2024 United States presidential election in Kansas

The 2024 United States presidential election in Kansas took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.^[2]

2024 United States presidential election in Kansas

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout	67.84%[1]
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Electoral vote 6 0 Popular vote 758,802 544,853 Percentage 57.16% 41.04%
County results Congressional district results Precinct results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Votes
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

A sparsely populated Great Plains state that has not voted Democrat for president since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, Kansas was considered by nearly all major news organizations to be safely Republican at the presidential level.

Kansas was won by the Republican nominee, former President Donald Trump, with a margin of 16.1%, a slight improvement from 4 years prior, although one of Trump’s smallest improvements throughout the nation.

This was the second consecutive election in which Kansas voted to the left of neighboring Missouri. Harris also became the first losing Democratic nominee to win over 40% of the vote in Kansas since 1988, and the third in the 21st century after Barack Obama in 2008 and Joe Biden in 2020.

Primary elections

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Kansas Republican presidential primary

The Kansas Republican Primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.

Kansas Republican primary, March 19, 2024^[3][4]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	72,115	75.52%	39		39
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)	15,339	16.06%
None of the Names Shown	4,982	5.22%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	2,543	2.66%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	508	0.53%
Total:	95,487	100.00%	39		39

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Kansas Democratic presidential primary

The Kansas Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Kansas Democratic primary, March 19, 2024^[5]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	35,906	83.7%	33		33
None of the Names Shown	4,433	10.3%
Marianne Williamson	1,494	3.5%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)	566	1.3%
Jason Palmer	516	1.2%
Total:	42,915	100.0%	33	6	39

Green primary

The Kansas Green primary was held from January 22, 2024, to February 5, 2024. It was a held digitally under a ranked-choice voting system. Jill Stein won with 100% of the vote, being ranked first by all 7 voting party members. Stein automatically received Kansas's 4 delegates to the 2024 Green National Convention.^[6]

Kansas Green primary, January 22, 2024 – February 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Delegate count
Jill Stein	7	100%	4
Total:	7	100%	4
Source:[6]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report[7]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[8]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]	Safe R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10]	Safe R	May 31, 2024
CNalysis[11]	Very Likely R	November 4, 2024
CNN[12]	Solid R	January 14, 2024
The Economist[13]	Safe R	June 12, 2024
538[14]	Solid R	October 3, 2024
NBC News[15]	Safe R	October 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Fort Hays State University[16]	September 26 – October 16, 2024	656 (A)	–	46%	37%	17%[b]
		608 (A)		50%	39%	11%[c]
		517 (RV)		48%	43%	9%[d]

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[17][A]	April 13–21, 2024	385 (LV)	–	48%	42%	10%
Emerson College[18]	October 1–4, 2023	487 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	31%	22%
Emerson College[19]	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	37%	13%
Emerson College[20]	September 15–18, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	36%	12%
Echelon Insights[21][B]	August 31 – September 7, 2022	392 (LV)	± 7.5%	52%	41%	7%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[17][A]	April 13–21, 2024	385 (LV)	–	44%	42%	14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[17][A]	April 13–21, 2024	385 (LV)	–	53%	36%	11%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights[21][B]	August 31 – September 7, 2022	392 (LV)	± 7.5%	50%	39%	11%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Kansas^[22]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	758,802	57.16%	+1.02%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	544,853	41.04%	−0.47%
	Independent	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	16,322	1.23%	N/A
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	7,614	0.57%	−1.66%
Total votes			1,327,591	100.00%	N/A

