2022 United States Senate election in Missouri

The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. Incumbent senator Roy Blunt, a Republican, did not seek a third term in office. Republican Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt won the open seat, defeating Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine.

2022 United States Senate election in Missouri

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →

Nominee Eric Schmitt Trudy Busch Valentine Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 1,146,966 872,694 Percentage 55.43% 42.18%

County results Congressional district results Schmitt:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Busch Valentine:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. senator before election Roy Blunt Republican Elected U.S. Senator Eric Schmitt Republican

Republican primary

In March 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection in 2022.^[1]

Republican candidates for Blunt's Senate seat included former Gov. Eric Greitens,^[2] U.S. Rep. Vicky Hartzler,^[3] U.S. Rep. Billy Long,^[4] and Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt.^[5]

Schmitt's candidacy was backed by Missouri mega-donor Rex Sinquefield.^[6] In the speech announcing his candidacy, Schmitt tied himself to Donald Trump and spoke against "the radical left".^[6] He pledged to vote against Mitch McConnell for the Senate Republican party leadership position.^[7]

In February 2022, Hartzler's campaign released a 30-second ad criticizing Lia Thomas, a transgender swimmer on the University of Pennsylvania women's team. In the ad, Hartzler said, "Women's sports are for women, not men pretending to be women", adding that, as Missouri's senator, she would not "look away while woke liberals destroy women's sports."^[8]

U.S. Sen. Josh Hawley endorsed Hartzler in February 2022.^[9] On July 8, 2022, Donald Trump refused to endorse Hartzler, saying, "I don't think she has what it takes to take on the Radical Left Democrats."^[10][9]

Greitens was endorsed by former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke, and Fox News personality Kimberly Guilfoyle, the latter joining his campaign as a national chair.^[11]

Many Republican officials, strategists, and donors maneuvered to stymie Greitens's attempted comeback, believing that the scandal surrounding his resignation as governor, his extramarital affair, and the sexual assault accusation against him would make him a weak general election candidate and lead to the loss of the Senate seat to a Democrat.^[12][13] Notable Republican opponents of Greitens's candidacy included Karl Rove,^[12] Johnny DeStefano,^[13] and Senator Rick Scott, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee.^[14] After Greitens's ex-wife filed an affidavit against him in March 2022 accusing him of physical abuse, Senator Josh Hawley (who had endorsed Vicky Hartzler the previous month^[15]) called upon Greitens to drop out.^[16]

Republican megadonor Richard Uihlein funded a pro-Greitens super PAC ("Team PAC"), contributing $2.5 million to it.^[12] Other Republican megadonors, including Rex Sinquefield and August Busch, aligned against Greitens.^[13] A Republican-funded anti-Greitens super PAC ("Show Me Values PAC") was created in June 2022^[17] and ran $6.2 million in ads through late July 2022.^[18]

Republican officials, including Rick Scott, waged a campaign to persuade Donald Trump not to endorse Greitens.^[14] On the eve of the primary election, Trump issued a statement endorsing "ERIC" in the primary, leaving it unclear which "Eric" he was endorsing.^[14][19]

In the primary election, Schmitt prevailed with 45.7% of the vote; Hartzler received 22.1%, Greitens 18.9%, and Long 5%.^[20]

U.S. Representative Vicky Hartzler was endorsed by Missouri Senator Josh Hawley and finished second.

Former governor Eric Greitens attempted to restart his political career, but finished third.

U.S. Representative Billy Long failed to gain traction and finished a distant fourth.

Candidates

Nominee

• Eric Schmitt, Missouri Attorney General (2019–2023) and former Missouri State Treasurer (2017–2019)^[21][22]

Eliminated in primary

• Robert Allen^[23]
• Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr., retired social worker^[24][25]
• Dennis Lee Chilton, 2018 Missouri House of Representatives candidate^[23]
• C. W. Gardner, doorman and former broadcaster^[23][25]
• Eric Greitens, former governor of Missouri (2017–2018)^[26]
• Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)^[3]
• Rickey Joiner, barber and business owner^[24]
• Patrick A. Lewis, union construction laborer^[27]
• Billy Long, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–2023)^[4]
• Darrell Leon McClanahan III, political activist, KKK Member^[24][28]
• Mark McCloskey, attorney and 2020 Republican National Convention speaker known for his involvement in the St. Louis gun-toting controversy^[29]
• Eric McElroy, comedian and U.S. Navy veteran^[23][25]
• Bernie Mowinsk, retired U.S. Air Force sergeant and perennial candidate^[23][25]
• Robert Olson^[24]
• Deshon Porter, host of The Big D Zone^[30]
• Dave Schatz, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2019–2023), state senator (2015–2023)^[31]
• Kevin C. Schepers^[24]
• Dave Sims, Monett public works employee and former radio host^[32][23]
• Hartford Tunnell, college professor^[23][25]
• Curtis D. Vaughn, valet parking attendant and liquor salesman^[24]

