 28.9
127
21.2
98
10.1
24
12.2
32
9.2
22
3.8
15
1.8
7
1.7
7
[a] 4.6
10
7.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[113] 28 Sep–1 Oct 1,200 ? 26.0
118
22.4
105
10.5
29
12.3
28
8.7
20
4.0
15
1.6
6
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.6
2
0.4
2
0.3
1
6.2
12
0.7
1
3.6
GAD3/ABC[62][114][115] 27–29 Sep ? 70 27.8
124
21.4
97
11.5
32
11.7
31
9.5
21
4.0
16
1.9
7
1.5
6
1.0
3
[a] 0.3
1
0.5
2
0.2
1
5.1
9
6.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[116] 22–27 Sep 3,000 ? 25.2
109
21.7
103
11.3
35
11.6
31
8.7
19
4.2
16
1.8
7
1.5
6
0.9
4
[a] 0.7
3
0.4
2
0.2
1
7.7
14
3.5
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[117][118] 23–26 Sep 1,001 ? 26.1
119
19.1
87
10.3
27
12.1
41
10.1
21
?
14
?
7
1.3
6
?
4
[a] ?
1
?
2
?
1
6.4
19
7.0
GAD3/ABC[119][120] 23–25 Sep 1,207 ? 27.2
121
21.4
97
11.3
32
12.4
34
9.6
21
3.9
15
2.0
7
1.6
6
1.0
4
[a] 0.4
1
0.5
2
0.2
1
5.2
9
5.8
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[121][122] 19–23 Sep 1,100 65.6 29.4
126
22.1
95
13.4
42
14.1
37
7.0
12
4.2
16
1.7
6
1.6
6
1.1
4
0.7
1
0.6
2
0.5
2
0.2
1
7.3
NC Report/La Razón[123][124] 18–21 Sep 1,000 65.0 28.6
124/127
22.0
89/92
13.7
47/49
13.6
35/37
7.5
14/16
6.6
Ipsos/Henneo[125] 18–20 Sep 1,837 69.5 28.0
117/121
19.8
79/83
14.2
49/52
15.2
41/45
9.8
20/23
3.7
13/15
1.7
6/7
1.5
6
8.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[126] 18–20 Sep 1,000 ? 28.6
126
19.4
85
11.9
36
14.5
39
10.0
24
4.2
16
1.8
7
1.6
7
1.2
5
0.8
1
0.6
1
0.3
2
0.3
1
9.2
40dB/El País[127][128][129] 18–20 Sep 1,544 62.8 30.3
132
23.5
94
13.3
34
14.0
38
8.6
18
?
14
?
6
?
7
?
2
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
6.8
GAD3/La Vanguardia[130] 16–20 Sep 1,006 69.0 31.6
134
20.3
87
13.1
41
13.4
37
9.6
19
3.4
13
1.7
7
1.3
6
1.0
3
?
1
?
1
[b] ?
1
11.3
InvyMark/laSexta[131] 16–20 Sep ? ? 33.4 20.2 12.1 12.5 6.8 13.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[132] 17–18 Sep 1,000 64.7 27.7
115
21.0
93
13.0
45
13.8
38
9.6
20
4.4
16
1.8
7
1.6
7
1.0
4
0.8
1
0.5
1
0.4
2
0.2
1
6.7
CIS (SocioMétrica)[133] 1–18 Sep 5,906 ? 29.4 19.9 13.3 15.4 9.7 3.8 1.9 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.5
CIS (Gravitas)[134] 68.0 29.3
121/131
16.8
66/72
13.2
41/46
16.0
43/50
10.4
25/30
0.5
2
12.5
CIS[135][136] ? 34.2 17.1 12.9 15.5 7.5 3.7 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 17.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[137][138] 10–15 Sep 1,200 64.7 28.4
121
20.8
93
12.7
39
13.5
36
9.7
20
4.5
16
2.1
8
1.7
7
1.0
4
0.9
1
0.5
1
0.4
2
0.3
1
7.6
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario[139] 12–14 Sep ? 71.3 31.8
140
20.6
86
14.0
46
12.7
31
7.0
11
11.2
InvyMark/laSexta[131] 9–13 Sep ? ? 33.9 20.0 11.7 12.3 7.0 13.9
DYM/El Independiente[140] 9–12 Sep 1,001 ? 29.8
125/130
18.4
75/80
13.3
35/40
14.6
40/45
10.2
20/25
11.4
KeyData/Público[141] 6 Sep ? 72.1 31.2
135
19.3
83
13.6
45
13.7
36
8.4
16
3.9
15
1.5
6
1.5
6
1.0
3
?
1
0.5
1
?
2
?
0
11.9
Simple Lógica[142] 2–6 Sep 1,089 68.3 30.6 18.4 13.6 13.8 12.1 12.2
GAD3/ABC[143] 2–6 Sep 1,000 70 32.1
137
19.9
82
14.0
45
13.3
35
7.9
14
3.8
15
1.9
7
1.4
7
1.0
3
0.4
2
12.2
InvyMark/laSexta[144] 2–6 Sep ? ? 34.4 20.1 11.5 12.2 6.7 14.3
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[145][146] 2–5 Sep 1,100 65.9 30.5
128
20.1
85
14.1
49
13.7
36
8.0
13
4.3
16
1.7
6
1.6
6
1.0
4
0.5
1
0.6
2
0.6
3
0.2
1
10.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[147] 27–30 Aug 1,100 ? 31.3
139
18.1
76
12.2
38
13.9
37
9.7
22
4.1
15
1.8
7
1.6
6
1.1
5
0.8
1
0.4
1
0.4
2
0.2
1
13.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[148] 27–29 Aug 1,000 ? 33.4
145
19.0
78
11.8
34
14.2
40
8.3
17
4.3
18
1.1
3
1.5
6
14.4
NC Report/La Razón[149][150] 20–24 Aug 1,000 66.6 29.5
127/130
21.9
84/87
13.9
49/52
13.1
33/36
7.7
15/17
3.6
14/15
1.8
6
1.5
6
1.1
4
0.5
1
0.6
2
0.5
2