By county

County[23]	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Allen	4,029	71.69%	1,445	25.71%	146	2.60%	2,584	45.98%	5,620
Anderson	2,998	78.85%	732	19.25%	72	1.90%	2,266	59.60%	3,802
Atchison	4,911	67.42%	2,201	30.22%	172	2.36%	2,710	37.20%	7,284
Barber	1,854	85.44%	288	13.27%	28	1.29%	1,566	71.17%	2,170
Barton	8,205	77.28%	2,207	20.79%	205	1.93%	5,998	56.49%	10,617
Bourbon	5,003	75.90%	1,444	21.91%	145	2.19%	3,559	53.99%	6,592
Brown	3,106	72.67%	1,065	24.92%	103	2.41%	2,041	47.75%	4,274
Butler	22,426	69.57%	9,150	28.38%	660	2.05%	13,276	41.19%	32,236
Chase	1,090	74.56%	348	23.80%	24	1.64%	742	50.76%	1,462
Chautauqua	1,299	85.01%	211	13.81%	18	1.18%	1,088	71.20%	1,528
Cherokee	6,584	75.33%	1,970	22.54%	186	2.13%	4,614	52.79%	8,740
Cheyenne	1,185	83.33%	206	14.49%	31	2.18%	979	68.84%	1,422
Clark	867	85.50%	129	12.72%	18	1.78%	738	72.78%	1,014
Clay	3,150	76.59%	867	21.08%	96	2.33%	2,283	55.51%	4,113
Cloud	3,218	79.24%	767	18.89%	76	1.87%	2,451	60.35%	4,061
Coffey	3,371	76.68%	934	21.25%	91	2.07%	2,437	55.43%	4,396
Comanche	727	83.18%	130	14.87%	17	1.95%	597	68.31%	874
Cowley	9,360	69.06%	3,919	28.91%	275	2.03%	5,441	40.15%	13,554
Crawford	10,084	61.42%	5,956	36.28%	377	2.30%	4,128	25.14%	16,417
Decatur	1,217	83.70%	215	14.79%	22	1.51%	1,002	68.91%	1,454
Dickinson	7,014	76.71%	1,989	21.75%	141	1.54%	5,025	54.96%	9,144
Doniphan	2,899	80.71%	626	17.43%	67	1.86%	2,273	63.28%	3,592
Douglas	17,523	29.85%	39,582	67.42%	1,602	2.73%	-22,059	-37.57%	58,707
Edwards	1,042	82.11%	213	16.78%	14	1.11%	829	65.33%	1,269
Elk	1,123	83.93%	191	14.28%	24	1.79%	932	69.65%	1,338
Ellis	9,743	71.81%	3,511	25.88%	314	2.31%	6,232	45.93%	13,568
Ellsworth	2,078	75.34%	636	23.06%	44	1.60%	1,442	52.28%	2,758
Finney	7,166	66.25%	3,425	31.67%	225	2.08%	3,741	34.58%	10,816
Ford	5,616	68.10%	2,461	29.84%	170	2.06%	3,155	38.26%	8,247
Franklin	8,773	68.76%	3,676	28.81%	310	2.43%	5,097	39.95%	12,759
Geary	5,288	57.56%	3,674	39.99%	225	2.45%	1,614	17.57%	9,187
Gove	1,227	87.77%	150	10.73%	21	1.50%	1,077	77.04%	1,398
Graham	1,055	81.97%	210	16.32%	22	1.71%	845	65.65%	1,287
Grant	1,793	80.77%	395	17.79%	32	1.44%	1,398	62.98%	2,220
Gray	1,837	83.77%	324	14.77%	32	1.46%	1,513	69.00%	2,193
Greeley	510	86.00%	75	12.65%	8	1.35%	435	73.35%	593
Greenwood	2,299	79.50%	541	18.71%	52	1.79%	1,758	60.79%	2,892
Hamilton	671	82.33%	131	16.07%	13	1.60%	540	66.26%	815
Harper	2,072	80.78%	437	17.04%	56	2.18%	1,635	63.74%	2,565
Harvey	9,591	59.32%	6,202	38.36%	376	2.32%	3,389	20.96%	16,169
Haskell	1,045	81.70%	221	17.28%	13	1.02%	824	64.42%	1,279
Hodgeman	817	84.58%	136	14.08%	13	1.34%	681	70.50%	966
Jackson	4,557	70.12%	1,799	27.68%	143	2.20%	2,758	42.44%	6,499
Jefferson	6,694	67.11%	3,030	30.38%	251	2.51%	3,664	36.73%	9,975
Jewell	1,370	86.87%	176	11.16%	31	1.97%	1,194	75.71%	1,577
Johnson	154,247	44.47%	183,451	52.89%	9,162	2.64%	-29,204	-8.42%	346,860
Kearny	1,082	83.17%	192	14.76%	27	2.07%	890	68.41%	1,301
Kingman	3,119	79.02%	753	19.08%	75	1.90%	2,366	59.94%	3,947
Kiowa	941	84.85%	151	13.62%	17	1.53%	790	71.23%	1,109
Labette	5,410	68.30%	2,385	30.11%	126	1.59%	3,025	38.19%	7,921
Lane	709	83.91%	111	13.14%	25	2.95%	598	70.77%	845
Leavenworth	22,055	60.00%	13,732	37.36%	969	2.64%	8,323	22.64%	36,756
Lincoln	1,233	81.82%	250	16.59%	24	1.59%	983	65.23%	1,507