Missed filing deadline

• John Brinkmann, insurance agency owner and financial consultant^[30][24]
• Rik Combs, retired U.S. Air Force Officer and Libertarian nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020^[33][24]
• Jeremy Gundel, farmer and write-in candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Missouri in 2020^{[34][better source needed][24]}

Withdrew

• Roy Blunt, incumbent U.S. Senator (2011–2023) and Chair of the Senate Republican Policy Committee (2019–2023)^[35][36]
• Dan McQueen, former mayor of Corpus Christi, Texas (2016–2017)^[37][30] (ran for the U.S. House)^[38]

Declined

• Jay Ashcroft, Missouri Secretary of State (2017–present)^[39]
• Scott Fitzpatrick, Missouri State Treasurer (2019–2023) (ran for state auditor)^[40][41]
• Timothy A. Garrison, former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri (2018–2021)^[42]
• Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–present)^[43] (ran for governor)^[44]
• Peter Kinder, former lieutenant governor of Missouri (2005–2017)^[45]
• Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 3rd congressional district (2013–present) and Missouri's 9th congressional district (2009–2013) (ran for re-election)^[46]
• Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–present)^[47]
• Jason Smith, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 8th congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)^[48][49]
• Kathy Swan, former state representative (2012–2021)^[45]
• Ann Wagner, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 2nd congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)^[50][51]

Endorsements

The day before the primary, former president Donald Trump released a statement endorsing "ERIC". There were three candidates with the first name Eric running in the Republican primary: Eric Greitens, Eric McElroy, and Eric Schmitt. Trump's statement did not offer any clarification on whether this was an endorsement for one or multiple candidates, and when reached for comment by NBC News, Trump's office declined to clarify the endorsement.^[52][53]

Eric Greitens

Federal officials

• Joseph diGenova, U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia (1983–1988), attorney to President Donald Trump^[54]
• Michael Flynn, U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) (Democratic)^[55]
• Sebastian Gorka, Deputy Assistant to the President (2017)^[54]
• Ryan Zinke, U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2017–2019) and U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district (2015–2017)^[54]

Individuals

• Rudy Giuliani, Mayor of New York City (1994–2001)^[56]
• Kimberly Guilfoyle, television news personality^[57]
• Bernard Marcus, billionaire and co-founder of The Home Depot^[58]
• Victoria Toensing, attorney to President Donald Trump^[54]
• Richard Uihlein, billionaire and co-founder of Uline^[58]

Organizations

• New York Young Republican Club^[59]

Vicky Hartzler

Federal officials

• Michele Bachmann, U.S. Representative for Minnesota's 6th congressional district (2007–2015) and candidate for president in 2012^[60]
• Kit Bond, U.S. Senator from Missouri (1987–2011)^[61]
• Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator from Nebraska (2013–present)^[60]
• Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)^[62]
• Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)^[63]
• Tony Perkins, President of the Family Research Council (2003–present), Chair of the United States Commission on International Religious Freedom (2019–2020), and Louisiana state representative (1996–2004)^[60]

Individuals

• Eric Metaxas, Christian author and conservative radio host^[64]
• Penny Nance, president of Concerned Women for America^[60]

Organizations

• Maggie's List^[65]
• Missouri Cattlemen's Association^[66]
• Missouri Farm Bureau^[67]
• Susan B. Anthony List^[68]

Eric Schmitt

Federal officials

• Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present) and candidate for president in 2016^[69]
• Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah (2011–present)^[70]
• Robert C. O'Brien, U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021) and Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs (2019–2019)^[71]
• Sarah Huckabee Sanders, White House Press Secretary (2017–2019) and Governor of Arkansas (2023-present)^[70]
• Matthew Whitaker, acting U.S. Attorney General (2018–2019), U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa (2004–2009), nominee for Iowa State Treasurer in 2002, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014^[69]

State officials

• Winsome Sears, Lieutenant Governor of Virginia (2022–present)^[72]

State legislators

• Cyndi Buchheit-Courtway, state representative for Missouri's 115th district (2021–present)^[73]
• Cindy O'Laughlin, state senator for Missouri's 18th district (2018–present)^[73]