0.2
1
7.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[151] 1–15 Aug 2,500 64.1 29.3
126
21.0
92
12.5
38
13.2
36
9.0
18
4.5
16
2.0
7
1.6
7
1.1
4
0.9
1
0.6
1
0.4
2
0.3
1
8.3
NC Report/La Razón[152][153] 11 Aug ? 67.6 29.7
126/130
21.8
82/86
14.1
50/53
12.9
31/34
7.8
17/20
3.5
14/15
2.0
7
1.5
6
1.2
4
0.4
1
0.7
2
0.6
2
0.2
1
7.9
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[154][155] 1–7 Aug 1,100 67.0 30.9
129
20.2
83
14.3
52
13.4
36
8.3
17
3.7
14
1.8
6
1.5
5
0.9
3
0.4
1
0.6
2
0.5
2
0.2
0
10.7
KeyData/Público[156] 5 Aug ? 72.7 31.5
135
18.7
75
14.4
52
13.4
39
7.6
14
?
15
?
6
?
6
?
3
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
12.8
Simple Lógica[157] 1–5 Aug 1,074 68.0 31.4 17.2 14.9 13.8 11.0 14.2
InvyMark/laSexta[158] 29 Jul–1 Aug ? ? 36.1 17.0 12.6 12.3 6.5 19.1
SocioMétrica/El Español[105][159] 25–26 Jul 1,000 ? 29.3
125
18.2
77
16.2
57
14.3
42
8.7
20
11.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[160] 24–26 Jul 1,200 64.2 29.2
128
20.8
93
12.3
37
13.2
39
9.5
19
?
16
?
7
?
6
?
3
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
8.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[161] 23 Jul ? ? 32.2
140
19.8
86
11.6
32
13.9
39
8.8
17
?
15
?
7
?
6
?
3
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
12.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[162] 21 Jul ? ? 31.9
137
20.3
92
11.7
33
13.8
36
9.1
17
?
15
?
7
?
6
?
2
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
11.6
InvyMark/laSexta[163] 15–19 Jul ? ? 36.7 16.1 12.9 12.5 7.3 20.6
Metroscopia/Henneo[164] 11–12 Jul 1,251 ? 31.0 19.0 13.0 13.0 8.0 12.0
CIS[165] (El Mundo)[c][166] 1–11 Jul 2,952 ? 32.6 15.7 15.3 15.0 8.1 16.9
Simple Lógica[167] 1–9 Jul 1,037 70.2 32.7 17.9 13.1 15.2 9.3 14.8
KeyData/Público[168] 7 Jul ? 72.1 31.2
134
17.4
71
16.6
63
13.1
35
7.6
14
3.9
14
1.5
5
1.3
6
1.1
3
?
1
0.4
1
?
2
?
1
13.8
InvyMark/laSexta[169] 3–6 Jul 1,200 ? 36.6 15.5 13.2 12.9 7.6 21.1
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario[170] 2–5 Jul ? 72.4 31.3
142
21.5
87
16.2
47
11.2
29
7.7
12
?
13
9.8
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[171][172] 1–5 Jul 1,100 67.6 31.2
131
19.9
79
14.4
52
13.2
37
8.4
18
3.8
14
1.8
6
1.5
5
0.9
3
0.4
1
0.6
2
0.5
2
0.2
0
11.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[173] 22–25 Jun 8,800 ? 32.1
138
20.2
89
12.5
37
12.2
32
9.0
18
?
15
?
7
?
6
?
3
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
11.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[174] 21 Jun 1,000 ? 32.6 19.4 13.1 13.2 8.0 4.2 1.7 1.5 13.2
GAD3/ABC[175] 17–21 Jun 800 70 30.8
130
20.6
85
16.2
58
13.0
34
5.6
9
10.2
InvyMark/laSexta[176] 17–21 Jun ? ? 35.9 15.1 14.0 12.9 8.1 20.8
NC Report/La Razón[177][178] 7–13 Jun 1,000 68.8 30.5
130/132
20.2
77/80
14.9
53/57
12.7
29/32
8.0
19/21
3.6
14/15
1.9
7
1.6
6
1.1
4
0.4
1
0.7
2
0.6
2
0.2
1
10.3
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[179][180] 5–11 Jun 1,100 68.1 30.6
128
19.4
76
14.6
53
13.2
38
8.7
20
3.9
14
1.9
6
1.5
6
1.0
4
0.4
1
0.7
2
0.5
2
0.2
0
11.2
Simple Lógica[181] 3–11 Jun 1,090 75.9 32.0 15.7 19.7 13.4 8.9 12.3
CIS[182] (El Mundo)[c][183] 1–11 Jun 2,974 ? 30.4 14.2 15.1 12.2 8.2 15.3
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario[184] 4–7 Jun 1,000 ? 30.4
134
21.1
84
17.6
63
10.8
24
7.9
13
?
13
9.3
InvyMark/laSexta[185] 27–31 May ? ? 33.6 15.4 15.1 13.3 8.4 18.2
2019 EP election 26 May 60.7 32.9
(152)
20.2
(82)
12.2
(32)
10.1
(25)
6.2
(10)
3.4
(11)
4.4
(17)
1.7
(9)
1.3
(5)
0.9
(2)
0.8
(3)
12.7
Simple Lógica[186] 6–14 May 1,058 75.6 33.7 18.6 21.7 14.8 3.2 12.0
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 71.8 28.7
123
16.7
66
15.9
57
14.3
42
10.3
24
3.9
15
1.9
7
1.5
6
1.0
4
0.7
1
0.5
2
0.4
2
0.2
1
12.0
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Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

