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Stephen Miran

American economist (born 1983) From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Stephen Miran
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Stephen Ira Miran (/mrʌn/; MY-run;[1] born June 1983) is an American economist who has served as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors since September 2025. He has also served as the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers since January 2025, though he placed himself on leave in September.

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Miran graduated from Boston University with a bachelor's degree in economics and philosophy and from Harvard University with a doctorate in economics in 2010. After graduating from Harvard, he worked for Lily Pond Capital Management as an analyst, later joining Fidelity Investments and Sovarnum Capital. Miran became the head of macroeconomic strategy at Sovarnum in 2015. In April 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic, he served as a senior advisor for economic strategy at the United States Department of the Treasury. After Joe Biden's inauguration in January 2021, Miran returned to the private sector, co-founding Amberwave Partners. Miran joined Hudson Bay Capital Management as a senior strategist in February 2024.

In December 2024, President Donald Trump named Miran as his nominee for chair of the Council of Economic Advisers. He was confirmed by the United States Senate in March 2025. Miran developed the Trump administration's tariff policy, opining that import taxes are not inflationary. After Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler announced her resignation in August, Trump named Miran as his nominee to succeed Kugler. In September, he was confirmed by the Senate and sworn in that month.

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Early life and education (1983–2010)

Stephen Ira Miran[2] was born in June 1983[3] in Pearl River, New York.[4] Miran was born to Jewish parents Dan and Jane Miran.[5] Dan and Jane were civil servants who met at the Social Security Administration.[6] Miran graduated salutatorian from Nanuet Senior High School in May 2001.[7] In high school, he conducted[4] and was named to the area music festival as a senior.[8] Miran was a National Merit finalist.[9] He attended Boston University, initially majoring in biochemistry[7] but switching to economics and philosophy with a minor in math.[10] Miran was inducted into the College of Arts and Sciences's chapter of Phi Beta Kappa.[11] He graduated summa cum laude[10] from Boston University[12] and from Harvard University with a doctorate in economics in 2010.[13] His doctoral advisors at Harvard included David Cutler, who served in the Clinton administration,[13] and Martin Feldstein, who served as Ronald Reagan's chair of the Council of Economic Advisers from 1982 to 1984.[6]

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Career

Private sector analyst and portfolio manager (2010–2020)

After graduating from Harvard, Miran worked for Lily Pond Capital Management as an analyst.[6] He worked for Fidelity Investments two years later and joined Sovarnum Capital as a portfolio manager in November 2014.[14] In 2015,[6] Miran became the head of macroeconomic strategy at Sovarnum.[10] He resigned in March 2020.[10]

Department of the Treasury and return to the private sector (2020–2025)

In April 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Miran served as a senior advisor for economic strategy at the United States Department of the Treasury.[15] His work involved influencing the CARES Act. Miran resigned after Joe Biden's inauguration in January 2021.[6] Miran co-founded a firm, Amberwave Partners,[12] with Dan Katz, whom he had met at the Department of Treasury.[6] In 2023, he left Amberwave—which later shut down[16]—to join the Manhattan Institute. Miran contributed articles to the Manhattan Institute's City Journal, The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, and the Financial Times.[6] He joined Hudson Bay Capital Management as a senior strategist in February 2024.[12]

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Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (2025–present)

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In February 2024, Scott Bessent began supporting Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign. He sought out Miran to support him.[1] Miran donated US$1,000 to Never Surrender, a pro-Trump political action committee, and an additional US$1,000 to Trump 47, a joint fund-raising committee, that year.[12] On December 22, Trump named Miran as his nominee for chair of the Council of Economic Advisers.[12] In January 2025, Bloomberg News reported that Miran was among several Trump advisors studying gradual tariff hikes using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.[17] He appeared before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs on February 27. Miran affirmed his support for tariffs to encourage investment.[18] On March 6, the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs voted to advance his nomination 13–11 along party lines.[19] Miran was confirmed by the Senate on March 12.[20]

As chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Miran developed Trump's tariff policies;[21] the Financial Times described him as an "architect" of Trump's tariffs.[22] Miran's practices defied optimistic projections and early data.[21] In response to concerns that the Council of Economic Advisers's gross domestic product estimation of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act was relatively high, Miran stated that other models had been inaccurate in the past.[23]

Federal Reserve Board of Governors (2025–present)

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Nomination and confirmation

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Miran is sworn in as governor on September 16, 2025.