Individuals

• Dana Loesch, radio and TV host^[69]
• Rex Sinquefield, philanthropist and President of the Show-Me Institute^[74]

Organizations

• Americans for Prosperity Action^[75]
• Gun Owners of America^[76]
• Missouri Fraternal Order of Police^[77]
• Senate Conservatives Fund^[78]
• Tea Party Express^[79]

Debates

Date	Host	Moderator	Link(s)	Participants
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
				Eric Greitens	Vicky Hartzler	Billy Long	Mark McCloskey	Dave Schatz	Eric Schmitt
May 31, 2022	Greene County Republicans[80]	Ginger Gooch Darrell Moore		A	A	P	P	P	A

Polling

Graphical summary

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Eric Greitens	Vicky Hartzler	Billy Long	Mark McCloskey	Dave Schatz	Eric Schmitt	Other [a]	Margin
Real Clear Politics[81]	July 21 – 24, 2022	July 26, 2022	19.0%	24.5%	7.0%	5.0%	2.5%	33.0%	9.0%	Schmitt +8.5

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Greitens	Vicky Hartzler	Billy Long	Mark McCloskey	Dave Schatz	Eric Schmitt	Other	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[82]	July 31 – August 1, 2022	1,078 (LV)	± 2.9%	21%	18%	5%	5%	3%	34%	–	15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[83][A]	July 27–28, 2022	818 (LV)	± 3.4%	18%	22%	6%	5%	5%	34%	2%	8%
co/efficient (R)[84][B]	July 27, 2022	891 (LV)	± 3.3%	17%	16%	–	–	–	28%	–	–
SurveyUSA[85]	July 24–27, 2022	787 (LV)	± 4.2%	20%	13%	8%	4%	3%	28%	4%	21%
Emerson College[86]	July 21–23, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	16%	21%	5%	4%	2%	33%	1%[c]	17%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[87][A]	July 23–24, 2022	802 (LV)	± 3.4%	18%	25%	8%	4%	3%	32%	–	10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[88]	July 22–24, 2022	1,059 (LV)	± 2.9%	20%	24%	7%	5%	2%	27%	–	16%
The Tarrance Group (R)[89][C]	July 5–7, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	16%	24%	6%	4%	4%	28%	–	18%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[90]	June 28–30, 2022	1,072 (LV)	± 2.9%	24%	24%	6%	3%	4%	23%	–	17%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[91][A]	June 22–23, 2022	911 (LV)	± 3.1%	20%	19%	8%	5%	2%	25%	–	21%
Emerson College[92]	June 2–5, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	26%	16%	8%	4%	0%	20%	1%[d]	27%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[93]	May 16–18, 2022	1,065 (LV)	± 2.9%	26%	23%	9%	3%	3%	19%	–	17%
SurveyUSA[94]	May 11–15, 2022	642 (LV)	± 5.0%	26%	11%	7%	2%	2%	17%	7%[e]	28%
Remington Research (R)[95][D]	May 11–12, 2022	945 (LV)	± 3.0%	21%	23%	–	–	–	29%	10%	17%
co/efficient (R)[96][E]	May 2–4, 2022	806 (LV)	± 3.5%	26%	19%	7%	5%	2%	14%	–	27%
NMB Research (R)[97][F]	April 6–7, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	23%	20%	7%	3%	2%	25%	20%	–
OnMessage Inc. (R)[98][G]	April 4–6, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	22%	23%	11%	5%	2%	16%	–	21%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[99]	March 24–29, 2022	1,079 (LV)	± 3.0%	24%	25%	8%	2%	3%	22%	–	16%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[100][A]	March 22–23, 2022	941 (LV)	± 3.1%	21%	19%	9%	5%	3%	24%	–	19%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[101]	February 22–24, 2022	1,026 (LV)	± 3.0%	31%	17%	6%	5%	2%	23%	3%	15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[102][A]	February 16–17, 2022	917 (LV)	± 3.1%	25%	18%	8%	5%	2%	22%	–	20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[103][A]	January 26–27, 2022	902 (LV)	± 3.1%	28%	19%	7%	5%	1%	23%	–	17%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[98][G]	January 2022	– (LV)	–	30%	16%	9%	6%	1%	16%	–	23%
CMA Strategies (R)[104][H]	January 2022	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	27%	12%	6%	4%	1%	15%	–	36%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[105][A]	December 1–2, 2021	744 (LV)	± 3.4%	27%	16%	7%	4%	3%	24%	–	19%
NMB Research (R)[97][F]	December 2021	– (LV)	–	34%	–	–	–	–	17%	49%	–
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[106][A]	October 20–21, 2021	806 (LV)	± 3.2%	27%	19%	8%	4%	–	25%	–	17%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[107][E]	October 3–5, 2021	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	36%	10%	6%	4%	–	17%	1%[f]	25%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[108][A]	September 8–9, 2021	847 (LV)	± 3.2%	27%	17%	8%	5%	–	28%	–	15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[109][A]	August 4–5, 2021	911 (LV)	± 3.0%	27%	13%	12%	9%	–	24%	–	15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[110][A]	June 9–10, 2021	1,011 (LV)	± 3.0%	34%	14%	–	7%	–	25%	–	20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[111][A]	March 24–25, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	36%	–	14%	–	–	30%	–	20%
				40%	–	–	–	–	39%	–	21%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Roy Blunt	John Brunner	Eric Greitens	Vicky Hartzler	Billy Long	Eric Schmitt	Jason Smith	Ann Wagner	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[111][A]	March 24–25, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	–	2%	31%	8%	6%	18%	9%	12%	14%
				–	10%	38%	–	–	30%	–	–	22%
				–	–	36%	–	–	29%	16%	–	19%
				–	–	38%	–	–	26%	–	18%	18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[112][E]	March 23–25, 2021	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	–	–	48%	–	–	11%	7%	9%	26%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[113][A]	December 2–3, 2020	840 (LV)	± 3.4%	43%	–	32%	–	–	–	–	–	25%

