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List of asteroid close approaches to Earth in 2023

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Below is the list of asteroids that have come close to Earth in 2023.

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Timeline of known close approaches less than one lunar distance from Earth

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A list of known near-Earth asteroid close approaches less than 1 lunar distance (0.0025696 AU (384,410 km; 238,860 mi)) from Earth in 2023, based on the close approach database of the Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS).[1]

For reference, the radius of Earth is about 0.0000426 AU (0.0166 LD; 6,370 km; 3,960 mi). Geosynchronous satellites have an orbit with semi-major axis length of 0.000282 AU (0.110 LD; 42,200 km; 26,200 mi).

The closest approach of Earth by an asteroid in 2023 was that of 2023 BU, an asteroid with a diameter of 3.1–6.9 m (10–23 ft), at 9,967 km (6,193 mi; 6.663×10−5 AU; 0.02593 LD) from the center of the Earth, or about 3,600 km (2,200 mi) above its surface.[2] The largest asteroid to pass within 1 LD of Earth in 2023 was 2023 DZ2 at 37–83 m (121–272 ft) in diameter, for an absolute magnitude of 24.3.[3] The fastest asteroid to pass within 1 LD of Earth in 2023 was 2023 TK15 that passed Earth with a velocity with respect to Earth of 21.95 km/s (49,100 mph),[4] while the slowest bypass within lunar distance was that of 2023 XQ16 at a velocity with respect to Earth of 3.16 km/s (7,100 mph).[5]

As most asteroids passing within a lunar distance are less than 40 meters in diameter, they generally are not detected until they are within several million kilometres of Earth. Objects coming from the direction of the Sun may not be publicly announced until a few days after closest approach. For example, 2023 AC1 was first imaged six hours after closest approach, then confirmed by other observations, but not officially announced until 3.5 days after closest approach.[6] 2023 MD4 that approached from the direction of the Sun was not first observed until 3.6 days after closest approach.[note 1] The largest asteroid on this list that is risk–listed is 2023 SM5 at about 17 meters in diameter with a 3.5-day observation arc and a 1:91000 chance of Earth impact on 24 September 2118.[7]

The CNEOS database of close approaches lists some close approaches a full orbit or more before the discovery of the object, derived by orbit calculation. The list below only includes close approaches that are evidenced by observations, thus the pre-discovery close approaches would only be included if the object was found by precovery, but there was no such close approach in 2023.

This list and relevant databases do not consider impacts as close approaches, thus this list does not include 2023 CX1, an asteroid which was predicted to impact on Earth and burned up in its atmosphere, as well as several more objects that collided with Earth's atmosphere in 2023 which weren't discovered in advance, but were observed visually or recorded by infrasound sensors designed to detect detonation of nuclear devices.[8]

     Rows highlighted red indicate objects which were not discovered until after closest approach

     Rows highlighted yellow indicate objects discovered less than 24 hours before closest approach

     Rows highlighted green indicate objects discovered more than one week before closest approach

     Rows highlighted turquoise indicate objects discovered more than 7 weeks before closest approach

     Rows highlighted blue indicate objects discovered more than one year before closest approach
(i.e. objects successfully cataloged on a previous orbit, rather than being detected during final approach)

More information Date ofclosest approach, Discovery ...

Warning times by size

This sub-section visualises the warning times of the close approaches listed in the above table, depending on the size of the asteroid. The sizes of the charts show the relative sizes of the asteroids to scale. For comparison, the approximate size of a person is also shown. This is based the absolute magnitude of each asteroid, an approximate measure of size based on brightness.[1]

Absolute magnitude H ≥ 30 (smallest)

Silhouette of man standing and facing forward
Silhouette of man standing and facing forward

(size of a person for comparison)

After closest approach: 12 (54.5%)< 24 hours before: 5 (22.7%)up to 7 days before: 5 (22.7%)> one week before: 0 (0.0%)> 7 weeks before: 0 (0.0%)> one year before: 0 (0.0%)

Absolute magnitude 30 > H ≥ 29

After closest approach: 19 (55.9%)< 24 hours before: 5 (14.7%)up to 7 days before: 10 (29.4%)> one week before: 0 (0.0%)> 7 weeks before: 0 (0.0%)> one year before: 0 (0.0%)

Absolute magnitude 29 > H ≥ 28

After closest approach: 19 (57.6%)< 24 hours before: 3 (9.1%)up to 7 days before: 11 (33.3%)> one week before: 0 (0.0%)> 7 weeks before: 0 (0.0%)> one year before: 0 (0.0%)

Absolute magnitude 28 > H ≥ 27

ThumbAfter closest approach: 8 (61.5%)< 24 hours before: 0 (0.0%)up to 7 days before: 5 (38.5%)> one week before: 0 (0.0%)> 7 weeks before: 0 (0.0%)> one year before: 0 (0.0%)

Absolute magnitude 27 > H ≥ 26

ThumbAfter closest approach: 3 (33.3%)< 24 hours before: 0 (0.0%)up to 7 days before: 5 (55.6%)> one week before: 1 (11.1%)> 7 weeks before: 0 (0.0%)> one year before: 0 (0.0%)

Absolute magnitude 26 > H ≥ 25

ThumbAfter closest approach: 1 (50.0%)< 24 hours before: 0 (0.0%)up to 7 days before: 1 (50.0%)> one week before: 0 (0.0%)> 7 weeks before: 0 (0.0%)> one year before: 0 (0.0%)

Absolute magnitude 25 > H (largest)