On August 7, 2025, Trump named Miran as his nominee to succeed Adriana Kugler as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.[24] Miran would occupy the seat through Kugler's remaining term, set to expire in January 2026. The decision occurred as Trump had stated his intention to replace Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve; Trump signaled that he would seek a "permanent replacement" who could succeed Powell. The move gave Trump additional time to consider Powell's successor.[25] According to analysts from JPMorgan Chase, the yield curve could steepen if Miran is confirmed.[26] His nomination occurred amid the Senate's recess, scheduled to conclude in September.[24] According to The New York Times, while his tenure was set to conclude within months, Miran would be able to influence discussions surrounding interest rates and Powell's successor.[27]

After Trump fired Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Lisa Cook, he privately suggested nominating Miran to replace Cook.[28] Miran appeared before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs on September 4. He told the committee that he intended to keep his position as chair of the Council of Economic Advisers while serving on the Board of Governors, but that he would take an unpaid leave of absence.[29] The unprecedented arrangement elicited concerns of violating central bank independence.[21]

The Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs voted to advance Miran's nomination 13–11 along party lines on September 10, positioning him to be confirmed prior to the Federal Reserve's meeting the following week.[30] On September 15, he was confirmed by the Senate in a 48–47 vote[31] along party lines, with the exception of Alaska senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican who voted against Miran. He is the first member of the Federal Reserve to concurrently serve within the federal executive branch since the 1930s.[32] Miran was sworn in the following day, as the Federal Reserve began a two-day meeting.[33]

Tenure

Miran voted in favor of a half-point reduction to interest rates at his first Federal Reserve meeting in September.[34]

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Fiscal and monetary issues

In July 2024, Miran and the economist Nouriel Roubini accused secretary of the treasury Janet Yellen of manipulating Treasury securities to lower borrowing costs, particularly by relying on short-dated bills and allegedly causing the equivalent of a percentage point reduction in the federal funds rate. Yellen rejected the paper's claim in an interview with Bloomberg News.[35]

In March 2024, Miran and Dan Katz called for reforms to the Federal Reserve, including decreasing the terms of members from fourteen years to eight years, allowing members to be fired by the president, and allowing state governors to appoint Federal Reserve bank board members.[36] Miran criticized Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, for encouraging Congress to pursue a large fiscal stimulus in October 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic.[37] As governor, Miran has rejected concerns that he has acted on behalf of president Donald Trump in interest rate votes.[38]

Miran supported the permanent tax cuts instituted by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act to incentivize expanded labor supply, investments, and manufacturing capacity.[39] He praised the bill for creating jobs that would provide private insurance for current Medicaid recipients.[40]

Trade and industrial policy

Miran is a proponent of tariffs and has argued that broad levies do not cause inflation, owing to a stronger exchange rate.[41] He praised former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney for threatening to impose tariffs on China;[16] similar promises made by Trump in his 2016 presidential campaign led him to support the businessman.[16] In November 2024, Miran published a report for Hudson Bay Capital Management titled "A User's Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System".[13] The paper largely formed the basis for the Mar-a-Lago Accord, a proposed economic and trade initiative.[42] Miran advocated for a "restructuring of the global trading system". He argued that the strong dollar policy had harmed manufacturing in the United States.[43] To weaken the United States dollar, Miran proposed selling the United States's gold reserve and investing in foreign currencies.[44] The document received renewed attention leading up to Miran's confirmation.[1]

Miran is a critic of the economic policy of the Joe Biden administration.[45] In August 2021, he warned that the Build Back Better Act would worsen the inflation surge.[36] Miran detailed his criticisms in a Manhattan Institute article in February 2024, primarily involving Biden's subsidies for electric cars and regulations on labor and the environment. He suggested that industrial policy should be motivated by the defense industry and should focus on supply-side reforms.[46]

Government affairs

In 2024, Miran condemned the "revolving door between the executive branch and the [Federal Reserve]" in an article for the Manhattan Institute.[47] In August 2025, after Trump fired the commissioner of labor statistics, Erika McEntarfer, Miran told Axios that the Bureau of Labor Statistics needed reform, though he did not explicitly concur with Trump's claim that McEntarfer had manipulated statistics to politically bolster Joe Biden.[48]

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References

Works cited

Notes

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