Hypothetical polling

Results

Results by county:

  Schmitt

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Hartzler

•   30–40%
•   40–50%

  Greitens

•   40–50%

Republican primary results^[20]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Eric Schmitt	299,282	45.6
	Republican	Vicky Hartzler	144,903	22.1
	Republican	Eric Greitens	124,155	18.9
	Republican	Billy Long	32,603	5.0
	Republican	Mark McCloskey	19,540	3.0
	Republican	Dave Schatz	7,509	1.1
	Republican	Patrick A. Lewis	6,085	0.9
	Republican	Curtis D. Vaughn	3,451	0.5
	Republican	Eric McElroy	2,805	0.4
	Republican	Robert Allen	2,111	0.3
	Republican	C. W. Gardner	2,044	0.3
	Republican	Dave Sims	1,949	0.3
	Republican	Bernie Mowinski	1,602	0.2
	Republican	Deshon Porter	1,574	0.2
	Republican	Darrell Leon McClanahan III	1,139	0.2
	Republican	Rickey Joiner	1,084	0.2
	Republican	Robert Olson	1,081	0.2
	Republican	Dennis Lee Chilton	755	0.1
	Republican	Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr.	685	0.1
	Republican	Kevin C. Schepers	681	0.1
	Republican	Hartford Tunnell	637	0.1
Total votes			655,675	100.0

Democratic primary

AELP national security director Lucas Kunce led in fundraising, but finished second.

College professor Gena Ross, a previous nominee for U.S. House, finished fifth.

As the Democratic primary season progressed, three main contenders emerged: Lucas Kunce, director of national security at the American Economic Liberties Project; Spencer Toder, a businessman; and Trudy Busch Valentine, heiress of the Anheuser-Busch brewing company.^[114] Kunce and Toder both campaigned as anti-establishment populists, whereas Valentine campaigned in a staid manner with few public appearances.^[114]

Candidates

Nominee

• Trudy Busch Valentine, retired nurse, businesswoman, activist, and daughter of beer magnate August Busch Jr.^[115]

Eliminated in primary

• Ron Harris, truck driver, U.S. Air Force veteran, and perennial candidate^[24][25]
• Jewel Kelly, real estate agent and U.S. Air Force veteran^[116]
• Pat Kelly, environmental engineer and patent attorney^[24]
• Lucas Kunce, national security director of the American Economic Liberties Project and retired U.S. Marine Corps officer^[117]
• Lewis Rolen, medical operational assistant^[23][25]
• Gena Ross, college professor and nominee for Missouri's 6th congressional district in 2020^[118][119]
• Josh Shipp, physical therapy technician and candidate for Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018^[23][25]
• Clay Taylor^[24]
• Spencer Toder, entrepreneur^[116]
• Carla Coffee Wright, businesswoman, actress, and perennial candidate^[120]

Withdrew

• Tim Shepard, tech entrepreneur (endorsed Valentine)^[121][122]
• Scott Sifton, former state senator (2013–2021) (endorsed Valentine)^[123][115]