Linn	4,093	81.39%	854	16.98%	82	1.63%	3,239	64.41%	5,029
Logan	1,186	84.71%	183	13.07%	31	2.22%	1,003	71.64%	1,400
Lyon	7,462	56.05%	5,515	41.42%	337	2.53%	1,947	14.63%	13,314
Marion	4,312	73.35%	1,429	24.31%	138	2.34%	2,883	49.04%	5,879
Marshall	3,644	73.35%	1,205	24.26%	119	2.39%	2,439	49.09%	4,968
McPherson	9,816	69.29%	4,021	28.38%	330	2.33%	5,795	40.91%	14,167
Meade	1,427	84.19%	247	14.57%	21	1.24%	1,180	69.62%	1,695
Miami	12,854	68.55%	5,472	29.18%	424	2.27%	7,382	39.37%	18,750
Mitchell	2,608	82.22%	528	16.65%	36	1.13%	2,080	65.57%	3,172
Montgomery	9,287	74.65%	2,934	23.58%	220	1.77%	6,353	51.07%	12,441
Morris	2,021	72.39%	721	25.82%	50	1.79%	1,300	46.57%	2,792
Morton	909	85.75%	131	12.36%	20	1.89%	778	73.39%	1,060
Nemaha	4,655	82.58%	888	15.75%	94	1.67%	3,767	66.83%	5,637
Neosho	4,961	72.86%	1,696	24.91%	152	2.23%	3,265	47.95%	6,809
Ness	1,205	88.41%	129	9.46%	29	2.13%	1,076	78.95%	1,363
Norton	1,882	82.73%	346	15.21%	47	2.06%	1,536	67.52%	2,275
Osage	5,736	72.44%	1,946	24.58%	236	2.98%	3,790	47.86%	7,918
Osborne	1,477	83.21%	261	14.70%	37	2.09%	1,216	68.51%	1,775
Ottawa	2,475	82.42%	476	15.85%	52	1.73%	1,999	66.57%	3,003
Pawnee	2,003	74.88%	625	23.36%	47	1.76%	1,378	51.52%	2,675
Phillips	2,356	85.67%	331	12.04%	63	2.29%	2,025	73.63%	2,750
Pottawatomie	9,811	72.83%	3,394	25.19%	267	1.98%	6,417	47.64%	13,472
Pratt	3,054	74.82%	954	23.37%	74	1.81%	2,100	51.45%	4,082
Rawlins	1,194	84.68%	176	12.48%	40	2.84%	1,018	72.20%	1,410
Reno	17,847	65.94%	8,554	31.60%	666	2.46%	9,293	34.34%	27,067
Republic	2,001	81.51%	396	16.13%	58	2.36%	1,605	65.38%	2,455
Rice	3,073	77.39%	825	20.78%	73	1.83%	2,248	56.61%	3,971
Riley	11,630	47.44%	12,063	49.21%	820	3.35%	-433	-1.77%	24,513
Rooks	2,153	84.86%	349	13.76%	35	1.38%	1,804	71.10%	2,537
Rush	1,315	81.88%	264	16.44%	27	1.68%	1,051	65.44%	1,606
Russell	2,632	79.40%	608	18.34%	75	2.26%	2,024	61.06%	3,315
Saline	15,069	64.61%	7,734	33.16%	521	2.23%	7,335	31.45%	23,324
Scott	1,843	86.32%	248	11.62%	44	2.06%	1,595	74.70%	2,135
Sedgwick	120,118	55.73%	90,506	41.99%	4,926	2.28%	29,612	13.74%	215,550
Seward	3,133	68.51%	1,354	29.61%	86	1.88%	1,779	38.90%	4,573
Shawnee	39,901	48.45%	40,308	48.95%	2,141	2.60%	-407	-0.50%	82,350
Sheridan	1,229	89.51%	126	9.18%	18	1.31%	1,103	80.33%	1,373
Sherman	2,161	83.15%	379	14.58%	59	2.27%	1,782	68.57%	2,599
Smith	1,675	83.25%	300	14.91%	37	1.84%	1,375	68.34%	2,012
Stafford	1,548	81.00%	326	17.06%	37	1.94%	1,222	63.94%	1,911
Stanton	537	80.87%	115	17.32%	12	1.81%	422	63.55%	664
Stevens	1,595	86.92%	210	11.44%	30	1.64%	1,385	75.48%	1,835
Sumner	7,810	73.81%	2,527	23.88%	244	2.31%	5,283	49.93%	10,581
Thomas	3,007	81.85%	597	16.25%	70	1.90%	2,410	65.60%	3,674
Trego	1,343	84.41%	216	13.58%	32	2.01%	1,127	70.83%	1,591
Wabaunsee	2,816	72.95%	944	24.46%	100	2.59%	1,872	48.49%	3,860
Wallace	686	91.71%	52	6.95%	10	1.34%	634	84.76%	748
Washington	2,263	83.81%	396	14.67%	41	1.52%	1,867	69.14%	2,700
Wichita	740	86.05%	107	12.44%	13	1.51%	633	73.61%	860
Wilson	2,894	80.19%	647	17.93%	68	1.88%	2,247	62.26%	3,609
Woodson	1,205	80.01%	282	18.73%	19	1.26%	923	61.28%	1,506
Wyandotte	18,867	37.07%	30,938	60.78%	1,096	2.15%	-12,071	-23.71%	50,901
Totals	758,802	56.83%	544,853	40.80%	31,671	2.37%	213,949	16.02%	1,335,326

