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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census). The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19.[1] The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008.[a] This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents – Bill Huizenga and Fred Upton – in the new 4th district.[2] Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the 3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points.[3] That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a 2018 ballot proposal was approved.[4]

Quick facts All 13 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...
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District 1

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The 1st district covers the Upper Peninsula and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula, including Traverse City. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Jack Bergman.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Bob Lorinser, physician[8]

Results

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General election

Predictions

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Endorsements

Bob Lorinser (D)

Organizations

Results

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District 2

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The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline of Lake Michigan from Manistee to northern Muskegon County, includes parts of the Grand Rapids suburbs in Kent county, and parts of Central Michigan, including Mount Pleasant and western Midland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar of the 4th congressional district, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was John Moolenaar.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Tom Norton, veteran[21]

Endorsements

John Moolenaar

Newspapers

Results

Thumb
Primary results by county:
  Moolenaar
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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General election

Predictions

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Results

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District 3

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The 3rd district is based in western Michigan, and includes Grand Rapids, Muskegon, and parts of Ottawa County. The incumbent was Republican Peter Meijer, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020, but lost in the primary to pro-Trump candidate John Gibbs on August 2, 2022; as he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.[5]

In the final days of the primary, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $425,000 in TV ads that ostensibly attacked Gibbs (identifying him as "too conservative for West Michigan" and linking him to Trump) but were in fact designed to boost Gibbs' standing among pro-Trump Republican primary voters. The strategycontroversial within the Democratic Partywas based on the idea that Gibbs would be the weaker opponent in the general election, giving the Democrats an opportunity to win the 3rd district seat,[24][25][26] which following the 2020 redistricting cycle had shifted from a Republican-leaning district to a swing district.[26] Democrat Hillary Scholten flipped the district, winning by 12.93%. In flipping the district to the Democratic side, Scholten became the first Democratic member of Congress from the area since 1977.[27]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Thumb
Primary results by county:
  Gibbs 50–60%
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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

John Gibbs (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Individuals

Hillary Scholten (D)

State leadership

State legislators

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Labor unions

Declined to endorse

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Peter Meijer vs. Hillary Scholten

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Results

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District 4

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Quick facts Nominee, Party ...

The 4th district is based in southwestern Michigan, and includes the cities of Kalamazoo and Holland. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Republican Bill Huizenga of the 2nd congressional district, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2020,[5] and Republican Fred Upton of the 6th congressional district, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020.[5] Upton announced that he would be retiring at the end of his term.[62] The winner was Bill Huizenga.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Steve Carra (withdrawn)

Executive branch officials

  • Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) (switched endorsement to Huizenga after Carra withdrew)[68]
Bill Huizenga

Executive branch officials

State legislators

Organizations

Fred Upton (declined)

Organizations

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joseph Alfonso, member of the Michigan State Plumbing Board, non-profit treasurer, and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[71][72]
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Results

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General election

Predictions

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Results

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District 5

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The 5th district runs along Michigan's entire southern border with Indiana and Ohio and includes the cities of Three Rivers, Jackson, and Monroe. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg of the 7th congressional district, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Tim Walberg.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Sherry O'Donnell, osteopathic physician[78][79]

Endorsements

Tim Walberg

Results

Primary results by county:
  Walberg
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  O'Donnell
  •   50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Bart Goldberg, attorney[81]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Endorsements

Tim Walberg

Predictions

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Results

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District 6

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The 6th district is based in southeastern Michigan, taking in Washtenaw County, parts of Wayne and Oakland counties, including the cities of Ann Arbor, Canton, Novi, and Ypsilanti. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell of the 12th congressional district, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Debbie Dingell.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Hima Kolanagireddy, businesswoman[88]

Results

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General election

Predictions

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Results

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District 7

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The 7th district is based around the Lansing–East Lansing metropolitan area, but also includes Livingston County and a small part of Oakland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Elissa Slotkin of the 8th congressional district, who was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2020.[5]

In 2018, total campaign spending for the seat won by Slotkin drew the highest amount for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.[89] In October 2022, the SlotkinBarrett race was the most expensive House race nationwide.[90] The winner was Elissa Slotkin.[91]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Endorsements