Declined

• Nicole Galloway, incumbent State Auditor of Missouri and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020^[124]
• Jason Kander, former Secretary of State of Missouri (2013–17) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016^[125]
• Quinton Lucas, mayor of Kansas City (2019–present) (ran for re-election in 2023)^{[126][127][128]}
• Claire McCaskill, former U.S. Senator^[125]
• Jay Nixon, former governor of Missouri (2009–2017) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1988 and 1998^[129]
• Brian Williams, state senator (2019–present) (ran for re-election)^[125]
• Clint Zweifel, former Missouri State Treasurer (2009–2017)^[125]

Endorsements

Lucas Kunce

U.S. Senators

• Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present) and U.S. Representative for Vermont's at-large congressional district (1991–2007)^[130]

U.S. Representatives

• Bill Clay, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 1st congressional district (1969–2001)^[131]

State officials

• John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023), mayor of Braddock (2006–2019), and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania^[132]

State legislators

• Rasheen Aldridge Jr., state representative for Missouri's 78th district (2019–2023)^[133]
• Michael Johnson, state representative for Missouri's 23rd district (2021–present)^[133]
• Wes Shoemyer, state senator for Missouri's 18th district (2007–2011) and state representative for Missouri's 9th district (2001–2007)^[134]

Local officials

• Rita Heard Days, member of the St. Louis County Council (2019–present) and state senator (2003–2011)^[134]
• Ella Jones, mayor of Ferguson (2020–present)^[133]
• Tommie Pierson Sr., mayor of Bellefontaine Neighbors (2019–present) and state representative for Missouri's 66th district (2011–2017)^[133]
• Katheryn Shields, member of the Kansas City, Missouri City Council (2015–present) and County Executive of Jackson County (1995–2007)^[133]

Individuals

• Jon Hamm, actor^[135]
• Stephanie Taylor, political activist, author, and co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee^[136]

Organizations

• Indivisible St. Louis^[137]
• League of Conservation Voters^[138]
• MoveOn^[134]
• Progressive Change Campaign Committee^[136]
• VoteVets^[139]

Newspapers and publications

• St. Louis Post-Dispatch^[140]

Trudy Busch Valentine

U.S. Senators

• Jean Carnahan, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2001–2002) and First Lady of Missouri (1993–2000)^[130]

U.S. Representatives

• Emanuel Cleaver, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 5th congressional district (2005–present) and mayor of Kansas City (1991–1999)^[141]
• Dick Gephardt, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 3rd congressional district (1977–2005), House Minority Leader (1995–2003) and House Majority Leader (1989–1995)^[133]

State officials

• Bob Holden, Governor of Missouri (2001–2005)^[133]

State legislators

• Marlon Anderson, state representative for Missouri's 76th district (2021–present)^[133]
• Lauren Arthur, state senator for Missouri's 17th district (2018–present) and state representative for Missouri's 18th district (2015–2018)^[133]
• Ashley Aune, state representative for Missouri's 14th district (2021–present)^[133]
• Donna Baringer, state representative for Missouri's 82nd district (2017–present)^[133]
• Doug Beck, state senator for Missouri's 1st district (2021–present) and state representative for Missouri's 92nd district (2017–2021)^[133]
• Steve Butz, state representative for Missouri's 81st district (2019–present)^[133]
• Keri Ingle, state representative for Missouri's 35th district (2019–present)^[133]
• Ian Mackey, state representative for Missouri's 99th district (2023–present) and 87th district (2019–2023)^[133]
• Tracy McCreery, state senator for Missouri's 24th district and state representative for Missouri's 88th district (2015–2023) and 83rd district (2012–2013)^[133]
• Wes Rogers, state representative for Missouri's 18th district (2019–present)^[133]
• Jill Schupp, state senator for Missouri's 24th district (2015–2023) and nominee for Missouri's 2nd congressional district in 2020^[133]
• Scott Sifton, state senator for Missouri's 1st district (2013–2021) and state representative for Missouri's 96th district (2011–2013)^[115]

Local officials

• Charlie Dooley, St. Louis County Executive (2003–2015)^[133]
• Tishaura Jones, mayor of St. Louis (2021–present)^[142]
• Lyda Krewson, mayor of St. Louis (2017–2021)^[133]
• Francis Slay, mayor of St. Louis (2001–2017)^[133]

