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Opinion polling for the next Japanese general election

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In the run up to the next Japanese general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 27 October 2024, to the present day.

Pollsters

The following table shows the pollsters who conduct opinion polls in Japan:

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Party identification

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2025

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2024

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Voting intention (proportional vote)

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2025

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2024

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Voting intention (district vote)

2025

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Preferred coalition

2025

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2024

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Preferred prime minister

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Perspective
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2025

(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Liberal Democratic Party supporters)

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2024

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Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

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2025

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2024

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See also

Notes

  1. Database from Chunichi Shimbun.
  2. Online (smartphone based)
  3. Not included in this article.
  4. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%; Others: 0.6%
  5. Election turnout.
  6. Trend Survey
  7. NHK Party: 0.3%; The Path to Rebirth: 0.6%; Team Mirai: 0.1%; Others: 1.3%
  8. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.5%
  9. The Collaborative Party: 0.5%; Others: 0.4%
  10. NHK Party: 0.4%; Others: 1.9%
  11. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.2%
  12. The Collaborative Party: 0.7%; Others: 0.5%
  13. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.7%
  14. The Collaborative Party: 0.9%; Others: 0.3%
  15. The Collaborative Party: 0.4%; Others: 0.1%
  16. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.2%
  17. The Collaborative Party: 0.3%; Others: 0.5%
  18. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.2%
  19. The Collaborative Party: 0.4%; Others: 0.8%
  20. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%; Others: 0.4%
  21. NHK Party: 0.3%; Others: 1.4%
  22. Undecided: 37%; None: 3.8%
  23. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.5%
  24. Undecided: 40.3%; None: 4.1%
  25. NHK Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.7%
  26. Undecided/no answer: 35.8%; None: 1.5%
  27. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%; Others: 0.2%
  28. Undecided/no answer: 31.4%; None: 5%
  29. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 1.7%
  30. The Collaborative Party: 1.1%; Others: 0.2%
  31. Undecided/no answer: 32.1%; None: 4.3%
  32. The Collaborative Party: 0.3%; Others: 0.4%
  33. Undecided/no answer: 29.1%; None: 8.3%
  34. The Collaborative Party: 0.3%; Others: 1.8%
  35. The Collaborative Party: 0.4%; Others: 0.3%
  36. Undecided/no answer: 33.9%; None: 3.7%
  37. Undecided/no answer: 31.6%; None: 6.2%
  38. Undecided/no answer: 29.5%; None: 3.4%
  39. The Collaborative Party: 0.5%; Others: 3%
  40. Undecided/no answer: 36.6%; None: 7.6%
  41. Undecided/no answer: 33.1%; None: 2.6%
  42. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.3%
  43. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%; Others: 2.2%
  44. Undecided/no answer: 31%; None: 3.4%
  45. The Collaborative Party: 0.4%; Others: 1.9%
  46. The Collaborative Party: 0.5%; Others: 0.2%
  47. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.3%
  48. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%; Others: 1.8%
  49. The Collaborative Party: 0.3%; Others: 1.0%
  50. The Collaborative Party: 0.7%; Others: 1.4%
  51. The Collaborative Party: 0.04%; Shiji Nashi: 0.03%
  52. Some polls refer it as "Opposition–led coalition".
  53. LDP–Komei coalition with opposition parties cooperating on each policy: 43.7%
  54. LDP–Komei–CDP coalition: 10.6%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 5.5% LDP–Komei–DPFP coalition: 11.7%; LDP–Komei–Sansei coalition: 8%
  55. LDP–Komei with other parties: 46.3% (LDP–Komei–CDP coalition: 21.3%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 21.7% LDP–Komei–DPFP coalition: 27.5%; LDP–Komei–Sansei coalition: 11.7%; LDP–Komei–Other: 9.8%; No answer: 8%)
  56. "Opposition parties cooperating with the LDP–Komeito government on each policy basis": 31%
  57. LDP–Komei–CDP coalition: 8%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 8% LDP–Komei–DPFP coalition: 13%
  58. "A new government framework resulting from a political restructuring": 36.2%; Others: 0.1%
  59. "A new government framework resulting from a political restructuring": 29.8%
  60. Question: What is your desired outcome in the House of Councillors election?
  61. "A new government framework resulting from a political restructuring": 30.1%
  62. "Opposition parties cooperating with the LDP–Komeito government on each policy basis": 32%
  63. LDP–Komei–CDP coalition: 7%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 7% LDP–Komei–DPFP coalition: 11%
  64. LDP–Komei with other parties: 41.9% (LDP–Komei–CDP coalition: 26.4%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 22.3% LDP–Komei–DPFP coalition: 23.5%; LDP–Komei–Other: 21.3%)
  65. "Opposition parties cooperating with the LDP–Komeito government on each policy basis": 33%
  66. LDP–Komei–CDP coalition: 7%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 7% LDP–Komei–DPFP coalition: 12%
  67. LDP–Komei coalition: 20%; LDP–Komei–CDP coalition: 8.9%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 7.6%; LDP–Komei–DPFP coalition: 11.7%
  68. Question: As a result of the House of Councillors election held this summer, how do you want the overall number of seats in the House of Councillors to change?
  69. LDP–Komei–CDP coalition: 7%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 7%; LDP–Komei–DPFP coalition: 11%
  70. Some polls refer it as "Opposition–led coalition".
  71. "Opposition parties cooperating with the LDP–Komeito government on each policy basis": 42%
  72. "A new framework through political realignment": 31.5%; Others: 0.1%
  73. None of these: 21.2%; Don't know: 5.7%
  74. Fumio Kishida (LDP): 3%
  75. Don't know: 31%; No answer: 6%
  76. Fumio Kishida (LDP): 3%; Shun'ichi Suzuki (LDP): 1%; Ken Saitō (LDP): 1%
  77. Fumio Kishida (LDP): 2%
  78. None of these: 14%; Don't know: 11%
  79. None of these: 25%; Don't know: 8.4%
  80. None of these: 27.6%; Don't know: 6.2%
  81. None of these: 49%; Don't know: 4%
  82. Strongly approve: 14.7%; Approve on balance: 31.1%
  83. Disapprove on balance: 12.8%; Completely disapprove: 20.0%
  84. Strongly approve: 11.3%; Approve on balance: 24.2%
  85. Disapprove on balance: 15.6%; Completely disapprove: 23.8%
  86. Strongly approve: 9.6%; Approve on balance: 28.7%
  87. Disapprove on balance: 14.2%; Completely disapprove: 24.4%
  88. Strongly approve: 8.3%; Approve on balance: 24.8%
  89. Disapprove on balance: 15.4%; Completely disapprove: 23.9%
  90. Strongly approve: 7.6%; Approve on balance: 23.8%
  91. Disapprove on balance: 16.3%; Completely disapprove: 22.7%
  92. Strongly approve: 8.1%; Approve on balance: 21.9%
  93. Disapprove on balance: 19.3%; Completely disapprove: 24.6%
  94. Strongly approve: 9.7%; Approve on balance: 30.9%
  95. Disapprove on balance: 11.5%; Completely disapprove: 19.6%
  96. Strongly approve: 10.5%; Approve on balance: 25.5%
  97. Disapprove on balance: 15.4%; Completely disapprove: 18.5%
  98. Strongly approve: 10%; Approve on balance: 24.4%
  99. Disapprove on balance: 15.9%; Completely disapprove: 20.0%
  100. Strongly approve: 10%; Approve on balance: 29.7%
  101. Disapprove on balance: 13.3%; Completely disapprove: 16.6%
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References

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