ThumbAfter closest approach: 0 (0.0%)< 24 hours before: 0 (0.0%)up to 7 days before: 0 (0.0%)> one week before: 1 (50.0%)> 7 weeks before: 0 (0.0%)> one year before: 1 (50.0%)
  •   After closest approach: 0 (0.0%)
  •   < 24 hours before: 0 (0.0%)
  •   up to 7 days before: 0 (0.0%)
  •   > one week before: 1 (50.0%)
  •   > 7 weeks before: 0 (0.0%)
  •   > one year before: 1 (50.0%)

Notes

  1. 2023 MD4 came to perihelion on 20 May 2023 and approached from the direction of the Sun. It made Earth closest approach at 20 June 2023 18:10 UT and was discovered 85.4 hours (3.56 d) later at 24 June 2023 07:36 UT.
  2. Discovery date (first reported image), and if the object was confirmed and previously undiscovered, the discoverer
  3. Distance from the center of Earth to the center of the object. See the NASA/JPL Solar System Dynamics Glossary: Geocentric. Earth has a radius of approximately 6,400 km (0.0166 LD).
  4. Objects that approached closer to the Moon than Earth are marked with a check.
  5. 2023 BJ7 passed 12,884 ± 334 km (8,006 ± 208 mi) from the centerpoint of the Moon around 30 January 2023 13:34 UT. Since the Moon has a radius of about 1,738 km (1,080 mi), it passed approximately 11,146 ± 334 km (6,926 ± 208 mi) from the surface of the Moon.
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Beyond 1 LD

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Below is an example list of near-Earth asteroids that nominally will pass more than 1 lunar distance (384,400 km or 0.00256 AU) from Earth in 2023. During 2022, over 1,000 asteroids passed within 10 LD (3.8 million km) of Earth.

  Rows highlighted grey indicate a planet or main-belt asteroid

  Rows highlighted green indicate a comet which may have a larger uncertainty region due to non-gravitational forces from outgassing (sublimation).
It is also more difficult to make astrometric measurements of the precise location of the nucleus because it is masked by a fuzzy coma.

  Rows highlighted yellow indicate short arc objects that have not been observed for years and therefore the uncertainty in the approach distance and date are large

  Rows highlighted cyan indicate objects that had a short observation arc with large uncertainties that were recovered and their orbits greatly refined

  Rows highlighted red indicate objects which are risk–listed with a virtual impactor near this date

More information Object, Size (meters) ...

Notes

  1. The uncertainty region for 2022 YY6 on 2023-Jan-02 was ±6500 km.
  2. 2012 BV13 was recovered by WISE in October 2022 and followed up by several observatories in January 2023.
  3. The uncertainty region for 2012 BV13 on 2023-Jan-16 was ±103 km.
  4. was 0.43–40 (5 LD nominal) before recovery on 14 January 2023 by Pan-STARRS 2
  5. The uncertainty region for C/2022 E3 (ZTF) on 2023-Feb-01 was ±500 km.
  6. 2011 AG5 brightened to about apmag 14.2 on 2023-Feb-02.
  7. The uncertainty region for 2005 YY128 on 2023-Feb-16 was ±10 km. It brightened to about apmag 13.2 on 2023-Feb-14.
  8. At the start of the year 2020 DG4 had the closest known nominal approach to Earth in 2023 at 1.4 LD.
  9. was 1.2–11 (1.4 LD nominal) before recovery on 22 February 2023 by ATLAS South Africa
  10. The uncertainty region for 1993 VB on 2023-Feb-21 was ±57 km. It brightened to about apmag 14.5 on 2023-Feb-25.
  11. The uncertainty region for 2023 FM on 2023-Apr-06 is ±3200 km. It brightened to apmag 14.8 on 2023-Apr-04.
  12. The uncertainty region for 364P/PANSTARRS on 2023-Apr-07 is ±47 km.
  13. The uncertainty region for 2012 KY3 on 2023-Apr-13 was ±305 km. It brightened to apmag 14.2 on 2023-Apr-16.
  14. The uncertainty region for 2006 HV5 on 2023-Apr-26 is ±36 km. It brightened to apmag 15.3 on 2023-Apr-24.
  15. Mercury also will pass 260.9 LD from Earth on January 8, 244.4 LD from Earth on September 3, and 263.2 LD from Earth on December 23. Mercury makes a closest approach to Earth about every 116 days.
  16. The asteroid with the greatest chance of impacting Earth in 2023 is 2016 LP10 (4-meters in diameter) with less than a 1-day observation arc. It has a 1:53,000 chance of impact on 10 June 2023, but is expected to be around 0.63 AU (94 million km; 250 LD) from Earth on that date at a basically undetectable apparent magnitude of 31. Such an impact would be similar to 2008 TC3.
  17. The uncertainty region for 1994 XD on 2023-Jun-12 is ±17 km. It is expected to brighten to apmag 13.5 on 2023-Jun-10 and best seen from the Northern hemisphere.
  18. The uncertainty region for 2020 DB5 on 2023-Jun-15 is ±51 km. It is expected to brighten to apmag 13.8 on 2023-Jun-14 and best seen from the Southern hemisphere.
  19. The uncertainty region for 2020 HO6 on 2023-Jul-05 is ±700 km. It is expected to brighten to apmag 13.5 on 2023-Jul-05 and best seen from the Southern hemisphere.
  20. For comparison as the closest Venus approach is 2023-Aug-13 at 0.2887 AU (112.4 LD).
  21. The uncertainty region for 103P/Hartley on 2023-Sep-26 is ±310 km.
  22. The uncertainty region for 1998 HH49 on 2023-Oct-17 is ±471 km.
  23. The uncertainty region for C/2023 H2 (Lemmon) on 2023-Nov-10 is ±57000 km. It might brighten to magnitude 10, but will stay within 75 degrees of the Sun when brightest.
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