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Lucas Kunce	Spencer Toder	Trudy Busch Valentine	Carla "Coffee" Wright	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA[85]	July 24–27, 2022	547 (LV)	± 5.6%	14%	3%	40%	6%	9%[g]	28%
Emerson College[86]	July 21–23, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	35%	3%	39%	1%	1%[h]	22%
Triton Polling & Research (D)[143][I]	May 2022	~544 (LV)	± 4.2%	19%	24%	26%	–	–	31%
SurveyUSA[94]	May 11–15, 2022	500 (LV)	± 5.0%	10%	3%	8%	3%	12%[i]	63%
Public Policy Polling (D)[144][J]	April 13–14, 2022	546 (LV)	± 4.2%	25%	–	18%	–	–	56%

Results

Results by county:

  Busch Valentine

•   <40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%

  Kunce/Toder tie

•   <40%

  Kunce

•   <40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

Democratic primary results^[20]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Trudy Busch Valentine	158,957	43.2
	Democratic	Lucas Kunce	141,203	38.3
	Democratic	Spencer Toder	17,465	4.7
	Democratic	Carla Coffee Wright	14,438	3.9
	Democratic	Gena Ross	8,749	2.4
	Democratic	Jewel Kelly	6,464	1.8
	Democratic	Lewis Rolen	5,247	1.4
	Democratic	Pat Kelly	5,002	1.4
	Democratic	Ronald (Ron) William Harris	4,074	1.1
	Democratic	Josh Shipp	3,334	0.9
	Democratic	Clarence (Clay) Taylor	3,322	0.9
Total votes			368,255	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jonathan Dine, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012 and 2016^[24]

Results

Libertarian primary results^[20]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Jonathan Dine	2,973	100.0
Total votes			2,973	100.0

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Paul Venable, information technology consultant and nominee for Secretary of State in 2020^[24]

Results

Constitution primary results^[20]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Constitution	Paul Venable	792	100.0
Total votes			792	100.0

Independents

Candidates

John Wood, a former Bush administration official and a January 6 Committee investigator, announced that he would run for the seat as an independent on June 29, but he withdrew from the race after former Missouri Governor Eric Greitens lost the Republican primary to Schmitt.^[145][146]

Withdrew

• Thomas Schneider, former mayor of Florissant (2011–2019) (endorsed Schatz and Valentine)^[147][148]
• John Wood, former senior counsel for the United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack and former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri (2007–2009) and former General Counsel for the US Chamber of Commerce^[145][146]

Missed ballot deadline

• Rick Seabaugh, sales manager^[149]
• Nicholas Strauss, network engineer^[30]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
538[150]	Solid R	November 7, 2022
The Cook Political Report[151]	Solid R	November 7, 2022
DDHQ[152]	Solid R	November 7, 2022
The Economist[153]	Safe R	November 7, 2022
Fox News[154]	Solid R	November 1, 2022
Inside Elections[155]	Solid R	November 3, 2022
Politico[156]	Likely R	August 12, 2022
RCP[157]	Likely R	November 5, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[158]	Safe R	November 7, 2022

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Missouri debates

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian	Constitution
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
				Eric Schmitt	Trudy Busch Valentine	Jonathan Dine	Paul Venable
1	September 16, 2022	Missouri Press Association[159]	David Lieb	A[j]	P	P	P

Post-primary endorsements

Eric Schmitt (R)

Federal officials

• John Ashcroft, U.S. Attorney General (2001–2005), U.S. Senator from Missouri (1995–2001) and former governor of Missouri (1985–1993)^[160]
• Kit Bond, U.S. Senator from Missouri (1987–2011) and former Governor of Missouri (1981–1985;1973–1977)^[160]
• Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2011–2023)^[161]
• Vicky Hartzler, U.S. representative for Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)^[162]
• Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)^[163]
• Jim Talent, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2002–2007) and U.S. Representative for Missouri's 2nd congressional district (1993–2001)^[160]
• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)

State officials

• Jay Ashcroft, Secretary of State of Missouri (2017–2025)^[164]
• Scott Fitzpatrick, Treasurer of Missouri (2018–2023)^[164]
• Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–2025), and Governor of Missouri (2025-present)^[164]
• Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–2025)^[164]

Newspapers

• The Missouri Times^[165]

Organizations

• FreedomWorks For America^[166]
• Missouri Farm Bureau^[167]
• National Federation of Independent Business – Missouri^[168]
• National Right to Life Committee^[169]
• National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund^[170][169]

Trudy Busch Valentine (D)

Organizations

• Human Rights Campaign^[171]
• National Education Association^[172]
• National Women's Political Caucus^[173]
• Sierra Club^[174]