Swing by county:

  Democratic — +2.5–5%

  Democratic — +0–2.5%

  Republican — +0–2.5%

  Republican — +2.5–5%

  Republican — +5–7.5%

  Republican — +7.5–10%

  Republican — +10–12.5%

By congressional district

Trump won three of four congressional districts.^[24]

District	Trump	Harris	Representative
1st	65%	33%	Tracey Mann
2nd	59%	39%	Jake LaTurner (118th Congress)
			Derek Schmidt (119th Congress)
3rd	47%	51%	Sharice Davids
4th	61%	37%	Ron Estes

Analysis

In recent years, Democrats have seen some success in the state, such as defeating the 2022 Kansas abortion referendum and holding the governorship since 2019. This leftward shift has been attributed to the growth of the Kansas City metropolitan area, more specifically Johnson County, the state's most populous, which supported Joe Biden four years prior, the first win for a Democrat in this county since 1916.^[25] While Democrats had hoped that their margin of defeat would narrow further after favorable polls and Biden's favorable results compared to 2016, Kansas instead shifted to the right, with Trump improving on his margin^[26] and Republicans in the state legislature expanding their supermajorities.^[27]

Trump improved on his 14.6% margin from 2020, albeit by only 1.5%. As such, Trump is the first Republican to win the White House without Johnson County since William McKinley in 1896, and the first since Kansas achieved statehood to win without Riley County, home to Fort Riley and Kansas State University, and Shawnee County, home to the state capital of Topeka (though he was less than 500 votes away from winning each of the latter two counties). Johnson County was the only county that supported Biden in 2020 in which Kamala Harris improved the Democratic margin.

See also

• United States presidential elections in Kansas
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Kansas elections
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "I do not plan on voting/cannot vote" & "Neither of the top two candidates" with 7% each
3. "Neither of the top two candidates" with 7%
4. "Neither of the top two candidates" with 6%

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
2. Poll sponsored by NetChoice