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Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

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Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

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Senate projections

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Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size PSOE PP Cs Vox ERC–Sobiranistes JxCat PNV NA+ CC–NCa ASG E+
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 93 83 0 0 2 11 3 9 3 1 0 1
Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario[10] 7 Nov ? 79 102 0 0 0 12 1 9 3 1 1 0
KeyData/Público[194] 27 Oct ? 96 85 0 0 0 11 2 9 ? ? ? ?
NC Report/La Razón[195] 18–21 Sep 1,000 78 103 0 0 0 11 2 9 3 1 ? 1
SocioMétrica/El Español[196] 27–30 Aug 1,100 88/92 [d] [d] 0 [d] 9/11 2 6/8 [d] 1 ? 1 94/100
126/132 53/57 0 0 0 9/11 2 6/8 3 1 ? 1
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 123 54 4 0 0 11 2 9 3 1 0 1
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Sub-national polling

Hypothetical scenarios

Errejón's party

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España Suma

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España Suma & Errejón's party

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PSOE+Errejón's party & España Suma

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Leadership polling

Preferred coalition

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Notes

  1. Within Más País.
  2. Within PP.
  3. Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.
  4. Within E+.
  5. In Madrid only.
  6. 20.2% would prefer a PSOE minority government with case-by-case support from others parties; 2.2% would prefer a PSOE minority government with external support from CCa, Compromís and PRC and the abstentions of PP and Cs.
  7. The presented question referred specifically to the preferred coalition considering the 28 April general election outcome.

References

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