Newspapers

• The Kansas City Star^[175]

John Wood (I) (withdrawn)

Federal officials

• John Danforth, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2004–2005) and U.S. Senator from Missouri (1976–1995)^[176][177] (Republican)

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Eric Schmitt (R)	Trudy Busch Valentine (D)	Undecided [k]	Margin
RealClearPolitics[178]	October 24 – November 1, 2022	November 1, 2022	52.0%	41.3%	6.7%	Schmitt +10.7
FiveThirtyEight[179]	May 15 – November 4, 2022	November 4, 2022	53.1%	41.9%	5.0%	Schmitt +11.2
270towin[180]	October 29 – November 7, 2022	November 7, 2022	52.0%	40.8%	7.2%	Schmitt +11.2
Average			52.4%	41.3%	6.3%	Schmitt +11.0

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Schmitt (R)	Trudy Busch Valentine (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
Civiqs[181]	November 4–7, 2022	746 (LV)	± 4.7%	55%	40%	–	4%[l]	2%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[182]	October 30 – November 1, 2022	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	53%	42%	–	2%[m]	2%
SurveyUSA[183]	October 27 – November 1, 2022	791 (LV)	± 4.1%	50%	41%	–	3%[n]	6%
Emerson College[184]	October 26–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	54%	40%	–	5%[o]	–
				51%	39%	–	4%[p]	6%
Remington Research (R)[185][A]	October 24–25, 2022	1,011 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	42%	–	3%[q]	4%
Emerson College[186]	September 23–27, 2022	1,160 (VLV)	± 2.8%	49%	38%	–	3%	10%
SurveyUSA[187]	September 14–18, 2022	670 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	36%	–	4%	14%
Remington Research (R)[188][A]	August 24–25, 2022	1,011 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	40%	–	2%[r]	7%
	August 23, 2022	Wood withdraws from the race[146]
YouGov/SLU[189]	August 8–16, 2022	900 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	38%	–	5%	8%
				44%	31%	10%	3%	13%
SurveyUSA[85]	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	36%	30%	9%	6%	18%
SurveyUSA[94]	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	34%	–	–	19%
Remington Research (R)[190][A]	April 27–28, 2022	986 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	32%	–	–	18%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA[85]	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	31%	26%	13%	10%	21%
SurveyUSA[94]	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	42%	36%	–	–	22%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[191]	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	45%	–	–	9%
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	34%	26%	–	–	40%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[193][E]	October 3–4, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	40%	–	–	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Trudy Busch Valentine (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA[85]	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	31%	31%	10%	8%	20%
SurveyUSA[94]	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	43%	37%	–	–	20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[194][A]	April 27–28, 2022	986 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	–	–	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Vicky Hartzler (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA[85]	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	34%	25%	12%	9%	20%
SurveyUSA[94]	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	45%	31%	–	–	24%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[191]	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	56%	39%	–	–	5%
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	23%	16%	–	–	61%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Vicky Hartzler (R)	Trudy Busch Valentine (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA[85]	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	32%	31%	9%	7%	21%
SurveyUSA[94]	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	33%	–	–	23%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[194][A]	April 27–28, 2022	986 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	33%	–	–	18%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Billy Long (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	Undecided
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	16%	17%	67%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Schmitt (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	John Wood (I)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA[85]	July 24–27, 2022	1,591 (LV)	± 3.0%	37%	27%	10%	6%	20%
SurveyUSA[94]	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	34%	–	–	19%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[191]	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	55%	40%	–	–	5%
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	28%	23%	–	–	49%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Lucas Kunce (D)	Generic Independent	Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi International (SAM)[195][K]	February 2–6, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	27%	25%	26%	22%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Jay Nixon (D)	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[196][A]	July 14–15, 2021	922 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	44%	8%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[197][A]	April 7–8, 2021	936 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	44%	8%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[191]	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	45%	10%
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	39%	26%	35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[193][E]	October 3–4, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	40%	14%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[197][A]	April 7–8, 2021	936 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	42%	9%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[198][A]	February 17–18, 2021	954 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	41%	10%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Greitens (R)	Generic Democrat	Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[199][L]	November 16–18, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	36%	15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[193][E]	October 3–4, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	41%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	52%	35%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Vicky Hartzler (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[191]	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	57%	37%	6%
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	22%	17%	61%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Billy Long (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	13%	12%	75%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Schmitt (R)	Jay Nixon (D)	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[197][A]	April 7–8, 2021	936 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	42%	8%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Schmitt (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[191]	March 9–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	54%	40%	6%
co/efficient (R)[192][B]	December 16–17, 2021	1,210 (LV)	± 4.2%	23%	18%	60%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[197][A]	April 7–8, 2021	936 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	39%	10%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Roy Blunt (R)	Jason Kander (D)	Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[200][M]	January 10–12, 2021	571 (LV)	± 4.1%	45%	44%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Roy Blunt (R)	Scott Sifton (D)	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[198][A]	February 17–18, 2021	954 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	40%	10%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[201][A]	January 6–7, 2021	980 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	34%	14%