Tom Barrett

Organizations

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Post-primary endorsements

Elissa Slotkin (D)

U.S. representatives

Tom Barrett (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

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Results

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District 8

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The 8th district centers around the Saginaw Bay and includes the cities of Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, and Midland. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee of the 5th congressional district, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Dan Kildee.[119]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Candice Miller, retired businesswoman[124]
  • Matthew Seely, businessman[125]
Failed to qualify
Declined

Endorsements

Paul Junge

Organizations

Results

Thumb
Primary results by county:
  Junge
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Presumptive nominee
  • David Canny

General election

Endorsements

Paul Junge

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

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District 9

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Quick facts Nominee, Party ...

The 9th district is based in The Thumb region, including Port Huron as well as the northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Lisa McClain formerly of the 10th congressional district, who was elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Lisa McClain.[134]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Michelle Donovan, attorney[136]

Endorsements

Lisa McClain

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Brian Jaye, attorney[137]

Results

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General election

Predictions

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Results

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District 10

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The 10th district is based primarily in southeastern Michigan's Macomb County, taking in Warren and Sterling Heights, as well as a small portion of eastern Oakland County. Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was John James.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Huwaida Arraf

Organizations

Individuals

Carl Marlinga

Organizations

Newspapers

Angela Rogensues

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Post-primary endorsements

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Carl Marlinga vs. Eric Esshaki

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Andy Levin vs. John James

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Haley Stevens vs. John James

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Michael Taylor vs. Eric Esshaki

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Michael Taylor vs. John James

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Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

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Results

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District 11

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Quick facts Nominee, Party ...

The 11th district is based solely in Oakland County and includes the cities of Royal Oak and Pontiac. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Democrat Haley Stevens, who was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2020,[5] and Democrat Andy Levin of the 9th congressional district, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Haley Stevens.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Andy Levin

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Haley Stevens

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Debate

More information No., Date ...

Results

Thumb
Results by municipality
  Stevens
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
  Levin
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Ambrose, financial analyst[209]
Eliminated in primary
  • Matthew DenOtter, realtor[153]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
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District 12

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Quick facts Nominee, Party ...

The 12th district is based in northern Wayne County and includes the cities of Dearborn and Southfield. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence of the 14th congressional district, who was re-elected with 79.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] On January 4, 2022, Lawrence announced that she would not seek re-election.[210] Subsequently, Democrat Rashida Tlaib of the 13th congressional district announced she would be running in the district.[211] Tlaib was re-elected in 2020 with 78.1% of the vote.[5] The winner was Rashida Tlaib.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Shanelle Jackson

Newspapers and publications

Janice Winfrey

Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Thumb
Democratic primary results by precinct
  Tlaib
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Winfrey
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Tie
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Steven Elliott, businessman[228]
Eliminated in primary
  • James Hooper, tradesman[229]
  • Hassan Nehme, auto worker[230]

Endorsements

Steven Elliot

Newspapers and publications

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

District 13

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Perspective
Quick facts Nominee, Party ...

The 13th district is based solely in Wayne County and includes most of Detroit and the cities of Taylor and Romulus. Due to redistricting, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was Shri Thanedar.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Adam Hollier

Local officials

Organizations

Portia Roberson

U.S. representatives

Newspapers

Organizations

Labor unions

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Martell Bivings, policy analyst[254]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Shri Thanedar (D)

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Notes

  1. While Democrats briefly held a plurality of seats after Republican Justin Amash left the party, they had not been elected to a majority of seats since 2008.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Dailey with 4%
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. "Third party candidate" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll conducted for EMILY's List
  2. This poll was sponsored by Scholten's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Barrett's campaign committee
  4. Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund
  5. This poll was sponsored by Junge's campaign
  6. This poll was sponsored by Marlinga's campaign
  7. This poll was sponsored by James's campaign
  8. This poll was sponsored by Levin's campaign
  9. This poll was sponsored by Stevens's campaign
  10. This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Democratic Party Black Caucus
  11. This poll was sponsored by the 13th Congressional District Democratic Party Organization

References

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