Hypothetical polling

Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce

Eric Greitens vs. Trudy Busch Valentine

Vicky Hartzler vs. Lucas Kunce

Vicky Hartzler vs. Trudy Busch Valentine

Billy Long vs. Lucas Kunce

Eric Schmitt vs. Lucas Kunce

Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce vs. generic independent

Eric Greitens vs. Jay Nixon

Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton

Eric Greitens vs. generic Democrat

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Vicky Hartzler vs. Scott Sifton

Billy Long vs. Scott Sifton

Eric Schmitt vs. Jay Nixon

Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton

Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander

Roy Blunt vs. Scott Sifton

Results

State Senate district results

State House district results

Schmitt prevailed over Valentine on Election Day.^[202]

2022 United States Senate election in Missouri^[203]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Eric Schmitt	1,146,966	55.43%	+6.25%
	Democratic	Trudy Busch Valentine	872,694	42.18%	−4.21%
	Libertarian	Jonathan Dine	34,821	1.68%	−0.74%
	Constitution	Paul Venable	14,608	0.71%	−0.20%
	Write-in		41	0.00%	−0.03%
Total votes			2,069,130	100.0%
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Clay (Largest city: Kansas City^[s])
• Platte (Largest city: Kansas City^[s])

By congressional district

Schmitt won 6 of 8 congressional districts.^[204]

District	Schmitt	Busch Valentine	Representative
1st	20%	79%	Cori Bush
2nd	51%	48%	Ann Wagner
3rd	59%	38%	Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th	66%	31%	Vicky Hartzler (117th Congress)
			Mark Alford (118th Congress)
5th	35%	62%	Emanuel Cleaver
6th	65%	32%	Sam Graves
7th	68%	29%	Billy Long (117th Congress)
			Eric Burlison (118th Congress)
8th	73%	24%	Jason Smith

See also

• 2022 United States Senate elections
• 2022 Missouri elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Gardner and Tunnell with 1%; Allen, Breyfogle, Joiner, Lewis, McClanahan, Mowinski, Olson, Porter, and Sims with 0%
4. McElroy, Joiner, and Vaughn with 0%
5. Allen, Joiner, Lewis, McClanahan, McElroy, Schepers, and Sims with 1%; Breyfogle, Chilton, Gardner, Mowinski, Olson, Porter, Tunnell, and Vaughn with 0%
6. Deets with 1%; Brinkmann and Porter with 0%
7. Jewel Kelly, Ross, and all other candidates combined with 3%
8. Harris, Jewel Kelly, Pat Kelly, Rolen, Ross, Shipp, and Taylor with 0%
9. Harris, Jewel Kelly, Pat Kelly, Ross, and Taylor with 2%; Rolen and Shipp with 1%
10. Schmitt was invited to the debate, but declined to attend
11. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
12. "Someone else" with 4%
13. Dine (L) with 2%
14. "Another candidate" with 3%
15. Dine (L) with 3%; Venable (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
16. Dine (L) with 2%; Venable (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
17. Dine with 2% and Venable with 1%
18. Dine and Venable with 1%
19. Most of the city lies within Jackson County, with portions spilling into Clay, Cass, and Platte counties.

Partisan clients

1. Non-partisan poll conducted for the local non-partisan tipsheet Missouri Scout
2. Poll conducted for Missouri First Action, which supports Greitens
3. This poll was sponsored by Show Me Values PAC, which opposes Greitens
4. Poll conducted for an undisclosed private client
5. Poll conducted for Eric Greitens's campaign
6. Poll conducted for Protect Missouri Values PAC, which supports Schmitt
7. Poll conducted for Vicky Hartzler's campaign
8. Poll conducted for the Missouri Chamber Political Institute
9. This poll was conducted for Toder's campaign.
10. This poll was conducted for Kunce's campaign.
11. Poll conducted for the Serve America Movement
12. Poll conducted for Team PAC, which supports Greitens
13. Poll conducted for MoveOn